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Will Crypto Keep Falling? Bitcoin, XRP, TON and Altcoin Outlook

0h 21m video Published Jul 23, 2026 Transcribed Jul 31, 2026 А Артём Звёздин - обучение трейдингу
Intermediate 14 min read For: Cryptocurrency traders and investors who follow technical analysis and macro market trends.
AI Trust Score 66/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"Title promises crypto forecasts and delivers, but heavy geopolitical ranting and subscription plugs dilute the value."

AI Summary

This video is a cryptocurrency market review covering Bitcoin, XRP, TON, Bittensor, and Hyperliquid. The presenter discusses macro factors like inflation, drought, the AI bubble, and Russia's new crypto regulation, then provides technical analysis and price forecasts for each coin.

[00:14]
Website blocking after denunciation

The Central Bank blocked the project's websites because of links to unlicensed crypto exchanges. Compliance within 3 hours did not help, and unblocking may take 1.5-2 months.

[01:36]
Geopolitical stalemate

No major new events in geopolitics. Trump's unpredictable behavior and rumors of a buildup against Iran keep market participants cautious and fuel inflation expectations.

[02:40]
Inflation and dollar liquidity

Large investors are gradually withdrawing from dollar liquidity, which is expected to accelerate inflation and push the Fed to raise rates, putting pressure on crypto and foreign markets.

[02:53]
European drought and El Niño

Severe drought and the El Niño effect are expected to drive food prices sharply higher (e.g., wheat), accelerating inflation and leading to rate hikes and a flight to conservative assets.

[04:21]
Gold as safe haven

Gold is in a serious correction and looks cheap to buy, while cryptocurrency has not yet become a conservative safe haven. Few dare to buy crypto while gold is collapsing.

[05:17]
AI bubble warning

AI is a wildly overheated, overinflated thing, reminiscent of the 3D-printed organs bubble. A burst of the information bubble in AI could negatively affect the crypto-AI-tech connection.

[06:54]
Russian crypto exchange law

A new law will allow only qualified investors to trade on Russian crypto exchanges. According to the speaker, there are only about 120 qualified investors out of 200,000 people — not enough for a proper exchange infrastructure.

[07:38]
Risks of Russian jurisdiction

The speaker has 25 million rubles blocked on Russian exchanges. He warns about 2022 asset freezes, foreign-agent designations, and the risk of losing control of crypto assets under Russian law.

[10:24]
Bitcoin bearish outlook

On the weekly timeframe Bitcoin is in a bearish trend. The main target forecast is $58,000, with a short-term sideways move between $68,000 and $60,000, and a longer-term probable drop to the $52,000 range.

[13:38]
Altcoin analysis: XRP, TON, TAO, HYPE

XRP reached its target of 1.014 and may slide toward 1.11, 1.01, then 0.80. TON has strong sellers and may fall below 1.00. TAO is in a run-off phase but could bounce. HYPE shows a bullish liquidity-accumulation stage.

Despite a bearish short-term setup, the speaker sees long-term value in Bitcoin and some altcoin opportunities, but strongly warns against using Russian-regulated exchanges and emphasizes waiting for clear trigger events before entering.

Mentioned in this Video

Study Flashcards (7)

What is the main bearish target for Bitcoin mentioned in the video?

easy Click to reveal answer

$58,000, with a longer-term probable move to the $52,000 range.

10:52

Where is Bitcoin's main volume concentrated on the daily timeframe?

medium Click to reveal answer

At the top of the 68-70 range.

11:33

What does the speaker say about gold as an investment?

easy Click to reveal answer

Gold is in a serious correction and looks like a good price to buy, whereas cryptocurrency has not yet become a safe haven.

04:21

How many qualified investors does Russia have, according to the speaker's 2025 data?

medium Click to reveal answer

About 120 out of 200,000 people.

07:09

What reason does the speaker give for the market not reversing?

medium Click to reveal answer

There is no key triggering bearish event; volumes are declining against growth, showing market participants do not have the money to buy.

11:48

What is the speaker's stance on buying Bitcoin long-term?

easy Click to reveal answer

For long-term spot investment, the price is reasonable and with a 3-4 year horizon you can earn several times your investment, but preferably not on a Russian exchange.

13:25

What are the next downside levels for XRP after reaching 1.014?

hard Click to reveal answer

Shorting to 1.11, then if 1.01 breaks, the next level is 0.80.

13:53

💡 Key Takeaways

💡

Gold vs crypto as safe haven

Shows a fundamental shift in investor preference to gold, with crypto not yet seen as a conservative asset.

04:21
⚖️

AI bubble warning

Draws a parallel to the 3D printer bubble, cautioning that AI's overvaluation could spill into crypto.

05:17
📊

Russia's crypto exchange law

Reveals a major regulatory change and its practical limitation due to the tiny number of qualified investors.

06:54
🔧

Bitcoin bearish pattern

Provides concrete price levels ($58k, $60k, $68k, $52k) based on volume analysis and trend structure.

10:24
💡

Hyperliquid bullish accumulation

Identifies a liquidity-accumulation stage with a potential target around 100, contrasting with the overall bearish sentiment.

19:02

[00:01] cryptocurrency market, as you requested, your reaction in the last review was very good, I liked it. Thank you also for the recommendations to take various medications for lethargy. I hope that in this review you will also write me a couple of

[00:14] drugs. Before we head to the markets, a quick announcement. So, in one of the episodes I asked the haters to write a denunciation of me because I was telling an inconvenient truth. The haters did a great job of this. The

[00:28] central bank has [ __ ] us. Our websites are currently blocked because the Central Bank did not like some links to cryptocurrency exchanges that do not have a Central Bank license. And we, accordingly, were given a hard time for this in the

[00:41] so-called brokers' case. We complied with the Central Bank's requirements immediately after receiving the notification, within 3 hours. But, as you can see, this didn't really help, and this is very bad, because further

[00:54] unblocking could take a long time, about one and a half to two months. We will, of course, unblock the resources, because it is not some kind of child pornography or some kind of extremism, it is not an agency, we are

[01:07] just an ordinary website. Well, somewhere on one page, the informant saw a mention of a cryptocurrency exchange, which we didn’t remove because there were 2,000 pages, . Therefore, please subscribe to my Telegram channel or

[01:23] Max channel to stay up to date and receive additional market overview information and, of course, financial market education. Let's get down to the review itself. Let's

[01:36] first discuss the geopolitical and economic agenda. To be honest, over the past week, I don’t even have anything to say, because overall nothing new has appeared. Again this fuss with Trump, who sometimes

[01:49] brings in troops, sometimes doesn’t withdraw them. Some analysts say the United States is currently building up forces to invade Iran. But for now this is just at the level of rumors, at the level of some kind of

[02:01] intelligence. That is, things did not reach a specific scenario. Trump, being a red-haired autocrat, dictator and complete idiot, naturally makes things so that they cannot be calculated. For example, today he gets up on his left foot and

[02:15] decides to send in troops, and tomorrow he gets up on his right foot and decides not to send in troops. Therefore, it is simply impossible to predict what he will do, even from an economic point of view, from a political point of view . This man is crazy, he is a

[02:28] dictator, he is a narcissist. Unfortunately, such people very often rise to power. And so we have what we have. And this, of course, all makes market participants expect that inflation will accelerate. Moreover, large

[02:40] will accelerate. Moreover, large investors have begun to gradually withdraw from dollar liquidity, and this will also accelerate inflation. As a result, the Fed is expected to raise rates. And all these events are putting pressure on the

[02:53] cryptocurrency market, as well as on foreign markets in general, and preventing them from growing. Plus, we in Europe are facing an economic crisis against the backdrop of an incredible drought. Already, a huge number of rivers and lakes have dried up there, and Europe

[03:10] is faced with the so-called El Niño effect. And it is expected that now, in the near future, products will become very expensive. In the previous review, expensive. In the previous review, we looked at wheat futures using this QR code.

[03:23] And we saw from wheat futures that there really are prospects for serious growth; unfortunately, they do exist. And this means that, well, let's look ahead a little, yes, all this will drive up inflation, because food

[03:36] will be expensive, wheat will be expensive. Well, it’s not just wheat, of course, all agricultural products will become more expensive and along with it, all of this will forecasters say that this is just the beginning, and next year will be even

[03:51] tougher. And what's more, this winter, due to this El Niño effect, we can expect massive snowfalls, which, of course, will also have a very strong impact on the economies of our countries [snorts] and thereby accelerate the already rapid

[04:06] inflation. And this will lead to a rise in interest rates and a flight of money into conservative instruments, such as gold and bonds. Unfortunately, cryptocurrency has not yet become the safe haven for

[04:21] conservative instrument that gold, for example, has become. And that's why we don't have crazy growth. Moreover, gold currently looks like a good price to buy. It is in serious correction. And against the backdrop of

[04:35] the collapse of gold, few people dare to buy cryptocurrency now. There is one more nuance. Investors are expecting the

[04:47] starting to crackle a little. We've seen that we, uh, had a collapse of the stock market bubble, that is, the bursting of the stock market bubble on the South Korean stock exchange , but it's still too early to talk about a total collapse there, and investors

[05:01] expect that a similar fate will befall all markets in general. This change in rhetoric could have very painful consequences in the long run. What does this mean? And, you see, here investors have always been tied to certain

[05:17] events. Well, that is, for a very long time there was a good connection between cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence. And now we already have a scenario of a global future, there is this whole story. But we see now that our

[05:30] artificial intelligence is a wildly overheated, overinflated thing. The same thing that happened at one time with 3D printers, when they printed organs on 3D printers. Where is all this? Nowhere. This is the same thing we are now seeing: the bursting of the information bubble

[05:44] in artificial intelligence. This, of course, could have a negative impact, including on the connection between cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and technology. Naturally, all this is causing market participants to reconsider their

[05:57] investments towards more conservative instruments and exit the technology sector. Well, and so it went, off it went. But, as I said, there haven't been that went, off it went. But, as I said, there haven't been that

[06:09] summer is, of course, to blame for this. That means we are now in the holiday season. Naturally, some of the major events that were supposed to happen are now on hold for a bit. One part of us is trying to collect the surviving crops

[06:23] that have dried up there due to drought, and the other part of the planet is trying to drink beer on the beach there. Therefore, it is too early to talk about any major launch of major, serious projects and interesting things, or the arrival of any liquidity, well,

[06:38] and August is still ahead. Traditionally the slowest month of the year, if we're talking about foreign markets. And traditionally the most terrible month for Russia. I completely forgot to mention Russia. You've all heard about the legalization of

[06:54] cryptocurrency exchanges, or more precisely, the adoption of a law on cryptocurrency exchanges. I think you know the tenets of this law: it will now be permitted to buy a cryptocurrency exchange in one way or another .

[07:09] Only qualified investors will be able to continue trading as usual. According to the latest data, According to the latest data, Russia. For me, frankly speaking, this is a big surprise. This is data from 2025.

[07:23] According to my feelings, according to some kind of feeling, there are no more than 120 of them out of 200,000 people. This amount, of course, is enough to capture a small Takamachka, but it is not enough to create a full-fledged exchange infrastructure

[07:38] within Russia. Furthermore, and most importantly, by purchasing cryptocurrency in Russian jurisdiction, you are subject to Russian laws. Nowadays, few people are interested in this. Because, well, I can

[07:52] give you my example. I have more than 25 million rubles blocked. and blocked on Russian exchanges due to the actions of Russian officials, not due to the Do you see what the matter is? Naturally, investors remember how their

[08:07] assets were frozen in 2022 because the national settlement depository failed to disclose information about securities owners , citing an order from Vladimir Putin. And, naturally, no one wants to fall into this circle a second time.

[08:20] Moreover, we live in a time when even I started the video by saying that I was denounced and my websites were blocked. God knows how this will all end. And God knows, maybe someone else will write a denunciation of me

[08:34] and recognize me as an agent. Well , for example, you have a foreign account or you have, for example, a foreign social network. So, Instagram. Came under foreign influence. That's it, you're now a foreign agent. This

[08:48] means that all your cryptocurrency assets will simply be blocked from your control. And then go run around the courts and prove that you are not a foreign agent. Today this is simply impossible. Well, it's actually impossible.

[09:00] For this reason, it seems to me that a cryptocurrency exchange and cryptocurrency control within this system would be difficult to implement. Let's say it will be feasible for some investors, but the lion's share of

[09:14] investors will still want to trade with foreign brokers out of habit, thereby breaking the law. We'll see how the Central Bank will implement all this. Of course, the likelihood that the Central Bank will screw

[09:27] Russian investors is very high, and given that they use foreign most likely what will happen . So, you want to buy crypto, and we'll give you basically no lubrication, you understand? Get out of here, you have a

[09:41] Russian broker, Russian legal jurisdiction. So, go and buy there within this very system, which, strictly speaking, has no withdrawal option, no ability to buy normal cryptocurrency assets. Well, basically, that's it. But

[09:55] there is a paradise for arbitration here. When all this is implemented, we will be engaged in arbitration and will earn a tidy sum of money. Now let's look at the interesting tools that Neuronka recommended to me. Once again, I

[10:10] ask you to write, please, about the financial instruments and cryptocurrency that interest you, so that I can tell you not what interests the neronka, but what will interest you. So, we will start our review, of course, with Bitcoin. So,

[10:24] friends, the last time I made a post, I got so much crap dumped on me, you can’t even imagine. I understand you all perfectly. I would also like to see a bullish trend here, but we don’t have a

[10:37] stop. Here we have a weekly time frame. Look, we are in a bearish trend. We had a downward movement. So, it turns out that the week of June 22nd closed with a downward movement. We took the level, it turns out, 58. Let's

[10:52] took the level, it turns out, 58. Let's mark it here. Let me remind you that $58,000 is our main target forecast within the bearish trend, within the bearish season. Teddy bears. After that, the following week in June

[11:05] twenty-nine, we saw that the market rose, but at the same time our quotes ended up within the quotes of the bearish session. Next we have a candle of uncertainty and one, two, two growth candles, which are still located

[11:20] inside this mother bearish candle. And if we switch to the daily time frame, we had a target forecast here - this is a short-term sideways movement. Why the short-term sideways movement? We took it on the basis that

[11:33] our main volumes are concentrated at the top of the 68-70 range. And our market is in a compressed state; it doesn’t have the strength to rise. And we see that this is also confirmed by the volumes. Please note that we are experiencing a

[11:48] decline in volumes against a backdrop of growth. This is a divergence between price and volume when market participants do not have the money to buy it, and so the market stops. And at the same time, we do not have a key, triggering,

[12:02] bearish event that will drag the market down. That is, our market participants entered into purchases here. Even judging by the comments, including on my resources, many are saying: "Eh, I didn't listen to anyone. I bought there at

[12:14] didn't listen to anyone. I bought there at $60,000, at $58,000. I ." That is, we have growth, namely at the end of June, at the beginning of July, the growth in volumes - this is precisely the entry of retail traders here.

[12:29] We saw the same thing in June of 1926. Well, let me narrow down the charts a little and pay attention to the volumes we had in March, which caused some short-term movement in February. These volumes could have had at least some

[12:42] influence. And compare the current volumes in June of the twenty-sixth year. Compare them with the February volumes, with the March volumes. Of course, there is no point in expecting the market to reverse now against the backdrop of this big bearish scenario

[12:55] . There must be some kind of trigger, a key event. It's not here yet. Therefore, our main forecast remains the same. This is a sideways move forecast remains the same. This is a sideways move between the $68,000 and $60,000 ranges

[13:10] with a longer term, probable move lower to the $52,000 range . There is a nuance here. What I'm saying now, we're talking more about speculation. If we're talking about

[13:25] speculation. If we're talking about long-term investments in spot, by all means, buy. The price is very reasonable now. With a 3-4 year horizon, you will earn several X's. Therefore, it is indeed possible to buy now, but I repeat

[13:38] , for the long term and preferably not on the Russian exchange. The next coin is, of course, Ripple. Let's look at the Ripple coin. Many people asked to see it. Our main volume is concentrated in the 1400 range.

[13:53] Then, we reached our target. Our main target was 1014. We got there, listen, penny for penny. It's just something else. We are still in a bearish trend, but we see our market slowly

[14:07] fading. We see that here some kind of bottom is already beginning to form , or something like that. And just like with Bitcoin, we see that our market is growing a little, but at the same time our volumes are falling. The most likely

[14:22] movement here is within this level, that is, when the market is in a sideways movement and sticks to this level. We'll have to look further here, but for now this is the trend we have. This means that it is still too

[14:38] market has tightened its grip here. In the short term, you can try the short term, you can try shorting to 111. Well, that's all. Here further there is a question mark. It is clear that we can say that now

[14:50] the market maker will lead the capture of liquidity. Let's leave all this to the infocygans who supposedly fly on a private jet to support other infocygans practically trading. That is, here we are

[15:02] statistics, about what is confirmed by real transactions, real money. If for some reason we still break through 101, then we move on to 0.80, that is, the next level. Then we'll try to capture it. The

[15:17] next coin I would like to look at is, of course, the Gram coin. She is also a former tone. This means that at this point we have reached a serious base, namely 1400. Let's designate it as a good

[15:32] level. This is the beginning of this bullish impulse. We had a subsequent drain here. If you look at the chart, the chart does this very often. That is, an impulse occurs, then a drain occurs, sticking to this level and then

[15:46] subsequent movement further lower. It turns out that this happened both in 1923 and in 1922. In general, this is quite a good characteristic of the coin. And the next point I wanted to make here is

[15:58] to highlight, of course, this level, level 288. We are also in a local bear market here. At the same time, we do not see any serious decline here. Well, that

[16:10] falling, I think, along with the market. We don't see a direct desynchronization here between, say, growth and decline, or something like that. For this reason, the scenario here is as follows. This scenario

[16:24] indicates that we have very strong sellers. Accordingly, here we can have further sticking to this level with subsequent spill below one. The next level we'll take is 0.82. So let's move on here and

[16:38] mark it. There is no big money here yet , colleagues. Here we are, well, maybe big ones here. Retailers will be coming in now . It is clear that they will create some small movement, but their money

[16:51] going down. And of course they will get [ __ ]. So here we have what we have. This strait is news. And, of course, it was perceived to be going out. Therefore, there is a short stop here, a sideways movement followed by

[17:04] trading below. The next coin I would like to look at is, of course, the Bittenser coin, the so- called TAO USDT. We talked called TAO USDT. We talked about AI projects and the bursting of the

[17:18] artificial intelligence bubble. This connection, which, in general, existed, was interesting, and the BHER platform provided for this, well, a platform, yes. What do we have now? Let's take a look at how this coin moved in general. It is

[17:31] typical for it to shoot, then flow down with the next shoot, which is flow, another shoot, and then flow down again. At the moment, we see that our market is moving into a new stage, correspondingly, a run-off. And now,

[17:46] maybe somewhere around here a shooting pain will appear. The shooting should appear, of course, at some trigger events. For now, we are still moving downwards. And here, as they say, you can put buckets under it with

[17:59] some kind of subsequent jerk upwards, but be very careful, that is, somewhere around 250-260. Here we have the key area of ​​the sentence. Let's write it down. Offer. And let's mark this

[18:14] area with this level. That is 280, 260. This is the area of ​​a good offer. The arrow is kind of crooked. Let's do it like this. A downward movement may, of course, occur, but so far there are

[18:31] decline in interest and the decline in that same interest, we could, of course, see a drop below 140. Therefore, this is purely speculation, of course. You can look for entry points to buy with a stop below 138-140,

[18:47] because liquidity may be captured . And the liquidity grab will try to capture market participants here and the subsequent breakthrough. Well, if you come in and put buckets under it, in principle, I think it’s ok. The next

[19:02] Hyperliquid coin is called HPE. And our main volume is concentrated, And our main volume is concentrated, it turns out, in the range between 60 and 72. And the next volume we have is concentrated, well, the largest one. The largest of these is

[19:15] concentrated between 20 and 42. This means that at the moment we are closing the 50 range accordingly. Volumes are already falling slowly here. And here our key level is 56. And from about 5650

[19:32] here we will indicate high demand. At the moment we are seeing a drop in volumes. But this drop in volumes is different from what we have seen. This drop in volume is the result of this so- called flat base or flat

[19:46] pullback. That is, it is a rollback. Well, let's ask another question, right? Rollback to what? In relation to what? After all, a rollback only occurs in trend structures. Here we simply zoom in on the chart and see that we are in a bullish trend. Our bullish trend

[19:59] is in the liquidity accumulation stage . That is, when we initially had a reversal here, then the appearance of a green trend, and now we have an accumulation of liquidity, that is, when a large position accumulates to

[20:12] create a subsequent serious wave. Therefore, the potential here is quite good. The only question is where to buy this coin. But, actually, if I were to go there, I would buy it somewhere between 5 rubles and 50 rubles.

[20:25] I would have recruited it with a sweating, of course, jerk upwards. What kind of breakthrough can there be here? It may be, let 's look from the high to the low and assume that we will have a breakout here. That is,

[20:41] we can take a range of approximately 100 here. But it’s clear with a stop, with a stop somewhere around 4240, you will need to enter with a wide stop to protect yourself from liquidity withdrawal. So, here is a bullish scenario. Now we are moving down, we

[20:56] are picking up this coin with a wide, unfortunately, stop. It is impossible to place a short stop here and then there will be a subsequent upward jerk. Please do not come here with large trading leverages. Ideally, of course, you would just enter the spot. Friends,

[21:09] I say again, we have practical trading. We are very different from what you might have seen, where they try to sell you something along the way and foist off some signals, VIP chats, all these lupotrades and so on. We do

[21:23] n't do this crap. So please, please subscribe to our Telegram channel and to our, God forgive me, Max. You can use these QR codes to subscribe to these resources. Please let me know what coins you're interested in for

[21:36] future reviews so I can take a look. See you in new videos. earn money.

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