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Sports Betting Strategies — Full Breakdown & Transcript

Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

0h 53m video Published Nov 3, 2025 Transcribed Aug 19, 2026 OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets
Intermediate 10 min read For: Sports bettors with some experience looking to improve their strategies and find value across multiple books.
AI Trust Score 65/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"The title promises sharp, profitable strategies, and the video delivers on that with real-time examples, though it's padded with live stream banter and repetitive calls to action."

AI Summary

The video is a live sports betting stream where the host, Alex, identifies and places bets across multiple sportsbooks, focusing on arbitrage opportunities and value bets. He emphasizes the importance of using multiple books to find the best lines and shares his strategies for maximizing profits.

[00:48]
Value Betting on Multiple Books

Alex highlights that there is a lot of value available across different sportsbooks, mentioning specific books like Pick Six, Underdog, and Prize Picks. He stresses the importance of shopping around for the best lines.

[01:35]
Steelers Value Bet

Alex identifies the Steelers as a value bet, noting that the line has moved towards Pittsburgh. He mentions betting the Steelers at -128 and sees continued value at -133.

[02:32]
Cross-Market Arbitrage

He explains a cross-market opportunity with the Colts game, where Novig offers Colts -4.5 at +133, which is an arbitrage against Pinnacle's line. He emphasizes that one side of an arbitrage bet is guaranteed to be profitable.

[03:27]
Giants Moneyline Bet

Alex recommends a Giants +130 moneyline bet on Fliff, noting that lines are moving towards the Giants and that it's a massively crossed market with high liquidity.

[05:07]
Prize Picks Play: Chase Brown

He selects Chase Brown under 12.5 rushing attempts on Prize Picks, explaining that the sharp books have his over as a plus-money underdog, indicating value on the under.

[07:49]
NBA Player Props

Alex discusses NBA props, including VJ Edgecomb under 5.5 rebounds and Nick Chub over 10.5 rushing attempts, noting that these plays have been bumped on some books but are still available on others.

[12:53]
Dabble Value and Shields

He highlights that Dabble offers similar lines to Prize Picks but without payout shifts for certain plays, making it a valuable alternative. He mentions using shields on Dabble to enhance payouts.

[19:29]
Hard Rock Arbitrage

Alex points out a John Fitzpatrick touchdown bet at +1600 on Hard Rock, which is a massively crossed market compared to other books, creating an arbitrage opportunity.

[21:43]
Optimal Slip Types

He advises that six-pick flex plays are mathematically optimal on Underdog and similar DFS platforms, as they offer the best value in terms of juice.

[28:50]
Cross-Market Confidence

Alex reiterates that cross-market bets provide high confidence in edge because arbitrage opportunities guarantee one side of the bet is profitable.

[34:19]
Think Like a Hedge Fund

He advises viewers to treat their betting accounts like a hedge fund, focusing on positive ROI and using multiple books to find the best lines.

[45:47]
Betting Volume and Limits

Alex mentions he has bet close to $100K today, and discusses how some books have low max bet limits, which can be frustrating but is part of the game.

The video is a fast-paced, real-time demonstration of sports betting strategies, focusing on finding value and arbitrage opportunities across multiple sportsbooks. Alex emphasizes the importance of using multiple books, understanding market movements, and thinking like a hedge fund to maximize profits.

Mentioned in this Video

Study Flashcards (7)

What is a cross-market bet?

medium Click to reveal answer

A bet where two different sportsbooks have significantly different lines, creating an arbitrage opportunity where one side is guaranteed to be profitable.

02:32

What is the optimal slip type on Underdog Fantasy?

medium Click to reveal answer

A six-pick flex play is mathematically optimal.

21:43

What is a payout shift?

hard Click to reveal answer

A reduction in the payout multiplier on DFS platforms when certain 'goblin' picks are included in a slip.

14:52

What is the benefit of using multiple sportsbooks?

easy Click to reveal answer

It allows you to find the best lines and take advantage of arbitrage opportunities.

12:53

What is the 'hedge fund' mindset in sports betting?

medium Click to reveal answer

Treating your betting account like a hedge fund, focusing on positive ROI and using multiple books to find the best lines.

34:19

What is the payout for a three-pick entry on Prize Picks?

easy Click to reveal answer

A 6x payout.

13:09

What is the significance of 'crossed markets'?

medium Click to reveal answer

They indicate high confidence in your edge because one side of the bet is guaranteed to be profitable.

28:50

💡 Key Takeaways

🔧

Cross-Market Arbitrage

Explains a core strategy for finding guaranteed profit opportunities.

02:32
🔧

Optimal Slip Type

Provides a specific, actionable tip for maximizing value on DFS platforms.

21:43
⚖️

Think Like a Hedge Fund

Offers a mindset shift that can improve long-term betting discipline.

34:19
📊

Betting Volume and Limits

Reveals the scale of professional betting and the impact of book limits.

45:47

[00:15] [clears throat] What is up, guys? Happy Sunday. Yo yo yo. What's up, guys? What's up, everybody?

[00:32] what is up? [snorts] I'm going to give people a sec to get in here and then um we're going to find

[00:48] some bets. Dude, there is a lot of value available today. We got a lot of [ __ ] we can bet on. Let me know in the chat what sports book you guys want to start out on. Pick six. Underdog.

[01:03] Alex, watch your mouth. Will Odds Jam help me with my sports betting journey? Yes, it will. You should learn all the strategies I talk about and pay very close attention to my spreadsheets. They will make you a better sports better. I

[01:18] promise you that. But what I want to do first is What do somebody help me out. What do we want to do, dude? I feel like all these books have a ridiculous amount of value. Underdog, prize picks, everything.

[01:35] I don't even know where to start, man. [sighs] [sighs] Prize picks, dabble, underdog, touchdown bets. Let's just see. Let's see where the value is

[01:48] and let's start getting in some plays. I can't lie, I am all over the Steelers. I actually think there's still really good value on the Steelers. The line was bumped quickly, but dude, you know, lines are really moving towards

[02:02] Pittsburgh. You guys like Pittsburgh tonight? [snorts] So, if you use Rebet, again, the sports book, it's legal, available in basically every state. But dude, there's really good value on Rebet right now on the

[02:17] Steelers. And usually they really increase the maximum betting limits as you get closer to game time. So what did I run? I think I got this. Yeah, I played the Steelers at minus 128. I hit it for like 10K or something like that.

[02:32] it's minus 133, but it's still really good value. It's a, you know, there's no hold in the market. Novig has Colts minus 4 and a half at plus 133, the opposite side of the spread. And you can see it looks amazing to Pinnacle, which

[02:48] has a $100,000 betting limits. You know, these NFL mainline markets, especially these NFL mainline markets, especially as you get closer to game time, you know, really efficient. I'm rocking the Villanova gear today. Hopefully you

[03:01] guys are Villanova fans. Trying out some new schools. Trying out a new hat aside from a Texas hat. Holy moly, dude. We got a bet on the Giants, though. Yo, so I already ran the Giants as a straight bet. I gave that out in the SA Discord.

[03:15] too lazy to live stream, I'll drop picks in there. Yo, what do we think about the Giants today? Giants 49ers. I think this is incredibly solid. It is a massively

[03:27] crossed market. Lines are really moving towards the Giants. So, this is on flip. Giants plus 130 straight up moneyline bet. You can see it's arbitrage. Dude, we have so many bucks we got to do. We got so many bucks we got to do. I can't

[03:41] spend too long talking about one play. I promise you I won't. I promise. Maybe. I arbitrage, right? So you could bet Giants on Fliff. You could hedge on Novig, a really sharp book. That is a

[03:54] extremely high amount of liquidity. You could bet, you know, 49ers and guarantee a risk-free profit. So, one of these two plays has to be profitable. 23K plays has to be profitable. 23K liquidity is crossed. Absolutely insane.

[04:07] But what do we want to do? Maybe we start out with prize picks. Yeah. How does that sound? Prize picks. And we got to find something. What else do I want to run? Okay, so I'm going to run Giants. I

[04:22] you haven't already used it, run that [ __ ] now as a straight bet. But what's interesting about this sports book rebet is they only let you bet a certain is they only let you bet a certain amount on each play.

[04:38] play on Kyle Anderson. [ __ ] me. I'm gonna [snorts] try to find something to pair um I'm gonna try to find something to pair this with real quick and then I want to move on to pick six or some of these

[04:52] other books. Dude, there's a lot of value on prize picks. What the [ __ ] H I don't know. Anyways, maybe I'll just keep Giants as a straight bet. Plus 130. Run that [ __ ] dude. What do we want to do, man? Oh

[05:07] [ __ ] Let's get in a prize picks play. Okay, so the first pick we're going to go with is Chase Brown. Okay, let's go. Come on, Alex. Lock in. Lock in. I'm locked in. First play we're going to go with, Chase Brown. Under 12

[05:20] and a half rushing attempts. Do you guys like this [ __ ] Alex, your mic is quiet. Can you turn it up? Yo, can you guys not hear me? Can you guys not hear me? Turn up your mic. You sound low, big bro.

[05:35] Can you guys hear me? It's low. It's more quiet than usual. Not really. What the [ __ ] dude?

[05:50] not really. Mic is fine, bro. Are you guys [ __ ] with me? Let's try this. How can you guys hear me now? Is this better? Is this better? Anyways, I'm doing a prize pick slip if you can't hear me. Can you guys hear me?

[06:06] Is this better? Clean your speakers. Better. Better. Your volume is better. Okay, so we should be good now. Anyways, lock in, please. Now, everybody, you all lock in, please. Now, everybody, you all need to lock in. Oh my gosh, dude.

[06:19] Okay, so give me a sec, though. So, what I'm going to run on Flift, do you guys like my Flift plays or do you want prize picks? So, I'm going to run Steelers and I'm going to run I'm going to pair this with Giants first. Two picks. Okay, so

[06:32] I'm already on the Steelers, but might as well double down, right? What is as well double down, right? What is wrong with this [ __ ] camera, dude? Steelers. I'm going to run that as a two pick parlay. You can see here, this is

[06:46] another cross market. And again, the reason cross market bets are just so [ __ ] good is, you know, you just have a really high confidence in your edge. You know, one of the two bets has to be profitable in every arbitrage

[07:00] opportunity. But anyways, let's go here. I don't know why Rebet always says this, dude. Dude, it always doesn't work on my But let's get into play. Okay, so we have Chase Brown. Where did that play

[07:15] go? Chase Brown under 12 and a half rushing attempts. So, you can see Novig and Profitex, two of the sharpest books. They have his over as a plus 125 underdog on prize picks. You go through the math. I've gone through the math in

[07:30] many YouTube videos, but you'll see for a five or six pick flex play, you're basically just getting minus18 juice. You take the over, you take the under, So, anyways, second play we're going to go with is Caldwell Pope

[07:49] play's crazy, too, dude. 6K in [ __ ] liquidity, bro. Oh my god. Okay, VJ Edgecomb under five and a half rebounds. I mean, I already gave this out on Twitter, so some people are going to [ __ ] but I don't really care, dude.

[08:03] I'm going to do a five pick or a six pick. Again, sometimes I'll run three picks if there's three really good picks. Now there's 36K in liquidity. This is crazy, dude. Sharps are just absolutely hammering the Giants.

[08:17] absolutely hammering the Giants. 36K in liquidity is crossed. Um, this is definitely get that locked in. But regardless, let's just finish this slip. What else do we like? Yo, this play on Chub is still available. It's still

[08:32] crazy value, so why not, right? I mean, why not? Nick Chub over 10 and a half six-man. So, if you don't want to reuse Chub, I mean, I already gave him out on Twitter, but this play's crazy, dude. Like, his under is literally a plus 134

[08:48] underdog. So, we obviously want to be on his over. What the [ __ ] Nerk over. This is another very good play, dude. What is going on? So, NBA, NFL, dude, value is going on? So, NBA, NFL, dude, value is popping out like a Value is popping.

[09:03] Okay. H I feel like my voice is cracking. I'm so excited for these games to start. [snorts] Um where I love sports. No, no. Okay, so [ __ ] you. They already removed VJ Edgecom. That's pretty telling.

[09:23] Um, but what we can do, that's okay. Alex, chill. Is we can run Hartinstein under 11 and a half points. What do we think about this? Yeah, I'm fine with it. Okay, so

[09:35] I'm running a five pick entry. Again, that's the optimal slip type. If you go through the math, I don't really care if you believe me or not. I've done videos to try to run five or six pick flex plays or three mans. three mans. If

[09:48] want to move quick so [ __ ] doesn't get bumped. Sometimes I'll run a three pick entry. Yo, get this locked in. Can people see my screen? Maybe, maybe not. Sorry if you can't. Yo, three pick entry. Get this locked in. Can somebody

[10:02] please put the link in the chat? Yo, can somebody please put the link in the chat? Five pick flex play on prize picks. Get this locked in. Can people hear me? Yo, where's Peter Graaser? We miss you, champ.

[10:18] What was the edge come play? Under five and a half rebounds, but unfortunately they bumped it. And are you [ __ ] kidding me, dude? Did they literally kidding me, dude? Did they literally just remove Cantavius Caldwell Pope?

[10:34] Williams. Dude, these bumps are [ __ ] pissing me off. They've already bumped two picks. We were trying to bet. Like, what are you doing, dude? Um, damn. It was Vince Williams under four and a half rebounds. I mean, it's frustrating,

[10:48] but Okay, so we have two NFL picks right these Bucks bump lines. Otherwise, I would never bump [ __ ] I would bump [ __ ] Chub to nine and a half rushing attempts for you guys. That's how much I love you

[11:02] guys. [snorts] Yo, we got any Villanova fans in the chat, man? We got any fans in the chat, man? We got any Villanova fans in the chat, man? Villanova fans in the chat, man? Anyways,

[11:17] Okay, get it locked in. Somebody put the link in the chat. Sorry about the Caldwell Pope play. They bumped that [ __ ] fast.

[11:32] party. Link. Link. Link. Can you do a dabble slip, please? yo, Alex, why don't you use Sport Zeno sports book? I used to do Sport Zeno,

[11:46] minute. Some of you guys don't realize that. I bet on Sport Zeno before on streams. It's just I think I got limited. I don't know. There's so many sports books I kind of got to focus, you know, [snorts]

[12:01] but I definitely use Sports Zeno. I think I just got limited, you know, which sucks, but that's kind of part of the game. Yo, so Steelers movement towards the Steelers, bro. Am I literally just going to absolutely

[12:14] hammer the Steelers again? Typically these books, especially the br. [ __ ] you, Daniel Jones. Dude, Aaron Rogers is still good. A lot of you guys, you [ __ ] put it past him. Anyways, click the button. Click the button. I would

[12:29] bet on the Steelers, but I did promise some Dabble slips, so let me do that and not get distracted and just keep doing, you know. [snorts] Oh my gosh, bro. Dabble has ridiculous value. Does anyone know the best shield

[12:41] you can go with on Dabble? Can somebody please put in the chat the best Dabble shield? So, the Edgecomb play, for example, this got bumped on on prize example, this got bumped on on prize picks, but it's still available.

[12:53] It's still available on Dabble. So, what we can do again, dabble prize picks, like all these books kind of work the same way. Um, you know, dabble prize picks, they both give you a 6x payout for three pick entries. Literally the

[13:09] exact same [ __ ] thing, but they have different lines from one another. So, good line. You can still get it on dabble. Oh boy. Same thing with this Caldwell Pope play.

[13:22] These books, they think they're all clever, but again, that's, you know, why you got to be using multiple books. They they thought they got us. Damn. Can getting these assists, but we're not going to let that bother us. We're going

[13:37] harder than he's ever been ridden before. Yo, threeman on prize picks. What do we think about this? This looks solid. Does anyone know the best Shield? Lee Carson. Yo, so first things first, I'm gonna run this.

[13:57] this. Will Smith shot on goal. Se Shields are on odds jam. Victor Hedman shot on goal. Yeah, Shields are on odds jam now. So, here's the threeman again. I'm max limited on this book. So, like, you know, unfortunately, I can't bet on

[14:12] it a lot. What did someone say? Zack Wenarenski. Zack Wenki Someone said that's the best one. There's no payout shift. So you could

[14:24] higher value play. I mean it's definitely a higher value play. Like definitely a higher value play. Like this book dabble is insane. Like they're literally saying that this is supposed to have a.7x multiplier and then they're

[14:39] just not adding in the multiplier. It's crazy. There's dabble shields on odds jam by the way, Alex. Yeah, but you still don't know which one has the payout shift, right? So again, like on prize picks, if

[14:52] you start including these goblins in a slip, which is basically what a shield is. Sorry. Sorry. They reduce your payout from 6x payout from 6x to 3.75x.

[15:08] these they just kind of like forget to they they forget to add in the payout shift. It's crazy. [snorts] You can add Joe Flacco and Drake May for a 20x. Show the play. The play is showing. Dude, so much value on better.

[15:24] Let's do a better slip. [snorts] Okay, boys. We're doing a better slip. Come on, dude. We got 37 minutes before literally half you guys leave me. You guys don't even say bye a lot of the time. You just dip. It's like, okay, see

[15:40] time. You just dip. It's like, okay, see you guys. Um, sheesh, man. [ __ ] ridiculously good, dude. We hit better backtoback days. No way,

[16:02] and none of you guys even not one thank you. Not one thank you in this chat people. [ __ ] you're talking TOO MUCH. NOT ONE thank you.

[16:17] [sighs and gasps] Um, let's see what we can do. [snorts] Come here. Deforest Buckner. What a sick name. So again, this play is crazy good value. Unfortunately, prize picks bumped it, right? So,

[16:35] that's the benefit of using multiple books. Same thing here. I got this play on pick six. Absolutely insane value. Josh Hart sucks. Deforest Buckner, not as much liquidity, but for these very niche markets, like [ __ ] tackles plus

[16:50] niche markets, like [ __ ] tackles plus assists, player props. I mean, you still have other data points, too. Like every buck has his over favored and it's across market. Like underdog fantasy, his over's heavily favored.

[17:04] Profitex has his under at plus 140. That's definitely a market maker. These peer-to-peer sites in general, the people offering liquidity, setting lines people offering liquidity, setting lines are like trading firms. [sighs]

[17:29] damn, dude. What do we want to go with? Drummond points, boys. What do we think Drummond points, boys. What do we think about Andre Drummond points?

[17:47] perfect play. What do you guys think about this slip? about this slip? What do you guys think? Pass. Pass. Yo, you guys got to remember, man,

[18:00] we hit backtoback days. Lock in. I am locked in. Hit the slip. Josh Hard about to sell. Shut the [ __ ] up, dude.

[18:12] Um, pass. No. Drummond, man. These dudes don't know Drummond be shooting threes now. Exactly. Who just asked for owners box? Yo, Louis Vuitton

[18:25] Dawn, aren't you the same guy who just told me I'm a Yappuccino? We're not doing pick six then. I'll suck you for some owners box. You guys are the opposite of tempting. Anyways, I'm done with better for today.

[18:46] FanDuel or Hard Rock is legal. Dan, shut the [ __ ] up, dude. Why is the Facebook chat always just these old angry men, bro? The Twitch chat is a bunch of kids in high school. Facebook chat, bunch of angry old men. I can't win. I can't

[19:02] [ __ ] win here. [snorts] Um, let's see though. Uh, what were we talking about? Oh, is there an owner's box promo? What did

[19:14] people want to do? Oh, people wanted to see touchdown value. I apologize. Let's see. What are the best touchdown scores? John Fitzpat. Wow. Yo, if you use Hard Rock, Dan. Okay, here's a play, dude. Um, John

[19:29] Fitzpatrick to score a touchdown plus 1600. Oh my god. Why is there so much value on the Steelers, bro? John Fitzpatrick to score a touchdown plus600. Every other book has him around plus a,000 and it's a massively crossed

[19:46] market, right? That is arbitrage. So again, Hard Rock is a very stupid sports book. No vague profitex are very sharp sports books. Sharp sports books, smart sports books. This is arbitrage right to both books. So you could literally bet

[20:02] both outcomes, guarantee a profit. [snorts] So, long story short, just run ARB opportunity, one of the two bets has to be profitable 99.9% to be profitable 99.9% of the time.

[20:17] you're missing out on the Raiders on Fliff. Yo, chill, dude. Give me a sec. Fliff. Yo, chill, dude. Give me a sec. I'm trying my best here. Damn.

[20:33] Has prize picks bumped this? They have not bumped this. Very interesting. Underdog. Underdog. Underdog. Okay, we'll do underdog. Give me a sec.

[20:50] Give me a sec. Give me a sec. We'll do underdog. I promised, dude. Okay, we can do some underdog. [ __ ] dude. What What What's the best FanDuel touchdown value? Bo Collins plus 1500. Pin plus 360. This actually looks very

[21:07] Pin plus 360. This actually looks very good. And Shahed plus 460. That's the I'm not in a state where FanDuel is legal. So, oh my god, we have NBA value. [ __ ] Um,

[21:28] Oh, underdog. So, let's get it going. Okay. on Underdog Fantasy. [snorts] That is the optimal slip type. This is by far

[21:43] the optimal slip type. This is by far the most beatable DFS platform. And what I wanted to say is you should try to run six pick entries. Those are mathematically optimal. Let's get it going, boys.

[21:57] Let's get it going, boys. Oh, come on, dude. Okay, you guys asked for this, so don't even complain. If if you want a different sports book, you got to put that in the chat. Otherwise, how am I supposed to know? Porzingis

[22:09] under six and a half rebounds. MPJ absolutely ass. Brooklyn Nets, [snorts] absolutely ass. Brooklyn Nets, [snorts] my my main problem is woman, shut up, Michael Porter Jr., your main problem is not being able to score buckets.

[22:24] [snorts] Anyways, Porzingis, his over is literally a plus 121 underdog. Plus 122 with a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Oh boy, we got value on pick six. I love fading fa fading Isaiah Hartenstein. I feel like he never does anything. We have three

[22:38] picks so far, but again, what type of slip is mathematically optimal? You're correct. It is a six pick flex play. If you guys want, I can go through the math [snorts] It is completely up to you. Completely

[22:52] up to you. What do we like? No, I'm play. That doesn't make sense to pair. We're going to take Jock Landale. [snorts] Dude, why is there so much value? I don't know.

[23:06] value? I don't know. Damn. All NBA value, not as much. Uh Damn. All NBA value, not as much. Uh uh so Colin Ston over 20 and a half pas under a massive favorite. This is crazy good. [snorts]

[23:18] good. [snorts] Um, damn. Kyle Anderson, [ __ ] you, bro. So, now I am gonna go to the AJ Mitchell play. We're going to run his over and assist. And where where are you Mitchell? Dude,

[23:33] these bumps are crazy. So, is there any correlation to worry about? Eh, not really. Get this locked in. Six pick entry. Again, if you go through the math behind underdog, the payouts right here, you'll see this is the optimal slip

[23:47] type. They're basically just charging you. Somebody put the link in the chat. They're basically just charging you minus 116 juice.

[23:59] What the [ __ ] dude? They already bumped Michael Porter Jr. Um,

[24:11] Nah, pass. Vince Williams under 16 and a half Pas. game? Yeah, that kind of fits with the Jock Yeah, that kind of fits with the Jock Land play, so I guess that's fine. Wait.

[24:27] Yep. Hey, get this locked in. I'm giving you guys like 3 seconds. You all wanted underdog. It was like a uniform. Everyone wants underdog. You guys have like 14 more seconds. I'm trying to rip

[24:39] a bunch of bets. We got 28 minutes until the game starts. I'm drinking my coffee. Go lock this in. Okay, you guys had plenty of time.

[24:52] Okay, you guys had plenty of time. Um, at? What book do you guys want to look at?

[25:04] What book do you guys want to look at? Follow me on YouTube. please. Is there a promo on underdog? Dabble pick six more prize picks

[25:16] FanDuel. Again, I'm not in a state where FanDuel is legal. I can pull up the value. Hard Rock FanDuel are both ridiculous, bro. John Fitzpat, like this is crazy. Like, look at this play. Matthew Schaefer shot on goal over two

[25:30] and a half plus 130 on Hard Rock. Literally, all these market makers are offering his under at minus 122, which means they're trying to bet the over at plus 122 for thousands and thousands of dollars. It looks ridiculous relative to

[25:44] dollars. It looks ridiculous relative to literally every other sports book. Crazy, right? And again, you could just arbit bet the over on Hard Rock, the under on the very sharp peer-to-peer betting

[25:57] exchange, Profitex, to guarantee a risk-free profit. You know what I mean, bro? Let's see what we can do, though. Um, what's the best FanDuel value? I told you, dude. Dawson Mercer under one and a

[26:10] half shots on goal. Dude, FanDuel's popping. Okay, pick six. People want pick six. What other What else did people say? Owners box and prize picks and flip.

[26:24] Those are the main three I see. And rebet. A lot of people are begging for rebet. Fascinating. [snorts] So, let's see. Damn, dude. Hi,

[26:37] why is there so much Steelers value still? Yo, this play on Jiren Jackson under in points is crazy. You guys remember when Jaylen Johnson under in points? Yo, you guys remember when I hit a [ __ ]

[26:50] play yesterday? That was sick. And they already bumped him. What the Sorry. Um, Um, oh my gosh. What is going on?

[27:05] Oh my gosh. Oh my gosh. Yo, Raiders, incredible value. Steelers, Vikings, all incredible value. Dude, what? Yo, Flip is going crazy right now. I don't know what just happened, but this is ridiculous.

[27:21] Look at all this, dude. There is 58K in liquidity. Oh my god. Go, go, go. Yo, what were these? Steelers plus 150. Smash.

[27:35] Steelers plus 150. Smash. Vikings plus 415. Smash Okay. And Raiders, dude. Raiders is crazy

[27:48] And Raiders, dude. Raiders is crazy good. Plus 125. Look at the liquidity. makers, right? Higher confidence in your edge. This is crazy, dude. Oh my gosh.

[28:00] edge. This is crazy, dude. Oh my gosh. Raiders, No. Saying I already bet on the Steelers. Steelers. No.

[28:18] Henderson over in rushing attempts. Where's the Falcons game? Yo, Trayvon Henderson over 13 and a half rushing attempts. No. What is going on, dude? Oh my gosh. There is so much value. What is going

[28:34] on, dude? This is crazy. I hate before I just get stressed. Um, where's the Lions just get stressed. Um, where's the Lions game? Under 48 half. Another very good play. Again, the amazing No. And they bumped it again. The amazing

[28:50] thing, the reason you always start with cross market bets is you have an extremely high confidence in your edge. Whenever there is arbitrage, whenever there's an ARB opportunity, there's millions of odds available across sports

[29:02] books. Whenever they're so out of sync, you can bet equal and opposite outcomes guarantee a profit. You know, one of the two bets has to be profitable. You know, two bets has to be profitable. You know, [snorts]

[29:20] all this. Look at all this [ __ ] moving, dude. These books are terrified of us. Raiders, Vikings, Steelers, Giants, Steelers. I'm not going to lie, I did

[29:33] give this out in the Discord. In the SA Discord, in the SA Discord. Um, I did give that out. Panthers plus 705. I'm sorry, dude. Plus 705. I got to dabble. believe they paid Michael Parsons that much money. The Commanders are easily

[29:50] going to win the NFC East. Pick Six NFL boost. I already gave out all the P six promos, but I can take a look at pick six and we can see if there's anything good, dude.

[30:03] dude. Mom, let's see what we can do. Okay. Yo, guys, chill again. I already ran the pick six boosts. I gave them literally all out to you on the previous live stream. You guys act like I didn't,

[30:17] live stream. You guys act like I didn't, but I did. So, the first play you'd want to go with 100% is Brian Thomas Jr. If you haven't run the pick six NFL boost, I'm giving you a slip, but again, I already ran it, dude, so I'm not going

[30:31] to be able to use the boost. Brian Thomas Jr. under five and a half receptions. This is another fixed payout sports book. You take his over, you take regardless. You can see his over is literally plus 121 on these extremely

[30:45] literally plus 121 on these extremely sharp uh peer-to-peer betting exchanges. Wow. Way more NBA value, unfortunately, than NFL. A little surprising.

[30:58] A little surprising. What do we like? I I do love this Brian Thomas play, though. Honestly, this is very solid, dude. I don't know what they're doing. Dobbins under 71 and a half. RR

[31:12] literally every other book has his line at 66 half. play. Washington Commanders, your future NFC East champions. You just got to give

[31:25] them a little bit of time to develop. We got uh we got Bill. Huge NBA Young Boy pick entry for the profit boost. It looks absolutely incredible. Um yeah,

[31:38] promo. Okay, go.

[31:50] This is what you should run for the promo. Okay, let's keep it going, boys. promo. Okay, let's keep it going, boys. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] [ __ ] me, dude. [ __ ] [ __ ] Um. Yeah.

[32:13] Yo, I'm scheming right now. I am scheming right now. Okay.

[32:31] NBA pick six, get ready. Grimes under 16 and a half points. Every other sports book, every other market data point has him at 15 half. Absolute data point has him at 15 half. Absolute smash.

[32:51] that play was removed on all the other books. Mitchell over an assist. Please give me $10,000. No. 500 bucks. Why? Why?

[33:10] on that [ __ ] Regardless, sick play. Absolutely scheming. You can see here Caldwell Pope has over is offered at plus 126 with a

[33:22] [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Citadel Securities, Renaissance Technology, Susuana International Group, Goldman Sachs is saying, "Yo, we're offering liquidity now on these peer-to-peer betting exchanges." They're offering his

[33:34] over at plus 126. That means they want to bet his under at minus 126. to bet his under at minus 126. You know,

[33:48] Merritt. I thought his name was Bill. Maybe I [ __ ] that up. Yo, someone's saying I'm missing things on Flip. What am I missing?

[34:04] the underdogs, dude? We are never backing a favored team on these live streams. Why? I don't know. But [ __ ] it. I'm dabbling again. You know, you got to think, dude, you are a hedge fund. Some

[34:19] people will tell you, you tell them, "Hey, man, my FanDuel account is a hedge crazy. That's how you want to think. That's how you got to think. That's how you got to think. You know, that's how you got to think.

[34:39] try to get a positive ROI. You know, I'm a hedge fund. Alex Monahan LLC Incorporated hedge fund. Let's keep it going, though. Let's see what we got. So, Giants. Sheesh. Raider spread looks good, too.

[35:01] unsurprising. A lot of times if a book is messing up, 250 max. Again, a parlay is just a combination of bets. Two plus EV picks

[35:17] paired together. Sleeper, I made 5K last month tailing what I like to hear. That's what I like to hear. [snorts]

[35:32] Follow me on Instagram. Why does my neighbor take LaMelo on Novig? Um, what much time left. I know some people wanted FanDuel, dude. 60K in liquidity.

[35:50] this again? Who's the problem? You're unable. Why do Who's the problem? You're unable. Why do they have limits of $500, dude?

[36:05] Can somebody explain it to me like I'm [ __ ] five, bro? What books do you guys want to do, though? Damn, I bet like 60k today. This is a Damn, I bet like 60k today. This is a problem.

[36:22] dude. We have a big day ahead. Um, Um, [sighs]

[36:34] Can somebody please just tell me real quickly what are the best Dabble shields quickly what are the best Dabble shields so we can get to it? Prize picks again. Okay, so maybe people just want prize picks, which is kind of

[36:51] just want prize picks, which is kind of fine with me.

[37:17] do a dabble slip. Um, let's see what we can do. So, let's go to Dabble. Damn, they have this, bro. Dabble is popping, dude. Look at this play. Oh my gosh. Vince Williams. E,

[37:34] are they just not bumping everything? Yo, again on Dabble, you can copy my plays directly from the app. Okay, so you have Vince Williams. What is the best shield for a threeman under eight and a half RAS? Beautiful.

[37:52] Kyle Anderson, under 14 and a half Pas. Beautiful. These two picks are beautiful. What is the best shield? What beautiful. What is the best shield? What is the best shield?

[38:07] Celabbrini shield. Okay, so here's the dabble slip again. This is [ __ ] crazy, dude. On prize picks, you start running Goblins. They add a payout shift. On dabble, there is no payout shift and they unfortunately

[38:21] bump the Vince Williams play. What are we doing, man? Let's see here. So maybe just run. [ __ ] dude. I hate to do this to you guys because we already ran Caldwell Pope under an assist on DraftKings pick six.

[38:36] Caldwell Pope under an assist. I get it. He's gone over the last few games. I don't care. So this is crazy, dude. It's supposed to give you a multiplier of 7x on your threeman. They're still giving you a 6x payout. They're still giving

[38:50] you a 6x payout. That's crazy. on prize picks. You start adding in these goblins, they go crazy. You guys want to do a prize picks play or flip or rebet. Oh [ __ ]

[39:04] Oh [ __ ] Let's see here.

[39:16] the underdogs, bro. This is a problem. I'm not going to lie. This is crazy, dude. on rebet. Vikings Raiders plus three. I know. I promised. I got to do that. Oh my gosh. I also like the under in the

[39:30] 49ers game. Under 49 half. That's a cross market. This Raiders play is crazy. Yo, get this locked in though. First Raiders game. This is arbitrage. bets has to be profitable. What do you guys want? Do you want prize picks or

[39:45] under in the 49ers game. I do like that a lot. Again, it's the under 49 half at minus 125. A lot of these books have alt markets, so you can kind of rip different lines. A lot of you guys like thinking about ripping lines. So, it was

[39:59] Raiders plus three. Why do we have so much money on the Raiders, dude? Who is the quarterback? Is it still Gino or did he get benched? [ __ ] me, dude. Let's keep it going. Oh my gosh. Prize picks is popping. We got to do a prize pick

[40:12] play, but [snorts] I also want to bet on the Raiders. Hey, let's get to it. Prize picks. We're running a fiveman. Holy moly. Donnie Mitchell. Sorry. This is AJ Mitchell again on prize picks. Optimal slip is a

[40:26] five or a six pick flex play. [snorts] First play we're going to go with is AJ Mitchell over two and a half assists. Again, crazy value play. Prize picks, fixed payouts. You take his over, you take his under, you're getting the same

[40:39] payout regardless. Both of these plays are absolutely insane. I'm going to run a fiveman on prize picks. I'm going to try to make your day, your dreams [snorts] come true. Andre Drummond, everyone was saying he's um he's having

[40:51] a crazy season. He's bouncing back. He's putting up huge numbers this year. Let's see it, big boy. So, we could just run a threeman or you could say, "Yo, Alex, that's actually would be very annoying because

[41:06] [snorts] you promised me a six pick entry." And I would say, "Okay." Um yo, so a lot of NBA value. Um yo, so a lot of NBA value. Unfortunately, not much.

[41:20] Not as much NFL value maybe as I expected. Sexton PAS. This is a crazy good play. Wait. Yeah, this

[41:34] fiveman get this locked in. Yeah. Well, zoom in. Can somebody please put the this? If you want to run this, can somebody please put the link in the somebody please put the link in the chat?

[41:48] Here's the final ones. Go, go, go. Get it locked in.

[42:00] do a dabble slip. Didn't we just do a dabble slip? Where's the link? Yo, somebody there's like four people who have posted the There's like literally four people who have posted the link.

[42:16] have posted the link. [clears throat]

[42:30] I see some people begging on their hands and knees for underdog. [snorts] picks or if you get higher betting limits, again, on underdog, sixmans are

[42:45] optimal, but sometimes they're just like bumping things too fast, which kind of was the case initially. So, I would just personally probably run this as a three personally probably run this as a three pick entry. Why is there a payout shift?

[42:59] Oh, there's a slight payout shift. Maybe we don't want to do that. payout shifts. Oh [ __ ]

[43:19] even thought about betting on this. Holy moly. I may have been missing out. moly. I may have been missing out. What the [ __ ] dude? Aziz Alhasher.

[43:31] I don't know if I pronounced that right. over two and a half assists. Wait, this is why there's a payout shift. I'm so confused.

[43:45] shift. I'm so confused. Nerkich. Murphy play. Just keep it all overs. Threeman on underdog. Look at this Aziz

[43:57] Just like prize picks, you're getting minus 122 odds. That's a three or a five DraftKings not as many data points, but these books have his over like massively

[44:09] these books have his over like massively favored. Okay, you guys had plenty of time to bet it. I feel like I mean what? Oh, [ __ ]

[44:23] Okay, I guess we used him in the last slip, so [snorts] Um,

[44:36] favor? Yeah, but that's probably because it's negatively correlated. More flip or rebet or DK pick six, please? Let's see. DraftKings pick six. It's the same [ __ ] Okay, there's not much other value. I'm

[44:52] Okay, there's not much other value. I'm not going to force a bet. Um, rebet flip again. FanDuel has a ton of value. Oh my gosh, dude. gosh, dude. What is going on?

[45:08] dude, again, sometimes it's these weird ass [ __ ] markets, bro. So, in the Colts game, the under. I mean, dude, like heavy liquidity cross. Not only is Rebat arbitrage to Novig, it's also arbitrage to Pinnacle.

[45:22] An insanely sharp book. I don't know what is going on here. Why is the Why Why is there always so much value on this book, dude? Colts game under 56

[45:34] this book, dude? Colts game under 56 half. Under 56 half, dude. Sometimes the values in these weird markets. How much time until game time? What other books do you guys want to look at? Dude, I literally have like

[45:47] I'm probably getting close to 100K bet today. This is a problem. Today could go horribly. Again, typically right before game time, regular sports books, not as much on these DFS books, but when they're going

[46:01] to give you the highest betting limits. Hard Rock. [snorts] Someone's asking for what's the best Hard Rock value. Uh Jared Goff to throw an interception plus 150. That plays crazy. What the [ __ ] dude? I wish I was in a state right now

[46:15] where hard rock was legal. Literally for like market makers 5k liquidity. They're offering his under at minus 140, which means they want to bet his over at plus 140. You're copying their homework and getting plus 150 on Hard Rock. By

[46:29] definition, one of these two bets has to be plus EB or profitable. Hard Rock is the dumb as [ __ ] sports books or sorry, um, yeah, Hard Rock's the dumbass [ __ ] sports book. Give me like 20k on this, dude. Why don't Why do they only give

[46:43] you a max bet size of $1,000, but then they let you bet 10K? It literally just like wastes my time, dude. Why do they do that? I literally need to burn all this money in my account though. Hey, so we need Steelers and a

[46:58] lowscoring game. That's what I am talking about. What else do you got for me though, dude? Giants on flip is crazy. So is Vikings. So is Chargers. I don't even understand, dude. Now it's saying the market is just absolutely

[47:12] ripping towards the Giants. Kind of crazy. Now I think even plus 124 would be solid. Yo, Titan spread. I'm gonna run on flip again. I already bet to the max the money line. Yo, come on, dude. Where is

[47:27] money line. Yo, come on, dude. Where is Titan spread? This is a 10:00 a.m. game. Where's the game? Okay, I'm betting that. Um,

[47:41] right. High confidence in your edge. You go to the Chargers, right? Arbitrage, heavy liquidity. arbitrage everywhere. It's [ __ ] arbitrage everywhere. It's [ __ ] crazy, dude. Like, what is going on?

[47:54] crazy, dude. Like, what is going on? What is going on, bro? Security neighbor. Bye, Alex. Have a good day. Let's see some bet MGM.

[48:07] a good day. Let's see some bet MGM. Oh, baby. [ __ ] This is crazy, man. Lines are just absolutely ripping towards the Giants. I mean, this is very fascinating. Look at this, boys.

[48:19] >> [snorts] >> Or sorry, that is not the Giants. I mean, not that massively, but plus 140 to around plus 115. I guess that's not

[48:36] as crazy as I thought. Um, FanDuel again. Best FanDuel value probably Brandon Ingram over one and a half threes.

[48:49] But let's see if there's anything else. I I want to see underdog. I want to see I I want to see underdog. I want to see these DFS books. Dabble prize picks. What else could we do? Oh man.

[49:09] Brunson over in PSAs, cross market, heavy liquidity, his unders being offered at plus 126. So obviously his over's the favored outcome. Did we already run this Kyle Anderson play? I don't even remember.

[49:24] haven't bumped it because that play actually has pretty insane value. I mean, his overs offered at plus 140. Not really sure what they're doing here. what their plan is.

[49:38] what their plan is. Come on, dude. under. No, wait. Let me make sure I got this right. It may have been laced over.

[49:57] Yep. Crazy, dude. Jaylen Ramsay under. Yo, threeman on underdog. I mean, this game starting soon. Get this locked in. If you want to play it, if you want to play it, get

[50:11] this locked in ASAP. Play it. Play it. Play it. win. What a [ __ ] [ __ ] we have in the chat. Dude,

[50:25] if you're crying about politics, dude, you need a [ __ ] job, bro. I guarantee you you are unemployed. How much coke do you sniff in a 24-hour period? I've you sniff in a 24-hour period? I've never done Coke, actually,

[50:40] dude. [ __ ] crying about Kl Harris winning. Oh, I'm so sorry. winning. Oh, I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry. You're a [ __ ] beta boy. Bro, that's the funniest message I've seen in a minute.

[50:55] seen in a minute. What a value we got. Oh [ __ ] It was the worst day in history when Donald Trump was elected. What?

[51:09] Oh [ __ ] [ __ ] dude. We're not going to have time. pick six slip? [ __ ] dude. There's some really solid pick six value that just popped up. Sheesh. We're not going to have enough time. Terrell Jennings over

[51:25] in rushing yards and James Cook under in rushing attempts, but we're not gonna rushing attempts, but we're not gonna have enough time. [ __ ] Again, what's very frustrating about pick six is they only let you bet

[51:37] about pick six is they only let you bet on things today or sorry, in the same on things today or sorry, in the same league. So, you can't pair like NBA with It doesn't really make much sense, but I don't know what to tell you, you know.

[52:03] under in rushing attempts. 14 seconds. You got 14 seconds to get 14 seconds. You got 14 seconds to get this locked in.

[52:17] Yo, so this was the play again. Yeah, it's already gone. [ __ ] Sorry, guys. Let me find a replacement. What's the best shield on Dabble right now?

[52:31] What's the best shield on Dabble right now? shield? So, I'm going to run this and then let's go here. Let's get rid of the Pope play because we've run it a few times. What's the best shield? Jacob's

[52:45] times. What's the best shield? Jacob's ATD. Will Smith shot on goal. Will Smith shot on goal. Why do you have 56k in your flip account? Will Smith shot on goal doesn't work? Because Fliff only allows you to

[53:00] withdraw like 5K a month. So, I've been withdrawing, but then I keep making more money on Fliff. So, like every month the balance keeps going higher. balance keeps going higher. Luca double double, thank you.

[53:14] Thank you. Thank you. I love you. I literally love you. guy's leaving because he needs to watch the start of the game. Not staying on my

[53:28] stream. Oh my god.

[53:47] now. I'll drop more plays in the Discord. Discord. I got to answer that call. I got to answer that call. See you guys.

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