Sports Betting Strategies — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:19] What is up, baby? What's up, guys? How's everyone doing? 24 hours till the NBA. What's up, Cozy Trash Fire? I love

[00:32] NBA. What's up, Cozy Trash Fire? I love Cozy Trash Fire. As Cozy Trash Fire just mentioned, dude, tomorrow we have NBA, bro. NBA, MLB, NHL. Dude, it is going to

[00:44] [ __ ] is going to get crazy starting tomorrow, man. [ __ ] is really gonna get crazy, bro. I'm literally in class right now. What's up, guys? Man, I don't know why these NFL games are starting early. I did not want to live stream right now,

[01:00] but we literally have a game starting in um uh we got a game starting in 34 minutes. So, somebody's got to find some bets and that person is going to be me. bets and that person is going to be me. Um

[01:17] Jets are [ __ ] ass. Jets suck. Best touchdown bet for tonight. Honestly, I can't even lie. I'm pretty annoyed with my uh I'm pretty annoyed with my Anyways, let's just get into some bets. Let me shut up for a sec.

[01:32] Let's see what we can do. Dude, I What the [ __ ] bro? I I literally bet this guy. Where is this guy? Where is this guy? Dude, I bet him at plus 600. The line moved against me to plus 750. What the

[01:47] moved against me to plus 750. What the [ __ ] But sorry, sorry if you bet it previously because now you could have just gotten better odds. But regardless, I'm locking it in again. Sean Tucker to score a touchdown plus 750.

[02:02] This is a super solid play, bro. It is a massively crossed market. Granted, it was a crossed market before and that didn't work out too well for and that didn't work out too well for me, did it? Where is this Tucker, bro?

[02:17] Dude, so I mean like this is arbitrage, right? Like FanDuel and Profitex as well as Novig, they're so out of sync, you could just arbitrage bet it. You could bet on Sean Tuger to score a touchdown on FanDuel and then you could hedge bet

[02:31] is under on Profitex and you'd make a risk-free profit. So one of the two risk-free profit. So one of the two plays TLDDR has to be profitable or plus EV. But unfortunately that line moved against me and you can see there's a

[02:43] [ __ ] ton of liquidity, bro. Like there is over 11K arbitrage with FanDuel right now, but there's also a lot of NBA value. So, we're kind of gonna need to manage our time effectively because we got NBA tomorrow.

[02:59] got NBA tomorrow. And there's a lot of NBA value, boys. Yeah, we got a lot of NBA value, boys. Nor Easterners, hard hard [ __ ] you're messing up my gym flow, bro. Remember, dude, only short

[03:15] dudes go to the gym and lift weights, bro. Everyone else is on the treadmill. Only short dudes. Short dudes love lifting weights because they're [ __ ] short, dude. Short dudes love lifting weights. It [ __ ] is hilarious, bro.

[03:30] Every time you go to the gym, there's just the [ __ ] jacked ass 53, dude. Yo, what book do we want to do? Let's do some prize picks. All right, boys. So, the first play we're going to go with is we're going to fade Jimmy Butler. Okay.

[03:46] Let's see what we can do. You guys like prize picks, right? Are there any prize picks discounts? You guys remember when prize picks used to run discounts like every every day? Yeah, that has not been the case anymore, unfortunately.

[04:01] first player I'm going to go with is Jimmy Butler under 29 and a half Pas. He does looks, dude. Jimmy Butler is really good looking under 29 and a half Pas.

[04:13] This play's crazy good. So, you can see on Novig super sharp book, his over is offered all the way up at plus 123. Dude, we have a lot of value. There's a Dude, we have a lot of value. There's a lot of value on better right now, too.

[04:31] Yo, so his over is offered at plus 123. Obviously, you know, if you know anything about prize picks, it's a fixed payout sports buck. So, you take Jimmy's over, you take his under, you're going to get the

[04:44] same payout regardless. You take his over, you take his under, same payout. together. Although, I'm not even going to lie to you guys. Like, the better value is on the better value right now appears to be

[04:58] on better and dabble, but we can get in a prize pick slip. I mean, everyone always bothers me for prize pick slips, dude. I I call you guys. My dad's like, "What are the people in your Twitch chat like?" I'm like, "They are prize pick

[05:11] understand, dude. These people like, you would think they [ __ ] you know, I don't know, dude. It's It's weird. People just love [ __ ] prize picks, bro. Anyways, here we go. Three pick

[05:24] entry. Get this [ __ ] locked in. If you haven't used the Curry Square, you can replace the Jimmy pick because that play I thought had the highest edge. Here you go. Three pick entry. Hey, hello Mr. Alex. How's your night?

[05:40] Who knew Amazon controlled everything? Yo, hopefully the Twitch stream doesn't chat. Doesn't uh didn't Amazon go down or what the [ __ ] happened today? Dude, it better not. My if my Twitch stream

[05:53] goes down, dude, if our sports books go down, I'm gonna flip [ __ ] dude. I will personally sue Jeff Bezos. You cannot have fun under dog. Anyways, Jimmy Butler, his over is offered, right? His his his over is plus 124, plus 123. A

[06:07] big underdog. These betting exchanges, no big profitex. Like, they're peer-to-peer. They don't have limits. But, bro, I don't think I've said this before. I don't. Even though they're peer-to-peer, you're

[06:20] neighbor. I don't know if I've said that before. I don't know. I'm not sure. But maybe I did, maybe I didn't. But like the people setting lines on Profitex and

[06:32] Novig are super smart, dude. It's like it's like trading firms and [ __ ] Like market makers. Oh [ __ ] There's a lot of value on underdog. Should we rip an underdog slip? You say

[06:46] it every stream. I've never said that sentence before. prize picks works and what type of slip is optimal? Anyways, this Jimmy Butler

[06:59] underdog, I don't think I've mentioned this before, but the optimal slip type is a six pick flex play. I've gone through the math. I'm the only one who goes through the math. Six pick flex plays are mathematically

[07:13] optimal. Minus 116 odds. Is Clara a single? Bro, DM her on Instagram. Why do you guys ask me if my sister's friends are single? Bro, just DM on DM him on Instagram. Up your Instagram game, bro. Anyways,

[07:28] so the first play we're going to go with is Jimmy Butler's under again. Again, underdog is better payouts than prize pick. So, you would rather run something on underdog in a sixflex compared to prize picks in a sixflex if you could.

[07:41] The second play we're going to go with is Jameson Noel, or sorry, that's Jaylen Noel, like Jaden Daniels. um over 11 and a half receiving yards. You can see his under underdogs another fixed payout sports book. Yo, it's our

[07:55] boy Shawn Tucker, dude. He better catch a touchdown. This dude. He better catch a touchdown. This guy's catching the touchdown, man. Yeah. Over one and a half receiving yards. Let's get it, bro. Let's get it, bro.

[08:15] I do love the only problem with him, bro. So many times last year we were on uh Jaylen Durant's over and he would just get in foul trouble. and he would just get in foul trouble. That's his only problem other than that.

[08:28] That's his only problem other than that. I love him. Um far again on underdog. Six pick flex play but get it loaded up because again sometimes they like bump these things for Alex I bet against my neighbor on no

[08:44] for Alex I bet against my neighbor on no vague. Alex is becoming sentient. What are we talking about? Yo, anyways I got five picks so far. Please get it ready. Like today is not a joke. We got the NBA tomorrow, dude. We got the

[09:00] Al Horford, dude. Why is the board popping with value? Final play I'm gonna go with is going to be NHL. Get this [ __ ] locked in. Put the link in the chat. You guys have approximately 13 seconds, man.

[09:13] Dude, again, like, you know, you got to move fast, dude. When I used to be a trader, dude, the best trades move fast. If you're slow, you know, if you're slow, you're [ __ ] Being slow is not a good skill set to have in general. But

[09:29] good skill set to have in general. But go link please y'all. What's up baby butcher 17? Hey yo baby butcher 17. Are

[09:41] butcher 17? Hey yo baby butcher 17. Are you related to little baby? Hey yo baby butcher 17. Tell me about your background bro. Tell me about your background. Baby butcher 17. You gotten into little baby bro? You want to get

[09:55] little baby on one of my live streams? Anyways, underdog only gives me $25 max. Hey yo, where's baby Butcher, bro? Where's Ba, bro? Baby butcher. That is a crazy name, dude. What the [ __ ] Actually, now that I'm thinking about

[10:10] it, what the [ __ ] This guy's butchered 17 babies, dude. How do I ban him? Somebody ban him. Somebody ban him. Moderators, it's my gamer tag. Your gamer tag is baby Butcher, bro. You better have an in

[10:25] little baby for me. [ __ ] DM me that [ __ ] on Twitter now. Baby Butcher 17 is literally crazy, dude. That is a crazy name. Baby Butcher. Bro, how did you think about that for your gamer tag? Can you

[10:40] explain that to me, sir? Anyways, what do we got? Rebet dry. Um, should we do dabble better? We could do some FanDuel. We could do some Hard Rock. Hard Rock. Hard Rock. Hard Rock. You

[10:56] guys want to do Hard Rock? Hard Rock again. Like, dude, they only let me bet like 10 [ __ ] $20 on stuff, but I've absolutely crushed them. Hey, what do we think about the over in the Bucks game tonight? Bucks Lions seems

[11:11] free. Um, you little coke fiend. What are we they're actually going to give me 6250 on. So, not horrible. I mean, most of these books I'm max limited on, but hopefully you guys are able to get more.

[11:25] Again, Hard Rock in my opinion, you know, in my opinion, it's the best book in the world. Um, or the most beatable sports book. I don't know about best. That may be a little bit of an understatement.

[11:39] Yo, so where is this play, dude? Rashad White over one and a half touchdowns, plus 700. Hit that [ __ ] dude. The Lions are down to five and a half. We got Bucks plus seven and a half on the stream yesterday, so you could middle

[11:54] goals. Dude, Hard Rock has so much value. It's crazy. So again, I ran the over 52 and a half points at minus 125 odds. You guys are

[12:06] begging for Hard Rock in the chat. This is crazy. So again, this is a cross market. It is arbitrage. You could bet the over on Hard Rock, the under on Profitex, and make a risk-free profit. One of these two [ __ ] bets has to be

[12:20] profitable. And again, Hard Rock is stupid. Profitex is really sharp, really smart. So you want to play the bet on hard rock. That's the plus EV play. Very simple, dude. Whenever there's a cross market or arbitrage,

[12:36] one of the two bets got to be profitable. Either the over at minus 125 or the under at plus 126. Hey yo, bro, why did I buy these [ __ ] them once. It's only short dudes who lift weights. I'm telling you, bro.

[12:52] lift weights. I'm telling you, bro. Better, better, better dabble. Oh, Sean Tucker now $18,000 in liquidity. This guy better score a

[13:05] touchdown. Um, is he hot? Yeah, dude. Hard Rock is just like infinite value. It's honestly ridiculous. Um, here we have JT Miller. Reminds me of Miller Moss. USC's old

[13:22] quarterback. Who does Miller Moss play for now? JT Miller over two and a half market. One of the two bets has to be plus EV. He could just orbit guarantee a profit. Jimmy Butler. Dude, I've never

[13:43] Should we run Jared Goff touchdown again, dude? don't know if any of you guys remember. We were on Jared Goff touchdown like

[13:57] plus 2500 or something crazy. Maybe even plus 3,000. I don't remember. What odds was it? Dabble pick six. Dabble pick six. Play UCLA. Lane Kein plus 200 to be the

[14:10] next Gator coach. Hey yo man, I don't know anything about Lane Kein. I just know all you guys on the [ __ ] internet are obsessed with his daughter. It's very creepy, dude. You guys like [ __ ] love that girl. Um,

[14:26] if you're single, whoever was asking about Clara, try DMing uh Lane Kein's about Clara, try DMing uh Lane Kein's daughter. So, what do we want to do?

[14:41] Goff? Yo, dude. I don't have a photographic memory. What do we think about Luca? G NBA tomorrow, dude. Luca, I don't know, man. Under eight and a

[14:56] half rebounds. His overs offered at plus 122. Cross market. There's been a lot of value on Giannis. I mean, he's literally the entire team. Obviously, they don't have Dame anymore. Are we just gonna keep fading Jimmy

[15:10] kill me, but if there's a promo or something, so this is better. Jake Paul's app. They only have a mobile app. Dude, Grady Dick,

[15:25] I would literally change my last name. I would change my last name. Grady Dick.

[15:38] person to fade, but 10 and a half is a crazy points line for Lou Dort. Since when is Lou Dort a 10 and a half type of guy? Hey, five pick entry on better. Get this locked in.

[16:01] You can use better. Thanks for the Atlanta pick six slip last night. No problem. By the way, you guys should probably probably join the Sabba Discord. I mean, again,

[16:15] sometimes when I'm too lazy to stream, which is sometimes. I mean, I like to live stream. I like to live stream. I like to live stream. I knew a guy whose like to live stream. I knew a guy whose last name was Heavy Flow.

[16:29] Cap, I don't believe you. It's Archie. Yo, I don't believe you. Give me his LinkedIn profile. Put it in the chat. Let's [ __ ] look at him. So, they're going to give me $50 max. Hopefully, you guys can get more.

[16:45] Obviously, NBA is a great sport to bet on. on. So, what you can do is um yeah, so I locked it in. Links in the

[16:59] yeah, so I locked it in. Links in the chat again. They only give me um $100 per day on better and I gave out another play in the SA Discord.

[17:14] dude, I don't have This is the only one I got. I got some OG ones my mom made. My mom's like a muralist, so she designed some, but it's the only

[17:26] official one. Sorry, dude. There's only one on the market, Dabble. Let's take a look at Dabble. So, if you look at Dort's line, like FanDuel

[17:40] has Dort. We just took his under 10 and a half on better. On better, five pick entries. Flex or no flex doesn't really matter. That's mathematically optimal.

[17:57] Yeah, FanDuel has Dort's line first of all lower. This is just off Dodge sham line discrepancy tool. They have the line lower and the under favored Caesar. The under Caesars the under is minus 165. It's crazy.

[18:11] 165. It's crazy. You want to know what else is crazy, It's crazy to me that this book is named Hard Rock. Who the [ __ ] thought of that name? So, usually I get better betting limits on

[18:25] mainline markets. Did people want dabble or you guys just want hard rock? It sounds like you could hedge out a bit and take Lions. Again, the spread has moved. Yesterday we took Bucks seven and a half. It is a completely different

[18:38] a half. It is a completely different bet. Dude, I get people all the time. Yo, dude, you played Bucks plus seven and a half, Lions minus five and a half. What's your point? All that matters is if a bet is plus EV.

[18:52] So, if you want to run Lions, I mean, this is pretty solid on Hard Rock. I guess for us, it would kind of be a hedge. Pinnacle, you can see right here, Pinnacle has 100k betting limits. It looks really solid to Pinnacle. They

[19:04] only have 12 cents of juice. Minus 129, -21, plus 109, five in the midpoint. much they give us. It's kind of a hedge for us. They say 330, but then if I try

[19:17] for us. They say 330, but then if I try 330, they tell me, "Nah, bro. 110." It's like, "Okay." Um, are we hitting that Darnold slip on dabble? We do have a really big dabble

[19:31] slip open. Oh, man. I just want to go hard inside these dudes, bro. I swear, man. Let's find some bets. find some bets. Let's go.

[19:46] is the best shield available on Dabble right now? Put it in the chat if you know. Sorry. Um, what's the best shield?

[19:59] We got prize picks value. We got FanDuel value. no pick six value. I mean, I just put it in. We'll see. Maybe some will pop up.

[20:12] in. We'll see. Maybe some will pop up. But yo, what I was going to say, man. It's crazy. They ran six 30% profit boost yesterday.

[20:29] That's crazy, dude. 250% profit boost on pick six. Didn't I give them down? Didn't I give them out on Twitter? Yo, what is the best dabble play? Is FanDuel really down? You got to be

[20:44] kidding me. What promos does FanDuel have for tonight? It is not down. You probably just, you know, are a little dumb. Um, what do we want to do on Dabble? Let's see. Dabble had a ton of value. Oh my

[20:59] gosh, bro. We have Stephen Castle. dude. This stuff, this is the type of thing you get out of bed for.

[21:15] A lot of you guys, you get out of bed because you guys are [ __ ] druggies, because you guys are [ __ ] druggies, bro. Um, I get out of bed to gamble. you guys wake up and you're just like, I want to get high. It's like, what is

[21:29] wrong with you? What is wrong with you, dude? So, we got two plays so far. Listen up. First play we have is Steven Castle under 10 rabbs plus assists. Literally look at every sports book, right? Like same thing with Jimmy, bro.

[21:45] Every book has Jimmy's line at 10 and a half. So, first of all, lower with the underfed. What's the best shield? Ernie Clement to get a hit. Is there going to Clement to get a hit. Is there going to be a payout shift?

[22:02] there's no way Ernie Clement works. Miles Turner, two threes. Let's see if that works. Man, it is really sad, man. It is very

[22:14] Man, it is really sad, man. It is very sad. shield is? Doan over one and a half shots on goal.

[22:27] shots on goal. Doan over one and a half shots on goal.

[22:39] sister back in the day. Swear to God. Anyways, let's see if this works. 6x payout. Let's see. Josh Doan over one and a half shots on gold. Dude, these shields are crazy. So,

[22:54] you can see if you look at it, it's supposed to reduce your payout. Um, it's supposed to give you a.7x payout. Clement Eors, what are you talking about? I think Seattle does it today in

[23:07] football. Maybe baseball. I think we got a Blue Jays win. I hope it's a devastating day for Seattle, dude. I hope it's a devastating day. Nobody likes Seattle. It's cold, rainy, and it's a bunch of like crazy [ __ ]

[23:21] psycho ass people. So, this is a shield on Dabble. It's supposed to reduce your payout by 7x. Again, you can copy my plays directly on the app, but they just like forget to add in the payout shift. It's

[23:38] literally insane. Like on prize picks, if you start including these goblins, I before. On prize picks, if you start including these like demons and goblins, it changes your payout. The goblins are supposed to be easy wins. Prize picks

[23:52] supposed to be easy wins. Prize picks reduces your payout from 6x to 3.5x. is. What the [ __ ] You say this every stream, bro. Liar.

[24:09] You say this every stream, bro. Liar. Whoever this guy is, E. Barnes 3211. I bet his name is [ __ ] Ernie, too. Ernie's the dumbest name I've ever Just reminds me of like the [ __ ] Cookie Monster. Bet MGM, please. Home

[24:24] Cookie Monster. Bet MGM, please. Home run pick for tonight. what do you want to do, man? You little passionate kid. You guys are so

[24:38] passionate. I love it. Anyways, let's see what we can do here. Did they bump things? They did not. So, again, if you want to get around limits, like dabble's a book. I ran up 30k in a month and then they started to cut down my bet sizes

[24:51] which sucks but it's kind of part of the game is you can just kind of replace this Jimmy Butler plays very good too. It's also a cross market

[25:04] name bro because then I can be like money hands bro. You like that nickname? I bet you now think Monahan is a cool name. Money hands bro. Alex, did you watch Cowboys versus Commanders? Look, the Cowboys got lucky.

[25:21] Dak played one decent game. Commanders are still winning this. Yo,

[25:33] touchdown? Where is Circa? Plus 165 minus 190. Where is Circa? Plus 165 minus 190. Dude, this looks incredible. What do we think about Sam Leaporta touchdown? Do you guys like it? We're

[25:47] already on the over in this game, so we kind of need points. Remember, the one thing you got to remember is Sam Laaporta is fat. He looks like Maxie. So, this looks solid relative to Circa, right? 25 cents of juice. It looks solid

[26:04] relative to Pinnacle. Do we just hammer him? Do we like Fat Boy? They're going to give me $5,000. I don't have $5,000 in my FanDuel account, dude. Who does FanDuel think I am? Yo, whatever. We'll bet 1,600 on it. 1660

[26:20] and then I got to deposit more money into FanDuel. Um, Alex, I wanted to let you know I I appreciate you. How do you guys like Sam Laora tonight? We just hammered him. Hopefully you guys hammer him. Hopefully

[26:35] you guys all want to ride him with me, dude. We are just hopping in. We are all pounding him, bro. What do we want to do

[26:47] FanDuel. Again, as you get close to game time, like this morning on guys to score a touchdown, I have a max limited FanDuel account. They they were only giving me like $150,

[27:02] whatever. As you get close to game time, market becomes more efficient. Books typically increase betting limits. They also want to get all the degenerates. No. More hard rock, please. Do you guys want

[27:16] to do more Hard Rock or should we rip more dabble? with no payout shift. You could also put Clement in a fourman with no payout

[27:32] shift. Thank you to whoever pointed that out. But I gotta deposit more money into out. But I gotta deposit more money into FanDuel quick. That's my top priority. I do like the name FanDuel, though. It's um It's a great name.

[27:56] It's a It It really is a great name. Band not that, but I don't have a problem gambling. What the [ __ ] is your problem, gambling. What the [ __ ] is your problem, dude? Um, let's see what we have.

[28:11] What book were we talking about? Oh, Sam Laaporta. How much did you guys bet on Laaporta. How much did you guys bet on Sam Leaporta?

[28:25] Okay, we can do some Hard Rock if that's what you want. Let's see if there's any value, though. Um, well, there definitely is. I mean, to be clear, Hard Rock, in my opinion, that and Bet MGM are probably there's just limitless

[28:39] are probably there's just limitless value on both of them. It's It honestly just doesn't even like it's confusing. Look at this play, dude. confusing. Look at this play, dude. Sorry. Sorry. Sorry. Oh [ __ ]

[28:52] Yo, here it seems like the values on the FanDuel side. Um, we have male bridges and you can see now FanDuel close to game time would give me much more. They're only giving me 2577, but you have arbitrage. The market is crossed. I

[29:09] could go over to flip that is under guarantee a risk-free profit. So, one of the two bets has to be plus EV do sleeper. So here it seems like the value is on

[29:24] So here it seems like the value is on FanDuel. Dude, some of these discounts are embarrassingly bad.

[29:42] let's see what the best value is. But first, we got to go to the Odds Jam Sportsbook screen. Check it out. Check out where the lines are. I mean, so this is like it's fine if there's something good on Sleeper. I

[29:57] there's something good on Sleeper. I don't really bet on Sleeper a ton. don't really bet on Sleeper a ton. Why? Game starts. Sam Laaporta scores a touchdown,

[30:11] touchdown, you know. Then Shawn Tucker, first play, you know. Then Shawn Tucker, first play, Baker Mayfield, 95 yard reception. Shawn Tucker, tell me that can't happen. Um,

[30:24] anyways, this is a solid play. Imagine living in Texas. Alex, I just rushed to my shower to bang dudes with you. When is FanDuel coming back up, bro? FanDuel is up. I'm literally on

[30:39] bro? FanDuel is up. I'm literally on FanDuel as we speak. I am literally live streaming FanDuel. Yo, let's get in a home run bet, guys. Who's going yard? If you guys say Vladimir Guerrero,

[30:54] this is when we see what is Vlad made out of. Is he the hard rock, you know? out of. Is he the hard rock, you know? Is is he the man of the family?

[31:11] we're going to see tonight. Is there any value on Vlad? No. Um,

[31:23] yo, kind of random, but I do kind of like it. Yo, where's my promo, dude? like it. Yo, where's my promo, dude? You offered me a promo. tripping? I thought I just saw an MLB boost.

[31:44] Where is this MLB boost? Am I an idiot? Maybe I'm an idiot. to put it here. I mean, decent value. This is just off the odds jam. Positive

[31:59] This is just off the odds jam. Positive EV tool points out refresh. You just EV tool points out refresh. You just claimed it. these sites are janky sometimes. Um, I don't know, dude.

[32:16] to put it on. But if they're not going to let me ride it to let me ride it and what is this?

[32:31] It's kind of [ __ ] they make you do a same game parlay. I mean 30% is a lot. same game parlay. I mean 30% is a lot. 30%'s a lot because even if you blindly bet three things

[32:45] by the time you and they're not giving me the promo. I don't know what is going me the promo. I don't know what is going on right now. I literally just can on right now. I literally just can claimed it.

[33:02] you're not the man of any family. Your dad is. do more Sleeper. Let's see what else we can find on Sleeper.

[33:15] like it's it it's fake news. You know what I mean? Like you guys know how have you guys ever heard Trump say fake news? It's a lot of you guys probably don't know what I'm talking about, but

[33:34] It's like I mean it's it's better than nothing. Again, Sleeper is not a book I bet on a lot because they charge more juice than anybody in human history, dude. It's ridiculous. They have 73 cent spread on Tari East

[33:50] They have 73 cent spread on Tari East and assists. That's crazy, Jackson Smith score a touchdown in my life. He's not scoring tonight. Yep.

[34:09] the second sleeper discount because all you guys were asking for it. And again, you guys were asking for it. And again, I listened to you guys.

[34:21] what do we want to do, boys? And let's see what we got. So, we did some better. see what we got. So, we did some better. We did some sleeper.

[34:36] this game, man. Are the Lions overrated or are they not

[34:50] some crazy line discrepancies right now. Yo, let's start this game, dude. I want to see some touchdowns. So, like here, for example, it's like Hard Rock has no lean in their market. This is early value, but again, you got

[35:03] to be getting the early value locked in. This line has ripped towards the under. This is a line movement chart. This game has ripped towards the under. And you can see Hard Rock is stale, right? They're not hard to beat. They

[35:21] still have minus 110. Every other book has the under heavily favored. It's a massive arbitrage bet. You could already lock in, right? Novig has the over at plus 120. you want to play that. But I do want to find some more bats for

[35:33] tonight because we have some football tonight and I'm gonna see how long I tonight and I'm gonna see how long I stream.

[35:55] Kenneth Walker TD is free. Okay. Anytime someone tells you a bet is free, it usually means they're an idiot. I'm just kidding. No offense. Nothing is free. 49 bucks on Zack

[36:10] Charbanet 1650. [Music] Steph Curry under four and a half made threes. His over and his under. And again like you, it's so easy to do with

[36:22] odds jam oneclick bet. Steph Curry under four and a half threes. All these bets, they only give me like 10 bucks, but again, I'm up like I'm up a lot, dude. Start the game, man. Damn, bro. But let's see here. Fliff,

[36:37] Damn, bro. But let's see here. Fliff, rebet, FanDuel, Dabble, prize picks, underdog.

[36:52] Um, so let's see. Alperin Sangun.

[37:07] thinking. I'm thinking. I'm thinking. So, let's see where the value is. Again, you always want to follow the hot girl at the bar. Come on, dabble. Have some value. Okay.

[37:22] Okay. Let's get to it. Let's do an MLB play. So, this is Dabble. You guys were asking for Dabble, so we'll do Dabble. So, the first play we're going to be on is Leo Rivos

[37:37] under half of a hit. He's literally gotten a hit in one out of his past five gotten a hit in one out of his past five games.

[37:50] Rock. Yo, Hard Rock's a book with value. I really don't know what to tell you. So, the first play we're going to go with is Revos under half of a hit. His unders heavily favored. What is the best shield available? Dude, Brunson's line

[38:04] is just way too high. They always [ __ ] these up. Bronson also is just the most overrated player in the world. It's insane.

[38:18] Why isn't FanDuel giving me my prop boost? Yo, what is the best shield? I thought last five was already priced in, you idiot. Um, I'm just pointing it out, bro. Some of you guys are such characters. So,

[38:34] here they're going to add a payout shift because Bieber K is correlated. Dude, some of you guys just like wake up angry, bro. Yo, you [ __ ] idiot. Your bet from yesterday lost. It's like, dude, I I

[38:47] don't [ __ ] Uh uh uh. Sorry. best shield? Let's see. Suarez to get a hit. He's been hotter than the sun. But

[39:00] let's see how big of a favorite. Well, actually Suarez to get a hit doesn't You don't want to take an over and an under for player on the same team. What about Isaiah Ker Falefa? I do love that last name, but there's a brutal payout

[39:16] shift. What is the best shield? What is the best shield? Cal Right. You don't want to pair them. What is the best shield? What is the best shield? What's the best shield? I don't want the payout shift, dude.

[39:33] I don't want the payout shift, dude. Is there any NFL Kaishan George PA shield? Let's see. So, let's go here and let's see. Mr. So, let's go here and let's see. Mr. Kaishan George. I love that name.

[39:47] PA Shield, three pick entry, no payout shift, some NBA. Some of you guys will [ __ ] because the games aren't for tonight. Again, I'm max limited on this book, but regardless,

[40:01] Clement if you build a fourman. The problem with fourmans is they are worse implied odds. Can you do some Bet MGM plays? Yeah, but I gotta log into Bet MGM. All right, boys. Time to get the ball to Who do we

[40:17] need to score a touchdown again? Who did we bet on? We can do some bet MGM if you guys want. You guys want to do Bet MGM? Is that the consensus? There's a lot of value at the NBA coming back.

[40:41] Let's go. So, let's see what we can do here. And hopefully we can find some good value. If not, I'm sorry. value. If not, I'm sorry. Let's go, bro. Points, points, points.

[41:01] let's see. So, I'm logged into Bet MGM. You guys are begging for it in the chat. Bet MGM is another book. It's very similar to um uh it's Hard Rock. It's similar to um uh it's Hard Rock. It's very exploitable, very beatable.

[41:14] So, let's see. [Music] [Music] See what we got. So, let's go. Okay. Bet MGM get the ball to Leaporta. I'm going to

[41:27] get the ball to Leaporta. I'm going to go crazy if he scores a touchdown. So, Yvon Demidov under one and a half shots on goal. I got no idea who this guy is, but that's a very solid play. I'll give out a few plays. Again, I try

[41:40] to do different sports books on Bet MGM. I'm very heavily limited, which obviously sucks, but just kind of part you. A lot of you guys are not resilient people, dude. You get limited by one

[41:53] sports book, you guys like cry, dude. It's crazy, man. What else do we have on Bet MGM, dude? There are Hard Rock Bet MGM dude? There are Hard Rock Bet MGM arbitrage combo is crazy. But

[42:07] check out this play. Lonzo Ball under seven and a half points. seven and a half points. Love it. Lonzo Bowl does not score. are you [ __ ] kidding me, dude? They only give me 75 cents. That's the

[42:23] problem, dude. Bet MGM usually gives me the best limits, but it's a great play. I mean, it's a cross market. You could arbitrage bet it. Every other book has the underheavily favored for Lonzo. Hi,

[42:36] Alex. What's up? Do you support the Wizards? The high liquidity hockey plays Wizards? The high liquidity hockey plays have been money so far. Dude,

[42:53] that's the last thing. We needed that to go to Leaporta. It's okay. We're going to get a Shawn Tucker touchdown right here. Tucker touchdown right here. Underdog, please, if you can.

[43:11] aware of that. I'm aware of that, dude. I'm aware of that, dude. Are we fading Jared Goff? I don't know. I don't think so. I could be wrong. So, bet MGM I get better betting limits on

[43:25] main lines. Is there anything? No, not really. This under in the Colorado game, you also could get it on rebet. It's crazy good value. It's just

[43:37] rebet. It's crazy good value. It's just you could I'm just pointing it out. But let's see. I want to do some more plays. I'll put in better, too. Again, I'm not going to be able to bet another better sled myself.

[43:58] more value. Tomorrow's going to be crazy with the NBA back, but especially Wednesday. I think there's like 10 games on Wednesday. So, you like Leaporta anytime touchdown? I

[44:12] you like Leaporta anytime touchdown? I mean, I don't like it. I'm on it. usually these hockey goal scorers I just don't get much down on. So, this is just

[44:27] don't get much down on. So, this is just Sperry. They give me 55. It's a cross market. Other books have this average weighted price around like plus 400. No, weighted price around like plus 400. No, no, no. Plus 500, plus 550.

[44:40] Let's see. Underdog. I see some people asking for underdog. If there's no value on underdog, I'll kind of maybe call it a day, but we'll see. I mean, maybe a day, but we'll see. I mean, maybe there is.

[45:06] So, what do we think, man? Let's build an underdog slip. Let's see if we can an underdog slip. Let's see if we can get it in. [ __ ] Baker Mayfield, dude. I thought the Bucks had a good defense. So, we have Jonathan Kaminga. Underdog

[45:18] again. It's the best payouts in the DFS industry. You almost certainly will be industry. You almost certainly will be able to make money on Underdog.

[45:32] want underdog. So, let's see what we can do. So, we have Jonathan Kaminga under four and a half rebounds.

[45:45] Alex, whip that bat out. How much for a plus T pick? Get the link ready, bro. Anyways, Jonathan Kaminga's under. dude. Reading this chat gives me an aneurysm. His under is heavily favored.

[46:02] So, we're going with that. And what else do we like? I'm trying to give you guys some slips. Give me a sec. I have way too many spreadsheets open. Way too much [ __ ] man. But I like showing you guys my spreadsheets, man. So, let's see what

[46:16] we can do here. Um, second play. Kase Wallace over in RAS. I do like that. And let's see what else there is because there was a lot of value. It's just like

[46:29] again cross market plays are my preferred thing preferred thing because again you do not you have a very high confidence in your edge when the market is crossed.

[46:43] So Kaminga's under is very good. What do we think about Amen Thompson under 28 and a half? This seems solid. I do kind of like him as a player, but I do kind of like him as a player, but that line is just too high.

[47:04] correlation there. Anyways, I'm trying to finish this as fast as possible. I know people want to watch football and [ __ ] This line is just crazy, dude. College football. Kon Jenkins over 168 half. literally every other book opening

[47:20] half. literally every other book opening his line way higher. not gonna Well, anyways, I was going to say you could take Butler. Whatever,

[47:34] dude. So, we have college football tomorrow and NBA. That's crazy. I think we have seven or 34 more days in a row with football. Here it is. Six pick entry. Can somebody please put the link in the

[47:48] chat? I love you, Alex. You have to finish it with a prize pick slip. Why is there so much [ __ ] available? Um, I'm overwhelmed,

[48:06] dude. Football is so weird sometimes. One, two, three, four, five, six. Can somebody get the link in the chat? Can you guys not see it? I'm trying to Can you guys not see it? I'm trying to make it clear. Again,

[48:22] tail it if you want to tail it. I'm going to lock it in once you guys lock going to lock it in once you guys lock it in. And hopefully hopefully we get it, bro. Hopefully we get some wins.

[48:40] baseball. I think I'm going to go to the gym in 45 minutes because we got baseball going on. But aside from that, I got nothing to do. So, if there is value, I wouldn't mind placing it. But we'll see. Hard Rock, what do you have

[48:54] we'll see. Hard Rock, what do you have for me, dude? walk. His un his over is being offered at minus 130 on these super sharp

[49:08] exchanges. Again, if someone's offering the over at minus 130, they want to bet the over at minus 130, they want to bet the under at plus 130.

[49:29] Three and out bucks. Make sure you lift weights.

[49:42] remember the one time Alex gave me a free pick. It lost. I'm sorry, dude. You know, with all my bets, I actually bet on them. There are a lot of guys, there are a lot of cappers, probably

[49:57] more than you think, who give out bets and they don't actually bet the [ __ ] They photoshop it or they just tweet out the play. I bet everything. Granted, some of these bucks I'm limited on, but I bet everything I give out.

[50:12] I bet everything I give out. I am unlike most, you could say. Yeah. I am unlike most, you could say. Yeah. What else do you have for me, though?