Nifty Expiry Game: Expiry Day Trading Strategy 2026 | Option Buying vs Option Selling

[00:01] giving 30000 plus profit right now. You can see that the projected profit is Rs 30,000 right now. The You can see that the projected profit is Rs 30,000 right now. The make a profit of around Rs 500. If you know my Ina account then I will

[00:15] definitely update you about this trade there so that you people know that Sir has said it is Rs 500 and it is not that I cut it myself after making the video. It's not like that.

[00:28] Share Ba's educational channel. Friends, if you had seen my Saturday video in which I had clearly told you that I will hold my Friday trade and try to make a lot of money

[00:40] directional trade. Today you will see that it is Monday and on Monday the market has happens is that whenever we put in any non-directional hedging, we put in any non-directional hedging,

[00:53] panicky situation they book the trade. But whenever I teach any of my classes offline or online, we teach the exit plan of every strategy as to when to make it, when to cut it and when to make adjustments.

[01:06] Same to same trade which I teach, same trade is running in my account. The like to tell you that this video is only for educational purpose. I am not giving you any kind of recommendation in this. I am only showing that if you are an option buyer, then

[01:23] you have a very good advantage. Your fear of holding the trade for a long time will end. You trade and make money but are not able to become profitable at the end of the day. The only solution to this is to

[01:36] change the segment a little. you will have fun. I will tell you the result. This is my You won't believe it. I haven't touched it since Friday. Now you guys see, still there is profit of around Rs 63,000 in it. In this,

[01:49] my second profit was around Rs 20,000 because I also had a single leg directional hedging in which I booked Rs 20,000 and the rest is still video, where I told you about the still of ₹170,

[02:03] friends, what did I do here for ₹169 ? I sold the put option and the call option which you guys will see, I sold it for around ₹65. Currently the premium prices are ₹26 and the one for ₹170 is running around ₹70. Roughly, the profit here is Rs 26,000.

[02:17] Here the profit of Rs 10,000 is around Rs 36,000. around Rs 5,000. If I hold it till expiry. The premium that I must have sold on Friday. If you go and

[02:32] you want to cross check it then cross check it. Everyone tells after making it. But before making it I told you that I will hold this trade. Now you will see that I had sold it at around ₹17.9. I had approximately four

[02:46] lots and the premium of four lots. Friends, the market opened with a gapdown. First of all, see After the gapdown opened, I was seeing a profit of only Rs 4 to 5000, but I had still planned my decision. What people do is that as soon as the

[02:59] market fluctuates a little, they change their decision. This is the biggest problem. I still held on to my decision. The market had gone up a little bit. Then it came down, then went up and finally, right now you are seeing a premium of ₹167.

[03:12] And this thing that is lying against me is both a put and a call. Right now Now look at this trade where we play non-directional biggest role behind creating non-directional hedging is that of expiry.

[03:27] You should know at which range the expiry is going to happen. As you have decided. I had told you that the expiry is from 24150 onwards, if you guys go and watch my video, then what I had told you was that

[03:41] I was feeling the expiry somewhere between 24150 to 24400, so I used the same logic and here I had maintained a range of 300 to 400 points. I have continued to hold this range and you will see that

[03:54] I am still earning around Rs 30,000 in this trade and my profit is still around Rs 20,000 pending at this stage. Let me once again tell you the logic of this trade then this profit is part of the game. Do

[04:06] you get motivated by seeing my profit. See, profit is made only when you have this skill. I have very good children coming to learn from me. Let's learn. that sir, we are not able to earn this money. What is Reason? Look, knowing a strategy does

[04:20] discipline in strategy. There should be confidence. Then money is made. Now why did I make this same trade? What did you make? I will tell you the reason for this can also plan to trade it in the future. I will tell you the reason. If you have seen,

[04:34] I had told you about it on Friday. The market was running roughly around 24,300. The market was running roughly around 24,300. The I will create a hedge when the market goes down by 200 points from here and

[04:48] I will create a hedge when the market goes up by 200 points from here. Overall, I had created a range of 300-350 points and here you will see my payoff graph. In this graph you will understand that as long as my profit is running inside this box. I am going to make

[05:01] profit here. Even if the market expires anywhere, I will still get the money. I will tell you the reason because if you see this area from here, only when the market goes below 24,000, then I will start incurring loss and only when the market

[05:14] I will start incurring loss and only when the market So I have a whole range of things lying around. I have not made any adjustments. Now you will see the speciality of this strategy, the

[05:28] total profit shown here will be around Rs 53,000 for me. In this hedging, investment you will see is 385000, I had told you this on Friday, you should keep 3.5 lakhs, even after investing ₹4 lakhs, if I get a profit of even ₹400, then it is

[05:44] 10% of my capital in a week, and if I do such positional trade two to three times, then my revenue will be 30 to 40%. I am trading more positionally. I will tell you the reason. You get Rs 2000-3000 in intraday.

[05:59] But you make big money in positional trading. For this you need talent and discipline. Now here you will see the probability, brother, there is 83% probability of this trade. Meaning, there are not 80% but 83% chances that

[06:14] probability that option selling gives you. If you had done option buying here, it would not have been so much fun and you cannot plan such a big fund here. You can make money but that money will not be made in the last month. So here you will see, pay

[06:27] attention to the probability, this probability is looking around 84%, 83% and tomorrow it will go around 98-99% and tomorrow is the expiry, all the premium will be lost anyway. Now look at the main game changer here, you might be saying

[06:42] Sir, Max Locks is 76000. Brother, it is showing a maximum loss of Rs 76,000 I have an adjustment plan for every strategy. If my strategy is not working, where is it not working? This is where I

[06:56] money to be made in option hedging here. If you have dedication and can hold the trade for a long time. Now if you want to do the same thing, what would you plan? First of all look at Nifty, how much

[07:08] movement can Nifty make? So the power of Nifty is 200 points, 400 points, Nifty never gains momentum beyond 400 points. So you have to remember that whenever you make any non-directional hedging, make a box of at least 400 points.

[07:20] What is the profit in a 400 point box is that the market went up by 100-200 points. Even if it goes down by 100-200 points, there will be no problem in your hedging. So whenever you make a box of 400 points. 400 points

[07:32] money is always made through non-directional means. I also do directional hazing. I tomorrow. So what did I do you will see the still, it is written here that it is giving Rs 30,000 plus profit right now.

[07:45] This appears projected to you. So 30000 is the profit right now. The target for tomorrow is around 20,000 more. So in total we will make a profit of around Rs 500. If you know my Ina account then I will definitely update you about this trade there so that

[07:59] you people know that Sir has said it is Rs 500 and it is not that I cut it myself after making the video. It's not like that. This trade will continue until I get Rs 500. You guys must watch its video on Instagram tomorrow. The

[08:11] most important thing right now is that NIFI expires tomorrow. What to plan? How can we plan the trade? We discuss all these things. Come on guys, where do I see the expiry of NiFi going and how can I adjust this no directional

[08:25] Where will the fear scenario start for me? First of all, right now you guys see what NiFi trade is doing, it is trading around 24,50. Let us take a rough estimate of around 24,250, Nifi is currently standing at 24,250. So,

[08:40] put in a hedge or a no-directional trade plan, what do you have to do? Pay recent swing low. So now you people will see that the market is standing here and if you go down from here then this area which is visible, you should keep this in mind that roughly the

[08:54] level of 24,40 is coming. You can also say 50, around 24,50. So this level has acted as a strong support and it will work as the biggest support for us. You will see on the top side that from where the market gave a

[09:09] gap down opening, remember that level, the level that is coming is 24320, remember this number 24320, what has this biggest number become for the market ? Resistance has been created. So this is the entire plan for tomorrow. If you are trading with two-three years of experience

[09:23] or are a fresher, you should still look carefully to see if you have two levels yesterday. Firstly, this became the support level of the market. You should not trade on the downside until the support is broken and you should not plan a trade until the market sustains above this resistance. In

[09:35] the meantime, if the market opens gap down anywhere, gap up anywhere, or moves anywhere, then what

[09:47] profit. Now I will tell you that Sir, this did not happen. Yesterday the So how will we plan? So first of all we decided that this upper area has become resistance for us and this entire area is our

[10:00] complete support. If tomorrow the market had opened gap up somewhere here, look carefully, the gap up opened and the market opened, I will tell you a trick. From about 10:00 am to 12:00 pm, it remained in a small range and after that,

[10:15] if the market turns upside down around 12:00 pm, then you can assume that you will get to see a big expiry in the market. Whenever Nifty moves, whatever breakouts it makes after 12:00 or 11:00, they sustain. So

[10:27] any non-directional hedging today, then remember that you will have to book the profit by 12:00 tomorrow. It may be after 12:00. If Nifty breaks the upper level then the next target for Nifty for us will be

[10:41] 24,440 and the second will be 24,000. You guys will see that it can be seen going around 480 also. But the probability is very low. The way the market is structured, one day up, next day down, one day up, next day down, one day up, one day

[10:56] down. So look at the market of the last 10 days. Option sellers are making money across the market because the more the market zigzags, the faster the premiums break down. As you can see, yesterday I had put the hedging here around 12:00 o'clock. Now look, the

[11:09] market has opened up with such a huge gap down. I didn't see any loss. Why didn't they profit from one side here. The losses were decreasing from the other side. So, this is the view of non-directional hedging. Whenever you see the market becoming

[11:22] volatile or slightly moving sideways, try to play non-directional. Tomorrow is the expiry day. Have to trade a little comfortably. This is not the first time that expiry is coming in the market. She comes every week, she comes every day. If

[11:34] good strategy then you will earn money in the future. If you like the video then please definitely subscribe to the channel so that in the future you can also do option selling because unless you learn option selling and hedging, you will

[11:50] not saying that you should buy my courses, this is a secondary matter, it is up to you whether to do it or not, but I am telling you the main reality that when I spent four to five years in option selling, after that I understood one thing that

[12:03] if you see option buying, it makes 2 days, 3 days, 4 days and then goes away, it makes 2 days, 3 days, 4 days and then goes away, a time will come, friend, when all the people in your life who are entire support system will end. Whatever capital you have will

[12:17] also be exhausted and you will realize that friend, I have made a big mistake in life. So that's why if you have money, save it, there is no problem. Don't do trading. But don't waste money on option buying. Even if you have to do it, do it with discipline. Do it

[12:29] with psychology. If not today, then tomorrow you will definitely become a good trader.