Bitcoin Market Analysis — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:02] Bitcoin, your time is running out; it's getting too late for BTC. That's because today we had an update from the US Treasury, more specifically regarding the policy of repurchasing long-term bonds. I'll summarize it

[00:18] here so it doesn't get too technical for you, so it doesn't get too boring, folks. Basically, the US Treasury will be able to buy more long-term bonds. He had a ceiling, you know, a maximum limit of 2

[00:32] billion. This limit will now be 4 billion starting September 9th. And basically, this generates liquidity in the market. Basically, this indicates, right, it's a signal that long-term interest rates, right, the

[00:49] American interest rate, tend to fall. At least that's the Fed's policy. And if fixed income starts to become less attractive, equity markets attractive, equity markets become more attractive again. And

[01:04] we can already see that in BTC itself, which absorbed this news very well , right? Just today we were saying that this movement here, and the previous upward movement, was a movement in search of

[01:18] liquidity. That's because we had a climax of liquidation in the futures market and after that the Open simply plummeted, folks, indicating what? The probability of a liquidity search going downwards, right? The

[01:32] market is governed by a relentless search for liquidity, whether it's short liquidity or long liquidity, right, for our beloved weaned bulls, okay? However, after that news, Pinterest came back

[01:47] after that news, Pinterest came back really strong, okay? And now we can't say that this is just a search for liquidity, right? In fact, we are entering a somewhat more bullish phase. As I've mentioned

[01:59] before in other analyses, and it's worth repeating, folks, I still think a retest in this area is necessary. However, we cannot underestimate the accumulation patterns that we are seeing in larger timeframes, whether it's

[02:13] the daily or weekly timeframe, okay? Both patterns indicate accumulation. This distribution, this short- term retest, folks, would only be to validate, so as not to lose the funding, right? As I

[02:28] mentioned before, this retest with validation in the 60, 60, 61,000 region would this was indeed the maximum low for Be Marketing and that from here we could leverage the positions a bit more . Or perhaps that retest has

[02:44] n't happened yet. In this scenario, folks, we need to validate this upward trend, right? Validate this bottom here at the moment we manage to break through this little peak, okay? The region here is more or less 67,000,

[02:59] region of inefficiency, right? Up to 70,000. 000. Ascending funds with good triggers, with good confluences, folks, are unique

[03:11] stronger upward movement, right? Remember that we always talk about probability, I , it's going to be that way," but there is no certainty, there is only risk management. Again, if you don't have exposure, you should have exposure

[03:27] to BTC right now. He is extremely discounted. We are seeing accumulation patterns on both the daily and weekly charts. Can we completely rule out the loss of those 57,000 now? Obviously not, right, guys?

[03:40] We're still within the structure. We've been to this region before. However, the convergences indicate that, wow, it gets much more interesting. So, if you don't have any exhibition space, start putting one together. Goxa,

[03:54] position, but I want to be even more aggressive. Expect the breakout here in the 67,000-68,000 range, preferably in the 70,000 range. And after that breakout, after that breakout, the first ascending bottom, the first

[04:09] corrective movement, then yes, you can start to be aggressive. In fact, that's what I'm personally going to do, right? Since I already have exposure in that 66,000 range, it doesn't make sense for me to open it now, okay ? But if there's a pullback in that region, then I'll be

[04:24] interested in starting to leverage my positions, okay? Leveraging in a conscious way, right? I personally trade Bitcoin in a structured way, different, right? My leverage is upward leverage, so I

[04:37] always have a stop-loss order, right? So the worst that can happen is that I'll return the profit to the market. It's different from you leveraging your personnel downwards, right? And then you start having sales at the door. So it's another way of doing things, right?

[04:49] We act in response to market movements, OK? But if you have absolutely no position, folks, you need to consider an entry point here, okay? Open very strong. This is a very interesting indicator of an upward trend, isn't it? And along

[05:05] with BTC, folks, it ends up taking other assets with it, right? We even mentioned in the last analysis, and I recommend you check out my latest market analysis, that altcoins are starting to get a little more interesting, folks.

[05:19] Why? Because we start to see a pattern of sales exhaustion, right? It's fallen so much, folks, that it simply doesn't make sense anymore, there's no more selling pressure, right? Those who were going to sell have already sold, those who haven't sold yet won't sell anymore.

[05:32] volatility, no volume at all. One example is my beloved XRP. Anyone who got XRP can thank us in the comments, because this one is really giving us a boost. And right now, folks, there isn't a well-defined target,

[05:48] okay? We need to wait for this movement to happen. But who actually seized the position, right? I showed several indicators, like price exhaustion, bottom losses without continuation, patterns indicating an

[06:03] upward breakout, so there was no shortage of opportunity. Anyone who placed their stop loss correctly, or who executed a position trade, a swing trade with the stop loss correctly , is already in profit at this point, right? And in this market, you make money

[06:16] when nobody wants to buy, when nobody is talking about XRP, oops, maybe it's worth the risk, it's worth the risk, you build your position, you structure your risk to take advantage of these movements, right? So,

[06:29] I didn't know about this issue with the US Treasury, I didn't know what was going to indicating to me that the risk-return ratio was worth it. Therefore, we have not only XRP, but also Solana. Very good, look at that, Solaninha, right? It was a

[06:43] also talked about Solana, right? We've got hype, we've got AV, okay? AV was also very strong and caused this rupture. So it's about knowing how to analyze, evaluate the risk-reward ratio, and the

[06:55] potential gain in each trade. Folks, this is how you make money in the market. In the future, right? Or maybe even during this week, I'll assess that things have become too exhausting, have escalated too much, and have started to become

[07:09] too irrational. What do I like to do? I'm going to sell while a lot of desperately FOMO (fear of missing out) and then you'll see news like, "Oh, the altcoin season has started and everything's going crazy," "The bloat has begun," and so on. I'll enjoy realizing this and I suggest you

[07:25] do the same. Why? In upward price movements, folks, even if you sell too much, say, you sell AV now and AV continues to rise, it's not a problem. If it's a valid, current structure, eventually we'll have

[07:38] upward funding and you can make a new entry to take advantage of the next movement. The only thing you'll lose is this tiny gap. And it's not really about losing, you're simply going to stop winning, which are totally

[07:52] different things, okay? So for those of you who took the risk the right way, for those of you who made entries here properly, folks, don't worry, okay? Well, instead of being afraid to close their positions, they are not afraid to sell

[08:07] Nobody goes broke taking profits in the market, okay? So now we're movements, we're simply market movement, right? Always remember, folks, the market dictates

[08:22] when it's paying and when it's charging. Often people leave when the market demands that you plant, but they want to harvest later, like leaving the market and wanting to go into

[08:36] the field later. This order simply does n't work, right? So let's take advantage of the movements because now they are actually much more interesting. We also have gold heading towards my second target, right? Those who have been following

[08:49] the analyses here know about my projections for gold, right? Walking towards the second target. What will Ghost do? Make a profit, okay? With this gold trading operation here, I simply won't lose money anymore, right? And when I

[09:02] get here on my second attempt, I'm going to make even more profit without mercy, make even more profit without mercy, ghost. But the gold goes to 10,000, 1000 ounces, it doesn't matter. I'll make adjustments along the way , but I'll always put

[09:14] money in my pocket. That's the most important thing. Later today, everyone, we'll have the FONK minutes here , okay? This is basically an , okay? This is basically an update, right? We already had a

[09:27] very interesting report today, okay? We'll be following the minutes of the Funk music event at 3 PM speech from our dear Donald Trump, right? Our big orange one, which could end up spoiling everything, but I believe in it because of the low volatility

[09:41] of the markets, folks. And he, being an excellent trader, right? He's a market manipulator, but we can't deny that the man makes money trading, can we? Whether it's lawful, whether it's morally acceptable, that's a matter for another debate, okay? But he

[09:56] the markets a boost, okay? At least that's my opinion, that's my view at the moment, right? So, right now, folks, it's basically about enjoying today. I can go shopping here, folks. If it's a medium-

[10:10] to long-term position, there's absolutely no problem buying here, having a position here, okay? But then no, right? Buy entries now are made on rising bottoms. And for important detail. Whenever you see this kind of behavior here

[10:25] at Open Interh, you don't think about shorting it. There 's no such thing as shorts with an open closure like that, okay? It's simply throwing yourself in front of an out-of-control tank, okay? It's not going to end well. So, short selling entries at this moment are simply not

[10:39] viable, okay? Wait, wait for a pullback, wait for a buying movement so you can adjust your stop loss, okay? And keep an eye out , especially for this breakup, okay? From the region of 68,000, specifically this retest here, okay?

[10:52] Funds rising after this movement, in my opinion, are especially for those who want to leverage their investments. leverage their investments. It's leverage, right? Well, regarding

[11:05] American stocks, folks, obviously I 'm not that interested in American stocks right now because they 're quite overvalued, okay? So, yes, it's deny that, but between buying, for example, BTC or buying XRP

[11:19] , a slightly more solid altcoin—and I mean American company, folks, I prefer the symmetry of altcoins at this moment, okay? Just

[11:31] high doesn't mean they can't go up further, okay, everyone? But there isn't enough come here and tell you that I'm going to buy everything because, well, there's no way there's cash flow, no way there's management that can handle that. So, for the big ones, folks,

[11:44] I'd be a little more careful, right? Obviously, MicroStrategy is going up 10% here. Why? Because MicroSategy is related to BTC. And she also, folks, distanced herself from a very strong market black swan event, which

[11:57] In my personal opinion, Michael Sailor made a very smart move by starting to sell his bitcoins. Why? He started by selling a the market a shock at a time when we no longer had

[12:12] sales volume, so it wasn't that impactful, right? I know about the Food news and everything, but now people have gotten used to the Bitcoin if necessary, that Strategy will realize profits. Strategy literally

[12:27] positioned itself as a Bitcoin trader and not just as a Bitcoin maximalist, okay? So we kind of distanced ourselves from that black swan , right? That wrong; we only buy Bitcoin, we don't sell it . Now he's got it in his head

[12:41] that he's going to make money, he's going to rotate capital, he's going to build up cash reserves if necessary. So that's pretty interesting, is n't it? Between Bitcoin micro-sat, I worth keeping an eye on. However, others, like, for example, our

[12:56] fixed it somewhat, are still quite stretched, right, folks? The risk of her return isn't that mean it won't go up, it means that, in my assessment, the risk isn't worth it, right? Obviously,

[13:10] Microsoft will give you a jolt soon, it'll go up 10, 15, 20%, and the XRP and Solana I'm invested in will go up less, no problem, okay? But when evaluating the risk-reward ratio, I personally prefer altcoins, and BTC itself (

[13:25] all about the market, folks. There was a time when we only traded American stocks. Why? Because they had much better symmetry. At this point, things are n't so interesting anymore, and

[13:39] we'll adapt accordingly, okay? For those who are very rigid, very fixed, and focused solely on operational aspects, solely on one type of management model, flexibility often causes you to miss the opportunity to enter more

[13:54] attractive asset markets, right? So, for now, let's keep an eye on things, but don't forget, everyone, stay tuned, okay? Keep an eye out . Beware of those narratives that say things will have to drop to 50, 49, 45, 43. Be very careful, okay? We ca

[14:10] n't completely rule out the loss of number 57 yet, can we? As I've already said, and I consolidate this bottom if we break through this region and create an upward-sloping bottom. Okay , then? The scenario would be the opposite, right? We would see, we would do a

[14:25] retest of that region at 60, 61k, and then it would show the recovery, okay? Both of these scenarios here, for me, consolidate this 57 level, okay? Before that, it's still too early for us to say for sure, but with each passing day, with each market movement,

[14:41] these two movements here as price accumulation movements, whether on the weekly chart or the daily chart. Guys, we're making a price accumulation move. Does this

[14:55] mean Bitcoin will hit $1,000 next week? No, but it means that at least we've stopped the decline and now we're coming out of this crypto winter period and starting to enter spring, okay? It's not summer

[15:07] yet, but we're likely to be entering spring, especially if these two the breakout is upwards or this retest is downwards, without losing the 57 level, okay? you also watch my latest video. I'll talk a little more about these

[15:22] analyses later, right? This is what I'm seeing from the market. So, it turned out quite interesting, and I think it's a complementary analysis to this one. And if you enjoyed this analysis, don't forget to like, subscribe to the channel, and

[15:34] comment if you managed to get any other altcoin, and also comment on what you think about this market. Are we nearing the end of winter, or is this just another trap, and will we plunge into the depths of the pre-salt layer? Finally,

[15:49] the depths of the pre-salt layer? Finally, thank you very much for watching.