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УСРЕДНЕНИЕ - ЗЛО! Тупая стратегия скальпинга по стакану. Пример на Московской бирже.

Intermediate 4 min read For: Traders with basic knowledge of forex and futures markets who want to understand risky strategies.
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🔥 High Engagement

AI Summary

This video explains why averaging and the 'castle' strategy (opening opposite positions on the same asset) are dangerous trading practices. The speaker demonstrates how these methods only mask risk while increasing exposure, and warns against using them as a consistent strategy.

[00:30]
Averaging Explained

Averaging means adding to a losing position to lower the average entry price, e.g., buying another lot after a 119-point loss shifts the average from 60,863 to 60,800, reducing the visible loss from 119 to 60 points.

[02:10]
Risk Not Reduced

Averaging does not eliminate risk; it doubles the exposure. If the price continues against you, you lose twice as much per point because you now hold two lots.

[04:56]
Castle Strategy Definition

The castle strategy involves opening opposite positions on the same asset across different accounts (e.g., long on one account, short on another) to lock in a loss and hope for a reversal.

[07:57]
Castle Strategy Demonstration

The speaker tested the castle strategy using two accounts: long on one, short on the other. The only guaranteed cost is commissions. The strategy relies on averaging the losing side to reduce its loss, then closing both positions on a pullback.

[10:52]
Result of Castle Strategy

In the test, the price moved 300 points against one side. The strategy would require adding many lots to bring the average loss down to 50 points, then hoping for a small pullback to break even or make a small profit.

[12:46]
Final Verdict

The speaker concludes that the castle strategy is 'complete crap' and not a viable trading method. It violates risk management, has no clear entry, and relies on hope rather than a systematic approach.

Averaging and the castle strategy are dangerous because they increase risk while creating an illusion of safety. Traders should avoid these methods and stick to disciplined risk management with a single working volume.

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"Title accurately reflects content: the video explains why averaging and castle strategies are bad, and the speaker demonstrates their flaws."

Study Flashcards (5)

What is averaging in trading?

easy Click to reveal answer

Adding to a losing position to lower the average entry price.

00:30

Does averaging reduce risk?

easy Click to reveal answer

No, it increases risk because you double your exposure.

02:10

What is the castle strategy?

medium Click to reveal answer

Opening opposite positions on the same asset across different accounts to lock in a loss and hope for a reversal.

04:56

What is the only guaranteed cost in the castle strategy?

medium Click to reveal answer

Commissions.

08:12

Why is the castle strategy considered 'complete crap'?

hard Click to reveal answer

It violates risk management, has no clear entry, and relies on hope rather than a systematic approach.

12:46

💡 Key Takeaways

💡

Averaging Masks Risk

Explains a common misconception that averaging reduces risk when it actually increases exposure.

00:30
🔧

Castle Strategy Defined

Introduces a lesser-known but dangerous strategy used by some traders.

04:56
📊

Real-World Test Results

Demonstrates the impracticality of the castle strategy with actual numbers.

10:52
⚖️

Final Verdict on Castle

Strong warning against using averaging or castle as a consistent strategy.

12:46

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AI-generated clip ideas for Shorts based on the transcript

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[00:02] channel of an atypical trader. My name is Alena Makarova.

[00:14] tricky controversial trading strategy that, as it turns out, strategy that, as it turns out, some people manage to use in the stock market. We are all aware that averaging is evil. What

[00:30] averaging implies is that let's imagine that we enter a position and for each -20, minus 30, minus 40 points we add. I will also give such an example of the

[00:42] we add. I will also give such an example of the letter how averaging works. letter how averaging works. Let's imagine that my loss is, in principle, you see, 119 points. I bought one lot and, accordingly,

[00:55] my loss is 120 rubles. In order to somehow correct it, in order to somehow correct it, in fact, there are 100, 120, even 50 points, this is already a fairly large stop for scalping. That is, in general, it is better to try

[01:09] not to allow stops. And if you allow, then this should be a very meager volume this should be a very meager volume and there should be some idea. Why is such a stop dragged? The essence of averaging is that you

[01:23] buy at Essentially, let 's say with a loss of 119 points, you buy another lot of dollar futures Si, in this example, I have a

[01:38] dollar futures Si, in this example, I have a futures contract at 1222 and thus your average will shift from average will shift from 60,863 to, say, 60, well, let's say 800 there, that

[01:55] is, and that. You will no longer make a stop there, not at 119 points, but let's say it will be 119 points, but let's say it will be 60 points. It is important to understand that this is only the visual part. That is, you essentially do not get rid of the risk, you just

[02:10] see such a terrible red color. Yes, you do not see such a large number of points of loss, but at the same time, the risk has not gone away. Let's imagine that

[02:23] we are lucky, let's say the price bounced from, let's say, it bounced from this level and moved a little here and thus it turned out that you sort of closed in the plus.

[02:35] turned out that you sort of closed in the plus. In fact, this is not how risks of risk compliance work, they exist for the purpose of actually complying with them. Because once again, I repeat what you see instead of 119 points. When you

[02:52] average, you see -60. You essentially Keep the same risk, provided that the price goes against you, you will lose not one ruble for every point, will lose not one ruble for every point, but two rubles. That is, you double your

[03:07] risks in the hope of “Well, please turn around.” Well, that’s it. But you should definitely never average. This doesn’t mean that I, or my colleagues,

[03:19] This doesn’t mean that I, or my colleagues, or any of the traders, are not guilty of this. No, we do periodically and then get hit on the head by the market for it. You must understand that if you enter with one working volume, you exit with one working

[03:33] one working volume, you exit with one working volume. Moreover, one working volume is not equal to one lot. Because if you trade 50-kopeck securities, you cannot trade 10-kopeck securities with one lot, because it turns out that for

[03:49] one lot, because it turns out that for one security, the cost of the price step one security, the cost of the price step is 50 kopecks for another, 10. That is 50 kopecks for another, 10. That is, it’s already out of sync and in no way

[04:01] corresponds to the risk management system. Well, let’s say the standard one that we use for scalping is actually a lead-in to the main point

[04:13] that I wanted to discuss today. You know, there are jokes where someone uses averaging. Someone uses a very clever word called very clever word called Martin Gale about the martingale strategy. I wo

[04:28] n't tell you today, but if you want, then subscribe in the comments, but in principle, you can google what it is. This is primarily related to the casino, and this is a losing strategy by default, because in

[04:41] the long run, of course, this will only work if you have an infinite deposit or you constantly add money to your account. Today, I want to talk about a strategy called a castle.

[04:56] strategy called a castle. Perhaps you've heard of various Forex kitchens. I'm now taking specifically those companies that dishonestly profit from ordinary citizens who have sufficient financial

[05:12] literacy, who tell them about some who tell them about some 100% profits, give signals, and so on. Because basically in Russia, not so long ago, even

[05:25] five years ago, the market of kitchens that associated themselves with the Forex market was quite seriously developed. If you type in a search engine what the

[05:38] castle strategy is in trading, you will immediately get the definition that a castle is called varnishing a position from the word Log, that is, blocking is the opening of trading orders. In the

[05:52] opposite direction on the same asset, it seems to sound more or less reasonable. The castle strategy in trading is used as a trading trading is used as a trading strategy or as a way to reverse an

[06:07] favor. That is, let's imagine you are dragging out a loss, you do not agree with this loss, instead of covering it, you simply use the same

[06:19] instrument. There, on the second account, we will not take Forex kitchens where all this could be done simultaneously on the same account. This is basically illogical. It simply cannot be that you close the same position on one account

[06:33] because opening it is more accurate because, as you know, if we make a purchase on the date of sale, we actually close the purchase position, namely, Forex kitchens. There were

[06:45] close the purchase position, namely, Forex kitchens. There were different companies like these that worked there. So, you can vlog and put it short. I say this as a person put it short. I say this as a person who went through Forex kitchens and saw

[06:59] how it basically works. Even then, I already stopped thinking that this is some kind of complete crap, in essence, options in such a such a lack of interest. The next one, that is, either you

[07:12] or another unprofitable position, then you add to it. I will later show this with an example for now. What am I telling you in theory or are you just in the sideways movement of

[07:24] these trades, I don’t know there. How are you already trying to close in the plus out of this, you’re making a kind of profitable strategy with almost no risk. Well, of course. Especially for you guys. I asked the trading company to

[07:41] give me a second account so that I could go long on one account and short on the second. I didn’t go with my Working Volume, that is, 25 lots, because I just didn’t see the point. I think. Well, the gist of it is clear anyway. That is,

[07:57] Well, the gist of it is clear anyway. That is, what’s essentially happening. We are on different accounts in the trading company, these are soup accounts. We go short on one Saturday and long on the accounts. We go short on one Saturday and long on the other, and it turns out that in

[08:12] fact the only thing we give away is the commission. As a result, it turns out that

[08:26] having found some kind of trading zone, we would average out one of these unprofitable positions, and it would turn out that we have the position that is in the plus, it would hang there, and we would also continue to be in the plus. Yes, we would close it

[08:41] continue to be in the plus. Yes, we would close it and we would close the unprofitable position. Let's say we added two or three more Lots there. And thus, on a rollback, taking into account three more Lots there. And thus, on a rollback, taking into account that we had room for the average price,

[08:54] we would have got there Not minus 30 points, but let's say we added two more Lots there, it turned out to be minus 10, the price rolled there into plus 15 and into a small plus rolled there into plus 15 and into a small plus or into breakeven, we

[09:07] close this deal accordingly. I recorded several hours of video of these deals, that is, in fact, I held them all day. Unfortunately, it was Friday. I was conducting a Stream, which was still closed, explaining this point to the guys on a closed stream

[09:23] this point to the guys on a closed stream and at the same time, I was holding these deals here. I wanted to wait for some big plus on one deal big plus on one deal and a big loss, that is, a loss on the other.

[09:37] To show that the system can show quite impressive figures, but at the same time, we must understand that in fact we are losing here only on

[09:49] commissions and this absurdity cannot be an be an adequate strategy for trading by default. Why am I explaining? There is no clear entry point, dragging the loss, which violates the

[10:04] risk management system. Entry into such deals occurs either on Entry into such deals occurs either on one Working Volume or then with an excess and adding to the position, that is, in essence, with averaging, the fourth

[10:17] point is unclear, the very idea of dragging out the loss, that is, there is no algorithm, no robot, nothing that would allow us to

[10:29] reasonably approach the issue of entering directly opposite positions [music]

[10:52] Well, in the end, what happened, that is, in essence, I drew there we were trading in a wide sideways range within 150 points, in the end we went beyond 300 points, in the end we went beyond 300 points and, in theory, the strategy would

[11:06] imply that I should wait until our B-side gets stuck in a particular price range and, let's say, from some

[11:19] side I should average there three, four, five ten lots and thus three, four, five ten lots and thus my average would be, let's take the entry price of

[11:36] not be 300 points but If I added, say, 10 lots, it would be about 50 points of loss, a small pullback. I would close either breakeven or could even close the position in plus, but I'm telling you again, guys, this is a strategy, it's just complete crap.

[11:52] There are ideological trades that imply that your stop is not even in points, but in percentages. And in percentages, it could be 300 or 500 points. I had such trades with Sberbank not

[12:07] long ago in the summer, that is, these situations closed in plus, but there was an idea that the market was quietly sliding down throughout the day, and as a result, the same thing happened. I do

[12:19] n't remember exactly 300 or 500 points. In my opinion, the stop at the moment showed me my opinion, the stop at the moment showed me 250-270. In the end, one to one, that is, 300 points. I closed. But this is a different idea. And there is no idea here that I'm on another

[12:34] super account or on my brokerage account, going in the opposite direction and trying to

[12:46] this is scalping, it doesn't work like that. Just if you see that someone is if you see that someone is doing such wild things. Then please think about how much this person has, so to speak, the right to

[13:03] teach you how much he really earns because yes, we must understand that everyone averages out sooner or later and then gets hit on the head by the market, but making a strategy out of this means averaging. Yes, this is one

[13:20] thing and closing in plus, and another, higher level is when you have higher level is when you have several accounts. You go into the castle and do some incomprehensible nonsense. I hope this video was useful to you. Be

[13:34] sure to like it, subscribe to the channel, and leave absolutely any comments that will help promote my channel. Let's chat in the my channel. Let's chat in the comments. Tell me if you knew about

[13:47] such strategies as the Martin castle, that is, have you ever come across various if you have heard of such strategies, then you are well aware of what kitchens are and how, in fact, it is very easy to lose a

[14:02] deposit there. In any case, I am incredibly glad that these five hours of recording were of such benefit. I hope that this will make someone think. Well, if you have any questions, be sure to contact me. Write in the comments. In general, let's chat, see you in the

[14:17] comments. In general, let's chat, see you in the next episodes. Bye-bye

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