The Easy Way to Trade Horse Races Without Much Risk

[00:00] pound by actively trading it. And you may think that that is the biggest race that I'm going to have this year. next couple of months we have some absolutely fantastic opportunities.

[00:17] It's very likely that one of those will yield a profit much bigger than this. understand and that you can do too.

[00:33] up BET Angel's Guardian tool and I load all of the markets into Guardian. And what I'm doing is I'm going down each one of those lines, just having a look at

[00:45] I'm looking at what the type of race is, how much money's been matched on it, where most of the betting interest is, and I'm also looking at the race type because the race type will allow you to get a handle on what

[00:59] It requires a little bit of qualification, but when you look at certain types Certain types of characteristics, uh, that will appear within the trading market.

[01:11] Now, I have done a video talking about individual aspects of this, but on this particular video, we're very interested in one type of race, Of year.

[01:23] So when we look at professional sport, everybody has a very clearly defined path, and that is, uh, governed by age. you're likely to turn pro.

[01:35] And when you're in your early thirties, um, your physical ability relative to the rest of the people you're competing with begins to go into decline and Now when we look at horse racing, horse racing has a sort of similar, uh, path,

[01:53] For example, when a horse is two years old, it can race, um, on the flat racing, and when it's 3-year-old, it can race over jumps. But when we look at the career life cycle of a flat horse, it's probably

[02:08] only gonna race until four or six years old, depending upon how successful it is. And when we look at jumps racing, they could race until they're 10 or 12. There's no upper limit, but things that determine, uh, whether they

[02:20] But also if they're super, uh, stars within their particular class, then they may head off to early retirement and studs for the rest of their life. However, this sort of little lifecycle does present opportunities for us,

[02:35] especially at this time of year. notice that will happen is that you'll get a lot of two year olds

[02:47] And when a horse races for the first time, it has to go into a maiden. Now, obviously, if you've never raced before, you haven't won before and

[03:00] But it's important to note that you can actually. Race in a maiden, even if you have raced before, because a maiden is So it's possible that you could have run before, um, but you're in a maiden simply

[03:15] So it's important to draw that definition between the two. Uh, but you may also find that there are unraced horses within. So novices and maidens are races where none of the horses have won a race before.

[03:32] Uh, but it's possible to split them further in between maidens that contain horses that have raced before but just didn't win their race. never seen a race course before.

[03:46] looking at and how you can actually spot some of these types of races. gone to the race cards section.

[04:01] So we can see here, uh, foes over the jumps and we can see Uh, we've got a handicap and so on. here, handicap, handicap, novice.

[04:14] And if we look at Helman, you can see we've got a novice Handicap and so on. You can see we've got a maiden stakes here.

[04:27] quality that we see today. And, uh, which shows a few, um, maiden, uh, races within that

[04:39] So you can see immediately where the maiden races are. But how do we identify which one of these races, um, is actually of interest to us? Well, there are several ways of doing that.

[04:52] inside some of these race cards. this a little bit quicker, but it is helpful to understand the race cards, on the race that you're looking at.

[05:07] I. and to allow you to understand race cards a little bit better. It's a class four.

[05:22] So horses will be ranked according to their ability and then can qualify And this handicap is for three year olds with a rating of naught to 85. form here, and this is obviously how they have got their rating.

[05:38] The little hyphen that you can see here indicates that it hasn't run this season, and we can see on present times it's three years old carrying nine, stone Nine has an official rating of 84 and racing Post have their own rating over here.

[05:50] So you can see the weights change according to the horse's ability and to its rating because in a handicap, all horses should be equally weighted.

[06:02] To give them an equal chance of winning that particular race. You can see that this is a novice race and it's a class four for two year

[06:14] olds, so we can see that these are horses that have just perhaps come out But a novice race can include horses that have run before. Moon fall has not raced.

[06:28] So there's only one horse in this entire race that has actually raced before. Um, so yeah, you can see how a novice race can include horses that have raced before.

[06:42] likely if they're two years old. That means they haven't run enough races for the handicapper to give them a rating, and therefore they will not be eligible to run in handicaps.

[06:58] So novice races, maidens are likely to include horses that have no form unless, um, it's a race for maidens, just simply because they have run But when you read the race cards, all of this sort of information

[07:12] I. So when you start up be angel, this is the sort of screen that you would likely see and it's very easy to modify, to include information that's relevant And you would do that via the column chooser.

[07:27] This is the uh, icon that you would use in order to do that. on the one click screen, and this includes custom columns as well.

[07:39] can actually create columns to do and display exactly what we wish. So you can see here I've created a custom column called DSLR, which

[07:51] This will display information relating to when the horse, uh, was last racing. And what I've also done is if we look at the middle of the screen here, you can You can create as many different displays as you wish.

[08:07] Uh, and you can see on here, we've included the form the day since So you can have all of that information available for you, um, immediately

[08:20] available on the one click screen. It's possible to do that on the ladder as well. If we just go to the ladder tab, we've got ladder settings just here, and there

[08:34] are tons of options for you to change and modify the way the ladder behaves. So if I show this area, you can see we've got it set up. To do some, uh, information about horse racing that's pulled in via TPD.

[08:50] You can see that that information gets displayed there, if applicable. The way that we did on the one click screen. and add preset information and we could actually add something like

[09:05] And you can see that that appears on the ladder. And if we want to move that to a different row, uh, we could actually do that, put it on its own row, uh, merge it in with something else, uh, within here.

[09:18] we can move that information around and how we can display it. So that's how you do that on the ladder. still thinking, why are we doing that?

[09:32] give you a good feel for how the market is likely to trade. And if you wind sell forward to the end of the flat season, you It's a very, uh, big prize money competitive handicap.

[09:48] the season in order to qualify. For this particular race, and as a consequence, the market will be able come up with reasonably good estimates, especially in a handicap of what the price

[10:04] should be and the market will therefore be generally range bound things could change that, such as the form of a trainer or a jockey or perhaps, you know, the, the rain arrives a few, um, hours before the racing starts or something like that.

[10:17] But generally speaking, the market will know what the real price should be. Compare that to the start of the flat uh, turf season where a lot of two and They've never been on a race course on a competitive day, and you just

[10:33] There's no specific way of. Definitely identifying what the price of that horse should be, and Uh, people will put money down for it, and if people put money down for

[10:48] And so they will put money down, and the opposite can happen as well. go, well, somebody must know something and therefore they won't back it.

[11:00] Now people will try and guess what the price should be by looking at the breeding of the horse, um, and how that, you know, its parents did over similar distances.

[11:12] So there's a little bit of guesswork there that will get them roughly in that area. But the activity on the day is what really drives the price significantly. They have some of the biggest price moves that you are likely.

[11:25] To see if you see a maiden or a novice with unraced horses and the prices at about evens, um, those markets will move fairly significantly in complete contrast to something like the CRE at the end of the season.

[11:39] However, there is one thing that happens on these races that anybody can do, anybody can take advantage of, that presents some of the best opportunities that you will see throughout the year.

[11:51] capture a video of it in action because the problem that you have is You know it will occur at some point. And the reason that we can't do that is that we're looking at novices or

[12:07] maidens that haven't raced before and we're looking specifically at So as soon as one of these races comes round on the schedule, I'm looking I'm looking very closely at when they go to post, even if they do go to post,

[12:23] when they're getting loaded into the stalls or as these horses will see them giant, great big metal objects that I'm about to get trapped in. horses haven't seen a race course before, not in a competitive context with crowds

[12:42] And we're beg, we're assessing whether that's going to influence chucks the jockey, um, then that's definitely going to be a negative.

[12:55] But it's important to note as well that when we're talking about horses that are bolting to the post, that you find a race course, uh, that has an If a young maiden, um, chucks its jockey and then starts racing off into the new

[13:10] market countryside, you may never see it again because it's an open course. So it could just go on running for ages and ages until it is caught. However, at other race courses, they will have shoots that will capture the horse.

[13:22] Um, or it may be that because it's a tightly enclosed hor uh, course, uh, Freudian slip there, um, it may actually just run straight to the start. used up a lot of energy.

[13:35] price will drift significantly. to start getting in on the lay side. You're looking for horses to misbehave.

[13:48] If they start bolting to the post or anything like that, then you Um, and that you're basing a whole trade upon that. And naturally, because people will.

[14:02] It really is that simple. We're looking for certain types of, um, races, certain types of And we're gonna jump on that lay button if we see any particular problems.

[14:22] cards a bit earlier because that's the sort of core of the strategy really looking at those particular runners. unraced horse that's priced at around twos, that is probably gonna

[14:39] 'cause the market will be moving significantly and if the horse doesn't, um, uh, behave itself, then that price is gonna absolutely Over the next month, uh, to two months, that opportunity

[14:54] I can't tell you what race that will be on specifically, but I can tell you the type of race and the sort of thing that you're looking for. the chance to look at them all of the time, maybe it's just on a Saturday

[15:08] or something, go through them, try and identify this racist and when they appear. If you have total performance data technology plugged into BET Angel, you even though you can't see it on the tv.

[15:23] So yeah, it's a really simple trade to do, but this is the sort of trade that's gonna yield me a bigger result than I got on the Grand National.