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The Prediction Market Money Nobody's Claiming (Polymarket & Kalshi)

0h 14m video Published Jul 29, 2026 Transcribed Aug 1, 2026 I IN THE MONEY
Beginner 9 min read For: Retail traders, sports bettors, and crypto enthusiasts interested in prediction markets and risk-free profit strategies.
AI Trust Score 66/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"Slightly padded with Discord plugs, but the signup bonuses and arbitrage example are concrete and match the title's promise."

AI Summary

This video explains how to earn free money on prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket through signup bonuses, competitions, and arbitrage. It covers specific offers, such as depositing $25 on Kalshi to unlock up to $500 and $20 on Polymarket US to receive $50, plus a practical arbitrage example with a 17% guaranteed return. The host also promotes his Discord community and teases an upcoming in-depth arbitrage tutorial.

[00:15]
Three Ways to Earn Free Money

The video outlines three methods to maximize free money: signup bonuses, competitions, and arbitrage, all using prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.

[02:36]
Professionals Use Signup Bonuses

Professional bettors treat signup bonuses as mathematical profit opportunities, using arbitrage conversion and strict risk management, not as one-off gambling chips.

[04:23]
Kalshi Bonus: Up to $500

Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated platform available in all 50 states, offers a bonus of up to $500 when you deposit $25, potentially 20x your deposit.

[05:37]
Polymarket US Bonus: $20 Becomes $70

Polymarket US gives a $50 bonus for a $20 deposit, turning $20 into $70. This is available to US users via the mobile app or desktop.

[06:53]
Combo Cup for Non-US Users

Non-US users can enter a $50,000 daily Combo Cup on Polymarket, but it requires winning parlays (e.g., a $11 stake won $93 on a six-leg combo).

[09:00]
Arbitrage Spread Example

In an F1 market, 'no' was priced at 24% on Kalshi and 'yes' at 61% on Polymarket, totaling 85% and leaving a 17% spread (free ROI).

[10:02]
Executing the Arbitrage

Using $550 in free money, placing $394 on 'yes' (Polymarket) and $155 on 'no' (Kalshi) returns $647, a net profit of about $100 regardless of the outcome.

[10:46]
Tools like EventQuant

EventQuant is a platform that periodically surfaces arbitrage opportunities, typically returning 7% to 15%, enabling risk-free scaling similar to a stock portfolio.

[12:25]
Strategy Recap

The recommended approach is to claim signup bonuses (Kalshi $25 and Polymarket $20), avoid blowing them on a single trade, and use arbitrage to convert them into guaranteed profit.

[13:24]
Arbitrage Works for Small Bankrolls

Even a $100 bankroll can yield $18 profit on a single arbitrage with a 20% spread, showing that this strategy is accessible to retail traders.

Mentioned in this Video

Tutorial Checklist

1 04:23 Sign up on Kalshi and deposit $25 to unlock up to $500 in bonuses.
2 05:37 Sign up on Polymarket US and deposit $20 to receive a $50 bonus.
3 05:07 Do not spend the bonus on a single prediction; treat it as a bankroll for strategic plays.
4 09:00 Identify an arbitrage opportunity by comparing prices for the same outcome across platforms (e.g., Kalshi 'no' at 24% vs Polymarket 'yes' at 61%).
5 10:02 Calculate hedge amounts: with $550 total, place $394 on 'yes' at Polymarket and $155 on 'no' at Kalshi.
6 10:17 Place both trades and let the market resolve, guaranteeing a net profit (e.g., $647 total return, $97 profit).

Study Flashcards (8)

What is the Kalshi signup bonus offer?

easy Click to reveal answer

Deposit $25 to unlock up to $500 in bonuses.

04:23

What is the Polymarket US signup bonus?

easy Click to reveal answer

Deposit $20 and receive a $50 bonus, turning $20 into $70.

05:37

Why do professional bettors use signup bonuses?

hard Click to reveal answer

They treat them as mathematical profit opportunities using arbitrage conversion and strict risk management.

02:36

In the F1 arbitrage example, what were the prices on each platform?

medium Click to reveal answer

'No' at 24% on Kalshi and 'yes' at 61% on Polymarket, totaling 85% with a 17% spread.

09:00

How much was placed on each side in the $550 arbitrage example?

hard Click to reveal answer

$394 on 'yes' at Polymarket and $155 on 'no' at Kalshi.

10:02

What is EventQuant?

medium Click to reveal answer

A platform that periodically surfaces arbitrage opportunities, typically returning 7% to 15%.

10:46

What is the Polymarket Combo Cup?

medium Click to reveal answer

A $50,000 daily competition for non-US users, requiring winning parlays of up to 32 markets.

06:53

What is the net profit in the worked arbitrage example?

medium Click to reveal answer

With $550 invested, the return is $647, netting about $97 in profit.

10:17

💡 Key Takeaways

💡

Professionals Exploit Signup Bonuses

Shows that signup bonuses are not gimmicks but mathematical profit opportunities used by pros for risk-free returns.

02:36
🔧

Arbitrage Spreads Exist in Prediction Markets

Demonstrates a concrete 17% risk-free return from market inefficiency, a core technique for guaranteed profit.

09:00
🔧

Tools Automate Arbitrage Discovery

EventQuant helps surface 7-15% arbitrage opportunities, making the strategy accessible without manual scanning.

10:46
📊

Small Bankrolls Can Scale

Even $100 can yield $18 profit on a 20% spread, showing the low barrier to entry for retail traders.

13:24

[00:00] Who doesn't love free money? There's tons of free  money right now flowing around these prediction   market platforms, right around the time that  football season, Premier League, and all of   these sports come back. The action is going to be  the hottest across Koshi and Polymarket. In this  

[00:15] video, I'm going to go over how to maximize  this free money from different competitions,   signup bonuses, and a place you can actually start  to put your cash if you want no downside risk.   How to actually use these platforms together with  arbitrage and actually make guaranteed money. So,  

[00:32] how to earn free money, and then if you  are really not trying to risk any capital,   how to multiply your money on signup and then  actually profit via no-loss opportunities. Yes,  

[00:45] Guys, if you're new to the channel here on In  The Money, we go over everything you need to   win across prediction markets, crypto, and more.  And of course, you need to like the video and  

[00:57] subscribe to the channel because we are dropping  videos for you here Monday through Friday,   every single week, to help you win in the  markets. Let's go ahead and jump right into it,   guys. And by the way, the group just keeps  on winning. Down low in the description,  

[01:11] we have the inthemoney.live link. We  can see here Loki, in the last two days,   is up 26% on his initial deposit. Easy money.  Not only that, we are cooking on the crypto side.  

[01:23] If we go over here to the In The Money Discord,  we can see that we had our all memecoin caller,   Louie, actually call a 7x on this coin called  Gnomes. So you can actually jump in here three  

[01:35] days absolutely free, and then it's just $49 a  month. Honestly, it's one of the best deals in   the entire market. So check out inthemoney.live  down below. Let's go ahead and jump into it. Now, I know a lot of people, when you're looking  across the board at Koshi and Polymarket, whatever  

[01:52] the case is, you're probably thinking, 'Okay,  these platforms are actually offering me these   signup bonuses.' So, free money method number  one is signup bonuses. As stupidly easy as this  

[02:05] sounds, the best professional prediction market  traders, the best sports bettors in the world,   etc., they take advantage of these signup  bonuses. These are, of course, mechanisms  

[02:19] that these platforms use to acquire a new user,  right? You deposit $10 and we'll give you $50   absolutely free, or whatever the incentive  is. And it sounds easy, right? You jump in,   you get that free bonus, and a lot of people just  go spend that whole bonus on one pick. It loses,  

[02:36] and the platform, whether it's a prediction market  or whatever the case is, loses zero net total. You   want to come out on top during these situations.  And yes, professionals utilize signup bonuses to  

[02:48] their advantage. By the way, let's look at this.  Professional bettors treat signup bonuses as   mathematical profit opportunities using arbitrage  conversion and strict risk management. So,  

[03:01] you can actually go in here and use this  money either smartly as a part of your   long-term plus EV, which is plus expected value  strategy, or you can actually use arbitrage. So,  

[03:13] in this video, I'm going to go over three  different methods here. Signup bonuses,   competitions, and then arbitrage. So,  let's go ahead and jump right into this. First and foremost, where can you maximize and  get the most money on regulated platforms? Now,  

[03:28] I want to keep it regulated for this video.  But if you are looking for more opportunities   to get free money, then join the Discord down  below. Three days free. I don't care. Come in,  

[03:40] get your free money, and if we don't profit for  you or you don't enjoy the group after a few days,   you can cancel risk-free. So, for three days for  free, you can come in and get all of these free   money opportunities that we have to offer.  But in this video, I'm just going to go over  

[03:54] the main ones for demonstration purposes.  So, I think the best opportunity right now,   especially if you are in the United States, of  course, is Koshi's offer. So, right now, the link   down below in the description has this offer for  you. If you aren't onboarded to Koshi currently,  

[04:11] fully regulated by the CFTC, I believe it's now  across all 50 states in the United States. Koshi's   doing the most global volume in the world, etc.  You can actually come in here, make predictions  

[04:23] on sports, politics, and more. You can trade  $25 to unlock up to $500 in bonuses. Now,   this is going to be based on how much you deposit,  how much your first trade is. It's going to show  

[04:37] you exactly how to earn this $500. But no-brainer,  if you want potentially to 20x your deposit right   away by completing a few challenges or whatever  the case is, you can deposit $25 here to unlock  

[04:51] a signup bonus up to $500. Okay, no-brainer in my  opinion. And realistically, you might get $100 or   $200 out of this, but still, free money is the  best money. And do not go blow this on the first  

[05:07] trade that you see. I'm going to talk about  that here in just a second. If you are here   for free money, I will show you how to convert  this free money into actual risk-free profit. Number two is Polymarket. Polymarket right now,  for anyone, go in. They have the mobile app live  

[05:23] now for Polymarket US users. And that's who  this is primarily for. If you actually scroll   over to a deposit page, which I'm doing here,  you can actually deposit and get up to a $50  

[05:37] bonus for depositing $20. So, you could turn  your $20 into a free $50. So, your $20 becomes   $70 on deposit utilizing Polymarket US. So,  this is now the Polymarket, which is available  

[05:52] in the United States. You can get this on the  App Store. You could use it on desktop. But   $20 could turn into $70 utilizing their signup,  which goes to everyone. I don't even have to   give you a link down below. I'll link the regular  Polymarket and Polymarket US. US is the one that  

[06:10] is giving away this free $50. So, if you already  have a Polymarket account that's linked to your   crypto wallet and you're not in the US, you might  not get this. But Polymarket US is giving away  

[06:22] $50 for people who deposit $20. So now, in  total, you have deposited $45 and potentially   have earned $50 for free on Polymarket and up to  $500 for free on Koshi. Pretty good proposition,  

[06:38] but you need to do something with this money  to be able to get it out. So here's what I   would do personally. And we'll actually  talk about that here in just a second. There's another thing that Polymarket is doing,  not in the US. So, this is that opportunity  

[06:53] if you have Polymarket but not in the United  States. They're doing a $50,000 Combo Cup. Now,   this will take some skill. You have to win  these combos. But if you combo up to 32 markets,  

[07:07] I wouldn't recommend that, by the way. Like this  guy here, he put together a six-leg combo. His   stake was $11 and he got paid out $93 because  he won the Combo Cup. If we go look at today,  

[07:22] this guy's on track to have a $10 stake and  win $1,000. So, this is not quite free money,   but I did want to give an opportunity  for Polymarket non-US. You do need to  

[07:36] put together a winning parlay here, technically.  But crazy combos. 100 winners in the top of this   bracket will take home $50,000 every single day.  Even this guy, five legs right now. You can see  

[07:50] which legs he has. $10. He's on track to win  $381 today. So this is not quite free money,   but I don't want to exclude non-US people.  Polymarket US and Koshi are giving away the  

[08:03] most money here for free. And like I said in  the Discord, we do have all these opportunities   for you. Drop down below. Take advantage of  three days, take all the free money you want,   whatever you want to do, and I guarantee  you, you'll find value inside of the server.

[08:17] But now, let's take this free money. You  have now netted a couple hundred, let's say,   for free between Polymarket and Koshi, but you  want to make sure that you don't just go and   blow this free money and it's all a waste. You  want to make this into a portfolio, a bankroll,  

[08:34] whatever the case is. I want to introduce you  to arbitrage. And a lot of people think this   only exists in sports betting, which obviously is  where arbitrage really has originated as far as a  

[08:46] popular concept. People come in here in sports  and they actually will go on these different   platforms. Let's say BetMGM, Hard Rock Bet,  Caesar Sportsbook, whatever the case is. And  

[09:00] these offerings will give you different prices.  Let's just go, I'll give a vivid example here. So,   F1 champion on Koshi, it is offering 'no' for  a driver at 24% and 'yes' for a driver at 61%.  

[09:17] That adds up to 85%. So this is an inefficient  market across these two platforms. There is 15%,   or as it says here, a 17% spread, also known as  a 17% free ROI on this market. You come in here,  

[09:36] you put $700 on, and I scaled this to a $1,000  bankroll. You can change this. Let's go with   $5,000. If you started with $5,000, that might be  a little high for these free bonuses. Let's just  

[09:48] go the minimum. What we're going to do, actually,  we're going to go with the amount that you would   have gotten for free: $550. So, you come in  here, you put $394 on the 'yes' on Polymarket,  

[10:02] and you put $155 on the 'no' on Koshi. Like  I said, this is a free 17% on your money,   and you actually get to return $647 for a  net profit of $100. Now, that is with you  

[10:17] going all-in on this pick, but it is a free 17%  return on your money. And then once you see here,   once this comes to result, you actually get that  $97 in profit. Your $550 has now turned into  

[10:32] $647. And you're not waiting on a result. It  is just let the market play out. You don't have   to stress who wins, who loses because you  just took advantage of a free opportunity.

[10:46] Now, I'm going to be going over this extensively  in a future video. But there are ways you can do   this absolutely free. There are platforms like  EventQuant. Right now it's not showing any   arbitrage opportunities, but every once in a  while, every few days, a new arbitrage will come  

[11:02] in here. Usually, they're about 7% to 10% to 15%  at maximum. But you can actually take advantage   of this and turn that deposit money into free  wins and scale it up just like a stock portfolio,  

[11:15] except you'll never lose using arbitrage. So, as  crazy as it sounds, there is free money plastered   across Polymarket and Koshi. You just have to be  savvy enough to go find it. But that's what we  

[11:28] have you covered for here on the channel. I'm  going to be doing a full, extensive arbitrage   tutorial on this channel to make sure that you  understand how you can actually come in here,  

[11:40] take advantage of this, and actually win via  arbitrage. What are the best software to be   able to utilize? How can I automate this? How can  I one-click get into these things? I'm going to do  

[11:52] a full-blown arbitrage tutorial on this channel,  and it's probably going to end up being one of the   most valuable videos I've ever posted, because  who doesn't like free money? Who doesn't like   exploiting huge platforms, market inefficiencies?  That is what we are all here for: to gain an  

[12:09] edge. And if it's there to be had, you should be  doing it. And the beautiful thing is, Koshi and   Polymarket are peer-to-peer. So, they don't care  if you're arbitraging. They just enjoy the volume.   All of it is peer-to-peer. So, it really is one  of the best opportunities out there right now.

[12:25] So, let me just walk you through it one  more time. All right. First and foremost,   take advantage of signup bonuses. Professional  bettors do this. You should be, too. Don't think   that they're just gimmicks. This is free money  on the table, and if you know what to do with it,  

[12:39] you get to keep it. So, deposit $25 on Koshi, get  up to $500 in return. Deposit $20 on Polymarket,   get $50 for free in return, and then you can also  compete in these different competitions. But don't  

[12:53] go crazy like these guys are doing. Put like $5  or $10 on these if you want to compete in these.   But if you want real free money, arbitrage  is the way. You can see this guy in sports,   he made $5,000 last month across arbitrage. That  is a pretty high amount for the type of bankroll  

[13:12] you would be starting with. But if you started  even with $100 on your first few arbitrages,   you could be taking home $18 in profit.  That's a 20% spread on your money,  

[13:24] on 20% of your bankroll. Not too bad of  a proposition. So, like I said, this is   what a lot of professionals do. If we go back to  Google, you will actually see they use arbitrage.   So cover all possible outcomes in two competing  sportsbooks, using the bonus funds on one side  

[13:41] and a calculated hedge on the other, to squeeze  out the guaranteed mathematical returns. So if the   quants and the pros are doing this, you shouldn't  feel above that either. So what I'm going to do,   I'm going to leave Kalshi and Polymarket links  down below in the description that give you these  

[13:57] signup bonuses. And then in the next week, you  can expect that upcoming arbitrage video where I   walk you through step-by-step exactly how to make  free money on the biggest platforms in the world,   guys. So, if you enjoyed this video, like the  video down below, subscribe to the channel,  

[14:12] and I'll see you on that video next week,  and of course, I'll see you tomorrow for   Thursday's video. As always, trade responsibly, my  friends, and of course, stay bullish, my friends.

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