Mastering Market Timing — Step-by-Step Guide & Transcript

[00:00] Before starting the video, our second channel has completed 3 lakh mark. Our main channel has crossed 1 million.

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[01:09] Let's start today's video with the wish that our bond should continue like this. are the recent videos interesting? I will talk about three topics in today's video.

[01:25] They are asking us to talk about one topic and then another. it will take a long time to cover all three topics. In a stock, whether it is entry or exit,

[01:40] we have time to trade between 9.15 to 3.30. At which point should we wait? At which point should we be alert?

[01:56] Friends, this is not the knowledge from books. But the difference this time is, Yes, Infosys is not a back wheel.

[02:08] It is not working for a day. the stock moves at the timing we expect. There will be a fun flow at a certain time.

[02:21] When will the stock reversal happen? Let's try to see these timings. we take it through strategy.

[02:34] confirmation, these are the things that happen. There is no need to know all that. these are the basic parts.

[02:46] and order dynamics are also very important. Like we are not retailers, like no one is running it.

[03:00] The timings of multiple peoples are different. Particularly, the timings of FIIS are different. So, by relating the global market picture with the Indian markets,

[03:12] there is a possibility of changes in the Indian equity markets. I have divided this topic into three parts. SGX NIFTY, US markets, European markets.

[03:28] Or can we earn an extra 1 rupee by observing these? who are you all? Is it not enough to track our market?

[03:44] If we track these, can we earn an extra 1 rupee? Next, I will tell you about pre-market opening. If we have an opinion that a stock will increase before the market opens,

[03:58] and if we have an opinion that it will definitely increase from there, Not after opening, not after 9:15, how can we plan entry into a stock?

[04:11] heart of the video, If we take a position in a stock, and if it is a little far from our target,

[04:23] So first, let's talk about global markets. European markets, I will give you a global chart here.

[04:38] Where does the sun rise? So, in the east, first markets open and trade. then in the parted India,

[04:54] next, Europe comes, right? finally, markets near US markets open. That is related to SGX Nifty,

[05:09] Nifty is, SGX Nifty is the derivative of Nifty, which is traded in Singapore. How does Nifty futures go?

[05:21] We should not compare SGX Nifty with spot price. If SGX Nifty futures are positive, Everything is good.

[05:34] if we have to observe them, European markets opened during our market time. You are tracking US markets from the evening.

[05:50] Can we do anything? US markets are one and Indian equity markets are one. it is not correct to give importance to US markets.

[06:03] To see how the market is today. SGX Nifty opens at 6 o'clock in the morning. It comes to 20-30 points.

[06:17] Asian markets, unless there is a big 200-300 points, Even if we see them at 9 o'clock,

[06:29] If it is sustained below those levels, We can understand that from 9 o'clock. Half an hour is 9 o'clock to 9.15, right?

[06:43] We should not enter the market by 9.30. Don't get up early in the morning Not trading.

[06:56] Don't look at where the US markets are. Don't spend your evening time Let's see the morning at 9 o'clock.

[07:10] We already talked about this. How to place orders in pre-market opening, Friends, what do we say when the market opens?

[07:26] From 9 o'clock to 9:7. you can place orders related to stocks you want, I will show you an example.

[07:40] First, market order. I placed a market order. which is much higher than the present price.

[07:55] So, what happens is, because I placed a market order at 9 o'clock. If you place a market order in pre-market orders,

[08:08] or a sell order for existing stocks, or the pre-market opening price. I got a trade at the pre-market time.

[08:23] There are limit orders. Let's say I said I will buy a stock at Rs.110 as a limit order. But if it settles at 105 at the pre-market opening time,

[08:35] If I buy a stock at 9:8 at 105 at the pre-market opening time, So, the price I placed is lower than the price I asked for. Even if I place a limit order at 110, it will be executed at 105.

[08:51] If I place a limit order at 104 or 103, My buy order will continue at the opening time. In simple terms, if you want 9:00-9:07, you can trade.

[09:08] You can buy, sell, cancel, modify, do anything. the buy and sell orders will be traded at that price. the sell orders will be less than that.

[09:22] Whether your buy order is below the pre-market opening time the orders will be traded. How to decide the trade based on the time.

[09:36] Will the market move in the direction we want? So that we can be cautious to keep the stop-loss. Forget this.

[09:50] Then from 9:08 to 9:15, the market will be ready for opening. I strongly believe that it's not right for beginners to enter the trade at 9:15.

[10:04] you should keep a 15-minute time frame for any stock related The first candle that is formed is not a reliable candle. there will be news updates related to the overall market.

[10:22] all of these will settle in the first 15 minutes. We should start planning the perfect entry from 9:30. I've been saying that the options are mostly 9:30 strategies.

[10:41] It can be 9:28, 9:32, 9:35. We might even get slippage in those options. we might have to sell at a lower price or buy at a higher price.

[10:59] Do you think 9:30 is a strategy? Or a pattern based on price action. If you want to trade based on results,

[11:14] start giving importance to the candle formed at 9:30. I've prepared a chat related to Infosys till October 14th. Then I'll tell you if the stock is really moving towards our target.

[11:31] I'm showing you this only. What you should do is, open your favourite stock and set a 15-minute time frame. Try to observe which stock is following and which is not.

[11:44] It's not just support and resistance. There's a chance of a reversal. If you build this conviction, you won't be surprised in the market.

[11:58] And most possibly, you'll trap our market. If it's around 2 o'clock, suddenly the call price we bought will be downfall in the afternoon.

[12:12] So, whether you buy options, sell, index, If you can analyse and practice a little, you'll be in a better position than price action, some strategies, algo etc.

[12:26] Beginners, anyone, except scalpers, It's better to start trading from 9:30. most of the time, it'll move in one direction till 12 o'clock .

[12:41] From 9.30 till 12. 9.30 to 11 o'clock is a good move. But, overall,

[12:56] mostly directional, it'll be one-sided. Sometimes, it'll grow in the first one hour, But, I'm taking it as an average.

[13:09] From first 9.30 to 12 o'clock, we should be prepared. we should revise the stop losses candle-wise.

[13:24] we should lock our profit a little, with the thought that disturbance is created. We don't know what happens next.

[13:38] We don't know if it'll be a complete reversal. European markets will start opening at 12.30. Because, FIIS doesn't come from the US.

[13:55] In fact, if European markets are falling, So, the European markets that are opening after-noons, It's not a big deal in recent times,

[14:09] If you don't take the morning trade, It's a fast move. So, if there are existing positions,

[14:21] we should be working on locking the profit by losing the trailing stop. if you wait patiently for 12 to 2 o'clock, From 2 o'clock to 2.45,

[14:33] there will be a wonderful volatility in the market. The market that's next to us, The profit we have is lost there.

[14:47] Think about it. From 2 to 3 o'clock. Is it locking the existing profits for one hour?

[15:01] is it waiting for a big move with a small stop loss? From 2 to 3 o'clock. Leave the first 9 to 9.30.

[15:14] Because there are people who are booking profits for existing positions. they will short the options in the futures, Or if mutual funds are bad,

[15:30] The last half an hour is a price action. There will be a stop loss hitting game. If the market closes at 3 o'clock,

[15:42] Most of the brokers keep the interest rate till 3.15. I hope you understood. This is Infosys chart.

[15:54] This is the 15 minute candle. At 9.30, you will have time near the lines. You might think it's important.

[16:08] The market moved till 12 o'clock. It stabilized for a while. You are watching till 12 o'clock.

[16:22] If you see one at half of the day, In fact, it might go to 0 or negative. When it comes to 12 o'clock,

[16:34] Try to protect the trade. Sometimes, it breaks and then it goes up. We will lose if we prove wrong.

[16:49] It's not wrong to lock when we are in profit. Or, you haven't taken that position till now. There is a consolidation near 12 o'clock.

[17:02] we can put a small stop loss and enter the trade. So, we can book profits here too. It's 14th October.

[17:15] And friends, as I said, I'm saying this for the sake of logic. You should look at how the move from 9.30 to 12 o'clock is.

[17:28] When will it halt? Or, again, there will be a second leg of move. So, starting from 9.15 candle, is there a big volatility?

[17:41] So, look at the move from 9.30. So, what happened from 12 o'clock? So, mostly consolidation happened till 2 o'clock.

[17:57] It didn't fall much. What happened after that? This actually didn't work out.

[18:09] And, from 11, it moved again to 1 o'clock. So, the theme that we thought for the first half didn't work out. Even now, it didn't fall much.

[18:24] we didn't have a big move that day. This theme that we thought for that day didn't work out. This is the first 15-minute candle.

[18:37] From that candle, it moved in a direction till 12 o'clock. Did the price move in a range-bound manner? Even though it was in a range-bound manner, it broke here.

[18:52] So, the second half definitely didn't have to be a reversal. we can keep our stop-loss near the entry point. And, continue the trade.

[19:05] So, we have to take that and accept that we're trapped. it will develop like a unnecessary thought. If it hits 3% that day, it's enough.

[19:19] How's the candle for 9.30? Even after that, it moved a little to the top side. Mostly, if you're profitable by 12 o'clock,

[19:32] We'll be on the safe side. at least, bring your stop-loss to the price you bought. if you're lucky, you'll have double profit.

[19:46] If you want to take some profit home, If it's near, put the previous candle low. If the previous candle is low, you can put this candle low.

[20:00] you can put the swing low. We can plan like this. PSAR, parabolic SAR, ATR.

[20:12] From 9.30, From 9.30 onwards. Market downside was correct.

[20:24] Check if what we're saying is correct or not. we're not giving it to you blindly. Follow it only if you think it's correct.

[20:39] I gave you a list of stocks. I'm looking at majority of the stocks in it. So, observe it once, friends.

[20:51] if you think it's good or not. do it. I'm not saying it right.

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