Baccarat Triggers Guide — Step-by-Step Guide & Transcript

[00:00] Hey, Keith from Pizza Casino. Right here we are live in Las Vegas on Fremont Street. We're having a great time playing Blackjack and Baccarat. Come on down and join our club.

[00:20] Okay, I want to go ahead and get through some basic terminology so you understand triggers. We use a vertical scorecard here, player, banker, and we use this as a score column a lot of times.

[00:37] And then, of course, this is just a number of plays, and I put a little bit wider here so that we have 10 hands and then the next 10 hands. Okay, pretty basic stuff there. Okay, so first off, we always just put a circle, whatever side it went.

[00:52] Let's say we get the first-hand player one, and then let's do the second-hand banker one. We're just going over this just for terminology's sake right now. This is any time it goes, changes sides.

[01:04] Or in other words, if one hand is player and then the next hand is banker, and then the next hand is player and the next hand is banker, as happened here, we call that an opposite. Okay, so this is an opposite. if player would win this hand

[01:17] then this is an opposite so there's one opposite and then there's two opposites here also too as soon as we get an event surrounded by two hands

[01:29] we can qualify the event this here right here this banker wing that's a one in a row this the last play of the shoe before the next hand is drawn

[01:42] is always called a potential whatever it is. This is a potential one in a row or it's a potential two in a row, depending upon what happens. Let's say, for instance, if Banker won this, then that's a one in a row.

[01:57] This is a potential one in a row or a two in a row. If Banker wins again, then it's a potential three in a row or a potential two in a row because until this next hand occurs, you really can't qualify this.

[02:11] All you know is that this is a repeat, and it's going to be at least two hands long. So this is at least a two-in-a-row. So it's a potential two-in-a-row, or it could be a three-in-a-row if it goes to banker. So we'll say it goes to player.

[02:26] So now we know for sure that that's a two-in-a-row. Here's a potential one-in-a-row, or it's a potential two-in-a-row, depending upon what happens. Well, we'll say it goes to player. Now let's put a couple more in so we can fill in the scorecard a little bit here.

[02:41] Okay, so if we have this, this is a four in a row. This is an opposite, a repeat, another repeat, another repeat, and then an opposite. So this is a one in a row, a one in a row, a two in a row, a four in a row, and an opposite.

[02:56] And then let's go ahead and fill the rest of them in. And you can see, we'll tell you about this. So this is a four in a row. Now, this can also happen with zigzag runs, okay? So here's how you count a run.

[03:09] One, two, three, four. Here's how you count a zigzag run. You've got to count the first one of the zigzag run, too. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. So that's a zigzag run of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 long.

[03:26] That's exactly the same, except it only occurs on one side. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. And then we'll take it as the opposite. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.

[03:39] That's a run of once, a repeat of six. This is a run of zigzag of six. One, two, three, four, five, six. You always got to count the one that it starts on.

[03:52] It usually ends off a run. Okay, so just some terminology to clear everything up. Don't forget, this is a zigzag. This is an opposite.

[04:04] This is a two-in-a-row. This is a four-in-a-row. An opposite. That's a one-in-a-row, one-in-a-row, one in a row, one in a row, here's a two, four, six in a row, and then an opposite. We still don't know what this is yet, other than it's an opposite.

[04:19] Okay, let's take a look at the first trigger. Suppose we walk up to a game, and the first thing I want you to notice about this game is that there's a three in a row in this game here already. Okay, so that's good.

[04:31] So that's a qualifying event that must occur in the game for us to use this first trigger. The rule states after three twos without a three in between, that the next two, which is a potential three, will go to a three.

[04:46] And again, do not accept this trigger if there isn't a three in a row in the game. So here's a three in a row in the game, so that's qualified. Let's say, for instance, we see a two. So we'll go ahead and make two players.

[05:03] And let's say it goes to banker. and then we'll go back to two players and we'll watch the game and then it's going to go over to two bankers okay so here's the game and then we're to come

[05:23] over here to two players here's the game where here is two players and we've got an opposite then it went back to two more players then went over two bankers okay so there's one

[05:40] two three two in a row without a three in a row in between now there was a one in a row in between that's okay so we have this one this one and this one and now once again we're presented with

[05:55] a potential two or three in a row okay so the trigger says after two three three, two in a row, one, two, three, without three in between,

[06:08] that the next two, potential three will go to three So our bet is going to be right here one player We going to bet that they are unable to deal four two in a row consecutively Okay so that a good bet and in this case if

[06:30] we lose this bet, okay, we're going to wait to the next occurrence and then we're going to use a negative progression to bet it again. But for now we're just going to show you how to do the the first one. So you got that? There's the first two in a row, second two in a row,

[06:44] third two in a row. Three two in a rows in a game. The next time it occurs, we're going to bet that it's not going to happen again. We're going to bet that this goes to a three in a row. And hopefully we'll get to circle it and say we won that one. I'll show you what to do if we lose it in the next one.

[06:59] Okay, so let's go ahead and see what happens if we lose it. Okay, so we're going to bet that this is going to go to a three in a row. So we put our one bet there. And let's say we lose.

[07:12] It does go to a two in a row. Okay, so the next hand, we have to wait. And just for example purposes, let's say it goes to another two in a row. Now, here's the situation.

[07:24] Here's a one, one two in a row, two two in a row, three two in a row, four two in a row. This is the fifth two in a row. So we're going to bet a negative progression that they can't do it two more times now. So we lost the first one.

[07:36] Okay, so here's the second one. Now, some people play at 1-1-2, which you won't win. You'll break even if you win the next bet. Some people play at 1-2-3. It's a more aggressive style. Let's do 1-2-3 just so you see.

[07:48] Okay, so we'll bet the 2 is going to go to a 3 in a row. Let's say we lost that. And let's say this happens. Now, again, here's 1-2-3-4-5-6 times.

[08:04] They've dealt 2 in a row without a 3 in between. So this will be our last bet. Let's bet a three. We've bet a three here. Let's say we won that one. Now, if you lost that one, you probably would have just leave the tape.

[08:18] Some people like to bet at one, two, three. That way, if you win the first one, you win one chip. If you win the second one, you win one chip. If you win the third one, you'll break even on the progression for the most part without the commission.

[08:31] It may be something to consider. Some people like a stronger progression. It's up to you. But I personally, I like one, one, two, or one, two, two. Make it a two high. So that's what happens if you lose the first bet, lose the second bet,

[08:46] and hopefully you'll win the third bet. I love the line from the bet. Okay, I want to take a second here and pause and just talk about progressions. I touched upon the base one unit bet size.

[08:58] When we talk about one, two, two, let's talk about $25 level. Obviously, if it's a $100 level, a one bet is $100, a two bet is $200, a three bet would be $300. At the $25 level, obviously, a one-one-two progression would be bet one unit, $25.

[09:15] The second bet bets $25, and the third bet bets $50 for two units. And it translates to one, two, three is $25, $50, and $75, $25, $50, and $100, so on and so forth.

[09:27] Whichever one you're comfortable. The more money you get on the table, the more torque you'll have, and the more money you'll win in each hand. There are times you'll break even on the first two bets or break even on all three bets as with a 1-1-2 except unless you win the first one.

[09:44] So you need to experiment and see which one is most comfortable for you. Also, too, if you don't want to start out at a $25 level, you can think of it as a set of a 1-1-2. Think of it as a 2-2-3 where your base bet is $10.

[09:58] So a two-unit bet would be $20. So you're going to start with $20, $20, and then your final bet is $30. Obviously, if you win the third bet, you lost $10 on the progression, which isn't that hard to make up.

[10:10] You can increase the progression if you have risk tolerance for that, 2, 4, 5. You'll win $20 on the first bet, $20 if you win the second bet, and you'll lose one chip on the last bet.

[10:24] you can certainly do 246, 247, whatever tolerance you have. I recommend starting at 223 or 112. It's a good way to start. The casino isn't going anywhere.

[10:37] You can take your time and work up to higher units. Always seems to work out a little bit better rather than increasing the negative progression tour. So it's just a little bit there about negative progressions,

[10:49] how we vet them. Don't forget, whenever you win, you're done with the progression. that you won the trigger, look for another one or go to another game. You'll always see more, usually see more opportunities to bet more than one trigger.

[11:03] This was the first one. Let's go ahead and talk about the rest of them now. Okay, let's go ahead and take a look at the next rule. Let's just sketch in a game here, a couple plays.

[11:15] Okay, let's say that's the game start. It starts off with two there. and maybe a 3 here and a 2 here or a 3.

[11:34] That's making it a little bit wrong. Okay, so we're watching this game and we see this. Okay, now notice there's been no, ignore this for now, there's been no 1 in a row.

[11:48] So here's a 2, here's a 3, Here's a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 in a row. Here's a 2 in a row. So that's 1, 2, 3, 4. The rule states after 4 or more 2 in a rows that the next potential 1 will stay a 1.

[12:07] So what we're betting, what we're looking at, you know, just from a logic standpoint, is there's been no really, there's been no 1 in a row in this shoe yet. So we're going to bet a negative progression in that, you know, certainly there's going to be a 1 in a row.

[12:19] So for this, to bet that this is going to stay on one, you need to bet your one bet right over here that it's going to go opposite. So we put our one bet on there Now if we would win you know we circle it and we won the first part of the progression or if you start with a 2 okay If we lost then of course this would have led to

[12:39] a two in a row, and we would have lost that bet. So, if we take that away,

[12:51] and we'll say that we lost that bet. so if we win we would stop and look for another trigger but let's say we lost that bet okay so let's say it goes on goes on again now here as soon as it goes opposite again you have a potential

[13:07] one in a row again so now there's five so you can either bet whatever progression let's say we're just for simplicity's sake say we're betting one two three so our next bet would be betting that this goes to a one in a row and for it to come in a one in a row we have to come back over to

[13:22] bank or sign. So if we lost that, we put the circle here, and then we'd wait. Okay, so player again, player again, still no opportunity. Okay, now as soon as it switches sides again, there's

[13:34] a potential one in a row, and we'd finish the progression here, and hopefully we'd win that. So again, you just count the number of two or mores in a row when it gets to a point where there's no four,

[13:46] no, there's four, without a one in between, you're going to bet a negative progression, that is going to be a one in a row. And we finally close here in the end.

[13:58] Okay, let's take a look at the next rule. After three potential three stay threes, that's at the next time it's going to stay at two in a row. So if we're just looking at a game, and I'll just arbitrarily put

[14:14] some starts down in, And what I'm assuming here is you're just going to walk up to this game and see this so that we're not starting at the beginning of the game. Okay, let's say we walk up to this game.

[14:28] And we start swatching a little bit and we see this.

[14:42] And something like this occurs. Okay, so there is one 3, there's a 3, and there's another 3. Let's say that this goes opposite.

[14:56] And then it goes opposite again. So now we have a situation where we have one 3, confirmed 3, another confirmed 3, and another confirmed 3, without a 2 in a row in between.

[15:10] So here's a potential 2 in a row. Now, obviously, the odds are that it's not going to go to the 3. There's statistical resistance here. There's going to be another three in a row. So we want to start our bet here, and we would bet our one bet here.

[15:26] Now, again, the same scenario occurs. If this goes to a three, okay, and we lost that bet, then we wait again until the situation occurs again. If this goes to a two in a row again, now here it is again.

[15:38] Now here we have one, two, three, four threes, okay, without a two in a row. So here's a potential two in a row. So then you'd want to take the next step of the progression and bet that it's going to go opposite to make this a confirmed two in a row.

[15:53] So if we win, we'd circle that and we'd want our progression there. Okay, let's take it one step further here. If you have three threes without a four in between,

[16:05] then bet the next potential three goes to four. So let's set a game up here. say you're walking around and you see something like this. Okay. So here's our first three.

[16:18] Let's see if that goes off. It's a three. And then we're watching a game and you see three more banks. And then it goes over here to a two in a row to player. And then this comes over here

[16:31] to another three in a row. And then that goes opposite. Another two in a row. and then let's say, for instance, we see this. Okay, so there we have one three in a row, two three in a row, three three in a row

[16:45] that did not go to four and were presented with a potential four in a row here. We're going to bet that it will go to four in a row. Okay, put it there if it loses. Same scenario again as before.

[16:57] Wait until the situation occurs again and then bet that it's going to go to four in a row. Hopefully you win the first or second bet as I did here. Pretty much the same principle as before, just a little different sequence of events, three in a row, two in a row, what have you.

[17:14] Okay, next scenario is after two independent zigzag runs of three, bet the next one will go to four. So let's take a look at that first. Let's go ahead and put a game in.

[17:26] Now, remember, you know, when you're playing triggers, you may see, especially as the game gets a little bit older, while I'm filling in this game, you may see opportunities to run two progressions in the same game.

[17:39] Just make sure you're paying very close attention and, you know, not getting confused by things. Okay, so you walk up to this game here, and here's a zigzag run of three.

[17:52] Now, you must count – zigzag simply means banker player, banker player, banker player, so I'm sure you all know. You must count where it starts as the first zigzag run. So this is the first event of the first zigzag run.

[18:06] This is the second event, and this is the third event. So that's what a three-zigzag run will look like, okay, like that, okay? There will be one single out here on either side.

[18:19] Okay, let's continue. So say that's the first one. Then we see this again, and it goes back here, and then we get this. Okay, so there's the same pattern again. Here's the first of the zigzag.

[18:32] There's the second event of the zigzag run and there's the third event. So that's a zigzag run of three right there. So there's two of them. One, two, three. That's one event. One, two, three. That two events Now this scenario presents itself here Okay so there the one There the second event there the third event What you going to bet now is that it not going to end at three okay

[18:57] You're going to bet that it's going to go to four. It's going to go zigzag again. Instead of just turning it into a two in a row like it did here, or here, a three or more, a two or more, I actually should say, that it's going to go to the opposite side again, which creates a zigzag run of four.

[19:13] One, two, three, four. So your bet would be there. Okay, let's run through it again because it can be a little bit confusing. Let's make this a three in a row. Okay, so here's my pattern again.

[19:26] Now, we just won it here, so obviously we wouldn't bet this again. I'm just showing you this for example purposes. Okay, so there's our zigzag run of three. There's the first one, then it goes off, then it goes back here.

[19:40] Our bet would go here. So then it goes four. If we lost, see, we do this. It's the same pattern then. One, two, three. One, two, three. Same three zigzag run if we lost.

[19:52] But since we won it, we want it to go four because here it just went two times to three zigzag run. We're going to bet a negative progression that it's not going to do it five times in a row.

[20:05] Okay, so let's see how it looks if we bet it and we lose the first couple. Okay, so let's say this is a new game. Okay, so here's our first zigzag of three.

[20:17] Okay, and we got some more. Here's our second zigzag of three. So one, two, three, right? One, two, three.

[20:29] Now here it comes again. Let me just get down one more so it's clearer. Okay, so here it is again. Now it's set itself up. Now we're going to bet that it's going to go four, so we're going to bet it here.

[20:41] Okay, let's say we lost. Then it goes again. Here it comes again. The exact three. Now we're going to bet that it's going to go four, so our bet would be here. Say we lost again. Let's let it go again.

[20:53] Here it comes again. One, two, three. Now we're going to bet it goes to four. It won't repeat. Okay, so there we go. We bet it here. Let's say this time we had it. Okay, pretty clear? All right. Okay, and then let's finally take a look at the last

[21:11] trigger, which is the exact opposite pretty much of the zigzag run of three. Let's say, for instance, you walk up to a game and you see this.

[21:24] Okay, so here's a zigzag run of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

[21:36] And we see another one. Something like that. Okay, so before it was a zigzag run of 3, but then it will go to 4 after you see 2.

[21:52] This is the exact opposite. After a zigzag run of four or more, that the next one will stay three. So let's take a look at this. Here's the start of the first zigzag run.

[22:04] That's one, two, three. There's four. Then it actually went to five. So that's a zigzag run of five. Okay, it's a five zigzag. So it's obviously a three or more.

[22:19] Here's a zigzag run of one. two, three, four. That's a zigzag run of four. So you have zigzag runs of three or more.

[22:35] So now the next time after you see two of these, two of four, I'm sorry, four or more, so it must be a zigzag run of four or more, but the next one will stay a three.

[22:51] So what does that mean? Okay, so let's say that this goes opposite, and then it comes back. So remember before we had that pattern. So here's our first event of the zigzag run. Here's the second. Here's the third.

[23:03] You're going to bet that these zigzag runs are not going to continue. It's really all you're betting. So you're going to bet that instead of this going to another opposite or a zigzag, it's going to go to a repeat, which you would bet here. And then notice here this is only a zigzag run of three,

[23:17] where here you had one of five and one of four, which is three or more. so you bet that it's going to stay just 3. Okay, so just for example purposes, let's look at it just one more time. Okay, so here's our first zigzag run of 4.

[23:36] 1, 2, 3, 4. And here's our second, 1, 2, 1, 2, 3, 4. Now the next time, you're only going to bet it's going to go to 3.

[23:50] You're going to go here, here. You're not going to bet that it's going to go opposite again. You're going to bet that this is going to repeat. And you bet the same scenario, use the negative progression the same way as before.

[24:03] If you'd lose this, you'd wait until the next event presented itself and just go from a one to a two bet or a one, one, two, one, two, three, whatever your negative progression is. Okay, that's triggers.

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