AI Summary
In this live stream, the host shares real-time sports betting picks, focusing on cross-market and arbitrage strategies. He analyzes lines across multiple books, highlighting value plays and explaining the logic behind each bet.
Chapters
The stream opens with a casual greeting and immediately dives into betting picks, mentioning a 'ton of value' across sports books.
First play: Isaiah Pacheco under 45.5 rushing yards, noting a cross-market discrepancy.
Caleb Johnson to score a touchdown is already showing a positive cash out, indicating early value.
Fading Rico Dowdle is highlighted as an 'amazing play' due to cross-market liquidity on Profitex.
Peer-to-peer betting exchanges are run by trading firms and hedge funds, making their odds sharp.
The host notes that most value is on unders, and he's building a six-pick flex play on Prize Picks.
Hard Rock is described as 'probably the most beatable sports book in the world' with frequent value.
Explains arbitrage: betting both sides of a crossed market to guarantee profit, using Rico Dowdle as an example.
Aaron Rodgers under 1.5 passing touchdowns is considered, noting the line moved against him.
The host emphasizes diversifying across books and using the best value lines.
On Better, the optimal slip type is five-pick entries with dynamic or perfect payout, though marginal.
Courtland Sutton over receptions is a value play because his under is offered at plus 115 on Novig, a sharp book.
The host reiterates that betting the Hard Rock side of every arbitrage is a near-guaranteed money maker.
Sleeper promos are often misleading; lines are worse than other books, but a 40% boost can make them profitable.
Bet MGM is another 'dumbest sports book' with 30% ROI potential on certain plays.
Joe Flacco under 23.5 completions is an 'absolute hammer' play.
On Dabble, sometimes correlated plays (like two hitters on the same team) have no payout shift, offering extra value.
FanDuel lines are a source of information; their 45 billion dollar company data is factored into the market.
The optimal slip type on Underdog is a six-man entry, offering minus 116 implied odds.
A 30% profit boost is significant and can turn a play into a no-brainer, especially with crossed markets.
SMU vs Clemson over 10.5 first quarter points at plus 154 is a strong play, hedgeable via arbitrage.
Cash outs are almost always negative EV, even when they show a profit.
Betting limits increase closer to game time because the market becomes more efficient.
Mentioned in this Video
Study Flashcards (7)
What is arbitrage betting?
easy
Click to reveal answer
What is arbitrage betting?
Betting both sides of a crossed market to guarantee a profit.
06:27
Why are peer-to-peer betting exchanges considered sharp?
medium
Click to reveal answer
Why are peer-to-peer betting exchanges considered sharp?
Peer-to-peer betting exchanges like Profitex are run by trading firms and hedge funds, making their odds sharper than traditional books.
02:50
Which sports books are described as 'dumbest' or 'most beatable'?
medium
Click to reveal answer
Which sports books are described as 'dumbest' or 'most beatable'?
Hard Rock and Bet MGM are considered the most beatable sports books due to frequent line discrepancies.
11:23
Why is a 30% profit boost considered 'a lot'?
hard
Click to reveal answer
Why is a 30% profit boost considered 'a lot'?
A 30% profit boost is significant because it can turn a marginal play into a profitable one, especially when combined with a crossed market.
29:31
Why are cash outs generally negative EV?
medium
Click to reveal answer
Why are cash outs generally negative EV?
Cash outs are almost always negative EV, even when they show a profit, because the book offers a terrible deal.
43:24
What is the optimal slip type on Underdog?
hard
Click to reveal answer
What is the optimal slip type on Underdog?
The optimal slip type on Underdog is a six-man entry, offering minus 116 implied odds.
26:06
Why do betting limits increase closer to game time?
medium
Click to reveal answer
Why do betting limits increase closer to game time?
Betting limits increase as game time approaches because the market becomes more efficient with all news and lineups out.
46:29
💡 Key Takeaways
Copying sharp book homework
Explains how to leverage sharp books' odds to find value on softer books.
06:27Hard Rock as a value source
Identifies a specific book with consistent arbitrage opportunities.
11:23Cash outs are negative EV
Warns against a common trap that erodes profits.
43:24Betting limits increase near game time
Explains market efficiency dynamics that affect bet sizing.
46:29Full Transcript
[00:13] What's up? What's up? Thursday night football. football. Thursday night football, bro.
[00:32] you doing? I gotta hang out with my mom in a bit, so I'm streaming earlier. in a bit, so I'm streaming earlier. What's up, guys?
[00:45] Anyways, what book do you guys want to start out on? Dude, I was looking this morning. There is, Dude, there's a [ __ ] ton of value on a lot of different sports books. So, let's get into it and let's uh try to rip some plays.
[01:03] where do you guys want to start? Are there any prize picks, discounts or anything? Yo, so this play is very good. Maybe we a prize pick play sound? You guys want to rip a prize pick?
[01:19] Who the [ __ ] is Caleb Johnson? I don't know, but I bet on him. Yo, so the first play I'm going with is Isaiah Pacheco under 45 and a half rushing yards. You want to be a little careful. It's kind of weird. They have him at 44 half and
[01:34] of weird. They have him at 44 half and 45 half. So, this is just a cross market legend Caleb Johnson. He is far from ass. Yeah, dude. We got Caleb Johnson to score a touchdown. I think I bet that on FanDuel.
[01:48] Did I? Yeah, I did. Yo, we already got a positive cash out, too. How are you [ __ ] on my Caleb Johnson play? We already got a positive cash out on that. Anyways, I think that's from the SA Discord. Sometimes when I'm too lazy to
[02:03] stream, I just post plays in the Discord. But anyways, let me uh let me the first play I'm going to go with Yo, what do we think about fading Rico Dow this week? I mean, literally last week the Panthers just hit the [ __ ] spam
[02:19] button. every play just a hand off to Rico. I How many rushing attempts did he have last week? But regardless, this is an amazing play. It's a cross market, right? You can see here his over is listed on Profitex with
[02:36] here his over is listed on Profitex with a [ __ ] ton of liquidity, 1.4K at plus 123. They're offering his over at plus 123. Then, you know, his under is the favored outcome, the more likely outcome. You know, these peer-to-p peer
[02:50] betting exchanges are [ __ ] smart. You want to put weight into their odds. The people setting lines on these peer-to-p peer betting exchanges are trading firms, hedge funds. It's not your neighbor. It's not your neighbor.
[03:03] What's up, guys? Oh [ __ ] Chubba's back. Ramica Jaku is on a three stream. Yo, what's up? So, we're going to fade Gibbs rushing attempts. Yo, what do we think about fading Gibbs? Also, are the Lions trash?
[03:18] trash? Are the Lions trash, dude? Oh [ __ ] dude. We got a lot of plays. [ __ ] man. Oh my gosh. All right, boys. I'm just going to rip a slip. Unsurprisingly, as
[03:32] usual, it feels like all of the value is on the unders. So, we have four picks so far. Let's get five in. Dude, wow. Wow. Wow.
[03:44] What is going on, Roma Dun? Dude, why is there so much value? What the [ __ ] So, it seems like really like I guess it typically is Thursday. So, again, here you can see on prize
[03:59] picks like be careful 68 half, tick them up to 69 half. Yeah, we got a six pick flex play to start out the live stream. [ __ ] it. Get this [ __ ] locked in. Six link in the chat and let me know what other books you guys want to look at
[04:14] next? Lions are not trash. The trash is the Washington Redskins. Bro, they had one bad game. Man, we are one game out of leading the NFC East. Yo, can somebody put the link
[04:30] in the chat, please? First three picks, final three picks. Uh, let's go, bro. Take the bet. Okay, so want to do? Better prize picks, Hard Rock.
[04:47] Sheesh. Again, I'm in Virginia. Virginia, it's such an amazing state. It really is. For sports betting, you have every [ __ ] book is legal. You got the regulated sports books like FanDuel. You got the DFS apps like Prize Picks. You
[05:03] got the DFS apps like Prize Picks. You have literally everything. Um, what is going on here though? Oh [ __ ]
[05:16] What do we have on Hard Rock, dude? Why does Hard Rock always have so much value? Dude, I'm up I realized I'm up $1,000 this month on Hard Rock. So, I'm glad we added it to the stream rotation. I'm max limited on it. I'm max limited
[05:32] on it, unfortunately. But it's probably the most beatable sports book literally in the world. But just spamming these $10 bets because the book has so much $10 bets because the book has so much value. Actually extremely effective.
[05:46] Um there's just so much value on it. I mean look at this Rico there. I I can almost guarantee you you guys like my hard rock plays, right? I feel like everyone's always begging in the chat like, "Yo, just do more Hard Rock,
[05:59] Alex." So, we got Chubba back this week. But boys, check this out. So, if you look at uh Rico, right, this is arbitrage. There is a ton of liquidity being offered on Rico's over
[06:12] at plus 123. If the trading firm, the quant hedge fund is offering his over at plus 123, that means they want to bet the under for minus 123. But long and we're getting minus 115. So, you're kind of like copying their homework.
[06:27] Obviously, you could also just arbitrage bet it. The market is crossed. So you could just bet the over on Profitex, the under on Hard Rock, and guarantee a profit. Yo, I hope the Redskins can get Rico D because he's actually [ __ ]
[06:40] good. That's who we need. Oh my god, dude. Hard Rock is [ __ ] popping. Is there anything for today? Aaron Rodgers under one and a half passing touchdowns. I feel like the line moved against Rogers. Damn. Nashville
[06:57] Predators plus one and a half. a [ __ ] ton of liquidity on the other side at plus 185. So here they say they're going to give me 277. Typically mainline markets and as you get closer to game time, you get higher betting limits, but
[07:11] something. I don't just want to do on sports book. I like to uh diversify. I like to diversify. And again, you obvious obviously I try to bet on the
[07:23] books offering the best value. What the [ __ ] dude? This Genty play is absolutely insane. Granted, I've already betted on prize picks, but
[07:38] as over as plus 135, right on better, the optimal slip type. Yo, you guys want to do a better slip? I mean, come on. You guys want to take mean, come on. You guys want to take Jake Paul's money?
[07:56] Magahan with the Redskins slur. What? Bro, I'm reading the chat. game? I think the Dodgers are gonna win. And also, I want to go to the World Series. I want to go to a game in LA. So,
[08:08] I'm hoping they win. Dude, nobody wants the [ __ ] Brewers in a World Series, dude. That shit's going to get zero viewers. Jordan Addison. Yo, what do you guys think about Jordan Addison? Over's
[08:23] heavily favored. So again, better is just another fixed payout sports book. It's just important to know like what type of slip is optimal. So like, you know, for Jaylen Warren, it's like, okay, every sports book has
[08:36] his overheavily vapored, so maybe that's a good play to go with. Granted, it's not a cross market, but also this bet is for tonight, and I like having bets on for tonight. Owners box has a promo, and I ran Jaylen Warren in that as well, but
[08:50] this is why you got to be careful. Like you can't be running three mans on better. You can see they only give you a 5x payout.
[09:02] They only give you a 5x payout. I love your face. Thank you. Alex play UCLA. Will better social sports book be on odds jam? I don't know what better social sports book is. Yo, what do we think about Jerry Judy? His
[09:17] unders heavily favored. DraftKings pick six has some promos. I already gave these out in the in the Discord because I wasn't even sure if I
[09:31] was going to have time to stream today, but why is there so much value, bro? I'm I gotta move faster. I mean, I'm just going to start moving faster, dude. This Rico play, I don't care, dude. I am just [ __ ] following the
[09:46] value and I'm just going to max bet all this [ __ ] So, this is a 20x payout. Four, five pick entries. Again, I've literally gone through the math. I'm the only person nice enough, but also smart enough
[10:04] of slip is optimal for all these DFS platforms. So, basically on better, it's um uh you want to be running five pick entries, dynamic or perfect. It's very marginal the difference, so it doesn't really
[10:16] matter. But here's the play. Yo, can you guys see it? Somebody put the link in the chat.
[10:28] most of the value is on the unders, but not all of it. Did I get any directions wrong? I mean, the one thing is when I'm trying to move quick, I just want to make sure I didn't fat finger anything. Anyways, let me get it locked in again.
[10:44] Make your face cam smaller. You guys don't want to see me. Should I make my don't want to see me. Should I make my facecam smaller or bigger? Whatever you prefer. Yo, what are the best shields on Dabble? What are the best shields on
[10:56] Dabble? What are the best shields on Dabble? Does anyone know? Yo, we got any bets for tonight. Courtland Sutton over in receptions. His unders being offered at plus 115 on
[11:08] Novig. An extremely sharp book. It's a very simple strategy. Cross market betting. Whenever there is arbitrage, you can bet both outcomes to guarantee a profit. You know, it's either the over or the under. That's the profitable bet.
[11:23] Hard Rock is the dumbest sports book in the world. So, if you have a really the world. So, if you have a really smart book, a really sharp book
[11:38] that's arbitrage with Hard Rock. I mean, you literally have like 99.99999% Hard Rock. So, if you just bet the Hard Rock side of every arbitrage
[11:50] ton of money, you're going to make so much money that you don't even know what to do with it, dude. Yo, under in the Brewers game and it's already suspended. Um, we think the Bengals can win tonight.
[12:04] Oh [ __ ] people are still asking for sleeper discounts. double? What? Where's Luca Triple Double? What book is Luca Triple Double
[12:17] Double? What book is Luca Triple Double on? Yo, what are the sleeper discounts? So, we got people asking for sleeper discounts. I don't see anything good that we haven't already used. Well, I guess there's this college football one.
[12:30] Again, I've said this in, you know, probably a lot of live streams. Um, what do we think about the Rogers play? Let me just see. So, we have passing yards. Rogers. Let's see. So, this isn't even good, bro,
[12:47] dude. Like, you can literally get his line. This is the Odds Jam Sportsbook screen. You can get his line at 218 half on prize picks. So, like this is a trash discount. What about Carson Beck?
[13:02] So, they're very misleading with some of their promos. you like think they're good and then they're just total ass. Carson Beck, literally his line is 244 half on all these other books. So, this is absolute trash. Long story short, but
[13:17] they do have a college football boost. So, let's see if we can put something together, maybe get some plays for tonight. As many of you know, because I've said it a couple times, we have college football
[13:31] plus 800. Um, Sport Zeno plus 800. Yo, how much liquidity? How much liquidity is on Novig? How much liquidity is on Novig for Luca triple double? Sorry, I'm
[13:45] trying to keep up with the chat and not ignore people. I'm trying to keep up with the chat and not ignore people.
[14:04] how much liquidity? How much liquidity? Props the props. YouTube, did he drop a prize pick slip yet? Yes, I did. So again, the reason I don't use Sleeper much is they just charge a lot of juice. Like you look at MGM minus 115 minus 115
[14:19] 30 cent spread hold in the market. Sleeper's almost double it minus, you know, 128. But still with these with the 40% boost like you can put a profitable 40% boost like you can put a profitable slip together.
[14:39] Let's [ __ ] go. Yo, what's up, Auto Flipper? Yo, what book do you guys want to look at? What book? Can someone help me out? like people want Hard Rock and Bet MGM. So, let's [ __ ] see. Dude, this line
[14:56] So, let's [ __ ] see. Dude, this line Chase Brown over in rushing yards. Dude, I always have to relog in. I logged in before the stream and it logged in before the stream and it always logs me the [ __ ] out, dude.
[15:08] always logs me the [ __ ] out, dude. Um, you [ __ ] kidding me? Oh, this is New Jersey. Bad MGM. Never mind. I'm an idiot. I was about to be pissed.
[15:27] Dude, I have like six different BEM MGM accounts. So, Bet MGM used to be if you traveled to a new state, you would have to sign up for a new account. You would need a new email address, but you would also get a new sign up bonus.
[15:40] Yo, so here they actually because this game is today again as you get closer to game time, a lot of these books will increase betting limits. Over 43 half for Chase Brown minus 115. very very very very very
[16:00] strong value play. Sorry, sorry, sorry. Cross market. You could just arbitrage bet it to guarantee a profit. Bet MGM is the dumbest sports book in the world. You will get a 30% ROI on it. I'm dead
[16:17] straight. If you guys can't get a 30% ROI on Bet MGM, just give up gambling. I mean, you're not I don't know what you're doing, but you're you're not doing something. You're not you're pretty I mean, here you can get Flaco's
[16:33] over under cross market. Yeah, [ __ ] yeah. Uh Joe Flacco under 23 and a half completions. Absolute hammer. So, like this play's weird. It's like why did you give me Chase Brown for $46 and then this play for six? I don't know. These
[16:46] books are random. Bryce Turring hit is a great shield. Yo yo yo yo yo. Let's see what we can do, boys. Um,
[17:03] let's see what we can do here. Hey, Alex. What's up, Aush Patel? Yo, Aush Patel, I don't mean to stereotype you, but are you Indian by any chance? I got a friend named Aush and he's Indian. Um,
[17:18] let's see what we can do on Dabble, though. Yo, check this out. Uh, you guys want to do Dabble? Dude, there's so many sports books in Virginia. Oh [ __ ] Oh sports books in Virginia. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Brewers. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Give me
[17:33] a sec. Give me a sec. Yo, check this out, boys. Cross market. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Go quick. Go quick. Brewers plus one and a half.
[17:45] Brewers plus one and a half. on flip minus 125. Yep. No [ __ ] [ __ ] dude. They bumped that fast, bro. Aush is the new D boy Curry. Hey, where are you? Aush,
[18:01] where are you? Aush, can you show the second sleeper play one more time, please? Yeah, no problem. This is the first sleeper play. Damn, they bumped that extremely quickly. Um,
[18:15] they bumped that extremely quickly. Um, yo, what is the best shield available? There's actually a lot of value right now. Um, so like the first play, for now. Um, so like the first play, for example, would be Chase Brown over
[18:37] Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] So N Not many line discrepancies, but So N Not many line discrepancies, but there's some very strong cross markets.
[18:50] there's some very strong cross markets. Underdog, dude. Yo, bro, if you don't say please, I'm literally just going to ignore you. Who the [ __ ] said that? It's It's lone 1414. Who the [ __ ] is your mom? And why did she raise you so
[19:04] poorly? You say please, you [ __ ] little ugly [ __ ] So, we have um Chase Brown over 12 and a half rushing attempts. This line is not available on prize picks. Let's see here. Where is Chase Brown?
[19:23] rushing attempts line higher and 13,000 degenerates have bet it. So, we have Chase Brown over in rushing attempts. What is the best shield? What is the best shield? Yo, what's the best shield? What's the best shield? What's the best
[19:38] What's the best shield? What's the best shield? you don't even need a shield, but what is the best shield? Uh, Schaefer shot on goal. Schaefer shot on goal. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
[19:55] Um, fliff daddy, could we get some underdog, please? There we go. We finally got someone with [ __ ] manners, dude. Damn, it's Lawn 64 or
[20:07] manners, dude. Damn, it's Lawn 64 or whatever his name was. you can do, yo yo yo yo yo, check this out. Chill, chill, chill.
[20:23] out. Chill, chill, chill. Is what we can do. So again on Dabble, even though they say you're they're going to reduce your payout. They don't going to reduce your payout. They don't always remember to.
[20:36] payout. Good morning, Alex. What's up, CryptoDon? Yo, CryptoDon, what crypto should I be buying right now? Yo, so 20x payout on this
[20:49] very Yeah, this is solid. entry. Max Sherzer as well. Bitcoin, ETH, and
[21:05] Salana. Um, so very solid play here. And again, you should be able to copy my entry directly from the app. But it's pretty crazy. I mean, I know I said this in other live
[21:19] mean, I know I said this in other live streams, but seriously, if you only use prize picks, you should really consider trying out Dabble, right? Like, basically on prize picks, if you include these goblins because
[21:32] if you include these goblins because they're not [ __ ] stupid.
[21:44] think it maybe depends on what goblins you go with, but on dabble sometimes they forget to. So, what I've also noticed
[21:59] this out. Check this out. Let's see. Let's see. Is sometimes you can get two positively correlated plays like two hitters on the same team. Dude, look at this. And there's no payout shift. It's absolutely wild. Like those plays are
[22:13] insanely correlated. Like what are you doing? What are they doing? thoughts on the Luca play? I said it sounds solid.
[22:31] but I mean Christian Yelled has to be a massive. He is, dude. He's like a minus 190 favorite to get a hit. And who's this other scrub? Caleb Duran. He's also pretty favored. I mean, this isn't horrible. Slight payout shift, but
[22:47] like and they removed ETN, so we need to find a replacement play. Yeah. So, this play seems solid. Again, even if you don't use FanDuel, you want to look at their lines, their odds, their markets as a source of
[23:03] their markets as a source of information. no payout shift, dude. What?
[23:25] dog. Who is your nuke of the night? Alex, I'm not telling you yet. I got to think about it more. Dude, this is crazy. There's no payout shift. Why are MLB Can any of you explain to me why are MLB hitters positively correlated to go
[23:39] over together? But regardless, you look at Eric Singleton, what a stupid beautiful name. So, you look at Eric Singleton in the Auburn game, right? It's just like you want to use market data as a source of information. Every
[23:53] looking at last five grabs. They're playing Missouri. Missouri is very good. Missouri has a good defense. All of that is factored into the market. FanDuel's a 45 [ __ ] billion dollar company and they have his line at 45. You're getting
[24:07] they have his line at 45. You're getting the under 51 half. More hits equals more at bats. [ __ ] yeah, dude. So, some of you guys are actually smart in this chat, bro. There we go. That's what I like to see, man.
[24:19] It's crazy how many high school kids DM me for picks every [ __ ] morning, bro. Stop DMing me. Go to class. Get into college. Get laid. Do something. It's
[24:31] college. Get laid. Do something. It's not sports betting. Maybe attempts. Am I pronouncing his name right? Devon Ashane over my name. I
[24:44] guess I already bet that I probably gave it out in the SA Discord, but we can see here Devon Ashane over in receptions. FanDuel pretty much a [ __ ] buck and they're only going to give me 43 bucks, but still a very solid play.
[25:00] cross market. I mean, early value for Sunday, but you want to get in early value. Yo, follow me on YouTube, dude. I got some trading videos. You know, as many of you know, if you
[25:15] work in finance, you'll see articles, smartest trader to ever be on Wall smartest trader to ever be on Wall Street, about me. Um, it's fascinating, but I decided I liked sports more. So, what other books do we want to look at?
[25:29] Oh [ __ ] Underdog. Some people wanted underdog. Let me try to rip an underdog underdog. Let me try to rip an underdog play really quickly.
[25:49] Also, join the Discord because when I'm too lazy to stream, I will post plays in there. So, let's see what we can do. I get it, bro. I get it. You bumped all my previous [ __ ] I [ __ ] get it, dude. Um, let's see. Jaylen Warren is
[26:06] a character, bro. So, we have Jordan Addison again on Underdog. When you go through the math, the optimal slip type is a six-man. You're getting minus 116 implied odds. FanDuel minus 114 minus 114.
[26:30] like [ __ ] [ __ ] So, let's see what we can do. That's what I wanted. All right, so we got three picks so far.
[26:45] Whoa. Wow. There is infinite value right now. Oh my gosh, dude. Evan Ingram under three and a half receptions. Again, all of these sports books underdog prize picks, they have thousands of lines up
[26:59] at any given time, tens of thousands. We're just trying to zone in on the rare We're just trying to zone in on the rare few picks that actually have an edge or value. So, let's see. Is there any correlation?
[27:16] maybe Wandelle Robinson, Evan Ingram. So, maybe we switch this to Roma Dunay. I don't know. I'm thinking about it. This is better. I'm just going to run this. Yo, six-man on underdog. You have 13 seconds to get this locked in before
[27:31] I play it. Parlay play promo on Jamar Chase. Let me see. Where is parlay play? Let's see if there's any value right now. What is the promo? I would run Stephvenson over 14
[27:47] and a half receiving yards. 2.15x payout. Hey, you guys have like 14 more seconds. I mean,
[28:01] can't be wasting time. So, we got in the underdog slip. Take a screenshot. Tail underdog slip. Take a screenshot. Tail it, post links, do what you got to do. Let's see what we can do, though. Oh, baby. Oh, [ __ ] What is this over in
[28:16] the Dolphins game, dude? What is going on? Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. Judkins touchdown plus
[28:28] 115. Am I missing something? Now it's down to Am I missing something? Now it's down to plus 100. Is that still solid
[28:50] that just moved? So FanDuel already bumped it from plus 115 to bumped it from plus 115 to what do we think man plus 100 every other book has is overheavily favored including these sharp betting exchanges.
[29:04] Um wow sec. What are we trying to do boys? FanDuel flip rebet.
[29:17] FanDuel flip rebet. Let's see. tonight, a 30% profit boost that you can bet on
[29:31] any wager. They also have a college football profit boost. Again, a 30% football profit boost. Again, a 30% boost is a lot. A lot. It's a lot. So, what I typically do is we just want to go here to FanDuel
[29:47] and let's see if there's anything for tonight. We have the Bengals Every other book has the under favored. Where's my profit boost, dude?
[30:09] Where's my profit boost? Yo, what am I doing wrong? Any
[30:32] Logging back in real quick. Such a waste of time. Um, Alex the Great White.
[30:45] Anyways, FanDuel is not giving me this profit boost. So, okay. profit boost. So, okay. So stupid, dude. college football profit boost. So, now they're going to give it to me. So, this
[31:00] play looks solid even on its own, but up at plus 154, it's obviously a at plus 154, it's obviously a no-brainer. This is SMU versus Clemson. over 10 and a half first quarter points. FanDuel is the only book giving you plus
[31:14] money. Once it's up at plus 154, you could obviously hedge it. You could go bet the under 10 and a half on DraftKings, arbitrage bet it to just make a guaranteed profit if you want to. It's a minimum of minus 200, but the
[31:30] first play I had the first play I had was minus 105.
[31:43] So the Bengals game. This was plus 102. Where's my profit boost? Where is my Where's my profit boost? Where is my profit boost?
[31:55] [ __ ] what the [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] We also have some value plus 148. Tennessee Alabama under first quarter Tennessee Alabama under first quarter total, right? plus 148.
[32:10] I mean that's incredible. Literally every buck has the under favored and once you add in the profit boost we are getting plus 148 underdog odds betting you know whatever we need more morning streams. You guys
[32:25] we need more morning streams. You guys like the morning streams. please? You guys want to do underdog?
[32:40] Oh [ __ ] Yo, we could bet on Caleb Johnson again. Why are we riding the [ __ ] out of Caleb Johnson? Oh, so now they're giving me a profit boost. All right, so Caleb Johnson plus 1040. I'm also going to run it straight. So, we
[32:55] are riding the [ __ ] dude. We are all just like riding him. We are hard in Caleb Johnson. Oh my god. What the [ __ ]
[33:12] yes. Wake up to some greens and hammer some bets.
[33:27] If my sister Yo, how do people get CO nowadays, bro? I don't I don't believe them. I literally don't, dude. It's like everyone getting COVID. My sister, I may have COVID. You don't have [ __ ]
[33:42] have COVID. You don't have [ __ ] COVID, dude. You don't have CO. This [ __ ] ended four years ago, bro. It is just an excuse to get out of work or going to family events. I'm 100% convinced. That's what I say when I
[33:55] got to get a COVID test. I was around a bunch of [ __ ] with COVID. Um, yo, there's some really good value on Bet MGM. [ __ ] man. Again, most of
[34:08] these are shitty betting limits. Jackson Dart to not throw an interception plus 105. But let's see if there's any mainline markets. So, let me get rid of player props. Lions minus three and a half against the
[34:22] Bucks. That actually looks really solid. Plus 100. Novig has the other side at Plus 100. Novig has the other side at plus 100. That's crossed. Damn, but that's trash betting limit, bro.
[34:36] Maybe it's solely based on time till game time. So, let's look at today. Otani to go yard and Joe Flacco under and passing yards. So, then you're kind of middleing. Owner's box had a discount on him, but
[34:51] you're kind of middle betting it. They only give me 16 bucks, but that's a very solid play. Anyways, let's see what else we have. So, let me get rid of player props once again. Let's go over here to Hard Rock.
[35:05] Alex, can you do underdog? Can your sister give me COVID? Shut the [ __ ] up. sister give me COVID? Shut the [ __ ] up. Um,
[35:17] Preseason, dude. Preseason value. If you guys have been looking hard over in the Wizards game, absolutely insane on Hard Rock. Central Michigan versus Bowling Green. What else do you have for me, dude?
[35:34] there anything for tonight? Temple money line against Charlotte or sorry, Charlotte. Nah, they're still only giving me 10 bucks. Let's see if there's anything else on underdog. But again, I am pretty excited, dude. I I
[35:47] was pretty excited when I saw I was up a thousand just from adding because you guys were begging me. It was crazy. You guys were begging me to add in Hard Rock and Bed MGM to streams. That has made us a lot of money. That's
[36:02] That has made us a lot of money. That's made me over two grand this month. Yeah. So, let's do this. Spencer Rattler under 208 half. Massively crossed market. His over is being offered at plus 125 plus 123. We have Gustav Fingeru. Um over one
[36:20] 123. We have Gustav Fingeru. Um over one and a half shots on goal. to go with a six-man. And it doesn't seem like underdog is bumping any of
[36:35] their lines today, which is obviously a good thing.
[36:47] Everyone betting on him to score a touchdown. Dude, you guys have so much recency bias. It's insane. It's honestly insane, dude. Cam Scataboo, I get it. He
[37:00] had a good game. They literally let him score, dude. Jackson Dart could have run in like three of those. And I wish Jackson Dart ran it in because he's the Jackson Dart ran it in because he's the one I bet on.
[37:12] one I bet on. Um, Yassan Willis. Yeah, that's my guy from Syracuse. [ __ ] yeah. All right, six pick entry. Go quickly. You can see here every other book has his line at 51 half. The rest of these are just crossed
[37:25] markets. This is an absolutely insane play. I'm still pissed at the league for taking away that golf TD. Dude, I know taking away that golf TD. Dude, I know the league works for the Chiefs.
[37:38] Yo, first three picks, final three picks. You have 14 more seconds to get this locked in. I'm literally trying to be nice. If you're curious how to use cross markets for like DFS apps, stuff like that, or Cam is bumped. No, he's
[37:52] like that, or Cam is bumped. No, he's not bumped. Rattler and a slip, which is fine.
[38:35] man, it's been like six live streams since the MLB playoffs have started and still nobody can even tell me. Where is Milwaukee, dude?
[38:52] Does underdog block you from repeat players? Yes, it does. I don't know why, players? Yes, it does. I don't know why, but yes, they do.
[39:05] That'd be crazy. Blue Jays versus the Milwaukee Brewers. We got a Canada on Canada World Series. That could go hard, but nobody likes Canada, dude. [ __ ] dictator ass socialist ass country. [ __ ] that
[39:18] country. Um, what do we want to look at, though? But I have relatives in Canada, so I probably shouldn't say that. Never mind. I apologize if you're from Canada.
[39:40] what book do you guys want to look at? Canada is dope. Alex the [ __ ] is Gustav Forling over one and a half shots on goal. Good. Pick six, please. I don't goal. Good. Pick six, please. I don't think there's value on pick six, bro.
[39:52] Do I have it filtered in? It's just these are just the promos and then this these are just the promos and then this is for tonight but for NBA preeason. is for tonight but for NBA preeason. I think they only give you a
[40:15] give you a 4x payout on three mans. It's something like that, right? It's like it's it's honestly mindblowing that they even like why do you even offer them even like why do you even offer them then? You know what I mean? Like
[40:33] Oh [ __ ] Yo, I love this play. Yo, so def. Let's Yo, I love this play. Yo, so def. Let's see. Let's think. see. Let's think. Alex likes K Dot more than Drake. Have
[40:47] you done the prize picks free square on Curry? Yeah, I lost it. I told you the best play for a parlay play, I'm not currently logged in, is Ramandre currently logged in, is Ramandre Stevenson
[41:09] all right, boys. What book do we want to look at? [ __ ] man. look at? [ __ ] man. I kind of want to put a parlay together.
[41:23] parlay is plus TV, dude, there's so many people I heard on the internet. Yeah. From some [ __ ] [ __ ] writer who's paid 42 grand a year to write about sports betting. You can make money betting on parlays. Bro,
[41:37] if both bets in your parlay are plus EV, your parlay will be plus EV. The only problem is most people can't even make money on straight bets, so they sure as [ __ ] can't make money on parlays. Um,
[41:57] so what we can do is get a play locked in a little longot. Kirk, yo, check it out. We got pages and
[42:09] Kirk. I kind of like it. I know. Pi. Pi. I apologize. Got Fanatics picks. Is the NFL going over or under tonight?
[42:27] How many people tailed his pick on Curry and chocked it with him? We're doing a f I just did a FanDuel play. I just did a FanDuel play, dude.
[42:44] I'm on the Bengals spread, I think. Let me see. What do I actually have tonight? stream. I guess I bet Saints plus five and a
[42:59] half. I probably gave that out in the Discord or sorry, that's my YouTube, but you guys should definitely follow me on YouTube. Um, so I think we're Dude, we're on the over. This always happens. Every bet I
[43:12] give out. Basically, they give you a positive cash out on. I could just cash out all these overs and just make $50 for free. But
[43:24] again, cash outs are almost always negative EV. Like even if you're getting a positive cash out, you're getting ripped off. If you bet on the Chiefs, Mahomes gets injured and then you cash out for a profit, you're an idiot.
[43:38] You're an idiot because they're giving you a terrible cash out offer.
[43:50] on Hard Rock. Let's see what we got. Oh [ __ ] So, this play is absolutely incredible on Hard Rock. Thank you to whoever pointed it out. Hard Rock is absolutely insane. Most beatable sports book in the entire
[44:03] Most beatable sports book in the entire world aside from like maybe BetGM. So they're only gonna give me 11 bucks.50. Massively crossed market. His under is being offered up at plus 118. If someone is offer if a trading firm, a
[44:19] market makers on these peer-to-peer betting exchanges. Profitex, their offering is over at plus 118. you want to be, you know, that means they want to is under at plus18, they want to be on his over at minus 118. But again, these
[44:35] betting exchanges, they are still really good even just for straight betting just because like if you're an idiot, not an idiot, but if you like don't really give a [ __ ] about making money sports betting and
[44:47] you just want to like place a bet, I mean they they by far have the tightest mean they they by far have the tightest markets. Like it's absolutely insane. It's ridiculous, honestly. Gustav play is also on Batada. 4K
[45:01] liquidity on God spear. Dude, I feel like these hockey player props come out at the most random times. This play is incredible. $160. Give it to me. We are hedge fund managers. A lot of you
[45:17] guys don't realize it, but if you're actually decent at sports betting, you're basically a hedge fund manager. So you can see here this play's incredible arbitrage to profitex a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Some
[45:31] market makers offering is over at minus 123. So they want to be on his under at plus 123. You could arbitrage bet this guarantee a profit. One of the two bets has to be plus EV. Profitex is a very sharp book. FanDuel is literally dumb as
[45:44] a brick. FanDuel reminds me of the dumbass kids I went to middle school dumbass kids I went to middle school with who now work at [ __ ] SeaWorld abusing animals. Anyways, what do we want to do?
[45:59] This Owen Tippet play actually looks pretty solid on FanDuel as well. So, holy moly, dude. You can see FanDuel just ripped the [ __ ] out of that.
[46:16] we're already on Caleb Johnson like plus 800 plus a,040 and then plus a,000 and 800 plus a,040 and then plus a,000 and then that's it. I only got three bets on him. But again, like on FanDuel again, your betting limits increase as you get
[46:29] closer to game time. So like on touchdown scores, if you bet them five minutes before the game, they'll give you like two grand. Um, but that's also because the market's much more efficient at that point and
[46:42] there's a lot less opportunity, right? They've had all the news has come out, lineups, there's no injury risk. All that moves the market when you're five minutes from game time is sharp action. Jaden Daniels over in passing yards,
[46:57] free cross market, arbitrage, profitex, [ __ ] ton of liquidity. That's my goat. That's my quarterback. He's never turned the ball over, dude. When was the last the ball over, dude. When was the last time Jaden Daniels turned the ball over?
[47:17] Oh, Jaden. Dude, Jaden MVP. Should we just bet that [ __ ] Bro, why do I have so many tabs open?
[47:41] Yo, check it out. Sorry. You can also get the Scataboo play on them uh on prize picks.