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Bet365 Leverage Strategy That Only Needs 1 Goal from the Favorite

0h 09m video Published Jul 11, 2026 Transcribed Aug 6, 2026 A Apostador Esportivo
Intermediate 4 min read For: Sports bettors familiar with betting terminology and seeking low-risk strategies.
AI Trust Score 60/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"The title promises a low-risk strategy, and the video delivers on that, but it's padded with self-promotion and repetitive explanations."

AI Summary

The video presents a betting strategy for the Bet365 platform that requires only one goal from the favorite team to secure a return. The strategy uses a 'multiple' bet format with three games, splitting the bet into two entries to reduce risk. The presenter demonstrates how to use an automated spreadsheet for analysis and explains the mechanics of the bet, including the conditions for a guaranteed return.

[00:02]
Strategy Overview

The strategy requires only one goal from the favorite team to feel secure and have a guaranteed return. The presenter uses an automated spreadsheet as an analysis tool, one of 14 analytical tools.

[00:16]
Two Entries

The strategy involves two entries: the first on the primary channel, the second on the secondary channel. The first entry uses three games, and the return is applied to the second entry.

[00:57]
Three Games Format

The presenter usually does five games but today uses three games in two innings. The return goes from 50 to 247, but only if all three games result in a draw and both teams score. If either wins, there is a guaranteed return.

[01:26]
Leverage Option

There is a 50 to 500 leverage option available. The presenter mentions joining a group via the website link in the description and pinned comment.

[01:40]
Selection Process

The presenter shows how to select games using the automated spreadsheet, bringing up a game with recommendations: home team, over, and middle 2.5. The home team has an average of 2.29 goals, while the away team averages 1.14 goals.

[02:19]
Building the Ticket

The ticket includes the home team to win and both teams to score. The house combines the selections into a multiple bet with odds like 3.20, 3.50, and 3.75.

[03:01]
Risk Reduction

To avoid high risk, the presenter changes from a multiple bet to a single and multiple bets format, separating the selections. This allows for a 'triple' option where hitting at least three of six criteria pays out.

[04:12]
Guaranteed Return Logic

If the favorite scores a goal, the bet is safe because either they win (paying the win odds) or they concede a goal (paying both teams to score). The ideal score is 2-1, 3-1, etc., where the home team wins but concedes at least one goal.

[05:51]
Multiplier and Bankroll

With three games, the multiplier is 8x. To bet R$50, the stake is R$6.25. Adding more games doubles the multiplier: four games = 16x, five games = 32x.

[06:47]
First Entry Results

The first game ended 2-0, not hitting both teams to score, but the win was hit. The second game also had a red card but still hit. The third game was 3-1, a comeback. Total return was R$73, applied to the second entry.

[07:58]
Second Entry

The second entry uses four games, increasing the return but also the risk. The presenter will post results on the secondary channel.

The strategy aims to provide a guaranteed return by requiring only one goal from the favorite, using a multiple bet format with two entries to manage risk. The presenter emphasizes the use of automated analysis and the importance of applying returns to subsequent entries.

Mentioned in this Video

Tutorial Checklist

1 00:02 Use the automated spreadsheet to analyze games, focusing on the favorite team's goal-scoring ability and the opponent's defensive record.
2 00:57 Select three games where the favorite is strong and likely to score at least one goal.
3 02:19 Create a bet ticket with the home team to win and both teams to score, using the 'multiple' option.
4 03:01 Change the bet type from 'multiple' to 'single and multiple' to separate the selections and reduce risk.
5 04:12 Ensure that at least three of the six criteria (result and both teams to score for each game) are correct to get a payout.
6 05:51 Calculate the stake based on the multiplier (8x for three games) to keep the total bet within your bankroll.
7 06:47 After the first entry, apply the return to a second entry with more games (e.g., four games) to increase potential return.

Study Flashcards (6)

What is the minimum requirement for the strategy to guarantee a return?

easy Click to reveal answer

The favorite team must score at least one goal.

00:02

How many games are used in the first entry of the strategy?

easy Click to reveal answer

Three games.

00:57

What is the multiplier for three games in this strategy?

medium Click to reveal answer

8x.

05:51

What are the two criteria for each game in the bet?

medium Click to reveal answer

The home team to win and both teams to score.

02:19

What is the ideal score for the strategy to maximize return?

medium Click to reveal answer

2-1, 3-1, 4-1, etc., where the home team wins but concedes at least one goal.

05:23

How does the strategy reduce risk compared to a standard multiple bet?

hard Click to reveal answer

By separating the selections into single bets, allowing a payout if at least three of six criteria are correct.

03:01

💡 Key Takeaways

💡

Guaranteed Return Concept

The core idea that a single goal from the favorite ensures a return is the foundation of the strategy.

00:02
🔧

Risk Reduction Technique

Changing from a multiple to a single/multiple bet format significantly lowers the risk of losing the entire stake.

03:01
📊

Multiplier Explanation

Understanding how the multiplier scales with the number of games is crucial for bankroll management.

05:51
📊

Real Results

The presenter shows actual results, demonstrating the strategy's effectiveness even with some losses.

06:47

[00:02] Today I'm going to show you a strategy where I only need one favorite gold standard to feel secure and know that I already have a guaranteed return. I will use the automated spreadsheet as an analysis tool here. This is

[00:16] one of the 14 analytical tools we have to leverage the strategy, where I only need one goal from the favorite. The first entry is here on the primary channel, the second entry I'll bring to the

[00:29] secondary channel, okay? So, without further ado, let's play that intro. Let further ado, let's play that intro. Let 's go to the video, guys.

[00:44] cool content for you on the channel. So, let's move on to this incredible strategy, where all you need is a favorite goldfish to feel at ease. I'm going to do it today in this format with only three games. I usually do

[00:57] it with five games there, and that ends up making the risk higher. I'm going to do it with three games, but I'll do it in two innings. So the return that hits the put it in the second, okay? I'll only include three games. It goes from 50 to 247. But

[01:12] remember, this total only applies if all three games result in a draw and both teams score. But in this format, if either of them wins, we have a guaranteed return. And then, whatever return we get, we take it and apply it to the

[01:26] second entry. There's also a 50 to 500 leverage option available. I sent pasted it. To join the group, you already know, the website link is in the description and in the pinned comment, okay? Let's go. I'm going to reuse the options here to

[01:40] show you, the selections, to show you how I select that in detail. I'll even bring up a game that's currently open in my automated analysis spreadsheet here , see? Here it is. Back

[01:53] home recommended, Go HT, recommended over and middle 2.5. I have an average of 2.29 for the home team. A very good record against a team with a very poor record, but at least he manages to score a goal, an average

[02:06] of 1.14, at least one goal away from home. So we're going to look for that result from both brands. So let's go . How do I put together this ticket? result, the team you think will win. This is the home team's back, the

[02:19] home team is here to win. Then you can go directly to bet creation and do that. Or you can go to the result and then click go. Anyway, the house will collect your ticket here. Result, match,

[02:32] home team. And both brands, okay? Click here . Both score, yes. Regardless of how you do it, directly here in goals, separately, the house will combine your ticket. Hey Eduardo, but why is your ticket set aside there? It's

[02:47] separated because I made this change, and I'm going to show you how you can do it. That's why we only need one goal from the favorite to feel comfortable clicked there, the house merges, see, result in both brands. Home team wins

[03:01] both score, look, three in each of them. 3.20, 3.50 and 3.75. So here I have it together, in this format here, I would have to apply the value here and I have to get everything right, it's only 42, which is a huge risk, okay? The risk

[03:17] here is very high. So, to avoid taking that risk entirely, I click here to show options and change from creating a bet to single and multiple bets. on mine, in this more

[03:30] many of the people watching here, already know this unfolding format from Mica's channel, Darlan's channel, who are the pioneers in this format, okay? Okay, let way. If you like it, please leave a like, subscribe, and leave a

[03:45] comment here to show your support, okay? Oh, I've put the results here for both brands, you can see they're separated now. It would all result in something separate. The multiplied OD option is no longer available here; only the triple option remains, which

[03:57] basically means that if I get three of these six criteria right, I'll have six, right? Because there criteria, the result is in both categories. Now, if I get at least three of these six criteria right, the house will pay me. Don't pay me the

[04:12] full amount that's there, pay me according to the rates I get, okay? And least one right in each game. I can't let any game go by without scoring. who is already the favorite to win, scoring a single goal. He has to score

[04:28] ease, so I can at least take one of the two shots. What do you mean, Eduardo? Why does just one goal already pay you one, it already gives you that peace of mind and already pays you for one of the two? Okay, let's go. In this example I've picked here, the

[04:42] home team, if they score a goal, I already know that either they'll win 1-0 until the end and pay me this odds here. If he doesn't win with this 1-0 lead by the end, it means he conceded a goal. He concedes a goal, having already scored one, what does he do

[04:56] then? Mine are both marked. So I'm safe here. It's OK. For Eduardo, if the visiting team scores 1-0, then I have a chance, but even then I depend on the home team scoring a goal. So, 1-0 for the underdog, 2-0 for the underdog, 3-0

[05:10] for the underdog, any score for the underdog without the favorite scoring is a loss, okay? So, either 0 to 0, for example, is red. So, when the favorite scores a goal, I already know that this game will generate a return for me, because either it will pay out on their victory or it will

[05:23] pay out on both bets, in case they concede a goal and don't win, but they concede that goal, right? And what is the ideal score ? 2-1, 3-1, 4-1, 5-1, 3-2, 6-2, 4-2, any score where the home team wins, but they have to concede at least

[05:37] one goal, so it's a draw, okay? It's possible that some games here will meet both criteria, it's possible that it will all fall apart, it happens, it's normal. But with the automated spreadsheet analysis, we have added peace of mind.

[05:51] Even this morning we had a really cool session at the Australia games, and some of the China games too, really early on, and people started with Green. Beauty? Just one point to note here. Since I'm only using three games, my

[06:03] multiplier value here is 8x. I used R$ 50, but I didn't come here and put in R$ 50, otherwise I'd be betting R$ 400 , because it would multiply 50 x 8, okay? To make it with R$50, I put 625 here, if I'm not mistaken. That's right

[06:18] The amount that will always come out of his bankroll is this amount shown here. Be very The more games you add, four games here will make 16, it will four games here will make 16, it will double. Five games, 32x is the

[06:32] multiplier so it can fairly pay you, making the possible combinations to pay you even if you miss some games, okay? So this is the first entry. to show you the result of this first entry. And I'll bring the second entry to

[06:47] the secondary channel, okay? I already sent it to the group, everyone's just waiting. Stay here, I'll be right back. Back here, guys. Let's go then to our return. First game. The score was two, oh. That's really cool. And

[07:00] look, it didn't beat both records. The visiting team was just one goal away from coming, and it almost happened. There was a lot going on, a lot of things happened there, but the goal didn't come, but we still hit both, so the return ends up decreasing. Same thing here, it only ended

[07:15] , so we're protected. Look how cool this strategy is, guys. Even with a little red, look, the R in all three games there, look. I mean, in both games, right? It hit, it was a red card, one hit and the other didn't. And in the last game, everything went right, 3-1.

[07:29] comeback. Even with two Rs, we managed to get a really good return, a return let me show you in the group, I was paying R$ 96, almost R$ 100 here, but I said, guys, hold on, let's wait for the result. Peg, whatever return we

[07:44] get, we'll apply it to the second entry. So, we took 73 and I've already applied it to a second entry that's all set up here. So here I put this one so we can get four games, okay? So I'll bring you the results of this second entry on the

[07:58] I'll bring you the results of this second entry on the secondary channel. I picked up several games, I picked up one, and ended up picking up one more game than I wanted, right? With four games, the return ends up being greater, but the risk is also

[08:11] greater. And using it, you can also use an automated spreadsheet. Beauty? Follow me on my secondary channel, I'll be posting the second entry there so you can get all the here, the link to my website is in the video description. You go there and then here,

[08:25] on the website, apostadoresportivo.com.br. The link is below in the description and in the pinned comment so you can join the a free group for you to join. I also send tips there every day so you

[08:38] can understand how it works, okay? So guys, if you're not subscribed to the channel, I'd also like to ask for your support here: leave a like, subscribe to the channel, and if possible, leave a comment here to help strengthen it even more. Beauty? I'll

[08:52] everyone, see you later. Subscribe, subscribe, leave a like, subscribe, hit the button because Flow is the one serving you. Subscribe, subscribe, share, and [music] will notice. The beat never stops here, it stays

[09:08] notice. The beat never stops here, it stays light. Yeah.

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