Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

[00:43] Oh, boys. What is up, guys? How's everyone doing? Happy Friday. some good promos. We got prize picks. Flex Friday. Woo. So, we got a 40% profit boost on prize picks. We got some discounts on

[00:58] prize picks. We got some discounts on Sleeper. And we are going to be ripping some bets. So, let's get into it. What book do we want to start out on? Maybe let's do prize picks first. There was also some pretty good value on pick six.

[01:12] [snorts] At least when I looked earlier, I got a big [ __ ] bet locked in, bruh. [snorts] And damn, this play on Donovan Klingan is still available. This play looks really good cross market, but we'll

[01:25] we'll we'll we'll we'll do pick six in a second here. So, let's get rolling. What book do we want to start out on? Maybe let's do the sleeper discount real quick. I'm just going to be ripping through a bunch of bets.

[01:39] through a bunch of bets. So, the best play we have is Sandro. Um over 20 and a half pas. Sure, whatever. We can go with it. Again, Sleeper, like I say it all the time, so I don't want to bore you guys to death,

[01:54] but yeah, Sleeper is a kind of shitty sports book in general. They just charge a lot of juice. I mean, like that's a kind of crazy spread. 59 cent spread on a, you know, assist line is kind of ridiculous, but that's just the way it

[02:08] is. But let's see what we can do on prize picks for um Flex Friday. Oh [ __ ] because it looks like there's some pretty good value.

[02:29] a fiveman or do we want to do a six-man? So, I'm going to start out with Quinton Post under one and a half assists. Yo, how's the stream quality? Yo, what's up, Cozy Trash Fire?

[02:43] Can you look at sharp money non DFS? Yo, we're rolling. Okay, first play we're going to go with is Quinton Post under one and a half assists. I mean, you can see it's really good value. Like, there's [ __ ] $6,000 of

[02:57] liquidity on his over at plus 119. His over is offered at plus 119. That means his under is favored. So, this is just a sharp money tool. So, this is the first play we're going to go with and we just got to find some other plays that we can

[03:09] lock in. So this play, dude, I don't even understand. Carrington under 23 Pas. I don't see him. That's probably because he's Bub. No, it looks like they just straight up removed Carrington. I don't

[03:23] know why, but that's okay. We can fade Draymond Green. This looks good. You know, betting exchanges. All these sports books, every data point we have in the market, all these books I was under, heavily favored.

[03:36] Although that's not a great play to pair with Quinton Post. So, Al Horford under one and a half assists. Well, I don't want to take that

[03:50] as well. Um, so let's run this play. [snorts] I'm going to do a five pick entry or a six pick entry. I'm not sure yet. Let's fade Maxi. [ __ ] it. I like it. All unders usually on the unders cuz all the degenerates just bet the over.

[04:05] So, we have Maxi under 34 and a half PAS points plus assists. So, I got three picks so far, but we got to find some other stuff that we can go with. So, we have Williams under 10 and a half Pas.

[04:21] under 10 and a half Pas. So, let's go here. Damn, bro. I'm trying to move as fast as possible.

[04:35] over, which is Rico over 11 and a half or sorry, it's over 11 and a half [sighs] Where is that? Here it is. Okay, so we have four unders. I'm just taking a look at the slip. I don't really have a

[04:49] problem with this. Okay, it looks pretty good. Yo, five pick flex play, one over in the NFL, and then we have a [ __ ] ton of unders. So, flex Friday, 40% profit boost. [snorts] Get it locked in. Sheesh.

[05:04] One, two, three. Yo, can somebody put a link in the chat, please? That'd be cool. Really cool. [snorts] One, two, three, four, five. Okay, let's go.

[05:26] one sleeper play so far. Just one of the discounts. Do they have other discounts? Damn, bro. They have a lot of discounts. So, they have a pretty good discount on So, they have a pretty good discount on 70 stream, Alex. That's [ __ ] crazy.

[05:40] Yo, so we're gonna run Jimmy. Usually, I like to make sure the discount is actually halfway decent before I, you know, automatically bet it because sometimes Sleeper has trash promo. So, let's see here. We got Jimmy

[05:55] Butler. This is just the Odd Jam sports book screen. I mean, yeah, every book has his line at 20 and a half. So, this seems decent. Let me go here and let's see what else we want to pair with. Oh [ __ ] this play I kind of like. Yo, so

[06:09] let's fade Maxi once again. Again, Sleeper's a weird book. 1.78x payout on his under, which is the same as minus 128 odds. Just means betting

[06:22] as minus 128 odds. Just means betting 100 to win 178 78 in profit. Um, I don't know. They put their odds in decimal format, but let's uh let's see decimal format, but let's uh let's see what other books we got going on here.

[06:36] So, let's see what we got on better. Damn, bro. Better is always popping. You guys like better? Better is Jake Paul's app. Kelly Ubé, he has a really

[06:48] low points line. Eight and a half points. Dude, better has ridiculous value right now. So, let's see if we can do a better slip.

[07:06] DFS apps, prize picks, you know, underdog, better, whatever. Like, you know, sometimes DraftKings has better value pick six or promos. But, [snorts] let's get rolling. So, the first play we're going to go with heavy liquidity.

[07:20] Dan, did it log me out? Bro, why is this app always logging me out? Sorry, guys. Anyways, be ready to tail. I'm going to

[07:32] Anyways, be ready to tail. I'm going to give out a slip super quick. There we go. Damn.

[07:45] let me just refresh this. Let's get going. Go, [ __ ] So, the first play we're going to go with, I don't get discounts on better, is going to be Kelly Ubé under eight and a half points 32. What

[07:58] under eight and a half points 32. What happened to Kelly Ubé, bro? Which is the best book, underdog prize picks or Dabble? Um, I think the easiest one to make money off of is probably Dabble.

[08:13] Unfortunately, I got banned on Dabble, but this play looks great. Kelly Ubé. He's a heavy underdog to go over, you know, better prize picks, pick six, all these [ __ ] fixed payout sports books. [snorts] So, we want to be on his under.

[08:28] But let's just keep this rolling. Um, when you go through the math behind Um, when you go through the math behind better, you will see for yourself, six pick entries are mathematically optimal. So,

[08:43] let's see what we can do. Clinging. I'm already fading Klingan on DraftKings again. I don't really have a problem with that.

[09:07] longest reception. Again, sometimes the value is in weird weird markets. There is so much value on better. I don't even know what to go with. Um, anyways, I'm done. I'm trying to

[09:23] move fast. So, we got Curry under 29 and a half points. That seems free. Let's take a look. Make sure they didn't bump anything. No, they didn't. Yo, here's the play. Get it locked in if you guys want to play it. Five pick flex play.

[09:35] You know, that's like the optimal slip type on um on better picks. So, this looks good. [snorts] Let's go, [ __ ] And let's run in.

[09:47] Oh, man. I don't know why they do this when I'm streaming. It's sometimes a pain in the ass. Come on. So, there we go. I got it Come on. So, there we go. I got it locked in. Yo, link. Link. Link.

[10:00] Thank you, Davis Kelly. Underdog. Underdog. Underdog. People want underdog. People want pick six. People want a lot of sports books. Sheesh. So, let's see what we got. So, we have a

[10:15] 30% college football boost. We got a 30% NFL boost. Let's see if there's any value on pick six. [snorts]

[10:36] Yo, I mean

[10:50] could also do, again, I already ran Klingan, but you could run this and you get some nice correlation on this as well. I mean, obviously they have some discounts like Almond Thompson, you can just take him 16 and a half for the

[11:05] just take him 16 and a half for the promo, but whatever. Um, these plays pair well together, right? A little bit of positive correlation. If Thompson goes over 18 and a half points, Jabari Smith on the same team,

[11:21] points, Jabari Smith on the same team, he's more likely to go under. can see here Thompson, I mean, every sports book, all these market data points, FanDuel, Circa, like Circa is a really sharp book. All these books have

[11:36] Thompson's over. I mean Circa minus 150 1.5 to one betting favorite to go over. heavily favored. So this seems solid. Um so we could just run a little simple

[11:48] so we could just run a little simple threeman. Take the bet. And they're not even going to let me do it because I already ran clinging. [ __ ] me. Um so I'll need a replacement slip. I mean maybe you guys can't see my or you

[12:01] that. So they're not going to let me rebet on it. you little fugers. So, let's see here. [snorts] [sighs] What do I want to do? Let's go [sighs] What do I want to do? Let's go to pick six.

[12:27] over 26 and a half pas. Yo, so check this out. I mean, his line's 27 and a this out. I mean, his line's 27 and a half on prize picks. So what we could do is just this. I mean I got to replace Klingan. So over 26 and a half Pas. All

[12:43] the other books have his line higher. It looks like it's pretty solid. [snorts]

[12:58] VJ Edgecomb under 24 and a half Pas. So maybe let's run this. Honestly, sorry. I gotta stop being indecisive. Or you can throw in a talking about this [ __ ] So, let's take Edgecomb under. Give me 850. Go, [ __ ]

[13:13] Let's go. And let me put the link in the chat real quickly. Link's coming, boys. You can run it with the Amen Thompson discount. Again, I'm just being a little lazy. The Cllingan play was under 24 and a half Pas, but the Edgecom play I

[13:29] actually kind of like better. I mean, he's a huge favorite to go under.

[13:44] I kind of wish I had more money in my DraftKings now, locked in. I guess I still have 36 bucks left. [snorts]

[14:00] You got a fun night ahead, [ __ ] [snorts] hey, what book do you guys want to look at? What do we want to do? What do we want to look at?

[14:32] is winning? Who's winning tonight? [snorts] What are the odds? I don't even know, man. Let's pull it up. Um, Indiana [snorts] versus Oregon. This

[14:48] [ __ ] huge game. Okay, so Indiana's minus 150ish. to be a good game. Yesterday was obviously a really [ __ ] good game. Um, but let's see what we can do. So, I

[15:03] think most people are just asking for underdog. So, we can try to do some underdog real quickly. Already got a better slept locked in. So, I'm done for the day on that shitty ass app. But maybe we can do an underdog play.

[15:16] Why is this app always logging me out, bro?

[15:29] Hutchinson under one and a half receptions. Again, underdog all these books. You want to know the optimal slip type? type? Underdog fantasy at sixman's.

[15:47] and let's go here and let's go here. So, I may try to actually bet a little more on this [ __ ]

[16:02] there. They're not really bumping today, which is kind of nice. Okay, so I put another two grand in my DraftKings on my phone. Sorry. And now I want to slam it

[16:14] if they let me. Now, they're only going to give me 839 more. Still, it's beautiful. I love it. Let's run it. [snorts] Okay, so we got some What the [ __ ] What? The multiplier has

[16:30] for your pixat has changed to 5.8x. 5.8x. I mean, I guess they're dinging you a like a little bit for the correlation, like a little bit for the correlation, but that's not the end of the world.

[16:48] Yeah, that's not the end of the world. Whatever. Okay. Anyways, sorry. Um,

[17:01] So, we have Hutchinson under one and a half receptions. That looks really good. [ __ ] out of Kelly Ubé. We're already on his under and points. Now, we're going to add his under ins. Again, I'm a data driven sports. Oh my

[17:15] gosh. Honestly, Honestly, I lied. Yo, just run a three pick entry.

[17:30] worried this play on Carrington is going to get bumped. Let me make sure people see my screen. You know, I'm worried this play on Carrington's going to get bumped. I mean, this is a crazy edge. He's literally a plus 156 offered all

[17:44] the way up to plus. He's a huge underdog to go over 11 and a half points. I don't know if some lineup news just came out. I'm not sure. Um cuz that's a little crazy, but whatever. So, I'm just going to run a threeman 6x payout.

[18:04] and Poly Market compared to other books? Great question. I mean, we can just look, bro. Like [snorts] I think once you include fees I don't think poly market really charges fees obviously

[18:19] you know they do on koshi so like what is the line on koshi I mean here it's is the line on koshi I mean here it's like kshi is pretty not good right like 35 cents of juice here I mean a [ __ ] ton of liquidity but the market is extremely

[18:31] wide I don't know where poly market is if I filtered it out or something but like no vig in general if you you just want to bet on money lines and get the best price. In general, Novig has like

[18:44] extremely tight markets. So, I'd recommend that. But regardless, happened? Did you take my bet or not? Did they take my bet? What are you

[18:58] Did they take my bet? What are you doing, underdog? They did. Yo, so they That play on um Carrington is ridiculously good. Can you show us how to profit from Koshi and Poly Market? I mean, people

[19:12] arbitrage bet live value is kind of nice on Koshi for those who use it. on Koshi for those who use it. I've been slamming dabble all day long. I've been slamming dabble all day long. If anyone wants to tail Davis Kelly,

[19:33] Caleb discount since Vukovich didn't play last night? I guess we could. Can you do that on prize picks? [snorts]

[19:45] I feel like a lot of times prize picks doesn't let me cash out. But yesterday I gave out the play like Prize Pix has a discount on Caleb Williams like a free discount on Caleb Williams like a free square just half of a passing yard. But

[19:58] let's see here, bro. Slide for a refund. So, I guess you could cash out if you wanted to. You could cash out of the Caleb discount and we can find something new to run.

[20:12] [snorts] Um, Pick Six is useless for college basketball just because they like they give you different payouts depending on the sport and unfortunately uh yeah, their payouts are [ __ ]

[20:25] uh yeah, their payouts are [ __ ] horrible for uh uh uh uh college basketball. But what I'm going to do is I'm going to run Al Horford under one and a half assists. [snorts] This looks great, right? He's literally a plus 130

[20:37] underdog to go over. So, his under is the more likely the favorite outcome. DFS, DFS, DFS. Damn, man. I'm an idiot. Price picks actually had UB's line even better at 14

[20:53] and we took his under 13 and a half. Price Pix is slipping, bro. >> Um, [clears throat] but anyways, let me just finish this slip real quick. So, if you wanted a

[21:05] slip real quick. So, if you wanted a different option, right? No. And they bump Zer Williams as well. [ __ ] dude. Give me a sec. Sorry. I'm didn't realize Vukovich didn't play yesterday, so it probably makes sense to

[21:19] yesterday, so it probably makes sense to just cash out our our slip. Um, anyways, a lot of these games start a little bit too soon. They start at four.

[21:31] So, let's see if we can find something new.

[22:00] So like here's another option. Again, you didn't have to cash out. Obviously, whatever the [ __ ] you pair with this Caleb discount is going to be a profitable bet. It's a free square. But someone linked this. I mean, if you

[22:12] wanted a different option, just kind of, you know, kind of go with that. Looks beautiful. This play on Al Horford looks really This play on Al Horford looks really solid,

[22:27] Prize picks play. Okay, three pick entry. [snorts] don't know if you guys can see my screen. There we go.

[22:42] There we go. Okay, so three pick entry. Sorry, I didn't realize I didn't realize they did that yesterday. What are they doing, bro? What are they doing, bro? The [ __ ] bro.

[23:07] has occurred. Okay, now it should work. Let's go, bro. Okay, now it's submitted. Is there anything else that we're in love with? Let's see. Thank you, Delgado. Any sleeper value, bro? Please.

[23:20] you guys want another sleeper play, I got one for you. Give me a sec. So, got one for you. Give me a sec. So, where is sleeper? [ __ ] man.

[23:33] mean, they usually run pretty good discounts.

[23:53] Let's see. What did I miss on Sleeper? They have an NBA boost and NFL boost. The NFL boost I can save till tomorrow. Um, however, the Jacobs discount obviously looks good. We want to take advantage of it. So, let's see. [snorts]

[24:08] So, we could fade Maxi again. Granted, we already kind of did that in our better slip. So, maybe let's just run Mark Williams over 20 and a half Pas.

[24:20] That seems great in the next game. Jacobs discount. I mean, some of these I just don't want to forget to use.

[24:37] DraftKings better. All these [ __ ] books, bro. You can make a lot of money literally just playing promos. These books are in, you know, a war to try to get customers. So, they're all running these promos

[24:51] 24/7, it seems like. And some of them are really lucrative. There's obviously shitty promos. Sleeper will try to trick you. Like, look at this guy. What's his you. Like, look at this guy. What's his name?

[25:08] half passing yards. I bet that's I could be wrong, but I bet that's not even a good line. Damn, this game is 27 minutes away. So, if we look here, passing yards. I assume this play on more is horrible. So, let me just pull up the

[25:20] odds jam screen. No, this is actually really good. His line is 229 half, 234 half. So, I lied. This is why you want to check [ __ ] Yo, his line is like 240 half on some of these books. So, yo, this sleeper like boost is actually very

[25:35] this sleeper like boost is actually very solid. I'm glad I checked.

[25:48] And what we can do is just run John Collins is just run John Collins um with the Dante Moore promo. But anyways, enjoy the game, boys. I think I'm gonna bet uh I think I'm gonna

[26:01] think I'm gonna bet uh I think I'm gonna bet on Oregon, but we'll see.