TubeSum ← Transcribe a video

Best Swedish Teams for Over 1.5 Goals Betting

0h 11m video Published Jun 4, 2026 Transcribed Aug 5, 2026 C Clopez Picks
Intermediate 5 min read For: Sports bettors interested in statistical analysis and market trends, particularly in football.
AI Trust Score 70/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"Delivers on the promise of identifying profitable teams for over 1.5 goals, but padded with promotions and tangents."

AI Summary

This video analyzes the Swedish football league (Allsvenskan) to identify the most profitable teams for betting on the over 1.5 goals market. The presenter uses the Bractice backtesting platform to show statistical returns and highlights Halmstad, Orgrite, and Sirius as teams with a 100% success rate in this market. He also discusses general market trends, such as the profitability of over 1.5 goals and away team wins in the first half, and promotes his premium service and a friend's tipster community.

[01:26]
Home team win market is unprofitable

In the current Allsvenskan season, betting on the home team to win has a 40% success rate and is not profitable.

[02:18]
Over 1.5 goals is highly profitable

The over 1.5 goals market has an 86% success rate and a 6.8% return, despite low average odds of 1.24.

[03:00]
Most matches end with exactly two goals

The over 2.5 goals market is only at 56%, indicating that most matches are ending with two goals, making over 1.5 a strong bet.

[03:53]
Away team win in first half is profitable

Betting on the away team to win in the first half has a low success rate but high average odds, making it profitable.

[04:21]
Most common result is 1-1

The most common result in Sweden is 1-1, as both teams score and there are over 1.5 goals, making both markets profitable.

[05:18]
Wait for live odds to rise to 1.72

For professional betting, wait for live odds to rise to at least 1.72 before entering a bet on probable markets like over 1.5 goals.

[06:00]
AIK is not profitable at home but away

AIK has a -26.8% return at home but is profitable away, so if betting on over 1.5 goals when AIK plays, it's better to bet on away games.

[07:19]
Halmstad, Orgrite, and Sirius have 100% success

These three teams have a 100% success rate for over 1.5 goals this season, with Halmstad leading with a 27.5% average return.

[08:58]
Sirius stats: 10 games, 27 scored, 10 conceded

Sirius has played 10 games, winning nine, drawing one, losing zero, scoring 27 and conceding 10, making them a strong over 1.5 bet.

[09:52]
Even last-place teams can be profitable

The presenter defends that a team's league position doesn't matter for over 1.5 goals, citing Chapecoense in Brazil as an example with a 94% success rate.

The video concludes that over 1.5 goals is a highly profitable market in the Swedish league, especially for teams like Halmstad, Orgrite, and Sirius. The presenter recommends betting live and waiting for odds to rise to 1.72, and encourages viewers to join his premium service for more tips.

Mentioned in this Video

Study Flashcards (6)

What is the success rate and return for over 1.5 goals in the Swedish league?

easy Click to reveal answer

86% success rate and 6.8% return.

02:18

What is the most common result in Swedish league matches?

easy Click to reveal answer

1-1

04:21

Which three teams have a 100% success rate for over 1.5 goals?

medium Click to reveal answer

Halmstad, Orgrite, and Sirius.

07:46

What odds should you wait for before entering a live bet on over 1.5 goals?

medium Click to reveal answer

At least 1.72.

05:18

What is the average return for Halmstad in over 1.5 goals?

medium Click to reveal answer

27.5%

07:19

What is the success rate for the home team win market?

easy Click to reveal answer

40%

01:39

💡 Key Takeaways

💡

Over 1.5 goals is highly profitable

Despite low odds, the market yields a high return, making it a key insight for bettors.

02:18
📊

Three teams with 100% success rate

Identifies specific teams with perfect records in the over 1.5 market, directly actionable for betting.

07:46
🔧

Live betting strategy

Provides a concrete strategy of waiting for odds to rise to 1.72, improving value.

05:18
⚖️

Low-ranked teams can be profitable

Challenges common misconceptions about betting on weak teams, emphasizing statistical analysis over reputation.

09:52

[00:01] football on right now. League break. The European one is no longer there. It's June, June has just begun, but the good thing is that the World Cup is coming soon. Tremendous. And obviously going to be covering the World Cup on my premium service.

[00:16] We're going to talk about the Swedish league, even though it's currently on hiatus, well, it's we're going to see which teams are profitable for which markets, but before we do, there's someone I've known for years who's also a

[00:31] tipster and has now created his own school community just like me. He's offering, just like me, 7 free days on his premium, it's for both of them to score the video description and the first comment. I repeat, you have 7

[00:46] register on the platform if you haven't already, and that's it. It will ask for your payment information, but that's only if you want to stay after the 7 days; you will be time and without any commitment, there's no minimum term or anything, even if you want to

[01:00] cancel on day one, no problem, but try it and see for yourself, because if you like betting on goals, this is a premium goals betting option. I repeat, link comment. And now, I'll record the screen. As always, we'll go to

[01:13] Bractice, where you have the code C López for a 30% discount on the platform, and together we'll discover which are the best teams to bet on certain markets in the Oldsenscan of Sweden. Let's go. Okay,

[01:26] so we're already in backtesting, which is where we see the profitability of the leagues and teams. We can see here that I have selected the Old Scan of Sweden, current season. And in the market we'll start with the local team. May

[01:39] the home team win. We see that it is horrible. probability of the home team winning . Well, look at that crap, 40%. Right now,

[01:52] . Well, look at that crap, 40%. Right now, betting on the home team to win in Sweden isn't proving profitable at all. Let's see the tie. in Sweden isn't proving profitable at all. Let's see the tie. 29% success rate, 3.25% return, and

[02:05] profitable, but you're not going to lose less money than the home team. Less than 1.5 goals. Awful. It seems to be super over on

[02:18] the over 1.5 goals topic, because I just saw it yesterday when I made a reel on my Instagram, check it out because I post five reels daily there. It has tons of information on matches and betting, so you're sure to

[02:31] find something there that interests you. Over 1.5 goals, 86% success rate and 6.8% return. It's very curious that such a low-paying market, such a low-paying market, 1.24 average return, is profitable, but

[02:45] with this normal success rate , right? However, then you look at the, let's see the under first, but look at the over 2.5 goals and it's not being over at just 56%. It's not that it's anything spectacular.

[03:00] So what's going on? Most matches are ending with two goals. Right now, seeing this, it's very, very unlikely that they'll end up with zero or one goal. So over 1.5 goals is a very good market right now

[03:13] goals is a very good market right now in Sweden. And we're going to see if those two goals in the matches are from the same team or from both, we'll see that now when we get to both. They score

[03:26] 3.5, nothing, one that is two in the first half. Let's see if the first one is so disastrous when it comes to the first half. Not so disastrous, but well, very unlikely. A draw is more likely, but it wasn't

[03:38] enough to be profitable. And the visiting team, yes, curiously enough, yes. Low success rate, but very high average odds. May the away team win in the first half. It's proving very profitable, as is the over

[03:53] very profitable, as is the over 1.5 goals bet. If I had to choose one, it would be the over 1.5 goals bet, and obviously live, not pre- match. If you don't wait until the first half, and if it's 0-0 at

[04:06] halftime (we'll see if the over 0.5 goals bet at halftime is profitable), then bet on the over 1.5 goals in the second half. Let's see if they both score. Yes, well, notice that it's 1-1. The

[04:21] Yes, well, notice that it's 1-1. The most common result right now in Sweden is 1 to 1 because both teams score and there are over 1.5 goals. They are two very profitable markets, so it's not that it's 20 or 02 because

[04:36] both of them are profitable too. Let's see if they're in the first half or the second. The majority (72%) for the first half is not profitable. Well, yes, it's what it is,

[04:49] seeing more or less between 70 and 75% is usually normal, and well, then there are leagues that exceed 80% of goals in the first division and the over 1.5 goals in the first division, under and the over either. Perfect, both score

[05:05] likely market, which I know you like to do for accumulators, even though I don't recommend it, but well, with this success rate you could combine two that meet the analysis, which isn't really an analysis,

[05:18] , but the professional option will always be to wait for the live market until will always be to wait for the live market until the odds rise to at least 1.72. That's a tremendous amount. 1.72 is a perfect odds to enter

[05:31] very probable markets, but of course, you have to wait a while. For example, if you want to bet on a goal in the first half and it's at 125 pre-match, you'll have to half and it's at 125 pre-match, you'll have to wait until minute 20,

[05:44] maybe 25, for it to be at 172. That way you have 20 minutes left and the probability is very high. The same goes for Uber 1.5 goals, right? You'll have to wait a little while. Let's see which teams are the most profitable. We see that AIKA does

[06:00] not win at home, -26.8%, but does win away. So if you have to bet on 1.5 goals when Aik plays, which I still wouldn't do because it's a team I don't like, it's the away game. But what I always say,

[06:13] [clears throat] we're looking for teams like Deer Force, not like Broncarna. Because? Because I'm not interested in a team being under at home and then over away or vice versa. I'm interested in it always being that way, not that way, and that way

[06:27] we reduce that factor of luck or surprise, or that it was simply a coincidence that at home it was under and over, and then the other way around playing on the other field,

[06:39] field. I want it to always be over the top, to always make a statement and fit perfectly, and Der Force does it . The left-hand column shows the profitability when playing at home. profitability when playing at home. The purple one is for when they play away, and

[06:52] the one on the right is the average of both. So if you bet on all the bet on all the Deer Force matches at 1.5 goals, you would have a 19.4%

[07:04] return. It's very nice. Elsborg is also profitable in both fields, especially at home, but somewhat away as well. Halmstad currently somewhat away as well. Halmstad currently leads with an average return of 27.5% and 5%. It

[07:19] 's incredible. Moreover, I was just talking about the over 1.5 goals yesterday. Oh no, it's not that I spoke, I mean, I have the real recording, but I'll upload it today, June 1st. And

[07:32] Harmstad has a 100% success rate in predicting 1.5 goals. We continue. Orgrite, very good too. Sirius also has a 100% success rate Sirius also has a 100% success rate because it fell within the category of the

[07:46] most profitable ones I mentioned, and the grit was also correct. In other words, the three most profitable teams in words, the three most profitable teams in Sweden for betting on over 1.5 goals have a 100% success rate to date for this market. So Halmstad,

[08:01] for this market. So Halmstad, Orgrite and Sirius have never had a zero-goal or all- goals or more game this season. And then if we're going to make changes, we can see the entire

[08:17] match history back here. the results and so on. And just like that, we discover which teams are profitable for certain markets and from any league we want, as long as it's in B practice. Remember, Halmstad, Orgrite and

[08:29] Sirius. We remove the most profitable teams, and so far this season, which I think has been played for 10 matchdays, right? Let's see, [snort] 10 days. Well, some have

[08:43] 11, others nine, but these three teams have played 10 matches. Well, 100% accuracy to date, for example, Sirius, tremendous, out of 10 games played he has won nine, drawn one, lost zero. But what

[08:58] interests us about the 10 games they 've played is that they've scored 27 and conceded 10. Oroguirite, in 10 games, has scored 10 and

[09:11] in 10 games, has scored 10 and conceded 25. And Halmstad, in 10 20. Um, this is what some people don't understand, for example, right? I often talk about the profitability of teams on Instagram,

[09:26] for example, yesterday, no, this morning at 5 am, I always upload a reel at 5 am, then at 12 pm , at 3 pm, at 6 pm and at 9 pm. Those are my schedules for posting

[09:39] reels. That's why I'm telling you that pck TV on Instagram is definitely coming from that direction because there's a lot of content. Well, I also talked about three teams that are extremely profitable for betting on 1.5 goals. Exactly the same as in this video,

[09:52] but in the Brazilian series. Chapecoense was in the top three and someone comments, was in the top three and someone comments, Chapecoense, who is last, is profitable, what a joke, where are you going? Know? There are some people so stupid that they think that just because a

[10:07] team is bad it's not profitable in terms of goals, dude. You don't count the goals they concede . Do you think he only counts the goals the team is going to score ? I don't give a [ __ ] [ __ ] if it's the last one. That's why it's so

[10:20] goals, not just one, but several. Therefore, the over 1.5 goals condition is met and has a 94% success rate. The statistics are here. I don't make anything up. The statistics show it, and you can see it for yourself. Then,

[10:34] if you're stupid enough not to even bother looking to see if it's true, that Remember, the premium thing about both of them scoring and my friend's goals, you have it in the comment. You have 7 free days, so

[10:48] you can log in, see how everything works, and if you want to cancel and not pay, you can cancel and not pay. If you want to continue, which I recommend, then great, you continue with him and obviously with me too. And now tell me, do you want me to talk about

[11:01] a specific league or do you want us to go straight to the World Cup and start attacking the World Cup? There are still 10 days until it starts, but hey, I still have time to make a few videos talking about certain leagues

[11:14] or certain things, and then don't worry, I 'll also record long videos here on YouTube talking about the World Cup. Don't forget to leave a creating more content. Offer sports betting and if you want to improve as a

[11:26] bettor and predictor, subscribe and activate notifications. Until next time. activate notifications. Until next time. Yeah.

More from Clopez Picks

View all

⚡ Saved you 0h 11m reading this? Transcribe any YouTube video for free — no signup needed.