Underdog's 3.5x Payout Change: Sharp Detection?
51sViewers love insider knowledge on sportsbook changes and sharp betting tactics, sparking debate.
▶ Play Clip"Title promises 'sharp, profitable strategies' but delivers a casual live stream with minimal actionable advice and heavy filler."
The video is a live sports betting stream where the host, Alex, shares his betting strategies and picks across multiple platforms including Underdog Fantasy, PrizePicks, Sleeper, and Kalshi. He discusses the importance of taking advantage of promotions, using tools like the Odds Jam Optimizer, and navigating the nuances of different sportsbooks. The stream covers NBA, tennis, and esports bets, with a focus on maximizing value through boosted payouts and discounts.
Mentions a 30% profit boost on Sleeper and highlights the Spurs vs Pistons NBA game as exciting.
Underdog increased payouts for two-pick entries to 3.5x, making it the best slip type. The host is surprised but appreciative.
Begins with a tennis play on Underdog, noting the 3.5x payout and asking for a link in chat.
Observations that Underdog grades and bumps lines quickly, requiring fast action to get bets in before changes.
Highlights a 30% profit boost on NBA at Pick Six, suggesting three-pick entries are optimal for the promo.
Plays Alperen Sengun under on Underdog, noting he is favored to go under with decent liquidity.
Takes Walter Clayton over 8.5 RAS (rebounds plus assists) on Pick Six.
Takes advantage of a four-point discount on Sengun to middle the bet, running it with Clifford on Sleeper.
Runs Capella under at 2.03x payout on Sleeper, reminding viewers to check odds if tailing later.
Notes that the Sengun play is also available on Underdog as a cross market, but lines move fast.
Mentions checking FanDuel and other books, but lines are bumping quickly.
Locks in a three-pick entry on Sleeper, acknowledging Sleeper is high juice but promos are easy money.
Mentions a 100% first trade match on DraftKings predictions, but notes it's 'kind of ass'.
Points out good early value on Payton Pritchard for tomorrow's game.
Reports being five for six on Underdog two-mans, totaling +11.5 units.
Suggests Malik Monk under 17.5 points plus assists on PrizePicks, noting cross market.
Mentions hitting daily limit caps on some books, preventing further bets.
Plans to fade Cade Cunningham in a big game, suggesting a five or six-man entry on PrizePicks.
Finalizes a five-pick entry on PrizePicks, asking for viewer input.
Discusses Kalshi, advising against betting into super liquid markets and noting it's a harder book to profit from.
Notes Circa is a smart book, and Kalshi lines can be confusing with high liquidity.
The stream concludes with the host wrapping up after a successful day, emphasizing the importance of taking advantage of promotions and moving quickly to beat line movements. He encourages viewers to tail his picks and stay tuned for future streams.
What payout did Underdog Fantasy increase for two-pick entries?
3.5x
01:11
What does RAS stand for in sports betting?
Rebounds plus assists
06:21
What is the optimal number of picks for a 30% profit boost on Pick Six?
Three-pick entries
07:04
What is the record for Underdog two-mans mentioned in the stream?
Five for six, +11.5 units
17:34
What is the advice for betting on Kalshi regarding liquidity?
Avoid betting into super liquid active markets with high liquidity like $4,000.
26:46
Underdog's 3.5x Payout
A significant payout increase that makes two-pick entries the best slip type, a key strategic insight.
01:11Optimal Pick Six Entries
Identifies three-pick entries as optimal for profit boosts, a practical tip for maximizing promos.
07:04Underdog Record
Demonstrates the effectiveness of the strategy with a concrete record of five for six.
17:34Kalshi Liquidity Warning
Highlights a key principle for betting on Kalshi: avoid high liquidity markets to find value.
26:46[00:19] everyone doing? How is everyone doing? How is everyone doing, man? [snorts] What's up, guys? Only three NBA games
[00:31] tonight and that slip did not work out. What do and that slip did not work out. What do we got? We got a 30% profit boost on Sleeper. We got some discounts. They actually have a fair amount of discounts
[00:43] and we have a huge, huge [snorts] NBA game tonight. This game should be really good. Spurs Pistons. Spurs Pistons, boys. That should be exciting. How's everyone doing? What's up?
[00:57] Yo yo, how long is the stream today? I got class. Can you just spam underdog two mans? We're gonna do underdog two mans. We can actually start out with underdog if you guys want to. Let's kind of see
[01:11] if you guys want to. Let's kind of see what we got. Again, underdog. A little surprising, but we'll take it. They increased their payouts for two pick entries to 3.5x, which makes it the best slip type. I don't know why they
[01:25] did it, but I'm not going to complain. So, let's see what we got. [snorts] What do we want to do first? [ __ ] What did I just do? Uh, let's go here. Okay,
[01:37] slips and let's just uh get moving. So, I guess we'll start out with tennis. Um, I don't really care what I'm betting on if there's value. So, the first play we're going to go with is this. Okay, random
[01:52] tennis play. I'm going to do two pick entries. We're going to do some two pick entries on Underdog Fantasy. Um, which honestly is not something I thought I would be saying, but we'll take it. Dude, there is the most random [ __ ]
[02:07] tonight. So, we got some college. I got Cali. What else do we have? So, maybe we just do a tennis play first if you guys are fine with that. Let's see here. Dude, what am I doing? Um, sorry. Give me one sec. I'm trying
[02:23] to finish this slip holer. So, I guess we're going to do tennis first. Not as much NBA today. I promise you we will find some NBA plays, but I'm starting out with tennis. 3.5x payout. If someone
[02:36] wants to put a link in the chat, that would be great. Let's get that underdog slip. Yo, underdog slip. Someone put a link in the chat. Alex, you should stream more.
[02:49] Follow me on Instagram, [ __ ] Someone the other day was theorizing that they did these payout changes to find sharp bers quicker. I mean, I feel like they should be able to find them with a 3x payout.
[03:06] already bumped the first one. Look at this [ __ ] bro. They already graded out this [ __ ] bro. They already graded out these [ __ ] man. These [ __ ] I mean, they'll probably just like
[03:20] I mean, they'll probably just like improve their trading a bit um improve their trading a bit um and tighten up their pricing. So, what I'm going to do is I'm going to replace this with esports. Sorry, boys.
[03:33] from the Odds Jam Optimizer. Every other book has this line lower. Yo, get this locked in real quickly. I mean, underdog, even with good payouts, what's very annoying about Underdog is they bump things pretty quick. [snorts]
[03:47] Yo, can someone put a link in the chat? I'm trying to move faster. What books do you want to do? Whoever theorizing that is ass. Anyways, I gotta start moving faster. Otherwise, all this shit's going to get bumped. Okay, let's go. Dude,
[04:01] 3.5x payouts. I'm surprised, man. I would not have thought that they would have done this. I love I love Drake, bro. [snorts] He's so good at music.
[04:15] He's so good at music. Um, okay. [ __ ] man. [ __ ] dude. I'm Door Dash and Chick-fil-A, bro. I love Monday. not going to get a cookie. [ __ ] you, bro. You're trying to make me fat. Okay,
[04:31] [snorts] let me just order this real quick. And I got credits because they [ __ ] up my order yesterday. Okay, so we got the first play locked in. What books do we want to do? Let's go here. Actually, Pick Six had a pretty
[04:45] here. Actually, Pick Six had a pretty cool promo. 30% profit boost on the NBA, cool promo. 30% profit boost on the NBA, so maybe we rip that. going. It's bumped. Yo, what's up, Alex? What's up, Alex? What's up, guys? Would
[05:01] you still do six-man fluxes on Underdog? No. No six-man fluxes. Just run two mans going forward. What's up, sexy? What's up, V Banner? How are you gold already? I don't know what you're talking about, bro. All I
[05:16] know is I'm Door Dashing Chick-fil-A and I'm very excited. Um, but let's see play. They got a discount. Let's see what we got. So, the first play we're going to go with is Alpirini Sangun
[05:39] H. What do I like better? Sangun. Alperin Sangun. So, Novik has him. Decent liquidity plus 117 underdog to go over. So, he's favored to go under. So, let's just run this. I mean, 30% profit
[05:53] boost. We got to take advantage of the promos, man. We got to take advantage of promos, man. We got to take advantage of the promos.
[06:07] Damn, bro. It's a little beat. We have the NBA All-Star break and then they only have two games today. What do I like, man? Give me a sec. I promise I'm moving fast. Walter Clayton over eight and a half
[06:21] RAS. Does anyone have a problem with that? I don't. So, I'm going to run it. Walter Clayton over eight and a half RAS. What is RAS, Alex? Rebounds plus RAS. What is RAS, Alex? Rebounds plus assists, [ __ ]
[06:36] assists, [ __ ] Um, what else do we like, man? Come on, What do I want to go with as the final pick? It's very annoying, man. It's a Monday. I was hoping for more WN or no, no, not WNBA. I wasn't hoping for WNBA.
[06:51] but we're not going to get more games. Okay, so pick entry. This is what I'm going to run. Pick six. Board's a little dry
[07:04] right now on pick six because there's only three NBA games, but this is solid for the promo. I mean, obviously, it's a 30% profit boost. Three pick entries are 30% profit boost. Three pick entries are optimal. $50 bet size. Let's go. Let's
[07:17] go. Let's go. [clears throat and snorts] [clears throat and snorts] Um, what are we doing, man? Spilling my water. Let's go. And I got it locked in. Come to
[07:30] Minnesota. I've been to Minnesota. Vikings Stadium is actually very cool. Um, I went to a Vikings game. Vikings games are cool. Why are Vikings games games are cool. Why are Vikings games cool? Not because the Vikings are good.
[07:44] Vikings Vikings games are cool because they have sweets on the field. Yo, Alex, do you no longer use the sharp tool? No, I do. I do.
[08:00] Vikings field suites. This is what's sick, bro. Turf suites. You literally are on the field. I mean, I don't know, maybe other stadiums have this, but this
[08:12] was sick, bro. Justin Jefferson just like walking up to me. Yo, Alex, I watch your live streams. And I'm like, bro. Um, but what should we do? Let's see if there's anything on prize picks. And we'll do some more underdog plays as
[08:27] well. And we definitely got to do these sleeper discounts. [snorts] Oh, we got a discount on Sangune. No. So, we just took his under, but I mean, we can kind of middle it. Obviously, a four-point discount is
[08:43] something we want to take advantage of. So, we'll go for the middle. sec. I'm gonna run it with Clifford
[09:05] Nope. Wait. Eh. Nah. I'm going to run it with Eh. Nah. I'm going to run it with college. Let's see here. Come on, man. Let's go, baby. So, 1.5x payout. You're betting 100 to
[09:20] So, 1.5x payout. You're betting 100 to profit 50. 150 total. So, this is what I'm going to run. I don't know why Sleeper puts their odds in decimal format, but they do say that. I've said that before, though. So, I'm
[09:32] I've said that before, though. So, I'm just reiterating. I think it's weird. What else should we do, [ __ ] I mean, honestly, like, nah,
[09:44] [ __ ] I mean, honestly, like, nah, maybe we just run a few of these.
[09:59] So, I'm gonna run this one with Capella under 2.03x payout. Make sure the odds don't change if you're tailing or if you're watching if you're tailing or if you're watching this stream after it ends. Like 2.03x
[10:12] payout plus 103 odds. Just make sure the odds are the same. Where's my Chick-fil-A, bro? Alex, when you have a kid, will you sign him up to get all the bonuses? Bro, I mean, you got to be 21 to gamble. I don't have a kid. I'm not
[10:28] married yet, so that's a long way away. But I do have like 16 different phones for gambling. Where are my other phones? Where are my other phones? [clears throat]
[10:44] die. I'm just currently in California and it died in California. >> Don't have kids. Not worth it. Damn, bro. Who broke your heart? Armore.
[11:01] bro. Who broke your heart? Armore. Don't have kids. Not worth it. Yo, what Don't have kids. Not worth it. Yo, what happened to you? Rore 0105. happened to you? Rore 0105. 2050 bonuses will be sick. Did you
[11:14] really CREATE ODDS JAM? NO, IT'S ALL A LIE. ALEX, I'm capped on underdog. Should I take my girlfriend's account? Anyways, let's see what we can do. I wouldn't mind doing some more underdog, too. I'll try to just like do different
[11:28] books and you can tail what you like and hopefully we can get some good stuff in. hopefully we can get some good stuff in. Oh, [ __ ] So, this play on Sangune is also available on Underdog. It's a cross market. Wow. Now, actually,
[11:42] we're gonna have to move quick. Why do we have to move quick? Because they're so every book has this dude's under heavily favored. Yo, underdog. Two man. Two man. Two man. Get it going. Why are you coming up, [ __ ] Why isn't he
[11:56] you coming up, [ __ ] Why isn't he coming up? come on, man. What is wrong with this [ __ ] I was made for this [ __ ] What do
[12:13] we want to do, bro? What do I want to pair? Sorry, give me a sec. I don't know pair? Sorry, give me a sec. I don't know why this site is so janky sometimes.
[12:26] again. I'm max limited on underdog. They're only going to give me $25 max, They're only going to give me $25 max, but this is what I'm going to run. in, man. Dude, I need to shave.
[12:42] Dude, I need to shave. I need to shave. get off from this live stream. I look homeless. I look homeless.
[12:59] look homeless. Do more underdog. Did you watch the gold medal game? No, bro. Do I look like I could give a [ __ ] about the Olympics? Um, can we get better in FanDuel and Hard Rock and Kelshi, please? Thank you V Banner for putting
[13:13] the link in the chat. Although Vinnie says it's already bumped. Yo, do you says it's already bumped. Yo, do you guys want to do Sleeper some of your Odds Jam videos into French and Spanish? No, I don't. Can we do
[13:29] and Spanish? No, I don't. Can we do Calian prize picks? More underdog. Shit's gone, bro. I gave you guys plenty of time to tail.
[13:44] FanDuel. Um, let's see what we can do here, though, real quick. [snorts] here, though, real quick. [snorts] [sighs]
[13:57] play, you're a virgin. Yeah. Let's see, though. What do I like, Yeah. Let's see, though. What do I like, man?
[14:27] [ __ ] political guy? Or is that a different Destiny? The one who like is always getting banned on Twitch for like saying everyone should die and get murdered depending on who they voted for. What am
[14:41] I doing? What am I doing? I love you, KD. Yo, Kevin Durant burner. [snorts] Did he actually have a burner? If so, us know it's your burner so we can follow you.
[14:57] follow you. No. Yeah, whatever. Okay, Sleeper promo. This is what I'm getting locked in. Three pick entry on Sleeper.
[15:11] mean again like sleeper is not a book you want to be using in general just because like it's a pretty high juice sports book but
[15:24] you know they do run good promos so you gota we got to give them their flowers there because they do they do you know they do run good promos and promos are easy money. Same thing with pick six. Do they have any other promos?
[15:39] 100% first trade match on DraftKings predictions. I heard DraftKings predictions. I heard DraftKings predictions is kind of ass. Um Payton Pritchard who's kind of goated over in Pas. This looks very good.
[16:02] So, this isn't until tomorrow because there's not much NBA tonight, but it is there's not much NBA tonight, but it is good early value. We've kind of crushed, by the way, on underdog so far. First day we went two
[16:17] for three plus four units. What did we do yesterday? Oh [ __ ] dude. Did I win everything yesterday? And no one even says congrats yesterday? And no one even says congrats in the chat or thank you.
[16:34] Did I win? Did I win everything? Yo, this is the play. Tail it ASAP. What the [ __ ] No way. Is this actually Did I win everything yesterday,
[16:52] Thank you. Did I win everything? I won everything yesterday, bro. Alex, I'm digging the beard look. No, beard look. No, I'm getting that shaved ASAP.
[17:07] The beard looks horrible. I look homeless. Cali, brother. Bovvada. Oh homeless. Cali, brother. Bovvada. Oh [ __ ] I forgot about Bada.
[17:22] Seriously, like what the [ __ ] dude? I won literally every play I gave out yesterday. Why did some give me what? They all say 3.5x payout. 8814
[17:34] 8777 8820. What? Why are the numbers different? Dude, we're five for six on underdog two mans.
[17:47] we're five for six on underdog two mans. Five times 2.5 minus one plus 11.5 Five times 2.5 minus one plus 11.5 units. [ __ ] that's sick. >> [snorts]
[18:02] Yeah. Okay. So, I'm done for the day on underdog. I hit my daily limit cap. I prize picks. No one's asked for prize picks, though, so I don't want to give picks, though, so I don't want to give you guys stuff you don't want.
[18:16] you guys stuff you don't want. I was made for a [ __ ] should. So, this first play seems good. Malik
[18:28] Monk under 17 12 PAS. What is PAS? Points under 17 12 PAS. What is PAS? Points plus assists. My Chick-fil-A is almost here. So, let's go here. Malik Monk under 17 and a half PAs. Cross market,
[18:45] right? He's a big underdog to go over betters fixed payouts. I assume prize betters fixed payouts. I assume prize picks has the line lower.
[19:01] over. I kind of like that. He's gone. He's been kind of crushing.
[19:13] What? Dude, we have hockey back. I thought it was the Olympics.
[19:39] Cuz I did a better slip last night. I'm not going to be able to bet this myself. I gave out a better slip last night and unfortunately yeah, I mean I think this is solid. I would have liked it. Yeah, I think it's
[19:53] solid. I mean I'm not going to be able to bet it though. You can see they tell me max of $0. I forgot I gave out a better slept last night. Daily limit 100 bucks already met these [ __ ]
[20:06] But that was the play. If anyone wants to bet it and put the link in the chat here to make 400K, baby. What up, Tay Buggy?
[20:18] Chick-fil-A. That's not true. I'm going to eat the Chick-fil-A on the stream and gamble with you guys. Did they remove better web? I don't Did they remove better web? I don't think they removed better web. I just
[20:32] I'm not on better web. I can do that in the future if it's better for people, but I don't really think people care.
[20:47] business. >> I was made for this [ __ ] Check LinkedIn messages. What's the Chick-fil-A order? Sweet tea and nuggets. And they better remember to bring the zesty buffalo sauce. [ __ ]
[21:03] love zesty buffalo. Let's do some prize picks. Um yeah. Okay, so we're gonna fade Cade. Everyone likes that, right? Cade Cunningham, huge game tonight.
[21:17] Cunningham, huge game tonight. Um, WBY, lock him down, baby. Um, don't have sex till marriage. All you don't have sex till marriage. All you guys, bro,
[21:34] um, sorry, I'm trying to do this slip. Should we do a fiveman or a sixman? Mhm. Yo, do you guys want to do a fiveman or a sixman?
[21:52] Why are there no promos on prize picks, bro? You can't have ass payouts bro? You can't have ass payouts and not give a [ __ ] Who is Cody Williams? These people aren't real. [snorts]
[22:05] Who is this guy, bro? Has anyone heard of Cody Williams? This is my first time hearing about this guy. I'm just kidding. We've bet on him before, boy. Um, let's see, though. So, we got three picks so far. What else do we
[22:19] three picks so far. What else do we like? What do we want to do, man? Why are there so many options?
[22:31] Oh [ __ ] We got Yurphy's on the board. We got baseball on the board. We got baseball on the board. We got baseball on the board.
[22:49] Fox over in first quarter points. Do we have anything on Fox so far? Yo, do we have anything on De'Arren Fox? So, this is NBA first quarter, which is a completely different tab on prize picks.
[23:01] Do we have anything on Fox so far? I need one more pick, [ __ ] Um, and now I need to get rid of better because I can't bet it today and I need to get rid of underdog. I also did promise I would start doing some
[23:14] offshores and stuff like that. So I should probably start doing that. But maybe [ __ ] it. I got to remember. Dude, I got to remember to log into all these sports books. It's a pain. Yo, one, two, three,
[23:29] four, five prize picks play. What do you guys think about this? Can you guys see my screen? Six. Let's go. Whatever, man. I did five. If you guys have a pick you like, you can throw it in. Was the tennis play over or under? Let
[23:44] me make sure, guys. If you could, one thing that would be helpful, make sure I great. I don't think I fat fingered anything here, though. Can people see my screen? Can someone put a link in the chat?
[24:04] Where is my food, bro? These door dashers, bro.
[24:36] Okay. Nothing got bumped.
[24:49] Okay. Yo, five pick entry. Tail it if you want to tail it. Tail it if you want to tail it. There we go. Go, bro.
[25:04] Yo, I'll be doing question and answer live streams on Instagram, betting streams. I'm going to I'm going to stick to Twitch for sports betting.
[25:21] from Chick-fil-A? This right here. This is everything. is everything. Everything, bro. I mix them together. Barbecue and zesty buffalo is actually a really good combination to mix together.
[25:36] And then maybe a little mustard, a little ketchup. I love you, Chick-fil-A. Although, I don't believe in killing animals for food. It's kind of [ __ ] animals for food. It's kind of [ __ ] up, but
[25:53] vegetarian. Why am I not a vegetarian? Do I want to eat these? I don't know. Maybe I'll hold off. Um, Kelshi, please.
[26:05] Okay, you guys want to see Kali? Let's see. De'arren Fox bumped, but I think they just bumped him back down as well. Someone's asking to see the FanDuel Someone's asking to see the FanDuel value. I'm about to be back in Virginia,
[26:18] but I'm not right now. But Westbrook under five and a half assists. It's probably a best play. It's probably a best play. What could you parlay it with?
[26:31] Yeah, I would just run. That's the best play on FanDuel right now. Okay, let's see what we have on Cali because someone's been asking. Again,
[26:46] when you're betting on Kelshi, you do not want to bet into super you do not want to bet into super liquid active markets. Like, if there's $4,000 in liquidity, you don't want to bet on it.
[27:09] Sometimes, not always, but let's see here.
[27:22] me a sec. I'm going to give us a bet. Um, Um, nah.
[27:50] again, in my opinion, this is a harder book to make money on, but I'm [ __ ] confused what I'm doing right here. Two and a half.
[28:08] No, this is what I want to be on. How do I bet this, bro? Yeah, I want to buy.
[28:20] [ __ ] man. Dude, this [ __ ] It got bumped. Some one of you guys bet it, I bumped. Some one of you guys bet it, I think. I mean, like here it's like it's confusing. Circa's a pretty smart book.
[28:35] confusing. Circa's a pretty smart book. plus 125 plus 145 on Kelshi, but still like that's a lot of liquidity that I don't love betting into.
[28:53] don't really see anything I'm in love with. Although, sometimes you will see huge huge arbitrage bets. I mean, I saw a bunch in boxing, calcian poly market. a bunch in boxing, calcian poly market. There were some huge huge opportunities
[29:07] like market makers aren't perfect but that market makers aren't perfect but that doesn't mean it's easy to make money on. doesn't mean it's easy to make money on. Where the [ __ ] is prize pick? No.
[29:29] Let's see here. Anything else we're in love with? Uh, not really. I'm going to call it a day. Sorry, guys.
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