I Hit 1000x on Plinko

[00:16] streaming today on stake going to be playing some Plinko I don't know if you've ever seen this game but if you've seen The Price is Right you've seen seen The Price is Right you've seen Plinko so

[00:35] $1,500 in my stank account I'm going to try to riffle account I'm going to try to riffle through this entire balance twice through this entire balance twice so um I'm going to be doing I think $500

[00:48] so um I'm going to be doing I think $500 at a time uh $1 balls each ball has the opportunity to win a,x so on one ball I have the opportunity to win $1,000 or

[01:09] $999 I've done a couple of calculations regarding Plinko um this is what I found that the expected that the expected loss for almost every combination that

[01:22] they have in Plinko is going to be about 1% uh that's including the high risk medium risk and low risk uh this is what that distribution looks uh this is what that distribution looks like red being high risk yellow being

[01:35] like red being high risk yellow being medium risk and green being low risk so there are several different configurations that you can play let me turn these off you can change the risk level I've shown you the

[01:51] three different risk levels you can change also the number of rows uh the change also the number of rows uh the lowest being eight that means one row lowest being eight that means one row here one row here third fourth fifth 6th

[02:04] seventh and eighth row um but we are going to be playing row um but we are going to be playing with 16 rows that offers the biggest variance uh we are going to be playing high

[02:17] risk as you can see we're playing high risk with the potential of winning a THX if we go to low risk uh it's only 16x being the top tier

[02:29] of course with low risk you also have more opportunities to more opportunities to win um here you only have one slot that actually loses money that Center slot um the slot one slot next to that

[02:46] Center slot you break even so whatever you bet you make that money back um if we look at high you see that

[02:59] back um if we look at high you see that the inner five slices you lose 80% of money and that is going to happen I believe around 60% of the time let's believe around 60% of the time let's see um if we go back to this chart if

[03:15] see um if we go back to this chart if you add up all these probabilities

[03:36] lose 80% of your money but you're going to make it back on these outer tiers to make it back on these outer tiers so uh if you haven't signed up for stake online you can go ahead and do that sign up for stake. us if you're in the US

[03:51] sign up for stake.com or whatever the TLD that corresponds with your country TLD that corresponds with your country is use the welcome code Jack Ace that'll make you eligible for promotions that I'm going to be doing hopefully as

[04:05] we get more users signed up through me and then also everyone is eligible for rakeback uh basically you earn money based on how much you play uh so let's go ahead get started

[04:20] play uh so let's go ahead get started I'm going to be doing I think $1 balls sorry I'm gonna be doing $1 balls and I'm going to be doing uh blocks of about 500 at a time so uh let's go ahead

[04:35] time so uh let's go ahead and get started what up chat let me know and get started what up chat let me know you're there if you're if you're the comments right now chat what up so let's see it should have hot Keys

[04:51] enabled so let's get so let's get started I'm going to try to do 500 at a time you can see there's a steady stream of uh losses down there I don't know if

[05:09] of uh losses down there I don't know if we're going to hit the 130 multiplier we we're going to hit the 130 multiplier we probably will not hit the th000

[05:22] bet $195 and lost 63 that's pretty bad I expect to lose maybe about 10% of the money that I gamble money that I gamble with it's only when you hit those outer

[05:44] that one% house [Music]

[05:56] here so we've gambled wow we're actually up wow we hit oh what' we hit that before I've been playing this for the gold coins for quite a while

[06:15] first time hitting the 130 that's awesome so I'm actually up now gambled $370 uh let's continue [Music]

[06:37] [Music] so we're going to stop at around 500 where we're [Music]

[06:49] [Music] at yeah that's 5 so just a little bit at yeah that's 5 so just a little bit over 500 there folks and we are down over 500 there folks and we are down 23 $24 that's about

[07:01] 5% um not doing too bad that 130 hit was a unexpected surprise um we are going to do the next 500 what

[07:43] whoa I got to move this [Music] [Music] around still getting used to this around still getting used to this uh streaming software folks so bear with

[07:56] uh streaming software folks so bear with me Sander van 33 on Twitch says THX me Sander van 33 on Twitch says THX [Music]

[08:16] not hit it yet this is my first time hitting the 130 so yeah uh we'll see how hitting the 130 so yeah uh we'll see how this goes we are up to

[08:50] [Music] guys Ryan says put $500 on dice uh I don't know if I'm going to be playing dice today guys but we'll see [Music] maybe if I hit that th000 X I'll go play

[09:03] maybe if I hit that th000 X I'll go play some dice later

[09:16] on so we're down over 10% right [Music]

[09:36] think that's about a th right there there we go perfect we've gambled $11,000 worth of Plinko balls and we are down 113 that's about 10% that's about what you'd expect if you take

[09:51] if you take uh the look at the outer levels here and if you exclude the top and the top two rows and

[10:05] the bottom two rows and you add up all the probabilities uh that's going to be the probabilities uh that's going to be around 90 or sorry if you add up all the uh EVS for the high risk level and you

[10:20] exclude the top and bottom two rows you're going to get around 90% so that's you're going to get around 90% so that's about a 10% loss so um that's this is about what we're expecting to see we did hit that 1

[10:33] [Music] 130 but besides from that what chart is this I made I made this chart myself so basically if you look at each of the slots each of the winning slots like right now I'm

[10:49] hovering over the $1,000 slot and the probability of hitting that slot and the probability of hitting that is 0.15%

[11:11] for the 130 you have a 0244 per chance of hitting that which is 0244 per chance of hitting that which is one in about one in about 498 and the next slot winning 26 or

[11:25] $25 uh 26x you're going to hit that one in every 540 540 drops um so how does this work Danny

[11:38] asks uh is it an RNG not sure why I can't highlight these RNG not sure why I can't highlight these comments let's to show up comments let's to show up [Music]

[11:56] the balls land I don't think physic is involved at all uh I think once you it's going to go in and it plays an animation of it hitting that slot so um

[12:09] here we go here's the next thousand or actually we're going to do another 500 and see where we're at after that uh we're currently down a little bit over 10% um just going to launch as many

[12:23] balls as I can try to hit that 130 try to hit 1,000x uh I will make it available I I'll have screenshots

[12:38] available on my site jack.com pretty available on my site jack.com pretty soon and if you join my patreon I will spreadsheet also includes the graphs these graphs this

[12:53] shows you the distribution and how much of it is responsible for your overall uh expected value if you look at the expected value value if you look at the expected value for all three risk levels for the 16

[13:07] row configuration of Plinko they're all around 99% you're going to receive 99% of the money back at you gamble on

[13:19] average uh but obviously with the high risk you risk you have the possibility of winning 1000x um with the low risk you only have the possibility of winning oh I hit

[13:31] the possibility of winning oh I hit another 130 dang awesome I've hit two 130s I don't know if it's going to be here here but pretty

[13:56] comments but for some reason it's not letting me oh can I do this let's see oh here we go this guy's a genius thank you I know you're sarcastic but yeah I'm not recommending Plinko at all but uh just

[14:11] wanted to show you some of the statistics that I've generated regarding this game uh this is a negative expectation

[14:26] game but we're just hoping to get lucky here folks up every time we hit that 130 we end up being positive so that's

[14:41] we end up being positive so that's good so that's about 1,500 there guys after, 1500 we're still up we're up three bucks not too three bucks not too bad not too

[14:57] probably be down around around 5% I've hit that 130 twice so that's going to hit that 130 twice so that's going to help out a lot if I hit the 1,000 if you look at the graph or if you look at the chart on the left hand side

[15:12] you'll see you'll hit that 1,000x every 67,000 drops so we're only going to be doing 3,000 so probably won't be hitting it very unlikely we're going to hit it

[15:24] it very unlikely we're going to hit it but you know there's always hoping we're going to take another break at around

[15:41] digital State Games I mean that's your prerogative uh I don't I don't think I think a lot of people just are distrustful of online games

[15:53] but and I can see where you guys are coming from but I haven't had a problem with stake yet [Music]

[16:07] pretty awesome I haven't hit and I've been playing a lot in preparation for this live stream I've been testing things out playing for the gold coins things out playing for the gold coins okay I think we're at almost 2,000

[16:25] 2,000 again after 2,000 uh we're still up that's pretty [Music] incredible doing pretty good so far Brett says he liked my follow NACI

[16:44] video for roulette yeah um not just these live streams but check out my other edited videos on my out my other edited videos on my site uh if you're on Twitch I'm also on

[16:58] YouTube uh I have a lot of produced videos that uh I have a lot of produced videos that I do where I evaluate roulette systems so yeah guys check them out check it out chat we have gone through

[17:11] chat we have gone through $2,000 so far I was expecting this take a lot longer um I'm going to try to go to around 3,000 we're going to try to hit that 1,000x uh I'm

[17:23] very hopeful but you know like I said out of you know 3,000 spins is likely we're make a dent in this uh one in 67,000

[17:37] 67,000 chance of hitting that 1,000x so chance of hitting that 1,000x so let's

[17:49] go I can't believe we're up after 2,000 drops Ryan saying that live games can be rigged as well

[18:07] as these digital games true I think you have to be careful what sites you play on you know I haven't heard anything on you know I haven't heard anything demonstrably bad about steak so I think

[18:22] careful of the sites that are just going to retain your account balance even if you win uh they're going to say that you cheated uh I haven't heard anything like cheated uh I haven't heard anything like that happen mistake

[18:55] 2500 I've been doing pretty good hit a lot of 28 or 26 x's and hit lot of 28 or 26 x's and hit 130x

[19:08] so uh we would expect to be down maybe around 250 uh that's based on the 10% loss uh 250 uh that's based on the 10% loss uh or only $25 based on the 1% loss but uh

[19:22] to be down 1% if you haven't hit the THX at all um and I think think well we are overperforming on the 130x because you would only expect to see that happen

[19:35] once every 4,000 balls 1,000x guys let's do this

[19:52] 3,000 maybe I'll try to go to 4,000 we'll see

[20:06] not a great [Music]

[20:29] back-to-back numbers on live roulette then well just follow the number that's what I would do if you if you believe that to be true then yeah I don't know that that's true per se

[20:43] se [Music] but we got to hit that 130 we got to hit the th000 let's do

[20:55] this I've seen a couple of videos of people hitting the 1,000x and I think at least twice the ball just laun whoa whoa we hit the

[21:11] Thousand dude dude we hit that thousand man holy dude dude we hit that thousand man holy [Music]

[21:25] that yeah just like I said like when I've seen it happen it just launches way off to the side holy [Music]

[21:38] guys look at that we hit the THX guys whoa what [Music] the that was incredible guys look at that oh [ __ ] but yeah like that's only

[21:54] supposed to happen every 67,000 HS man and freaking hit it dude oh [ __ ] that was some [ __ ] man

[22:14] just so I can say I played through my 6,000 or my 3,000 balls I'm going to play 16 more balls just to I just to say I gambled the

[22:27] 16 oh man I'm like flustered can't even talk right let's let's get this to 3,000 oh [Music] [ __ ] how did that

[22:42] [Music] happen damn happen damn [Music] $816 guys what the freak that was incredible

[22:57] [Music] that was incredible awesome guys I am that was incredible awesome guys I am glad you guys are here to see that man hit that THX what

[23:27] that man like I don't think it's going to get much better than that uh but I to get much better than that uh but I might do another stream later this might do another stream later this week um I think I was looking at mines

[23:40] mines I have a strategy for mines that I think was doing pretty well um basically you risk two to one and it

[23:52] was it was a good strategy basically you're betting on strategy basically you're betting on let's see nine no no it was uh maybe let's see nine no no it was uh maybe 13 mines with uh three mines

[24:12] strategy later but [ __ ] I'm I did not expect to hit that THX that's pretty dope but um yeah if you guys haven't had a chance to sign up you guys should sign up for stake. us use my signup code Jack Ace uh if you're

[24:28] not in the US you can sign up at Jack a.com or if you're not in the US you can stake. UHC just use my signup code Jack Ace you'll be eligible for rickb and we'll be doing some promotions hopefully later

[24:43] next month um thanks guys for showing month um thanks guys for showing up really appreciate it always gamble up really appreciate it always gamble responsibly and peace out donkeys