AI Summary
A developer explains why betting robots and patterns in casino games are a myth. He built a robot simulator to test for patterns in a popular game, found none, and concludes that betting houses ensure randomness to avoid losses. The discussion covers probability misconceptions and how gambling exploits human psychology.
Chapters
The creator's first video about a betting robot was banned by YouTube, which thought he was selling a robot. He clarified it was a simulator built with programming.
The creator explains that betting games have no pattern, so artificial intelligence cannot predict outcomes. He analyzed hundreds of plays in an afternoon and found no pattern.
If a pattern exists, the betting house will detect it via cash flow monitoring and fix it immediately, preventing exploitation by users.
People misunderstand probability. Even with a 50% chance, short-term wins are possible, but over many trials, the average converges to the true probability. Betting houses rely on this to ensure long-term profit.
Playing once a day delays losses, increasing the customer's lifetime value (LTV) for the betting house. The person thinks they are winning but is actually losing over time.
There are those who genuinely believe in winning and lose everything, and malicious people who promote betting schemes for profit, like 'King of Roulette'.
Betting robots and patterns are scams. The house always wins due to randomness and probability. Understanding this can prevent financial loss.
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Mentioned in this Video
Study Flashcards (6)
Why did YouTube ban the creator's first video about a betting robot?
easy
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Why did YouTube ban the creator's first video about a betting robot?
YouTube thought he was selling a robot, but it was a simulator.
00:15
What did the creator find when he analyzed hundreds of plays for a pattern?
easy
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What did the creator find when he analyzed hundreds of plays for a pattern?
He found no pattern; the game is random.
01:23
How do betting houses detect and fix patterns?
medium
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How do betting houses detect and fix patterns?
They monitor cash flow; if a pattern causes losses, they take the system offline and fix it.
02:58
What is the law of large numbers in probability?
medium
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What is the law of large numbers in probability?
As the number of trials increases, the average result converges to the theoretical probability.
05:42
What does LTV stand for and how does it relate to gambling?
hard
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What does LTV stand for and how does it relate to gambling?
Lifetime Value; playing once a day delays losses, increasing the customer's LTV for the betting house.
06:40
What are the two types of people who promote betting schemes?
medium
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What are the two types of people who promote betting schemes?
Those who genuinely believe and lose everything, and malicious people who profit from referrals.
07:24
π‘ Key Takeaways
No Pattern Found
Directly debunks the myth of betting patterns with empirical testing.
01:23House Always Wins
Explains why betting houses cannot allow patterns to exist.
02:58Law of Large Numbers
Key probability concept that explains long-term losses.
05:42LTV and Delayed Loss
Reveals how betting houses profit from delayed losses.
06:40Full Transcript
[00:01] interesting, I even saw a video on your channel where we also talk about robots of that kind of thing, and you work in the information technology field, a little more about that. You made a robot to try to win at the
[00:15] betting sites, exactly? So what happened was the first time I made that video, YouTube banned me, blocked me, gave me a strike and said if blocked for a while. They thought I was selling a robot, man, it's rich, it didn't
[00:30] steal, it's just betting on YouTube, they thought... Man, I was very sad because I had put so much effort into making that simulator and all that, you know, that I called a robot simulator, man, so I used programming language. What
[00:42] happens is the following: many people sell or try to take me down to get signals, you know, the WhatsApp group of signals to try to you guys are experts at demystifying these people
[00:55] these people [Laughs] they're selling every day, aren't they? So, several videos that went viral on your channel because of this debunked the myth, and I thought, "I want to, I'm going to
[01:07] make a robot. There's no such thing as a robot. That guy on the corner, Joe who sells whatever, he wasn't selling robots. I'm going to make my robot, it's going to work." I said, "There's no way to make a robot because there's no
[01:23] pattern. If something doesn't have a pattern, there's no artificial intelligence in the what a robot does, what an artificial intelligence does, is real, right? It sends random signals. That's what he's trying to say. Oh, for real, it
[01:38] learns from nothing, it learns some pattern." So I thought, "I'm going to try running the model here. I'm going to catalog it." I cataloged the data from several plays. I What game was it again? I don't remember the video. It was the
[01:50] famous "Rocket," right? I cataloged play by play, and I said, "If there's a pattern, then... oh, now it's going to be... now it's going to be 2.5, now it's going to be 10, now it's going to be..." 10. So let the guys do it, they
[02:05] sell this prediction, yes, if there's a pattern it's possible to predict, so I'm going to make you analyzed it for how long to see if there was a pattern or not? Oh, it was just an afternoon, it was a table there with some hundreds of plays, it was a killer, but it
[02:19] was a set of data that the intelligence would be able to learn if there was a pattern, you understand? And I also was n't going to spend two hours or two days there that it's not possible for the betting house to make a game with a pattern to be
[02:33] discovered for someone in an afternoon, they're going to be able to do it, they're going to make a lot of money off of it, right? Exactly, and so they're going to lose money, right? Because the money, so there can't be a pattern. If there is a pattern, someone will
[02:45] exploit it. And if someone exploits it, it will be quick, they'll discover it quickly because the with that, you understand? You who work in this area, so to make it clear once and for all, for those who think there's a pattern, for those who think they can study how to
[02:58] bet and make money in this type of game, you can't win, you can't make money there. It's not possible to win because there's no pattern, and when there is a pattern, it was a mistake by the betting house. And then
[03:11] someone will quickly exploit it, and they'll lose money and find out because the monitors, and any company in this sector will monitor, is how much the cash flow is positive or negative. So they'll see an alert right away, they'll take the
[03:24] system offline, and they'll fix the problem. If there's a pattern, it doesn't exist. If there is disappear. It will be very fast; there wo n't be time for someone to build a robot, sell it, or steal it for others, creating a group of a thousand people exploiting it. There's
[03:38] no way that can happen. I think it's a very simple game. So, for the house to for you to make money, who has to lose? The house. And the guys went there, created a company, they have a structure, they have people working behind the scenes, they have
[03:51] you think they're going to create a model where another person can win, they unbet and you win some money, but it can also happen that if you bet and you're going to lose right away, you have to say no, but you... I was playing on the robot here,
[04:05] you didn't realize, okay, I managed to win here, but if you keep nothing guarantees that you'll play and end up in the positive, right Renan? Exactly. So that's the main point, and there you go, Diego works in the
[04:20] pattern, it's completely unpredictable. So before we say that it exists, or the guy knows what he's talking about, yes, and you know what these betting houses take advantage of people
[04:33] don't have much of a notion of probability, so the person says, "Okay, I have a 40% chance of winning and a 60% chance of losing, so I'll only log in once a
[04:45] day and play," because that's what most people say, " mistakes because you're betting too much." If you're controlled, if you only go once a day, you'll win, just go out, guys say, "Go out," but that doesn't exist
[04:59] because, because, imagine we have a coin here, it has heads and tails, if I toss it, there's a 50% chance of losing. It's possible to get heads and a 50% chance of getting tails, right? Yes, if I flip this coin 10 times, it could land on seven heads and three tails
[05:13] because it was chance. The fewer the number of flips, the more likely this chance is that the person will win even if the probability of the coin landing on heads is 50%. For example, if you flip a coin twice, you might get two heads, and that's it,
[05:27] because you didn't flip much, right? But the tendency, according to a large numbers, is that when you repeat something many times, the tendency of the average goes towards the real probability, the
[05:42] theoretical probability. So, if I flip the coin 100 times, I'll get more or less 55 I'll get more or less 55 heads, maybe 45 tails, for example. If I flip the coin a million times, I 'll get around 499, much
[05:57] closer to 50, you understand? And that's what people, the betting houses, can end up taking advantage of, since people don't have the accent and say, "Don't just play and hit target every day, you're just delaying things. People are just doing that because the main thing is
[06:12] day," but you're playing every day, so the longer the period of days you to lose. You're not simply thinking you're good, that you know only delaying things if you play. Playing 100 times a day is the same as playing
[06:27] once every 100 days. You 're just delaying the result, but the know? And for the robot user, it's good that they play once a day because they'll think for a longer period of time, "Wow, I'm winning here, it worked!" But then
[06:40] the seven days after buying the robot will pass, and that's it. So, times, even when satisfied. The more times they play, the faster they'll play, the slower they'll become dissatisfied. The LTV (Lifetime Value) of a person,
[06:56] profit for the company, increases. The person spends their whole life playing, thinking they're going to win something, that's for sure. Have you ever met someone or a follower of yours who lost a lot of money
[07:09] gambling, or have you seen in your videos that we're won, who actually made it happen. There are people like that who commented, right? you've shared about developing a video, there are many haters who come and say
[07:24] exactly that: "Not because I'm stupid, I made a garbage robot, I don't know make money." I say, "Okay, go ahead, the
[07:36] money is yours, what am I going to do?" But then there are two types of people who do this: the poor, pathetic person, the one I'm talking about, who truly believes in it, who is lost in the world, who will lose
[07:48] everything in life by gambling; and then there are the malicious ones who do this because they want to recommend someone, like, "Oh, I know so-and-so who did it, go ahead, call them on the Telegram group, I have one, I don't know if it has that name, it's called 'King of Roulette'."
[08:02] know if it has that name, it's called 'King of Roulette'." Exactly, that's it. I don't know if ' Exactly, that's it. I don't know if ' King of Roulette' exists, I'm just suggesting someone here.