TubeSum ← Transcribe a video

Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

0h 53m video Published Nov 3, 2025 Transcribed Aug 4, 2026 OddsJam Sports Betting Picks OddsJam Sports Betting Picks
Intermediate 8 min read For: Sports bettors with some experience looking to improve their strategy and understand arbitrage and value betting.
AI Trust Score 65/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"Delivers on the promise of sharp strategies, but the live stream format includes filler and tangents that dilute the value."

AI Summary

In this live stream, sports bettor Alex Monahan shares his sharp, profitable sports betting strategies, focusing on identifying arbitrage opportunities and value bets across multiple sportsbooks. He walks through his process of comparing lines on platforms like PrizePicks, Underdog, and Rebet, and explains why cross-market bets and optimal slip types are key to his success.

[01:45]
Steelers Value

Alex highlights the Steelers as a value bet, noting the line moved from -128 to -133, and mentions he placed a $10K bet on them. He emphasizes the importance of betting early before lines move.

[03:13]
Giants Straight Bet

He recommends a Giants moneyline bet at +130 on Fliff, calling it a 'massively cross market' with lines moving towards the Giants. He suggests hedging on Novig for arbitrage.

[05:09]
PrizePicks Slip

Alex starts a PrizePicks slip with Chase Brown under 12.5 rushing attempts, explaining that the sharp books (Novig, Profitex) have his over at +125, making the under a value play.

[07:43]
Caldwell-Pope Play

He adds Kentavious Caldwell-Pope under 5.5 rebounds, noting it's a 'crazy' play with 6K liquidity. He emphasizes the importance of acting fast as lines get bumped.

[08:39]
Nick Chubb Over

Alex includes Nick Chubb over 10.5 rushing attempts, pointing out that his under is a +134 underdog on sharp books, making the over a strong value pick.

[09:25]
Hartenstein Under

After VJ Edgecombe gets bumped, he replaces it with Isaiah Hartenstein under 11.5 points, noting it's a solid play and that he prefers five or six pick flex plays for optimal math.

[12:40]
Dabble Value

Alex highlights Dabble as having 'ridiculous value,' noting that lines bumped on PrizePicks are still available there. He mentions using shields and the lack of payout shift on Dabble.

[16:24]
DeForest Buckner

He points out a play on DeForest Buckner for tackles+assists, noting it's 'crazy good value' and that PrizePicks bumped it, but it's still available on Pick Six.

[19:31]
John Fitzpatrick TD

Alex highlights John Fitzpatrick to score a touchdown at +1600 on Hard Rock, calling it a 'massively crossed market' with other books at +1000, presenting an arbitrage opportunity.

[21:41]
Underdog Six-Pick

He recommends running six-pick entries on Underdog Fantasy, calling it the 'optimal slip type' and the 'most beatable DFS platform.' He includes plays like Porzingis under 6.5 rebounds.

[27:21]
Flip Value

Alex notes 'incredible value' on Fliff, including Steelers +150, Vikings +415, and Raiders +125, with 58K in liquidity. He emphasizes the confidence in cross-market bets.

[30:33]
Brian Thomas Jr. Under

He recommends Brian Thomas Jr. under 5.5 receptions on Pick Six, noting his over is +121 on sharp peer-to-peer exchanges, making the under a value play.

[32:33]
Grimes Under

Alex points out Quentin Grimes under 16.5 points on Pick Six, noting other books have him at 15.5, making it an 'absolute smash.'

[37:36]
Dabble Slip

He creates a Dabble slip with Vince Williams under 8.5 RAS and Kyle Anderson under 14.5 PAS, noting the lack of payout shift on Dabble, which increases value.

[45:10]
Colts Under

Alex highlights the Colts game under 56.5 on Rebet, noting it's arbitrage to Novig and Pinnacle, and emphasizes the value in 'weird markets.'

[46:15]
Jared Goff INT

He points out Jared Goff to throw an interception at +150 on Hard Rock, noting market makers offer his under at -140, making the over a plus EV bet.

Alex's strategy revolves around identifying arbitrage opportunities and value bets by comparing lines across multiple sportsbooks, emphasizing the importance of acting quickly and using optimal slip types. He encourages viewers to think like a hedge fund and focus on positive expected value.

Mentioned in this Video

Study Flashcards (8)

What is the optimal slip type on PrizePicks according to Alex?

medium Click to reveal answer

A five or six pick flex play, as it gives you roughly -118 juice.

07:29

Why does Alex prefer cross-market bets?

medium Click to reveal answer

Because they offer high confidence in your edge, as one of the two bets must be profitable in an arbitrage opportunity.

06:48

What is the benefit of using multiple sportsbooks?

easy Click to reveal answer

Lines that get bumped on one book may still be available on another, allowing you to take advantage of value.

13:22

What does Alex compare his betting account to?

easy Click to reveal answer

A hedge fund, emphasizing the need to think like a fund manager to get positive ROI.

34:25

What is a 'payout shift' on PrizePicks?

hard Click to reveal answer

When you add 'goblins' (shields) to a slip, the payout reduces from 6x to 3.75x.

15:03

Why does Alex recommend running six-pick entries on Underdog?

medium Click to reveal answer

Because it is mathematically optimal and the most beatable DFS platform.

21:41

What is the significance of the John Fitzpatrick touchdown bet?

medium Click to reveal answer

It's a massively crossed market with +1600 on Hard Rock vs +1000 elsewhere, creating an arbitrage opportunity.

19:31

What does Alex say about the lines on Rebet?

medium Click to reveal answer

There is often 'ridiculous value' and they are arbitrage to sharp books like Novig and Pinnacle.

45:10

💡 Key Takeaways

⚖️

Cross-Market Confidence

Explains the core principle behind arbitrage betting: one of two bets must win, giving high confidence.

06:48
🔧

Multi-Book Advantage

Highlights the practical benefit of using multiple sportsbooks to find lines that haven't been adjusted.

13:22
💡

Think Like a Hedge Fund

Encourages a professional mindset focused on ROI rather than individual bets.

34:25
🔧

Market Maker Arbitrage

Demonstrates how to spot value by comparing market maker lines to retail books.

46:15

[00:17] [clears throat] What is up, guys? Happy Sunday. Yo yo yo. What's up, guys? What's up, everybody?

[00:34] what is up? [snorts] I'm going to give people a sec to get in here and then um we're gonna find some

[00:50] bets. Dude, there is a lot of value available today. We got a lot of [ __ ] we can bet on. Let me know in the chat what sports book you guys want to start out on. Pick six. Underdog.

[01:04] Underdog. Alex, watch your mouth. Will Odds Jam help me with my sports betting journey? Yes, it will. You should learn all the strategies I talk about and pay very close attention to my spreadsheets.

[01:18] They will make you a better sports better. I promise you that. But what I want to do first is What do you guys want to do first? I mean, somebody help me out. What do we want to do, dude? I feel like all these books

[01:31] have a ridiculous amount of value. Underdog, prize picks, everything. Underdog, prize picks, everything. I don't even know where to start, man.

[01:45] bets. Let's just see. Let's see where the value is and let's start getting in some plays. I can't lie, I am all over the Steelers. I actually think there's still really good value on the Steelers. The line was

[01:59] bumped quickly, but dude, you know, lines are really moving towards Pittsburgh. You guys like Pittsburgh tonight? [snorts] So, if you use Rebet, again, the sports book, it's legal, available in basically

[02:14] every state. But dude, there's really good value on Rebet right now on the Steelers. And usually they really increase the maximum betting limits as you get closer to game time. So what did I run? I think I got this. Yeah, I

[02:28] played the Steelers at minus 128. I hit it for like 10K or something like that. So hopefully the Steelers cover. Now it's minus 133, but it's still really good value. It's a, you know, there's no hold in the market. Novig has Colts

[02:42] minus 4 and a half at plus 133, the opposite side of the spread. And you can see it looks amazing to Pinnacle, which has a $100,000 betting limits. You know, these NFL mainline markets, especially as you get closer to game time,

[02:58] you know, really efficient. I'm rocking the Villanova gear today. Hopefully you guys are Villanova fans. Trying out some new schools. Trying out a new hat aside from a Texas hat. Holy moly, dude. We got a bet on the Giants, though. Yo, so

[03:13] I already ran the Giants as a straight bet. I gave that out in the SA Discord. too lazy to live stream, I'll drop picks in there. Yo, what do we think about the Giants today? Giants 49ers. I think this is incredibly solid. It is a massively

[03:29] cross market. Lines are really moving towards the Giants. So, this is on flip. Giants plus 130 straight up moneyline bet. You can see it's arbitrage. Dude, we have so many bucks we got to do. We got so many bucks we got to do. I can't

[03:43] spend too long talking about one play. I promise you I won't. I promise. Maybe, I arbitrage, right? So you could bet Giants on flip. You could hedge on Novig a really sharp book. That is a extremely high amount of liquidity. You could bet,

[03:59] risk-free profit. So one of these two plays has to be profitable. 23K plays has to be profitable. 23K liquidity is crossed. Absolutely insane. But what do we want to do? Maybe we start out with prize picks.

[04:14] >> [snorts] >> prize picks and we got to find something. What else do I want to run? Okay, so I'm going to run Giants. I already used it as a straight bet. If you haven't already used it, run that

[04:27] [ __ ] now as a straight bet. But what's interesting about this sports book rebet is they only let you bet a certain amount on each play.

[04:40] play on Kyle Anderson. [ __ ] me. I'm gonna try [snorts] to find something to pair um I'm gonna try to find something to pair this with real quick and then I want to move on to pick six or some of these

[04:54] other books. Dude, there's a lot of value on prize picks. What the [ __ ] H I don't know. Anyways, maybe I'll just keep Giants as a straight bet. Plus 130. Run that [ __ ] dude. What do we want to do, man? Oh

[05:09] [ __ ] Let's get in a prize picks play. Okay, so the first pick we're gonna go with is Chase Brown. Okay, let's go. Come on, Alex. Lock in. Lock in. I'm locked in. First play we're going to go with, Chase Brown. Under 12

[05:22] and a half rushing attempts. Do you guys like this [ __ ] Alex, your mic is quiet. Can you turn it up? Yo, can you guys not hear me? Can you guys not hear me? Turn up your mic. You sound low, big bro.

[05:37] Can you guys hear me? It's low. It's more quiet than usual. Not really. What the [ __ ] dude?

[05:52] not really. Mic is fine, bro. Are you guys [ __ ] with me? Let's try this. How can you guys hear me now? Is this better? Is this better? Anyways, I'm doing a prize pick slip if you can't hear me. Can you guys hear me?

[06:07] Is this better? Clean your speakers. Better. Better. Your volume is better. Okay, so we should be good now. Anyways, lock in, please. Now, everybody, you all lock in, please. Now, everybody, you all need to lock in. Oh my gosh, dude.

[06:21] Okay, so give me a sec, though. So, what I'm going to run on Flift, do you guys like my Flift plays or do you want prize picks? So, I'm going to run Steelers and I'm going to run I'm going to pair this with Giants first. Two picks. Okay, so

[06:34] I'm already on the Steelers, but might as well double down, right? What is as well double down, right? What is wrong with this [ __ ] camera, dude? Steelers. I'm going to run that as a two pick parlay. You can see here, this is

[06:48] another cross market. And again, the reason cross market bets are just so [ __ ] good is, you know, you just have a really high confidence in your edge. You know, one of the two bets has to be profitable in every arbitrage

[07:02] opportunity. But anyways, let's go here. I don't know why Rebet always says this, dude. Dude, it always doesn't work on my computer. [snorts] But let's get into play. Okay, so we

[07:14] have Chase Brown. Where did that play go? Chase Brown under 12 and a half rushing attempts. So, you can see Novig and Profitex, two of the sharpest books. They have his over as a plus 125 underdog on prize picks. You go through

[07:29] the math. I've gone through the math in many YouTube videos, but you'll see for a five or six pick flex play, you're basically just getting minus 118 juice. you're getting the same [ __ ] payout. So, anyways, second play we're going to

[07:43] So, anyways, second play we're going to go with is Caldwell Pope play's crazy, too, dude. 6K in [ __ ] liquidity, bro. Oh my god. Okay, VJ

[07:57] Edgecomb under five and a half rebounds. I mean, I already gave this out on [ __ ] but I don't really care, dude. I'm going to do a five pick or a six pick. Again, sometimes I'll run three picks if there's three really good

[08:11] picks. Now there's 36k in liquidity. This is crazy, dude. Sharps are just absolutely hammering the Giants. 36K in liquidity is crossed. Um, this is

[08:23] definitely get that locked in. But regardless, let's just finish this slip. What else do we like? Yo, this play on Chub is still available. It's still crazy value, so why not, right? I mean, why not? Nick Chub over 10 and a half

[08:39] rushing attempts. I'm going to do a six-man. So, if you don't want to reuse Twitter, but this play's crazy, dude. Like, his under is literally a plus 134 underdog. So, we obviously want to be on his over. What the [ __ ] Nerkich over.

[08:55] This is another very good play, dude. What is going on? So, NBA, NFL, dude, value is popping out like a Value is popping. Okay. Uh,

[09:07] I feel like my voice is cracking. I'm so excited for these games to start. [snorts] Um, where I love sports. No. No. Okay. So, [ __ ] you. They already removed VJ Edgecom. That's pretty telling.

[09:25] Um, but what we can do that's okay, Alex, chill, [snorts] is we can run Hartinstein under 11 and a half points. What do we think about this? Yeah, I'm fine with it. Okay, so

[09:37] I'm running a five pick entry. Again, that's the optimal slip type. If you go through the math, I don't really care if you believe me or not. I've done videos to try to run five or six pick flex plays or three mans. three mans. If

[09:50] want to move quick so [ __ ] doesn't get bumped. Sometimes I'll run a three pick entry. Yo, get this locked in. Can people see my screen? Maybe, maybe not. Sorry if you can't. Yo, three pick entry. Get this locked in. Can somebody

[10:04] please put the link in the chat? Yo, can somebody please put the link in the chat? Five pick flex play on prize picks. Get this locked in. Can people hear me? Yo, where's Peter Graaser? We miss you, champ.

[10:20] What was the edge come play? Under five and a half rebounds, but unfortunately they bumped it. And are you [ __ ] kidding me, dude? Did they literally just remove Cantavius Caldwell Pope?

[10:36] Williams. Dude, these bumps are [ __ ] pissing me off. They've already bumped two picks. We were trying to bet. Like, what are you doing, dude? Um, damn. half rebounds. I mean, it's frustrating,

[10:50] but okay. So, we have two NFL picks right these Bucks bump lines. Otherwise, I would never bump [ __ ] I would bump [ __ ] Chub to nine and a half rushing attempts for you guys. That's how much I love you

[11:04] Yo, we got any Villanova fans in the chat, man? We got any Villanova fans in the chat, man? the chat, man? Anyways,

[11:19] Okay, get it locked in. Somebody put the link in the chat. Sorry about the Caldwell Pope play. They bumped that [ __ ] fast.

[11:34] party. Link. Link. Link. Can you do a dabble slip, please? yo, Alex, why don't you use Sport Zeno sports book? I used to do Sport Zeno,

[11:48] minute. Some of you guys don't realize that. I bet on Sport Zeno before on streams. It's just I think I got limited. I don't know. There's so many sports books I kind of got to focus, you know, [snorts]

[12:03] but I definitely use Sports Zeno. I think I just got limited, you know, which sucks, but that's kind of part of the game. Yo, so Steelers plus five and a half. I love this line movement towards the Steelers, bro. Am I

[12:15] hammer the Steelers again? Typically these books, especially the Bruh, [ __ ] you, Daniel Jones. Dude, Aaron Rogers is still good. A lot of you guys, you

[12:27] [ __ ] put it past him. Anyways, click the button. Click the button. I would bet on the Steelers, but I did promise some Dabble slips. So, let me do that and not get distracted and just keep doing, you know. Oh my gosh, bro. Dabble

[12:40] has ridiculous value. Does anyone know the best shield you can go with on chat the best Dabble shield? So, the Edgecomb play, for example, this got bumped on on prize picks, but it's still

[12:52] available. It's still available on Dabble. [snorts] So, what we can do again, dabble prize picks. Like all these books kind of work the same way. Um, you know, dabble prize picks, they both give you a 6x payout

[13:08] for three pick entries. Literally the exact same [ __ ] thing, but they have sometimes a prize picks bumps a really good line. You can still get it on dabble. Oh boy.

[13:22] Same thing with this Caldwell Pope play. These books, they think they're all clever, but again, that's, you know, why you got to be using multiple books. They you got to be using multiple books. They they thought they got us. Damn. Can

[13:34] getting these assists, but we're not going to let that bother us. We're going harder than he's ever been ridden before. Yo, threeman on prize picks. What do we think about this? This looks solid. Does anyone know the best Shield?

[13:50] Lee Carson. Yo, so first things first, I'm going to run this this. Will Smith shot on goal. Seal Shields are on odds jam. Victor Hedman

[14:04] shot on goal. Yeah, Shields are on odds jam now. So, here's the threeman again. I'm max limited on this book. So, like, you know, unfortunately, I can't bet on it a lot. What did someone say? Zack Wenarenski. Zack Wenorki

[14:20] Someone said that's the best one. There's no payout shift. So, you could higher value play. I mean, it's definitely a higher value play. Like, definitely a higher value play. Like, this book dabble is insane. Like,

[14:35] they're literally saying that this is supposed to have a.7x multiplier and then they're just not adding in the multiplier. It's crazy. There's dabble shields on odds jam, by the way, Alex. Yeah, but you still don't

[14:49] know which one has the payout shift, right? So again, like on prize picks, if you start including these goblins in a slip, which is basically what a shield is. Sorry, sorry. They reduce your payout from 6x

[15:03] payout from 6x to 3.75x. these they just kind of like forget to they they forget to add in the payout shift. It's crazy. [snorts] You can add Joe Flacco and Drake May for

[15:20] a 20x. Show the play. The play is showing, dude. So much value on better. Let's do a better slip. [snorts] Okay, boys. We're doing a better slip. Come on, dude. We got 37 minutes before literally half you guys leave me. You

[15:36] guys don't even say bye. A lot of the time you just dip. It's like, okay, see time you just dip. It's like, okay, see you guys. Um, sheesh, man.

[15:53] ridiculously good, dude. We hit better backtoback days. No way, and none of you guys even Not one thank you. Not one thank you in

[16:09] this chat people. [ __ ] you're talking TOO MUCH. NOT ONE thank you. [sighs] Um, let's see what we can do. [snorts]

[16:24] Come here, D. Forest Buckner. What a sick name. So, again, this play is crazy good value. Unfortunately, prize picks bumped it, right? So,

[16:37] that's the benefit of using multiple books. Same thing here. I got this play on pick six. Absolutely insane value. Josh Hart sucks. Deforest Buckner, not as much liquidity, but for these very niche markets, like [ __ ] tackles plus

[16:52] niche markets, like [ __ ] tackles plus assists, player props. I mean, you still have other data points, too. Like, every buck has his over favored, and it's across market. Like, underdog Fantasy, his over's heavily favored.

[17:06] Profitex has his under at plus 140. That's definitely a market maker. These peer-to-peer sites in general, the people offering liquidity, setting lines people offering liquidity, setting lines are like trading firms. [sighs]

[17:31] damn, dude. What do we want to go with? Drummond points, boys. What do we think Drummond points, boys. What do we think about Andre Drummond points?

[17:49] perfect play? What do you guys think about this slip? What do you guys think? Pass. Pass. Yo, you guys got to remember, man,

[18:02] we hit backtoback days. Lock in. I am locked in. Hit the slip. Josh Hart about a cell. Shut the [ __ ] up, dude. Um, pass. No, Drummond,

[18:18] man. These dudes don't know Drummond be shooting threes now. Exactly. Who just asked for owners box? Yo, Louis Vuitton Dawn, aren't you the same guy who just told me I'm a Yappuccino? We're not

[18:32] doing pick six then. I'll suck you for some owners box. You guys are the opposite of tempting. Anyways, I'm done with better for today.

[18:48] FanDuel or Hard Rock is legal. Dan, shut the [ __ ] up, dude. Why is the Facebook chat always just these old angry men? Bro, the Twitch chat is a bunch of kids in high school. Facebook chat, bunch of angry old men. I can't win.

[19:04] I CAN'T [ __ ] win here. [snorts] Um, let's see though. Uh, what were we talking about? Oh, is there an owner's box promo? What did people want to do? Oh, people wanted to see touchdown value. I apologize. Let's

[19:19] see. What are the best touchdown scores? John Fitzpat. Wow. Yo, if you use Hard Rock, Dan. Okay, here's a play, dude. Um, John

[19:31] Fitzpatrick to score a touchdown plus 1600. Oh my god, why is there so much value on the Steelers, bro? John Fitzpatrick to score a touchdown plus 1600. Every other book has him around plus a,000 and it's a massively

[19:47] crossed market, right? That is arbitrage. So again, Hard Rock is a very stupid sports book. No vague profitex are very sharp sports books. Sharp sports books. smart sports books. This is arbitrage right to both books. So you

[20:03] could literally bet both outcomes, guarantee a profit. [snorts] So long side. Whenever there's an ARB opportunity, one of the two bets has to be profitable 99.9% [snorts] of the time.

[20:19] you're missing out on the Raiders on Fliff. Yo, chill, dude. Give me a sec. Fliff. Yo, chill, dude. Give me a sec. I'm trying my best here. Damn.

[20:35] Has prize picks bump this? They have not bumped this. Very interesting. Underdog. Underdog. Underdog. Okay, we'll do underdog. Give me a sec.

[20:52] Give me a sec. Give me a sec. We'll do underdog. I promised, dude. Okay, we can do some underdog. [ __ ] dude. What What What's the best FanDuel touchdown value? What's the best FanDuel touchdown value? Bo Collins plus,500.

[21:06] Pare plus 360. This actually looks very good. And Shahed plus 460. That's the I'm not in a state where FanDuel is legal. So, oh my god, we have NBA value.

[21:20] [ __ ] Um, Oh, underdog. So, let's get it going. Okay.

[21:41] on Underdog Fantasy. That [snorts] is the optimal slip type. This is by far the optimal slip type. This is by far the most beatable DFS platform. And what I wanted to say is you should try to run six pick entries. Those are

[21:53] mathematically optimal. Let's get it going, boys. this, so don't even complain. If if you want a different sports book, you got to

[22:07] put that in the chat. Otherwise, how am I supposed to know? Porzingis under six and a half rebounds. MPJ absolutely ass. Brooklyn Nets. [snorts] Brooklyn Nets. [snorts] My My main problem is woman. Shut up.

[22:21] Michael Porter Jr., your main problem is not being able to score buckets. [snorts] Anyways, Porzingis, his over is literally a plus 121 underdog. Plus 122 with a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Oh boy, we got value on pick six. I love fading fa

[22:36] fading Isaiah Hartinstein. I feel like he never does anything. We have three picks so far, but again, what type of slip is mathematically optimal? You're correct. It is a six pick flex play. If you guys want, I can go through the math

[22:48] [snorts] It is completely up to you. Completely up to you. What do we like? No, I'm going to get rid of that AJ Mitchell play. That doesn't make sense to pair. We're going to take Jock Landale.

[23:03] Dude, [snorts] why is there so much value? I don't know. value? I don't know. Damn. All NBA value, not as much. Uh Damn. All NBA value, not as much. Uh uh so Colin Ston over 20 and a half pas

[23:16] under a massive favorite. This is crazy good. [snorts] good. [snorts] Um damn Kyle Anderson. [ __ ] you, bro. So now I am going to go to the AJ Mitchell play.

[23:30] We're going to run his over and assist. And where where are you Mitchell? Dude, these bumps are crazy. So is there any correlation to worry about? Eh, not really. Get this locked in. Six pick entry. Again, if you go through the math

[23:45] behind underdog, the payouts right here, you'll see this is the optimal slip type. They're basically just charging you. Somebody put the link in the chat. They're basically just charging you minus 116 juice.

[24:01] What the [ __ ] dude? They already bumped Michael Porter Jr. Um,

[24:13] Nah, pass. Vince Williams under 16 and a half pas. game? Yeah, that kind of fits with the Jock Yeah, that kind of fits with the Jock Land play, so I guess that's fine. Wait.

[24:29] Yep. Hey, get this locked in. And I'm giving you guys like 3 seconds. You all wanted underdog. It was like a uniform. Everyone wants underdog. You guys have like 14 more seconds. I'm trying to rip

[24:41] a bunch of bets. We got 28 minutes until the game starts. I'm drinking my coffee. Go lock this in. Okay, you guys had plenty of time.

[24:54] Okay, you guys had plenty of time. Um, at? What book do you guys want to look at?

[25:06] What book do you guys want to look at? Follow me on YouTube. please. Is there a promo on underdog? Dabble pick six. More prize picks.

[25:18] FanDuel. Again, I'm not in a state where FanDuel is legal. I can pull up the value. Hard Rock FanDuel are both ridiculous, bro. John Fitzpat, like this is crazy. Like, look at this play. Matthew Schaefer shot on goal over two

[25:32] and a half plus 130 on Hard Rock. Literally, all these market makers are offering his under at minus 122, which means they're trying to bet the over at plus 122 for thousands and thousands of dollars. It looks ridiculous relative to

[25:46] dollars. It looks ridiculous relative to literally every other sports book. Crazy, right? And again, you could just arbit bet the over on Hard Rock, the under on the very sharp peer-to-peer betting

[25:59] exchange, Profitex, to guarantee a risk-free profit. You know what I mean, bro? Let's see what we can do, though. Um, what's the best FanDuel value? I told you, dude. Dawson Mercer under one and a

[26:12] half shots on goal. Dude, FanDuel's popping. Okay, pick six. People want pick six. What other What else did people say? What other What else did people say? owners box in prize picks and flip.

[26:26] Those are the main three I see. And rebet. A lot of people are begging for rebet. A lot of people are begging for rebet. Fascinating. So, let's see. Damn, dude. Hoy,

[26:39] why is there so much Steelers value still? Yo, this play on Jiren Jackson under in points is crazy. You guys remember when Jaylen Johnson under in points? Yo, you guys remember when I hit a [ __ ]

[26:52] play yesterday? That was sick. And they already bumped him. What the [ __ ] dude? Sorry. Um Oh my gosh. What is going on?

[27:06] Oh my gosh. Oh my gosh. Yo, Raiders, incredible value. Steelers, Vikings, all incredible value. Dude, what? Yo, Flip is going crazy right now. I don't know what just happened, but this is

[27:21] ridiculous. Look at all this, dude. There is 58K in liquidity. Oh my god. Go, go, go. Yo, what were these? what were these? Steelers + 150. Smash.

[27:37] Steelers + 150. Smash. Vikings plus 415. Smash. Okay. And Raiders, dude, Raiders is crazy

[27:50] And Raiders, dude, Raiders is crazy good. Plus 125. Look at the liquidity. makers, right? Higher confidence in your edge. This is crazy, dude. Oh my gosh.

[28:02] edge. This is crazy, dude. Oh my gosh. Raiders, No. Saying I already bet on the Steelers. Steelers. No.

[28:20] Henderson over in rushing attempts. Where's the Falcons game? Yo, Trayvon Henderson over 13 and a half rushing attempts. No. What is going on, dude? Oh my gosh, there is so much value. What is going

[28:36] on, dude? This is crazy. I hate before I just get stressed. Um, where's the Lions just get stressed. Um, where's the Lions game? under 48 half. Another very good play. Again, the amazing No. And they bumped it. Again, the amazing

[28:52] thing, the reason you always start with cross market bets is you have an extremely high confidence in your edge. Whenever there is arbitrage, whenever there's an ARB opportunity, there's millions of odds available across sports

[29:04] books. Whenever they're so out of sync, you can bet equal and opposite outcomes guarantee a profit. You know, one of the two bets has to be profitable, you know. two bets has to be profitable, you know. [snorts]

[29:22] all this. Look at all this [ __ ] moving, dude. These books are terrified of us. Raiders, Vikings, Steelers, Giants, Steelers. I'm not going to lie, I did

[29:35] give this out in the Discord, in the SA Discord, in the SA Discord. Um, I did give that out. Panthers plus 705. I'm sorry, dude. Plus 705. I gotta dabble. believe they paid Michael Parsons that much money. The Commanders are easily

[29:52] going to win the NFC East. Pick six NFL boost. I already gave out all the Pick Six promos, but I can take a look at pick six and we can see if there's anything good, dude.

[30:05] dude. Mom, let's see what we can do. Okay. Yo guys, chill again. I already ran the pick six boost. I gave them literally all out to you on the previous live stream. You guys act like I didn't,

[30:19] live stream. You guys act like I didn't, but I did. So, the first play you'd want to go with 100% is Brian Thomas Jr. If you haven't run the pick six NFL boost, I'm giving you a slip, but again, I already ran it, dude, so I'm not going

[30:33] to be able to use the boost. Brian Thomas Jr. under five and a half receptions. This is another fixed payout sports book. You take his over, you take regardless. You can see his over is literally plus 121 on these extremely

[30:46] sharp uh peer-to-peer betting exchanges. [snorts] Wow. Way more NBA value, unfortunately, than NFL. A little surprising.

[30:59] A little surprising. What do we like? I I do love this Brian Thomas play, though. Honestly, this is very solid, dude. I don't know what they're doing. Dobbins under 71 a half. RR literally every

[31:15] under 71 a half. RR literally every other book has his line at 66 half. play. Washington Commanders, your future NFC East champions. You just got to give

[31:27] them a little bit of time to develop. We got uh we got Bill. Huge NBA Young Boy fan. Yo, this is what I would run. Three pick entry for the profit boost. It looks absolutely incredible. Um, yeah, this is what you should run

[31:41] for the promo. Okay, go. This is what you should run for the promo. Okay, let's keep it going, boys.

[31:58] promo. Okay, let's keep it going, boys. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] [ __ ] me, dude. [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] [ __ ] me, dude. [ __ ] [ __ ] Um

[32:15] yo I'm scheming right now. I am scheming right now. Okay.

[32:33] NBA pick six. Get ready. Grimes under 16 and a half points. Every other sports book, every other market data point has him at 15 and a half. data point has him at 15 and a half. Absolute smash.

[32:53] that play was removed on all the other books. Mitchell over an assist. Please give me $10,000. No. 500 bucks. Why? Why?

[33:12] on that [ __ ] Regardless, sick play. Absolutely scheming. You can see here, Caldwell Pope, his over is offered at plus 126 with a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Citadel Securities, Renaissance Technology,

[33:27] Susuana International Group, Goldman Sachs is saying, "Yo, we're offering liquidity now on these peer-to-peer betting exchanges. Their offering is over at plus 126. That means they want to bet his under at minus 126." [snorts]

[33:41] to bet his under at minus 126." [snorts] You know, [ __ ] that up. Yo, someone's saying I'm missing things on flip. What am I

[33:56] missing things on flip. What am I missing? the underdogs, dude? We are never backing a favored team on these live

[34:10] streams. Why? I don't know. But [ __ ] it. I'm dabbling again. You know, you got to think, dude, you are a hedge fund. Some people will tell you, you tell them, "Hey, man, my FanDuel account is a hedge

[34:25] That's how you want to think. That's how you gotta think. That's how you got to think. You know, that's how you got to think. You know, that's how you got to think.

[34:41] try to get a positive ROI. You know, I'm a hedge fund. Alex Monahan LLC Incorporated. Hedge fund. Let's keep it going, though. Let's see what we got. So, Giants. Sheesh. Raider spread looks good, too.

[35:03] Unsurprising. A lot of times if a book is messing up. 250 max. Again, a parlay is just a combination of bets. Two plus EV picks

[35:19] paired together. Sleeper, I made 5K last month tailing your hedge fund. There we go. That's what I like to hear. That's what I like what I like to hear. That's what I like to hear. [snorts]

[35:33] Follow me on Instagram. Why does my neighbor take LaMelo on Novig? Um, what much time left. I know some people wanted FanDuel, dude. 60K in liquidity.

[35:52] this again? Who's the problem? You're unable Why do Who's the problem? You're unable Why do they have limits of $500, dude?

[36:07] Can somebody explain it to me like I'm [ __ ] five, bro? What books do you guys want to do, though? Damn. I bet like 60k today. This is a Damn. I bet like 60k today. This is a problem.

[36:24] [ __ ] dude. We have a big day ahead. Um dude. We have a big day ahead. Um he [ __ ] Okay, I see Dabble. Can somebody please just tell me real

[36:38] quickly what are the best Dabble shields so we can get to it? Prize picks again. Okay, so maybe people just want prize picks, which is kind of

[36:52] just want prize picks, which is kind of fine with me.

[37:19] do a dabble slip. Um, let's see what we can do. [snorts] So, let's go to Dabble. Damn, they have this, bro. Dabble is popping, dude. Look at this play. Oh my gosh. Vince Williams. E,

[37:36] are they just not bumping everything? Yo, again on Dabble, you can copy my plays directly from the app. Okay, so you have Vince Williams. What is the best shield for a threeman under eight and a half RAS? Beautiful.

[37:54] Kyle Anderson, under 14 and a half Pas. Beautiful. These two picks are beautiful. What is the best shield? What beautiful. What is the best shield? What is the best shield?

[38:09] Celabbrini shield. Okay, so here's the dabble slip again. This is [ __ ] crazy, dude. On prize picks, you start running Goblins. They add a payout shift. On dabble, there is no payout shift and they unfortunately

[38:23] bump the Vince Williams play. What are we doing, man? Let's see here. So, maybe just run. [ __ ] dude. I hate to do this to you guys because we already ran Caldwell Pope under an assist on DraftKings pick

[38:37] six, but what I would do is I would just run Caldwell Pope under an assist. I get it. He's gone over the last few games. I don't care. So, this is crazy, dude. It's supposed to give you a multiplier of 7x on your threeman. They're still

[38:49] giving you a 6x payout. They're still giving you a 6x payout. That's crazy. On prize picks, you start adding in these goblins, they go crazy. You guys want to do a prize picks play or flip or rebet?

[39:03] Oh [ __ ] Let's see here.

[39:18] the underdogs, bro. This is a problem. I'm not going to lie. This is crazy, dude. On rebet. Vikings, Raiders plus three. I know. I promised. I gotta do that. Oh my gosh. I also like the under in the

[39:32] 49ers game. Under 49 half. That's a cross market. This Raiders play is crazy. Yo, get this locked in though. First Raiders game. This is arbitrage. bets has to be profitable. What do you guys want? Do you want prize picks or

[39:47] under and the 49ers game. I do like that a lot. Again, it's the under 49 half at minus 125. A lot of these books have alt markets, so you can kind of rip different lines. A lot of you guys like thinking about ripping lines. So, it was

[40:01] Raiders plus three. Why do we have so much money on the Raiders, dude? [snorts] Who is the quarterback? Is it still Gino or did he get benched? [ __ ] me, dude. Let's keep it going. Oh my gosh. Prize picks is popping. We got to

[40:13] do a prize pick play, [snorts] but I also want to bet on the Raiders. Hey, let's get to it. Prize picks. We're running a fiveman. Holy moly. A Donnie Mitchell. Uh, sorry. This is AJ Mitchell again on prize picks. Optimal slip is a

[40:28] five or a six pick flex play. [snorts] First play we're going to go with is AJ Mitchell over two and a half assists. Again, crazy value play. Prize picks, fixed payouts. You take his over, you take his under, you're getting the same

[40:41] payout regardless. Both of these plays are absolutely insane. I'm going to run a fiveman on prize picks. I'm going to try to make your day, your dreams come true. Andre Drummond. Everyone was saying he's um he's having a crazy

[40:54] season. He's bouncing back. He's putting up huge numbers this year. Let's see it, big boy. So, we could just run a threeman or you could say, "Yo, Alex, that's actually would be very annoying because

[41:08] [snorts] you promised me a six pick entry." And I would say, "Okay." Um yo, so a lot of NBA value. Unfortunately, not much.

[41:22] Not as much NFL value maybe as I expected. Sexton PAS. This is a crazy good play. Wait. Yeah, this

[41:36] fiveman get this locked in. Yo, I'll zoom in. Can somebody please put the this? If you want to run this, can somebody please put the link in the somebody please put the link in the chat?

[41:50] Here's the final ones. Go, go, go. Get it locked in.

[42:02] do a dabble slip. Didn't we just do a dabble slip? Where's the link? Yo, somebody There's like four people who have posted the There's like literally four people who have posted the link.

[42:18] have posted the link. >> [clears throat]

[42:32] I see some people begging on their hands and knees for underdog. [snorts] picks or if you get higher betting limits, again, on underdog, sixmans are

[42:47] optimal, but sometimes they're just like bumping things too fast, which kind of was the case initially. So, I would just personally probably run this as a three personally probably run this as a three pick entry. Why is there a payout shift?

[43:01] Oh, there's a slight payout shift. Maybe we don't want to do that. payout shifts. Oh [ __ ]

[43:21] even thought about betting on this. Holy moly. I may have been missing out. moly. I may have been missing out. What the [ __ ] dude? Aziz Alhasher.

[43:33] I don't know if I pronounced that right. over two and a half assists. Wait, this is why there's a payout shift. I'm so confused.

[43:47] shift. I'm so confused. Nerkish. Murphy play. Just keep it all overs. Threeman on underdog. Look at this Aziz

[43:59] Just like prize picks, you're getting minus 122 odds. That's a three or a five pick. Crossed with DraftKings. DraftKings not as many data points, but these books have his over like massively favored.

[44:17] Okay, you guys had plenty of time to bet it, I feel like. I mean, what? Oh, [ __ ] Okay, I guess we used him in the last slip, so

[44:29] I'm just going to run Trey Murphy. Um, favor? Yeah, but that's probably because it's negatively correlated.

[44:43] More flip or rebet or DK pick six, please? Let's see. DraftKings pick six. It's the same [ __ ] Okay, there's not much other value. I'm Okay, there's not much other value. I'm not going to force a bet. Um, rebet flip

[44:58] again. FanDuel has a ton of value. Oh my gosh, dude. gosh, dude. What is going on?

[45:10] dude, again, sometimes it's these weird ass [ __ ] markets, bro. So, in the Colts game, the under. I mean, dude, like heavy liquidity cross. Not only is Rebat arbitrage to Novig, it's also arbitrage to Pinnacle.

[45:24] An insanely sharp book. I don't know what is going on here. Why is the Why Why is there always so much value on this book, dude? Colts game under 56

[45:36] this book, dude? Colts game under 56 half. Under 56 half, dude. Sometimes the values in these weird markets. How much time until game time? What other books do you guys want to look at? Dude, I literally have like

[45:49] I'm probably getting close to 100K bet today. This is a problem. Today could go horribly. Again, typically right before game time, that's when these books, at least regular sports books, not as much on

[46:02] to give you the highest betting limits. Hard Rock. Someone's asking for what's Hard Rock. Someone's asking for what's the best Hard Rock value. Uh Jared Goff to throw an interception plus 150. That plays crazy. What the [ __ ] dude? I wish

[46:15] I was in a state right now where hard rock was legal. Literally four like market makers 5k liquidity. Their offering is under at minus 140, which means they want to bet his over at plus 140. You're copying their homework and

[46:29] getting plus 150 on Hard Rock. By definition, one of these two bets has to be plus EB or profitable. Hard Rock is the dumb as [ __ ] sports books or sorry, um, yeah, Hard Rock's the dumb as [ __ ] sports book. Give me like 20K on this,

[46:42] dude. Why don't Why do they only give you a max bet size of $1,000, but then they let you bet 10K? It literally just like wastes my time, dude. Why do they do that? I literally need to burn all this money in my account though.

[46:58] Hey, so we need Steelers and a lowscoring game. That's what I am talking about. What else do you got for me though, dude? Giants on flip is crazy. So is Vikings. So is Chargers. I don't even understand, dude. Now it's

[47:12] saying the market is just absolutely ripping towards the Giants. Kind of crazy. Now I think even plus 124 would be solid. Yo, Titan spread. I'm gonna run on flip again. I already bet to the max the

[47:26] money line. Yo, come on, dude. Where is Titan spread? This is a 10:00 a.m. game. Where's the game? Okay, I'm betting that. Um,

[47:43] right. High confidence in your edge. You go to the Chargers, right? Arbitrage, heavy liquidity. arbitrage everywhere. It's [ __ ] arbitrage everywhere. It's [ __ ] crazy, dude. Like, what is going on?

[47:56] crazy, dude. Like, what is going on? What is going on, bro? Security neighbor. Bye, Alex. Have a good day. Let's see some bet MGM.

[48:09] a good day. Let's see some bet MGM. Oh, baby. [ __ ] This is crazy, man. Lines are just absolutely ripping towards the Giants. I this, boys. >> [snorts]

[48:21] >> [snorts] >> or sorry that is not the Giants. I mean, not that massively, but plus 140 to around plus 115. I guess that's not

[48:38] as crazy as I thought. Um, FanDuel again. Best FanDuel value probably Brandon Ingram over one and a half threes.

[48:51] But let's see if there's anything else. I I want to see underdog. I want to see I I want to see underdog. I want to see these DFS books dabble prize picks. What else could we do? Oh man.

[49:11] Brunson over in PAS cross market heavy liquidity his unders being offered at liquidity his unders being offered at plus 126. So obviously his overs the Kyle Anderson play? I don't even

[49:24] remember. Yeah, we did. [ __ ] I can't believe they actually has pretty insane value. I mean his overs offered at plus 140. Not really sure what they're doing here. What their plan is.

[49:51] under. No, wait. Let me make sure I got this right. It may have been Lacier over. Yep. Crazy, dude. Jaylen Ramsay under. Yo, threeman on

[50:07] underdog. I mean, this game starting soon. Get this locked in. If you want to play it. If you want to play it, get this locked in ASAP. Play it. Play it. this locked in ASAP. Play it. Play it. Play it.

[50:22] win. What a [ __ ] [ __ ] we have in the chat. Dude, if you're crying about politics, dude, you need a [ __ ] job, bro. I guarantee you, you are unemployed. How much coke do you sniff in a 24-hour period? I've

[50:36] do you sniff in a 24-hour period? I've never done Coke, actually. Dude, [ __ ] crying about Kl Harris winning. Oh, I'm so sorry. winning. Oh, I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry. You're a [ __ ] beta boy.

[50:52] Bro, that's the funniest message I've seen in a minute. seen in a minute. What a value we got. Oh [ __ ] It was the worst day in history when Donald Trump was elected. What?

[51:11] Oh [ __ ] [ __ ] dude. We're not going to have time. pick six slip? [ __ ] dude. There's some really solid pick six value that just popped up. Sheesh. We're not going to have enough time. Terrell Jennings over

[51:27] in rushing yards and James Cook under in rushing attempts, but we're not going to rushing attempts, but we're not going to have enough time. about Pick Six is they only let you bet on things today or sorry, in the same

[51:43] league. So, you can't pair like NBA with It doesn't really make much sense, but I It doesn't really make much sense, but I don't know what to tell you, you know?

[52:05] under in rushing attempts. 14 seconds. You got 14 seconds to get 14 seconds. You got 14 seconds to get this locked in.

[52:19] Yo, so this was the play again. Yeah, it's already gone. [ __ ] Sorry, guys. Let me find a replacement. What's the best shield on Dabble right now?

[52:33] What's the best shield on Dabble right now? shield? So, I'm going to run this and then let's go here. Let's get rid of the Pope play because we've run it a few times. What's the best shield? Jacob's

[52:47] times. What's the best shield? Jacob's ATD. Will Smith shot on goal. Will Smith shot on goal. Why do you have 56k in your flip account? Will Smith shot on gold doesn't work. Because fliff only allows you to

[53:02] withdraw like 5k a month. So I've been withdrawing but then I keep making more money on flip. So like every month the balance keeps going higher. balance keeps going higher. Luca double double. Thank you.

[53:16] Thank you. Thank you. I love you. I literally love you later. Alex gonna enjoy some football. What a [ __ ] beta boy, dude. This guy's leaving because he needs to watch the start of the game, not staying on my

[53:30] stream. Oh my god.

[53:49] now. I'll drop more plays in the Discord. I got to answer that call. I got to answer that call. See you guys.

More from OddsJam Sports Betting Picks

View all

⚡ Saved you 0h 53m reading this? Transcribe any YouTube video for free — no signup needed.