Why Bitcoin Will Keep Rising
44sExplains Bitcoin's long-term value with simple logic, appealing to both believers and skeptics.
▶ Play Clip"Title promises a market crash forecast, but the video is mostly a personal portfolio review and community promotion."
The video is a crypto market analysis and personal investment strategy discussion by Kiryukha, focusing on Bitcoin, S&P 500, and several altcoins (LINK, SOL, ATOM, BNB, NEAR). The creator explains the relationship between Fed rates, inflation, and market cycles, advocating a long-term 'hodl' strategy and dismissing short-term volatility.
The creator dismisses short-term trading and volatility, stating he would not react if Bitcoin dropped to $10,000 or rose to $50,000, as he is a long-term holder.
Every year money is printed and depreciates, while assets with limited application (like Bitcoin) appreciate. Mining costs rise, so prices below mining cost are fear, above are greed.
Historical charts show that when the Fed rate peaks (around 6%) and stays high for ~6 months, the market corrects. When rates fall, cheap money flows into bonds, causing stock market corrections.
The creator predicts the market will shake out more before a final rally, as the Fed will eventually print money to service debt, leading to inflation and asset appreciation.
Total debt is ~$300 trillion. Servicing 5% interest requires $15 trillion annually, which can only be printed, leading to inflation and eventual market growth.
If you have 100 carrots and $100 demand, each carrot costs $1. If money supply doubles to $200, each carrot costs $2 – that's inflation. Money must be backed by goods and services.
Only sell Bitcoin if you can multiply the money faster elsewhere in 5 years. If not, hold. Even at $100,000, consider if you can beat Bitcoin's growth.
72% of the market expects a rate hold at the next meeting. A hold means no change, a hike is bearish, a cut is bullish. The creator expects a long hold.
LINK is a long-term hold, bought at $5-10, believes it will be expensive in a bull market. SOL has shown 100x potential vs Ethereum. ATOM has strong support despite 86% correction.
Considering selling BNB to buy NEAR for staking, as NEAR offers higher profitability and utility. Asks community for opinion.
The creator advises a long-term hodl strategy, expecting market volatility but eventual growth due to money printing and inflation. He encourages community engagement and learning during the bear market.
What is the creator's stance on short-term volatility?
He ignores it, as he is a long-term hodler.
00:02
What does the creator say about money printing and Bitcoin?
Money printing devalues fiat, making limited-supply assets like Bitcoin more valuable over time.
00:32
What historical pattern does the creator observe with Fed rates and the S&P 500?
When rates peak and stay high, the market corrects; when rates fall, cheap money flows to bonds, causing further correction.
03:18
What is the US total debt mentioned?
Approximately $300 trillion.
06:11
How does the creator explain inflation with a simple example?
If 100 carrots have $100 demand, each costs $1. If money supply doubles to $200, each costs $2 – that's inflation.
07:06
When should you sell Bitcoin according to the creator?
Only if you can multiply the money faster elsewhere in 5 years than Bitcoin would.
10:11
What percentage of the market expects a rate hold at the next Fed meeting?
72%.
10:42
What is the creator's plan for BNB?
He considers selling BNB to buy NEAR for staking, as NEAR offers higher profitability.
17:15
Hodl philosophy
Explains the core strategy of ignoring volatility and focusing on long-term appreciation.
00:32Fed rate correlation
Provides a historical pattern linking Fed rates to market corrections, useful for understanding macro cycles.
03:18Inflation explained simply
Offers a clear, intuitive explanation of inflation using a carrot example.
07:06Sell rule for Bitcoin
Gives a practical heuristic for when to sell a long-term asset.
10:11[00:02] Bitcoin chart, all these movements, and I'm sitting there thinking what I would do tomorrow if I woke up and Bitcoin was worth $10,000 or $50,000. I sat there and thought, I won't do anything about it because I'm not interested in all this volatility,
[00:18] and volatility is a hamster's paradise on shorts, making money on longs, futures are just a Klondike for any hamster, these are shoulders, these are mega profits and losses, any hamster, these are shoulders, these are mega profits and losses, but no one thinks about losses,
[00:32] so today, you and I, guys, are away from this whole speculative story because we are hodlers and we understand that every year money is printed, everything depreciates. And everything that
[00:46] has a limited application is valued more and more. One Bitcoin is one Bitcoin, so every year it will go up in price, and we also have the cost of mining, every year it goes up in price, so friends, anything
[01:01] below this figure, this cost of mining, is all fear, anything above is This is greed, so friends, greed and fear are two emotions that drive the market. And you and I, let's get down to business, so friends, let's get comfortable, have some tea,
[01:17] coffee, get in a good mood, and off we go. Let's get down to business with you, Kiryukha Evan,
[01:31] worry, all the people who tell you what you need here or what you need there are all subjective stories that have nothing to do with the truth. Everyone is right and everyone is wrong at the same time. So today we will consider with you, Chin Link, Sanu Amak,
[01:47] BNB. I'll tell you my plan for BNB, it's very interesting, so we'll watch it to the end. interesting, so we'll watch it to the end. We will also consider
[02:01] unclear, maybe it will increase again. But, friends, it's important to us what will happen because everyone has already stocked up, factored everything into the price. And we see that the market has grown, and there's see that the market has grown, and there's quite a lot of correction. Well, it's
[02:16] clear we need it. Will we be able to buy all this? We don't know. We've been in a position with you for a long time. We haven't sold here, we've only bought, so we're comfortable with you here. All this is worry Well, what can I say to new people, friends, it's
[02:31] easier for you on the one hand because you don't have to wait 2-3 years like me and the guys, but at the same time, you feel bad because you haven't experienced the worst fall - this is covid, this is the FTX crash, the crash of the Moon and all sorts of other slag and
[02:47] fad, you haven't seen all this when the price flies there, friends, by 20% in a day and by 50 percent in a week, so you haven't seen all this, it's a scam, you haven't seen it, so you seem to be doing well. Now you're safe. But I
[03:03] believe that those who have gone through all this, you friends, will still do more in the future because there is experience, and experience is what is the base. And the base feeds, so let's go look at history and the
[03:18] bettor further. So, friends, this is our Fed rate since Fed rate since 1972, we also have a chart of the S&P 500 and Let's look at these patterns together, they are the same. So, here
[03:31] we have a rate ceiling - This is about 6% on raise it anymore and they keep it above for about six months. We are still going sideways and have a
[03:47] slight increase and then, as strange as it may sound, the rate is as strange as it may sound, the rate is falling, and here we have a rate decrease. Why is this happening? Because people
[04:01] are taking cheap money and buying, that is, withdrawing money from stocks because it is a risky asset and transferring it to buying American treasuries, that is, American bonds, US Treasury bonds, something like that, so we have a correction in the
[04:17] market. Let's look further. Another concept of the rate and friends, the rate is about 5.25. We are already above this rate. We also fixed it, it was standing, the market fixed it, it was standing, the market was pricing in future growth, here, then they
[04:32] began to lower this rate and with the rate decrease, we have a fall. It seems like money has become cheap, the economy has improved, but here is a paradox happening improved, but here is a paradox happening in the market. We have the S&P falling and all the indices are
[04:46] falling. Let's take a look at this. So, friends, here we have a bettor on a slope, a
[05:00] could be the same here. Therefore, I think that with the rate decrease, after all, The market will still shake and more than once this will be your last chance to buy up your assets and then we'll fly away. Why? Because they'll take cheap money and
[05:16] pump it into the economy, into their corporations and companies, into their factories, spin it up, all to make money. Because you take a million dollars, you need to give back a million dollars, zero interest rate, most likely, this time the Fed won't have a zero rate.
[05:31] this time the Fed won't have a zero rate. Target is about 23%. Let's see how they can achieve it. And believe me, the economy can live with believe me, the economy can live with 2% inflation and with a 2% rate, they will
[05:44] sooner or later converge. Inflation and the rate. That's how things are, so friends, I think the market is still full of cowards. So, do n't worry, the main thing is to sit tight in your chair and not move anywhere because this will be your last chance to
[05:59] buy, then, friends, we'll fly away. I'm saying again, money is printed. Something in the economy will break down and the Fed will be forced to print it. Friends, don't forget
[06:11] that our total debt is about 300 trillion. Yes, 5% of them are in If you hold the rate per year, you need 5 trillion, oh what five, 15 trillion to provide all this, the
[06:24] what five, 15 trillion to provide all this, the question is, where can I get them? Where can I get them? Where can I print them? There's no other way. It's clear that there is a reverse repo, they flood the market with liquidity from it, sooner or later this will
[06:37] sooner or later this will end, plus the Treasury Department needs a budget to support the US economy, friends, these are all huge holes in the budget, sooner or later something will break, so friends, you need to prepare for the worst and
[06:51] understand how the economy works, it cannot print money without consequences, but there would be no inflation. If you understood how the economy works, the Federal Reserve also understands this, but everyone always lobbies for their own interests in each country, so
[07:06] friends, if you have, I repeat, 100 carrots and you provide 100 carrots with a demand of 100 dollars, then one carrot will cost. How much is exactly one
[07:18] dollar if your money doubled to 200, 200 dollars, and you printed them, then at 100 carrots, and this is our goods and services, the price has risen. 2
[07:31] and this is our goods and services, the price has risen. 2 dollars is called inflation, this is the rise in prices. If you want to print money, then please back this print money, then please back this money with something than goods and services. How to
[07:44] provide it? If demand falls and such a collapse occurs in the economy, therefore, the Fed's friends are such station managers. They simply move station managers. They simply move the rate, they either slow down or speed up, but it is
[07:57] also important to understand that this is not an easy task. We would not have solved it so easily with you. They could give a Nobel Prize for this problem because you need to do all this as an experiment. No one has ever lived in an economy with a debt of 300
[08:12] trillion. And in a couple of years it will be 500. These are all experiments, friends. Therefore, if you think that you could manage all this, you would not be able to quickly lower the rate, something can break, and quickly raises something can also
[08:26] break, because the Fed simply What can it do to raise the rate, lower it and watch the reaction of the economy to these values, that is, they raise or lower the rate and just slowly watch what happens in the economy, whether
[08:40] it worsens, improves, what the situation in the labor market increases or decreases Unemployment is now the most important indicator, so friends, the most important thing is that if you ever work somewhere in the economy or just want to
[08:56] understand all this, there will be no inflation. Even with the printing of money, if this is provided by goods and services. That is, if the Fed pours and prints into
[09:08] the economy, say, 30 trillion dollars, if this is provided by the demand for goods and services of 30 trillion, then all this will be in the balance sheet, there will be no inflation, but if the demand for goods and services and goods and
[09:23] services is half as much, that is, 15, then friends, good afternoon. You have inflation. Well, you yourself understand that the price of goods and services will double because there are fewer of them, and all this is just barter. We evaluate goods and services in
[09:39] relation to the dollar. Therefore, Bitcoin will become more expensive every year. And this is all volatility, just like on SNP, there was volatility. There were huge drops, but due to the fact that money is printed and everything is devalued, inflation occurs,
[09:55] this rise in prices of shares, goods and services, this is all growing in the long term, friends, so we just don’t worry. We buy our bitcoins, store them, and never sell them. We sell them only if you need money. Where
[10:11] can you earn more money by withdrawing money from Bitcoin than Bitcoin will earn in 5 years? That is, if I fix Bitcoin even at $100,000, you don’t need to ask yourself one question: can I multiply this money faster in 5
[10:28] I multiply this money faster in 5 years than Bitcoin will? If not, why are you building such a business? That’s such simple logic. So, let’s move on. So, the decision on the key rate is already set. The rate is in the second meeting.
[10:42] Let’s look at the forecast for the forecast on the first of the eleventh month. We will have a meeting. Paul will come out and say what they did. So far, 72% of the market says that the
[10:54] what they did. So far, 72% of the market says that the futures is confirmed, then essentially nothing will change on the market. Everything has been confirmed. Everything is great. If the rate is increased, then this is a negative bearish signal. If
[11:11] the rate is reduced, then this will be a positive bullish signal for the market. Something like that, so, friends, there’s still about a month left to wait. The next meeting will be important, and what Paul says next will be important. He already said that they will hold this for a long time,
[11:25] said that they will hold this for a long time, that is, for a long time and little by little. So everything is clear with this. Let's move on, friends. Don't forget that the guys and I created Crypto Community 2.0, and you should join it and
[11:39] support us. We already have 2,800 users on board and our goal is to reach 10k. In a month, by the Fed meeting, friends, help us register, complete our quests, help us
[11:52] move the Kiryukha community and the crypto industry together. Oh, my! There will also be an opportunity to get Ethereum with the most active users. But those who are a burden to this system, we will simply check them later and ban them. So, friends,
[12:07] come and develop, this is absolutely free, there is also an opportunity to get a reward. Let's join, friends, because who else but you will help Kiryukha become at least someone in the crypto industry besides a YouTuber? I want to build projects,
[12:23] help. You yourself will then say: Kiryukha. Give me a portfolio. Let's Launchpads, bring us about projects. We want pools, we want liquidity, we want common funds. Let's go, friends. It depends on each of you. Will we be able to build this? So come, there's a
[12:38] link in the description under this video. Let's go further. Also, friends, we made a Crypto community for you. From our Twitter community, there's a lot of useful research on projects here, The
[12:53] useful research on projects here, The GRA Dex. And what is it? Aptos exchanges, CLI, all sorts of digests. What is staking or Quid staking? What platforms are there? All the answers to all your questions. We cover them here in the form of cool informational
[13:08] educational articles, so join us, too, there's a link in the description. Now let's go to the coin and to my plan for bnb. And you write in the comments. Am I doing it right or don't you think so? Your opinion is important to me. Friends, let's get at
[13:24] least 5,000 likes under this video, so stop the video. Stop the video, so stop the video. Stop the video, hamster. Stop. Take some tea, with this huge inscription. Pour yourself some coffee or Tea or cocoa, put Likes,
[13:41] drop it, and then watch the crypto market, Kiryukha, what is he doing behind Chandra? Who else will show you all this from the inside? Oh my, if not Kiryukha, let's go. So, friends,
[13:53] I really like Chin Link. We bought 1000 coins together. It's beautiful. It's worth between 5 and 10 dollars. The range is great. It's been going on for 400 days. I believe in
[14:05] Chin Link. Without this project and without Graph, this project is long-term. I believe it will be very expensive in terms of will be very expensive in terms of price in a bull market. That's why I'm sitting here
[14:20] watching with you. And then we have Salana, our favorite Salana has already shown 100 times how it looks in relation to Ethereum. Therefore, friends, whoever doesn't believe, doesn't need it, who doesn't see, doesn't need it, who doesn't analyze, doesn't need it. Sell it and don't bother
[14:35] anyone with compasses. And we continue to hold and slowly collect money on the eleventh of each month, already around here. 1,200 coins while we're sitting here. Everything's fine with us, friends, just a second, the briefcase is gorgeous, I withdrew about
[14:52] a second, the briefcase is gorgeous, I withdrew about 80k of space, 10k 80k of space, 10k coins on Plystay, friends, while we're sitting here and sorting out all this Crypto- Smith Pronsk-like action, we've got
[15:05] Smith Pronsk-like action, we've got 12,800 coins in the stake, beauty, the coins are increasing, the average price is falling. Beauty and friends, another falling. Beauty and friends, another 52,52 atoms have arrived for the stake, we're sitting here waiting for the
[15:21] 52,52 atoms have arrived for the stake, we're sitting here waiting for the coins to grow from the beauty, so let's move on with you. Atom, our beloved atom, I like this project, there's volatility, great trends. I think this project has a
[15:35] huge future. Yes, it's falling. Yes, it's growing, but it's holding up very well growing, but it's holding up very well within the bear market. 86% correction within the bear market. 86% correction is very strong. I like this about it,
[15:48] so I will never dump it, I'll just sit in it, stake it further, and chill with you, so friends, Atom is the top goal, I already said. I was talking about it in the videos earlier. Let's move on. I see Mac. Matic has huge potential
[16:04] because they'll launch a bunch of their own projects there. The ecosystem is growing, and we even have our own crypto community token. By the way, for those who don't know, we'll be launching on By the way, for those who don't know, we'll be launching on e, well, not on an online testing ground, so friends, keep
[16:17] coming, keep coming. Soon we'll have our own Dao. We'll be able to participate together in different pools in different projects, see different pools in different projects, see research guides, media drops, everything step by step,
[16:29] everything will be in one place, one app for everything. What don't you understand? The crypto industry is structured. All websites, all projects, calendars, and even our own crypto voting with our own native token, where we can make
[16:43] decisions together, plus exchange all this among ourselves. I think this is top-notch, this is what the crypto community was missing, so friends, onboarding link in the description. 5 minutes and you're with us. You can also listen to Kiriukha on
[16:59] Discord with me. Chat live in Real Time. Oh my god, here's BNB, what's the plan for BNB? Friends, I wanted to share with you and ask you. I want to do this. I'm sitting here thinking about the benefit of holding bnb. Let's say
[17:15] commissions. Let's say launchpads, $500 in profit, I'm not very happy with all this. What do I want to do? I want to lock in my bnb, take this cash and pour it into buying Nera. I really want to take a
[17:29] risk in this project. What do you think? Write in the comments. If you write that Kiryukha, go ahead, we are with you, we support you. I will take a risk. But look, I want to do this because I need more coins for a stake in
[17:44] Nira. Bnb will not give me anything except profitability, that is, R&D will give profitability, and bnb will give someone more, someone less. But only R&D will give me the profitability I want, and plus R will give me the opportunity to do something for you. Therefore,
[17:59] friends, write in the comments what you think, your opinion in detailed form. What do you think? It is very important for me to hear from you. We are done with this. Let's move on to the drop SBE. By the way, we have a briefcase. Public from the Crypto
[18:12] community Let's take a look at the portfolio of tabs here is a portfolio of advance hle everything with the Crypto Community icon that's all Our Crypto community and will track how they will feed themselves show
[18:29] already in the bull market now we are not looking at all this while such a volatile looking at all this while such a volatile story friends that's why we buy stakes and coins story friends that's why we buy stakes and coins everything we want to
[18:48] worry about the risk we took when we came here now all that remains is to wait time is on our side because time is money money money and bitcoin we have one of its less and less including ether therefore
[19:04] friends the choice Everyone makes their own risks all took We took it We pulled ourselves together we sit without whining chill with Kiriukha and move on Thank you all for your support for your viewing like comment and subscription I am very grateful to all the Crypto enthusiasts
[19:20] who flew to us I met some great people in 7 days people who learned about our community And now we all sit together and chat for 8 hours a day in Discord, so drop in, you won't regret it tomorrow or the day after tomorrow I'll record
[19:35] another video where I'll tell you who is better, a speculator or a trader, using simple examples and even numbers, so friends, subscribe so you don't miss a new video and follow all the latest news, don't worry Don't be sad,
[19:49] do something useful, because this phase of the market is the best time to learn something new so that you can then implement this knowledge on future growth And during the growth, you'll already be sitting here drinking tea and everything will be fine, everything will
[20:04] change, people's moods change very quickly, both in one direction and the other. In between, there's a very long phase where they're trying to get everyone out of the market, but it's impossible to get Kiriukha out of the market in any condition. I'm always here
[20:20] with you, although sometimes I rarely go on YouTube, but I'm not leaving the Crypto industry, I'm just sitting in our Discord. That's it, everyone. Bye, see you tomorrow or the day after tomorrow Well, or the day after tomorrow,
[20:35] the day after tomorrow, oh my god, it's all a package
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