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Nvidia Earnings SHOCKER

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Intermediate 8 min read For: Investors, traders, and tech enthusiasts interested in Nvidia earnings analysis and market reaction.
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AI Summary

Nvidia's Q1 earnings reveal a significant beat across key metrics, including revenue of $81.62 billion (beating the $79 billion forecast) and a 71.4% net income margin, nearly double the previous year. Despite strong performance, the stock initially dropped by 2-3%, consistent with historical profit-taking patterns. Key highlights include an $80 billion share buyback, dividend increase, raised guidance, and no slowdown in hyperscaler spending.

[1:27]
Earnings Beat

Q1 revenue beat by $2.4B, coming in at $81.62B vs. forecast $79B.

[2:09]
Q2 Revenue Guidance

Q2 revenue forecast was $91B vs. expected $87B, representing a ~4% beat.

[2:18]
Data Center Revenue

Data center revenue for Q1 was $75.2B, a massive portion of total revenue.

[3:23]
Share Buyback and Dividend

Authorized $80B share buyback and increased quarterly dividend to $0.25 from $0.01.

[6:36]
Net Income Margin

Net income margin reached 71.4%, up from 42.6% year-over-year, with net income tripling (3.2x).

[10:02]
Hyperscaler Growth

Hyperscaler revenue growing faster year-over-year (74%) than non-hyperscale, indicating strong enterprise demand.

[15:01]
Nvidia Dynamo Software

Open-source software that boosts generative AI inference on Blackwell GPUs by up to 7x.

[23:07]
Anthropic Profitability Update

Anthropic expects 130% revenue surge to $10.9B in June quarter and first operating profit of $559M, positive for Nvidia demand.

Nvidia delivered stellar earnings with significant beats and guidance raises, yet the stock fell initially due to profit-taking. However, strong fundamentals, increasing spending from hyperscalers, and upcoming IPOs (e.g., SpaceX, OpenAI) suggest sustained demand and potential upward momentum.

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"The title accurately reflects the earnings surprise, though the initial stock drop contradicts the expected shock; overall, the content matches the promise of significant earnings news."

Mentioned in this Video

Study Flashcards (6)

What was Nvidia's Q1 revenue and how did it compare to the forecast?

easy Click to reveal answer

Q1 revenue was $81.62 billion, beating the $79 billion forecast by $2.4 billion.

1:27

What was Nvidia's Q2 revenue forecast?

easy Click to reveal answer

Q2 revenue forecast was $91 billion, beating the expected $87 billion.

2:09

How much data center revenue did Nvidia report in Q1?

medium Click to reveal answer

Data center revenue was $75.2 billion in Q1.

2:18

What were the share buyback and dividend changes announced?

medium Click to reveal answer

Authorized an $80 billion share buyback and increased the quarterly dividend from $0.01 to $0.25 per share.

3:23

What was Nvidia's net income margin for Q1?

hard Click to reveal answer

71.4% net income margin, compared to 42.6% a year ago.

6:36

What is Nvidia Dynamo and what does it do?

hard Click to reveal answer

Open-source software that boosts generative AI inference on Blackwell GPUs by up to 7x.

15:01

💡 Key Takeaways

📊

Massive Revenue Beat

Shows Nvidia's ability to outperform high expectations by $2.4 billion.

1:27
💡

Net Income Margin Doubles

Illustrates Nvidia's extreme profitability and operational efficiency.

6:36
📊

Hyperscaler Spend Accelerates

Indicates no slowdown in spending from Nvidia's largest customers, driving future revenue.

10:02
💡

Anthropic Profitability Surge

Confirms the sustainability of AI spending, supporting continued demand for Nvidia chips.

23:07

✂️ Creator Tools: Viral Hooks

AI-generated clip ideas for Shorts based on the transcript

Nvidia earnings beat by $2.4B!

48s

Shows Nvidia's consistent outperformance despite market skepticism, sparking debate on valuation.

▶ Play Clip

Nvidia DOWN after crushing earnings?

44s

Confusing stock drop after stellar earnings and huge buyback creates controversy and curiosity.

▶ Play Clip

Nvidia's 71% net margin is insane!

39s

Reveals shocking profitability metrics that highlight Nvidia's pricing power and business model.

▶ Play Clip

Anthropic just turned profitable!

41s

Major unexpected AI news that could impact the entire sector, driving interest and discussion.

▶ Play Clip

[00:01] Well, the markets are really sweating

[00:05] this one. I certainly am because it is

[00:09] the pinnacle of earning season.

[00:14] It's getting hot and heavy around here.

[00:16] But that's all right because we've got

[00:18] Nvidia on deck out within the next 1

[00:21] minute. We are looking for uh revenue.

[00:24] Current expectations are expected to

[00:26] come in at $79 billion.

[00:30] Nvidia has beat across the board eight

[00:34] out of the last eight earnings. So

[00:36] basically for the last two years

[00:38] straight, we've got beats on revenue, on

[00:41] EPS adjusted, on EPS gap, on net income,

[00:44] on operating profit, on EBIDA,

[00:46] everything. We're looking for a move of

[00:48] about 5 and a half% today. So we'll see.

[00:53] We know this market just loves hardware

[00:56] right now. Nvidia on a forward PE basis

[00:59] is actually pretty dang cheap. It's got

[01:02] somewhere around 50 to 90% upside in it.

[01:06] Will we finally break through that 300

[01:09] threshold for Nvidia? Now, obviously, we

[01:12] got really big IPOs coming out. Uh,

[01:15] OpenAI, SpaceX, Anthropic, all expecting

[01:19] to throw more money into Nvidia chips.

[01:22] So let's see what happens with earnings.

[01:24] Earnings are due within the next like 5

[01:25] to 10 seconds here. So here we go.

[01:27] Looking for 79 and we got uh okay Q1

[01:32] revenue forecast beats margin at 75%

[01:35] revenue comes in at 81.62

[01:38] that is more than a $2.4

[01:41] billion beat on Q1 revenue. And as usual

[01:46] the initial reaction is slightly down.

[01:50] classic Nvidia that so like they

[01:52] forecast one number, Wall Street's like,

[01:54] "No, you guys are going to come in way

[01:56] higher." Nvidia beats their own forecast

[01:58] by $2.4 billion. Uh you've got uh

[02:02] forecast margins still stable at a

[02:04] midpoint of 7 uh5% even. Q2 revenue is

[02:09] expected to come in at about 91 billion.

[02:12] The expectation was 87. That's another

[02:15] beat right here about 4ish%. data center

[02:18] revenue, of course, Q1, $75.2

[02:22] billion of data center revenue, $75.2

[02:27] billion in one freaking quarter. Holy

[02:30] smokes, that forecast, $91 billion

[02:35] expected in Q2. Honestly, I think

[02:37] Jensen's going to come out and say,

[02:38] "Boys and girls, all these IPOs, they're

[02:41] going to raise $200 billion. Guess how

[02:43] much money they're going to spend on

[02:45] Nvidia chip step, bro?

[02:47] all of it.

[02:49] Uh this morning on the course member

[02:51] live stream, by the way, we've got the

[02:52] Memorial Day sale going on. We uh we

[02:54] opened on the market at like I think it

[02:56] was like 7:06

[02:59] or something like that. Somewhere around

[03:00] there. Yeah, 7:06. And we had a call

[03:03] that we were going to get to 7:14 today.

[03:05] That was the target. We got to 713.

[03:09] 713 and 15 cents on the cues, which is

[03:11] pretty impressive. So, if you want to be

[03:13] part of those alpha membership calls,

[03:15] make sure you're part of it every

[03:16] morning in the course member liveream.

[03:17] But for now, look at this. Nvidia

[03:20] literally falling 2% after authorizing

[03:23] an $80 billion share buyback and

[03:28] boosting the quarterly dividend to $25

[03:32] up from one freaking penny. So, we got

[03:36] buybacks of $80 billion. We got

[03:39] dividends of 25 cents a share.

[03:42] We got beats on revenue. We got beats on

[03:46] forecast. We got amazing margin. We got

[03:50] a raise of guidance. And step bros, the

[03:55] stock is stuck. Stock now down 3%

[03:59] because that makes all the sense in the

[04:01] world. I told you when I was going to go

[04:04] live, I'm sweating it. And I'm literally

[04:07] sweating it cuz it's like it makes no

[04:09] damn sense. But the good news is we kind

[04:12] of saw that coming this morning. We

[04:15] talked about it. We made a prep video

[04:17] for Nvidia. Uh we've talked about how

[04:19] Nvidia does not have the best reputation

[04:21] for going straight up on earnings. Uh

[04:24] this morning we were looking at a

[04:26] breakdown chart showcasing how confusing

[04:30] Nvidia can be after uh you know earnings

[04:34] data comes out. And usually what we find

[04:36] is anywhere between, let me see if I can

[04:38] grab, actually I think I have the

[04:39] picture right here because I'll just

[04:40] pull it up. We pretty much have like a

[04:42] coin toss as to what happens to the S&P

[04:45] 500 after Nvidia earnings. It is, take a

[04:49] look at this. This is what we talked

[04:51] about this morning. And we could see the

[04:53] S&P 500 performance in the 1 2 3 4 5

[04:56] days or 1 month after Nvidia earnings

[04:59] really mixed bag. So it's not unusual to

[05:02] see it. It's typically profit taking,

[05:05] but it's honestly Like, let's

[05:08] just be real. It's Nvidia is

[05:10] making so much damn money. And the

[05:14] market doesn't care. It seems like the

[05:16] market would rather invest in a stupid

[05:18] stock like Cerebrus, which is rigging

[05:21] their earnings to make it seem like

[05:23] they're profitable so they can pump and

[05:25] dump and cash out insiders and retail

[05:27] could be left holding the damn bag.

[05:30] Well, Nvidia over here is making a

[05:32] fortune and the stock goes down. That's

[05:34] just the nature of Nvidia, though.

[05:36] That's the nature of the short-term

[05:38] market. Now, let's get into We've got

[05:40] CFO commentary. So, we're going to

[05:42] download uh and take a peek at some of

[05:44] that commentary, and we'll go through a

[05:46] little bit more color here. Still

[05:48] sweating. There's a reason we're

[05:50] sweating because it's Nvidia earnings.

[05:52] Obviously, there could be no other

[05:54] reason why we would be sweating. The

[05:56] stock would be all across the board. And

[05:59] of course it goes down, but we'll see.

[06:02] Jensen is a really good salesperson.

[06:03] He'll probably be able to pump it up.

[06:04] And sometimes you get profit taking like

[06:06] just a few seconds after the bell, like

[06:08] the earnings come out, but everything

[06:10] here is really good. I do have a note

[06:12] here that indicates no shipments of

[06:15] Hopper, the H200 yet to China in Q1.

[06:18] Don't anticipate that. You can actually

[06:20] see their margin here uh has uh let's

[06:23] take a look here. We've got Q1 fiscal

[06:25] year 27. This is what we're in now. We

[06:28] can see that 75ish% margin there. Very,

[06:32] very, very impressive. Holy smokes,

[06:34] dude. Look at that income margin. I

[06:36] mean, how impressive is that? So, if I

[06:39] divide this 58321

[06:41] divided by 81615,

[06:43] I got 71 Oops, I'm using the wrong

[06:46] keyboard. 71.4%.

[06:49] So literally every time you go buy or

[06:52] whatever buys an uh uh you know buys a

[06:55] GPU from Nvidia, 71.4

[07:00] is not going to their gross margin like

[07:02] at Microsoft. No, it's literally going

[07:05] to the bottom freaking line. That is

[07:08] such a high margin business. This is a

[07:11] dream business. Damn, bro. operating

[07:16] income at 53 uh.5.

[07:19] So I'm curious that means we probably

[07:21] have some interest income in between

[07:23] here. Uh net prob higher due to

[07:27] interest. You know we don't have a full

[07:29] statement here right now. The the actual

[07:31] 10 Q the quarterly report won't come out

[07:33] for another few days. So we just sort of

[07:35] get like highlights right. Uh really

[07:39] really really impressive margins though.

[07:41] And then if we compare to last quarter,

[07:44] net margin 42960.

[07:47] Oh, that could have also been boosted by

[07:49] their stakes in other companies like

[07:51] maybe their open AI investments or

[07:53] whatever, right? They might mark some of

[07:55] those to market. Uh but over here, we

[07:58] actually only had a 63% margin. And if I

[08:02] go to last year at this time, 18775 /

[08:07] 44062,

[08:08] I have a 42.6% 6% margin. So these

[08:12] people are making hand over fist. This

[08:15] is absolutely insane. They have almost

[08:19] doubled their net income percentage. And

[08:22] they basically almost actually I think

[08:24] they've tripled net income. 58 divided

[08:27] by 18. Yeah, bro. 3.2x on net income.

[08:32] Holy moly. Holy moly. 3.2x on net income

[08:36] compared to last year. and margin nearly

[08:39] double. Bro, what's not to love? And an

[08:43] $80 billion buyback. 80 bill buyback. I

[08:46] got dividends of 25 cents a share. Uh,

[08:50] you know, I got a forecast that's being

[08:52] raised. This is so good. The stock is

[08:56] cheap. Raised forecast. I think the

[08:59] problem is for people is just big,

[09:01] right? It's a uh a cheap and big stock.

[09:06] Uh now in fairness it's only cheap based

[09:09] on forward expectations but there's no

[09:12] indication of a slowdown here. No

[09:14] indication of slowdown. Uh I really

[09:16] think the IPOs are actually going to

[09:18] boost this company even more. Uh

[09:21] Anthropic

[09:23] uh OpenAI SpaceX will prop boost even

[09:27] more uh in terms of spending for this

[09:29] sort of uh you know this company here

[09:32] Nvidia. Uh really really impressive.

[09:35] Let's go take a peek at uh here we go.

[09:39] Hypers scale. The hyperscalers

[09:41] represented about half of their income.

[09:43] Uh no slowdown over here. You can see

[09:46] that's a pickup from the last quarter as

[09:48] well. I've got AI clouds industrial and

[09:50] enterprise. So other enterprise doing

[09:52] fine as well. Enterprise is also growing

[09:55] fantastically. I mean they did the

[09:57] percentages for us here. I got over a

[09:59] double on hypers scale 74. So, Hypers

[10:02] scale is actually growing faster

[10:04] year-over-year. That's insane. Hypers

[10:06] scale growing faster year-over-year

[10:10] um than nonhypers scale. So, the biggest

[10:15] are spending even more, which makes

[10:19] sense.

[10:20] Uh let's see here.

[10:23] Okay, let's see. Revenue for the first

[10:24] quarter up 85% 20. I mean, these are

[10:26] just insane numbers. Uh look at this.

[10:28] Now we're talking about the ramp of the

[10:30] Blackwell 300 demand for Infinity Ed.

[10:33] You know, House hack has some black

[10:34] wells. Uh I cannot wait to release our

[10:38] real estate AI. Like we're still

[10:40] targeting the end of June, which is what

[10:42] we've been promising for, you know, well

[10:44] since we announced the product at the

[10:46] end of last year. Uh we are so excited.

[10:49] Uh but I mean, hey, Blackwell has helped

[10:52] us has helped contribute to us being

[10:54] able to generate real products that

[10:56] people can use. uh and and we are loaded

[10:59] up with CPU compute right now as well

[11:01] and those are all things that are

[11:02] helping us generate actual tools for

[11:05] people. Uh so we're really excited about

[11:07] that. But I mean it makes sense and

[11:08] we're we're just a small startup and

[11:10] we're seeing it right. So these larger

[11:12] companies are doing very well here as

[11:14] well. No shipments of products to China.

[11:16] That's not a surprise. The Chinese

[11:18] aren't allowing this right now. This is

[11:20] a uh you know the Chinese Chinese

[11:22] company. So, uh, White House authorized

[11:25] China, uh, killed it. Okay. So, then

[11:30] I've got, let's see, Vera Rubin on track

[11:33] for second half of the year. Okay. Vera

[11:36] Rubin, second half of year on track.

[11:41] I've got, let's see here.

[11:44] Edge computing revenue for the first

[11:45] quarter up 6.429%. I want to see what's

[11:48] going on in automotive, honestly.

[11:51] outlook. Dude, look at that. 90. Dude,

[11:52] they're gonna guide a hundred billion

[11:54] before we know it. This is absolutely

[11:56] crazy. Somebody here writes, "S1 for

[11:59] SpaceX arrives Wednesday evening." Oh,

[12:02] wow. Okay. Well, we will definitely

[12:04] cover that. Somebody in the chat says,

[12:05] "Nvidia stock has recovered." That's

[12:07] great. I mean, like, these earnings are

[12:09] so good. It shouldn't be bad. Like, this

[12:12] should not go down. These earnings, like

[12:14] these are dream earnings. How much money

[12:17] this company makes. absolute dream

[12:20] earnings and the stock initial reaction

[12:22] is down. It's That's what I'm

[12:25] saying. These earnings are great. Uh

[12:27] beating I mean you couldn't ask for

[12:28] better so far. Okay, so we got CFO

[12:30] commentary. Uh okay, here we go. The

[12:34] press release is finally out. They're

[12:36] really like slow sometimes with actually

[12:39] like updating their website, which is

[12:40] surprising cuz like they're computing

[12:42] company. It's like really you guys

[12:43] having trouble like getting the form on

[12:45] the website? You guys having trouble

[12:46] getting it up? You know, like you need

[12:48] to get some pee pee up in here. I mean,

[12:50] they are the definition of pee pee.

[12:51] Okay. They shouldn't have any problems.

[12:55] Uh, okay. So, uh, I want to see

[12:59] automotive. Honestly, auto

[13:02] auto. Auto auto.

[13:07] Really? They're not going to break down

[13:08] any automotive revenues? That's a

[13:10] bummer. So, I'll have to wait for the 10

[13:12] Q to get automotive revenues. A little

[13:14] bit of a bummer. Uh, let's see. their

[13:16] R&D here. Whoa, look at their R&D

[13:19] actually almost doubled over here. I

[13:22] mean, it's not really noticeable

[13:24] because, you know, they spend 30% more

[13:27] selling their products and their revenue

[13:28] is up a double. Like, who cares? Their

[13:30] R&D is up a little bit. Big deal. So,

[13:34] like their revenue is just destroying.

[13:36] I actually think that once the whole

[13:38] chip bubble pops, which it will

[13:40] eventually, we don't know yet, you know,

[13:43] when there there is no uh indication yet

[13:47] of a rollover of hyperscaler or

[13:50] artificial intelligence spend. So, we

[13:51] don't really know when that rollover is

[13:53] going to be yet, but when it comes,

[13:55] watch, Nvidia is going to end up being

[13:56] an FSD SAS play, and people are going to

[13:58] be like, "Oh my gosh, you know, I

[14:00] thought it was going to be Tesla." And

[14:01] watch, it'll end up being Nvidia. It's

[14:02] pretty remark pretty remarkable. Uh,

[14:06] okay. So, let's just look at a little

[14:07] bit of their commentary here.

[14:10] Uh, okay. Repurchase authorization. We

[14:12] talked about $80 billion. That's great.

[14:15] AI purpose build data centers, data

[14:18] factories, token factories. Yeah. Yeah.

[14:20] Yeah. We already know about all the

[14:21] marketing. We know data center. Okay.

[14:24] What do we got over here? Announced Vera

[14:26] Rubin including the Vera CPU. People

[14:29] underestimate how valuable the CPU

[14:32] business is for Nvidia. Like this is so

[14:36] brilliant. They're so freaking smart.

[14:38] Even their acquisition of Gro Gro Grock,

[14:41] whatever the hell you want to call it,

[14:42] the GR OQ, not to be confused with

[14:45] Elon's Gro.

[14:50] All right. Uh, then you got enter

[14:52] production of Nvidia Dynamo, open source

[14:54] software that boosts generative AI and

[14:56] agentic interface on Blackwell GPUs by

[14:58] up to 7x.

[15:01] Okay. Uh oh. in inference not uh

[15:06] interface right okay inference so I

[15:08] always wonder though you know at some

[15:11] point their chips are going to become so

[15:13] good that we're not going to need as

[15:15] many tokens anymore right that's the

[15:17] turning point for

[15:20] when they almost kill themselves uh and

[15:22] that'll be very painful that's probably

[15:25] why Nvidia is not like a $300 or $400

[15:27] stock yet because right now it does

[15:29] justify over $300 easy it'd be fairly

[15:32] valued over $300 $, but people are

[15:34] worried as soon as there's a little

[15:36] inkling that the money spent stops it.

[15:39] Every comp is going to be negative,

[15:41] right? And I think that's just what

[15:42] people are so worried about, but there's

[15:44] no sign of it yet. Expanded Google Cloud

[15:47] including Vera Rubin, of course, Google

[15:50] Gemini is is very good, very good. Uh,

[15:54] Nvidia Blackwell, Blackwell Ultra GPU is

[15:57] fine. Here we go. Marll, shout out to

[15:59] Marll expanded AI ecosystem. So, I

[16:02] actually think Marll is undervalued as

[16:04] well. The difference between Marll and

[16:06] Nvidia is Nvidia is already fat fat. OH

[16:10] MY GOSH, DUDE. It bounced at my damn

[16:12] line. Are you kidding, dude? I I swear

[16:16] every day I feel like I make a video and

[16:18] I'm like, "Guys, guys, it bounced at my

[16:20] line." And I I feel like people watch my

[16:22] videos and they're like, "Oh, sure it

[16:23] did, Kevin. Sure, sure. You just drew

[16:25] the line there after the fact." So, like

[16:27] I feel like I have to do the occasional

[16:29] live stream to talk about the li like

[16:31] the show. No, the lines are real. You

[16:33] got to break through 22706

[16:36] here, you know? It's and and there it's

[16:39] technical analysis, right? That's what

[16:41] what we do. Uh and we do that every day

[16:43] in the course member live streams. We do

[16:45] um it's it's very I think diverse what

[16:47] we do. Technical analysis, momentum

[16:50] analysis. There's a momentum stock we

[16:52] were looking at this morning that was up

[16:54] like 15%. I'm not sure if it closed up

[16:56] 15%, but it was up like 15%. Honestly, I

[16:58] think it's going to keep going. We'll

[16:59] talk more about that one tomorrow. Uh

[17:01] we've got um short-term trades,

[17:04] medium-term trades, long-term trades.

[17:06] Long-term trades are for people with

[17:08] really big balls, and short and

[17:10] medium-term trades are for people who

[17:12] want, you know, to see some dollars a

[17:15] little sooner. Uh anyway, so uh Marll is

[17:18] actually a combination of a medium-term

[17:21] trade and a long-term trade. Uh Marll

[17:24] has been pretty good and uh they've

[17:26] they've really done fantastically. Uh of

[17:30] course if you want more of that

[17:31] analysis, remember just join us

[17:33] Kevin.com. We got some cool things

[17:34] coming out for course members uh very

[17:36] soon. Me Kevin app is expanding and uh

[17:40] we'll be raising the price again on the

[17:42] membership on uh I think Tuesday. So the

[17:44] day after Memorial Day since the market

[17:46] will be closed on Monday. We're expiring

[17:48] the coupon code on Tuesday. So you got

[17:50] six days to think about it. If you have

[17:52] questions, you could email us at

[17:53] [email protected]. Let's keep going here.

[17:55] So, we got a server edition GPU. This is

[17:57] another Blackwell uh chip. They've got

[18:00] that's fine. Anything you can go sell to

[18:02] any various different level. You know,

[18:03] you got smaller startups who want

[18:05] Blackwells and then you've got

[18:06] hyperscalers who want black black wells.

[18:08] Nvidia has so much of TSMC unlock that

[18:12] they just need to keep kind of making

[18:13] little chopped up versions of Blackwell

[18:16] and they could just keep printing money

[18:17] for now. Uh we got um okay some talk

[18:21] about rendering here that's fine.

[18:23] Omniverse autonomous driving at scale.

[18:27] Uh Hyundai Motor and Kia next generation

[18:29] autonomous driving built on Hyperion

[18:31] platform along with the expanded

[18:33] partnership with Uber. I honestly think

[18:36] like people so underpric this. This is

[18:39] so valuable. Uh you know it's going to

[18:42] be a like even Wall Street is still

[18:44] underpricing it. I saw a chart this

[18:46] morning on what they think revenue

[18:47] growth is going to be for autonomous uh

[18:51] driving for Nvidia. I actually have it

[18:53] right here. And uh I mean in my opinion

[18:56] this is this is a stupid forecast. Like

[18:58] I think it's going to be way higher than

[19:00] this. They actually think QCOM can get

[19:02] more automotive revenue than Nvidia. You

[19:05] know QCOM expanding from like 1.3

[19:08] billion to 3.3ish somewhere around

[19:10] there. Uh so I mean that's pretty

[19:12] impressive. uh in Nvidia only going from

[19:16] you know about what um actually no QCOM

[19:20] going from lower QCOM going from like

[19:22] 600 ah you got to figure you you look at

[19:25] the chart yourself and figure it out

[19:27] yourself the point is they expect QCOM

[19:29] to move faster I can't think about this

[19:30] live because I want to focus on

[19:32] continuing to get through this uh BYD

[19:36] Nissan are building level four ready

[19:38] vehicles on the Hyperion platform this

[19:40] is so smart and the Chinese are so good

[19:43] at manufacturing. This is so smart.

[19:46] CUDA. Oh, oh, oh, oh. This is huge for

[19:50] um this 6G thing. This like Marll is all

[19:54] over this, by the way. Jensen, Marll,

[19:58] um 6G, even 5G base stations. Anytime

[20:02] you hear base stations, you want to

[20:03] think about this. Basically, think about

[20:05] it this way. You know how Apple's like,

[20:07] "Oh, we want you to do ondevice AI,

[20:09] right? Yeah, that's cool. But what what

[20:12] we really want is really fast ondevice

[20:15] AI that can also coordinate with your

[20:19] company's servers or base stations or

[20:22] you know basically over a five or 6G

[20:24] network. Uh and and Marll's got uh you

[20:26] know there's like a call option in Marll

[20:28] for that technology. It's pretty

[20:30] exciting. Uh not to be confused with

[20:32] Marvel superheroes. You know, I I say

[20:34] when Max hasn't had enough food that he

[20:37] turns into the Hulk. And so when he

[20:40] starts getting fussy, I tell him, "Hey,

[20:41] you need to eat something. You're

[20:42] turning green, buddy." And he actually

[20:44] laughs over it. Uh but it's true. He

[20:47] turns into a little Hulk. It's just

[20:48] like, you know, the gamma radiation is

[20:51] taking him over. Accounts receivable

[20:53] pretty stable actually compared to last

[20:55] year. A lot of people dunked uh on on uh

[20:58] Nvidia last year because of this massive

[21:00] boost in accounts receivable. This is

[21:02] really stabilized here. So, pretty

[21:04] consistent. Uh, we've got uh really cash

[21:07] and marketables here of about $50

[21:09] billion sitting around plus oh, equity

[21:12] securities on that as well. So, I got

[21:14] $80 billion plus accounts receivable. I

[21:17] got $120 billion. I got bills to pay of

[21:20] about 44. Big deal, dude. I have enough.

[21:23] I mean, my accounts receivable could pay

[21:24] that and I don't even have to touch my

[21:25] cash. So, they're totally fine on bills

[21:28] to pay. They have virtually no long-term

[21:30] debt. I mean, I've got lease

[21:32] liabilities. I don't even usually count

[21:34] those. I've got 9 plus 7 over here. I

[21:37] got about 16 long-term. These people

[21:39] fart $16 billion.

[21:42] Uh I know that sounds just like crazy,

[21:45] but this is this is a a big AI winner.

[21:49] Uh and it blows my mind that, you know,

[21:52] a company like this could actually be

[21:53] down on such a good beat. But it's not

[21:56] surprising. A because we have a line and

[21:59] you know even the last time we broke out

[22:01] of 198 we had to retrace to it. So the

[22:04] line's important but I wouldn't be

[22:07] surprised that you know as we get closer

[22:08] to the SpaceX IPO we could break through

[22:10] this line and then we'll push through

[22:12] 255 and and then 295 will be the big

[22:15] test. Uh because that's when you get to

[22:17] breaking through 300, right? Uh but uh

[22:20] it'll take some time but I think it'll

[22:22] happen between now and the IPOs. SpaceX,

[22:26] OpenAI, Claude, they'll make it happen

[22:29] this year. The problem is those IPOs

[22:32] could end up marking the top of the

[22:33] market. Uh, you know, once once all of

[22:36] those guys go down and they've drained

[22:38] everybody of funds, you're going to have

[22:40] big problems. And so, a canary that I'm

[22:44] watching in the coal mine is Cerebrus.

[22:46] We've talked about that quite a bit. And

[22:48] also Coreweave. You know, Corweave's

[22:51] been trying to get back, but you could

[22:54] see, look at this. I I kid you not,

[22:56] rejected at the line. Again, nobody

[22:59] wants to hear about Kevin's lines. I

[23:00] mean, I guess course members do. They

[23:02] like Kevin's lines. Uh, but it's pretty

[23:04] remarkable. So, very, very, very, very,

[23:07] uh, impressive earnings for uh, Nvidia.

[23:11] Uh, so absolutely fantastic.

[23:14] Uh, so, uh, Scott is asking about Nvidia

[23:17] pulling back spending on OpenAI deal.

[23:19] Um, well, it's it's a little different.

[23:22] So, Jensen has said he doesn't want to

[23:26] invest more into OpenAI because they're

[23:29] going to go public. That's sort of his

[23:30] excuse. I actually think he just doesn't

[23:33] want to come across as a shill for one

[23:35] company. He doesn't want to pull like a

[23:36] soft bank, right, and only shill for

[23:39] open AI because he wants like he

[23:42] realizes Anthropic is killing it. He

[23:44] wants their business too. And what did

[23:46] Anthropic just do? Anthropic just leased

[23:48] a crapload of data center compute

[23:50] capacity with XAI, you know, inside of

[23:54] SpaceX. And guess what? Elon spends

[23:56] money on Nvidia chips.

[23:59] So, you know, it's it's actually uh it's

[24:01] pretty impressive. Uh oh, I got an

[24:03] update here. Anthropic expects a 130%

[24:07] revenue surge to 10.9 billion in the

[24:09] June quarter. Holy moly. And its first

[24:13] operating profit. Wow.

[24:17] Wow. That would be crazy if that's true.

[24:19] They generated 4.8 billion in the first

[24:21] quarter. Operating profit of 559 million

[24:25] in the June quarter. Whoa,

[24:28] dude. That should pump up the entire

[24:30] server se honestly. That should that

[24:33] alone should give you green candlesticks

[24:34] on Nvidia right now that Anthropic is

[24:37] potentially turning profitable. That's

[24:40] huge

[24:42] huge news. Uh that's that's actually a

[24:46] really wild update. Wow, that's almost

[24:48] worth its own video. Anyway, uh this is

[24:51] all about Nvidia earnings here. Thank

[24:52] you so much for coming to the Nvidia

[24:54] earnings. Maybe we could do some more

[24:55] live streams. You want to chat more, do

[24:56] some more fundamental analysis, make

[24:58] sure you join me. Meet Kevin.com. Use

[25:00] the Memorial Day coupon code. I love you

[25:01] all. We were live with course members

[25:03] for like an hour this morning. I love

[25:04] bringing value to everybody and we'll

[25:06] keep bringing analysis. Thanks so much

[25:07] for being here.

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