Live Trading Analysis: Forex & Crypto — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[01:35] [music] >> All right, welcome to the live. >> [music]

[01:50] So if you can hear me, just go to the comment and type a one. If you can hear me, type a one in the comment.

[02:03] Give me a one in the comment if you can hear me loud and clear.

[02:18] In the comments, give me a one if you can hear me.

[02:32] I see all of you. You're welcome to the live. We are about to get started. market. But what I will do today is I'll first give an overview of what's first give an overview of what's um happened in the forex

[02:46] market. Okay? Our analysis in the forest market. I'll first give an overview before we now go straight into the crypto market. Now, let's uh let me know where you are

[02:59] in right now. Just type in the comments, just type the the city and the country you are in. Just type the city and the country you are in.

[03:36] e I don't know how to call this. Um Cameroon.

[03:56] Pikouch. And my brother from Cameroon, LFX.

[04:12] attending the live from. We have somebody from um Kumasi, Ghana. We have somebody from um Kumasi, Ghana. Risk Lord 124.

[04:27] I'll be giving away an iPhone 16. iPhone 17 rather. This is iPhone 17. The not the pro, not the max. I'll be giving this away and I'll be uh the modalities for this. It's a trade challenge actually. So you get the

[04:42] challenge actually. So you get the details as we proceed. Probably on a Friday, but the phone is here. So I have somebody from PH, Nigeria.

[04:55] I reside in Port Harcourt. Okay, getting in Lagos, Nigeria. Okay, getting in Lagos, Nigeria. Buya, yeah. So it's pronounced Buya. Buya FX. Oh, Buya. Sorry, Buya in Cameroon.

[05:12] start. Now, if you were here in can I see you as well? So if you were here on on Monday where we did the forex give me a one in the comments. If you were not here, give me a two in the

[05:27] comments. So give me either a one or a two in the So give me either a one or a two in the comments. If you were here, give me a one. If you were not here yesterday, give me a two.

[05:46] I just want to be sure. So we hold these Mondays, Tuesdays, and Fridays. So unless you don't want to you don't want to look at the forest markets. We hold these Mondays,

[06:00] Tuesdays, and Fridays. You guys are welcome. More details on this as we as we proceed. Now, we are about to look at the markets.

[06:12] overview of the the forex market. Okay? So this is what we did yesterday. We basically said that we are looking at this region. If market

[06:26] I'm looking forward to take a short position to go down. to this region. This is the the XY. This is the dollar index. Then if market comes here and give a

[06:41] confirmation, then we're doing what? We are we are we So if you look at it right now, we didn't get So I'm just probably going to remove this.

[06:59] here, which I which is what is going to be taken out. And this is on a 4-hour time frame. So we are here now in this region. What we are looking for for DXY is for confirmation entry,

[07:12] then we can now go higher. This is the region. This is the area of interest for me on DXY. If I go down to the lower time frame, it's going to make it a little bit more clear.

[07:25] So lower time frame on the 1-hour time frame. So again, this is the region we're looking forward for confirmation entry, this region. But of course, we don't trade the DXY. We trade the Euro USD,

[07:39] um GBP USD, and other USD pairs. So that is what we're going to look at. Um for Euro USD, it's more like exactly the opposite. Not exactly, but the opposite of what we see in the dollar index. So this is it. So initially, our

[07:55] plan was if it comes down to this point, we take a long position. If it gives a confirmation entry, then from here, confirmation entry, we can now go lower to target this region because we have a a change of character

[08:09] here. Therefore, we are bearish on the in this market. Now, we are in the area looking forward to take a short position.

[08:21] this is of course, you guys know what is happening with Israel, Iran, and the US. So the news sometimes disrupts this. Now we're hearing we're hearing um blockading the Strait of Hormuz.

[08:40] region. Now, you see here, here is not like a very standard here is not like a very standard um correction retracement.

[08:53] It didn't retrace this way. Okay? It just did this. So as it stands this high. So I'm hoping to see maybe something like this and like this. Then this becomes my

[09:08] my um um the the invalidation um region. So that if this goes below this, then I'm very bullish I'm very bullish here. At least we are targeting low, not even

[09:23] order block here. We might see a bounce We might see a bounce from this order block here. Okay? But I just see it as a bounce that will just retrace and will not continue going

[09:38] down. So that is just a an update on what uh we did we analyzed yesterday on the in the forest market because we basically said that uh we expect

[09:51] to see a retracement below. retracement. If we see a retracement below to this point, then we're going

[10:06] the region we want to take a want to take your shots from. um it's the same thing. We didn't get a retracement to this zone. this zone. Okay, we're targeting here.

[10:20] So, this is the area I'm looking to take short position from. The same thing goes short position from. The same thing goes for Euro USD. We are in that area and This is This is just a region I'm looking at. It's not as defined.

[10:35] I'm looking at this region. Um it's not well defined. This particular area Okay, actually. This particular line. So, a um a move this way

[10:50] lower. And lower I mean lower to this particular region. Of course, we might see a reaction from here then go lower because this is an area of

[11:04] This is an area of interest with regards to this. This is no longer an a good in zone to me. This particular one. markets. This is what we reviewed on Monday.

[11:17] Monday. Uh should I make my charts brighter? Let me make it brighter. Maybe it's going to be better. Maybe it's going to be better. One step forward brighter.

[11:30] One step forward brighter. I feel it's a little bit dark. Okay. So, now let's go to crypto. Bitcoin Bitcoin um and Ethereum. Then I'll take some um

[11:43] um and Ethereum. Then I'll take some um some coins from you guys. Let's start with Bitcoin.

[11:58] Okay. So, if you've been watching my videos, as a matter of fact, there's a video I made some time ago which I haven't released it in the I haven't think it's about I will likely release it tomorrow.

[12:11] Um I said that and I keep on saying this that we had consolidation here. Okay, ranging market here we dropped down ranging market here we dropped down. Um there's possibility that we'll drop down. There's every

[12:23] possibility that we can still drop down to this region. Okay? But, like I said, I'm looking at. You see this particular region, this zone.

[12:38] This is a zone that needs to make this valid. If you break above this zone, right? If you break not a sweep, but a going high. I believe we're going high. But, there's every possibility that this

[12:53] is a region we go down from again for Bitcoin and head even much lower. Even much, much lower. Um probably to this region before

[13:06] we are certain that we're going higher for um Bitcoin. that the market in this region has been

[13:20] rather. Uh consolidation you know, ranging, We've never We've not broken out from this region from this high and from this low. We have just been ranging in this period, which doesn't make it an ideal

[13:38] Which means that you need a lot of confirmation to trade this particular movement. So, I wrote a BOS here, but in essence, they are all internal break of structure because they are um within this particular range. We have not

[13:53] broken out of this range. So, what can we trade here? One, um break of structure here, retracement, liquidity sweep here, liquidity um fill here, trading opportunities here,

[14:07] trading opportunities here were missed, but uh one was given in Ethereum that was better, and we moved higher. Uh we didn't go below this. I was expecting a retracement to this region. We didn't

[14:19] get it. And we went we're moving higher to um we move higher. And we still have another internal break of structure here, which I'm going to mark out here.

[14:42] Okay. Now, the problem now we have is that You see this this low we have here? This is liquidity. This low here. I'm going to go ahead and

[14:56] call it what it is. When you have equal lows, When you have equal lows, there is a very high probability there is a very high probability that it's going to be taken.

[15:08] There's a very high probability that the market is that the market is that Let me say it again. So, this over here

[15:31] demand zone. But, this is an order block. As a matter of fact, I might be the whole of this. This is a broader order block. Okay? And we have a break of structure here like like you can see.

[15:46] Okay? So, the possibility of what we see. This is I'm on the 4 hours, but on the 1 hour, this is also a 1 hour supply zone.

[15:58] I think it might not hold. If you ask me, I don't think it's going to hold. But, let me just label it anyway. This is a 1 hour supply zone. And if you're looking at this break of structure here, this becomes the high.

[16:11] structure here, this becomes the high. This becomes a protected um low here. high taken out. So, we might we likely see this high taken out into this

[16:27] region. We might first see this market retrace down and take this out. Or, it might just and take this out. Or, it might just take it out first without um doing that.

[16:39] if we're going with this option, let's say the the option we're going with is this it's this um down. It is very important that

[16:53] you wait to see a confirmation entry here on the lower time frame before you take trade from this region. Because of the liquidity here, we might have a liquidity sweep before this retraces or

[17:07] it might break it then retrace, go down further before it gives a confirmation entry here to go higher. Then I'll decide what's going to happen what's going to happen here. So, for Bitcoin, this is just my trade.

[17:23] Let me take it slow. If we are going down first, If we are going down first, okay? frame, what I'm considering is if we go down

[17:38] from this region, this is an area of interest. I want to see confirmation. Okay, before taking this trade. If we still see if we get a a sweep here, let me show you what I mean by a

[17:52] here, let me show you what I mean by a sweep. This one is a sweep. Okay, see this this came down and swept here. There's no can- candle body closure.

[18:06] here and it gives us a confirmation the way a confirmation was given in this region. If you scroll down to the lower time frame, you will see the confirmation.

[18:18] higher. But, if it breaks down with a candle body closure like this ends up didn't give us a confirmation. It broke

[18:33] down with a candle body closure. Then there's possibility we get a retracement to go down here to this region. And there's possibility that we not take a there's possibility that we not take a long position from this point if we get

[18:45] a confirmation. So, this is it. The play on a broader So, this is it. The play on a broader time frame. show you what is the play I'm looking at in this region.

[18:59] On the 1 hour, there's not much difference from what we analyzed on the Now, let's look at the 15 minutes time Now, let's look at the 15 minutes time frame.

[19:11] closer to this point, to this region. Okay? Now, if you look at this line I talked about on the 1 hour, it is a demand zone. I'm on the 15 minutes now, but it's clearer it's a clearer demand zone

[19:23] it's clearer it's a clearer demand zone on the 15 minutes here. So, we have on the 15 minutes here. So, we have a

[19:37] hour. And this makes this a supply zone, especially because there is a lot of liquidity here generated by this consolidation we have here.

[19:51] Okay? So, it is possibility that have we tap into this and go lower to that um lower zone where we can now take a trade from.

[20:06] So, what can we have here? So, one is is this. This is that zone we are looking at. Now,

[20:18] this also here, this what we have here now is still a consolidation. market is ranging here. We have a demand zone here.

[20:30] And this is a low. So, if we have this move over here, then this becomes a break of structure. B Let me just Let me just um label it out.

[20:46] Let me just um label it out. Okay, so if you have above here, price reaches here, then

[21:00] this one over here becomes now becomes a break of structure because right now it is not yet a break of structure because we have not broken anything. Then, if that happens,

[21:14] then this particular line I have here, I have an alert on this line, it becomes very interesting to me. Why? Because I know that Why? Because I know that if we then have this market go this way

[21:28] and breaks over this one, then this one now becomes a change of character. D Then, I have I'll be I'll have more confident now to do what? To short here.

[21:46] be I'll be more confident to take a short position from here or even from I might not wait for it to retrace. I might just go ahead and take a short Where is it? Um short from

[22:00] this way and target here. Target is actually much lower, but region. Now, me personally, I don't take a trade if

[22:13] it's less than if it's not up to three. So, usually a lot of times when we have a break of structure, a change of character, we usually see a 50% retracement. So, if I take it halfway,

[22:29] I'm getting a much better risk reward ratio. This is already um 3.49. But, I want to make it clear that one, for this to play out, we have to see

[22:41] this break structure to the upside, then come down, um change of character here, then this becomes the place we enter the trade from. I still expect this market to get into

[22:54] this region. I'm still interested in this region. Okay? Again, or might just go straight to this region. if this our plan happens, we take the trade. If the plan doesn't

[23:09] happen, then you do nothing and just look again, okay, what is now the next look again, okay, what is now the next plan? um after the initially at this, I'm looking to take position from here if I

[23:22] Position from here if I see it. Position from here if I see it. All these things are based on confirmation entry. Now, this is also very similar to what we have with Ethereum. Ethereum has been giving more

[23:37] better better um than Bitcoin, for example. If you look at this trade, see this is a region we want to take this

[23:52] trade from. Um this particular region, okay? But, we didn't get the market didn't retrace to this region. But, if you also see this actually gave a confirmation entry.

[24:05] this actually gave a confirmation entry. Um structure here.

[24:18] here. So, have this market do this, do this, broke structure here,

[24:30] It never broke down this way. Okay? Came down lower. So, when it broke above this high, this becomes a change of character. And it said that retracement is up to 50% if you check.

[24:45] 50% This is 50%. Um this is a 50% mark here.

[24:57] actually still going higher. And the same is basically the same play I have for Ethereum and BTC. So, if you look here, um this is the region I'm still looking at.

[25:17] This particular region here, this um zone here, this line. didn't give a very clear order block the way it gave on Bitcoin. It didn't give us a very clear order block. That's why I didn't bother.

[25:31] give so. But, this is a line we are looking at, this line. you cross above this line, then we are fine. For Ethereum, we have actually crossed above this line. But, we have not we have not had that

[25:45] for this particular angle here. This one, we have not had a candle body closure here. If it closes above here, then this becomes a break of structure,

[25:57] okay? Which means that if you get a confirmation to go down, we can now go confirmation to go down, we can now go down and take a position from here if you get confirmation or from here if you confirm if you get confirmation to

[26:11] even go higher. So, this is basically what I'm looking at for for these two coins. about, which is Reef. Let's look at Reef, okay?

[26:27] which is Reef. Let's look at Reef, okay? Reef has been soaring. looked into Reef, but it is being soaring. It's been giving um I know you got that trade this and it has as make like

[26:42] I was able to He caught this on time and was able to like make massive gain from this, but I didn't look at it. Anyway, and I'm thinking of bringing the guy into copy me when copy me is done to come on um

[26:56] copied by other traders. So, this is where we are. This is where we are. If you know what This is where we are. If you know what is making Reef

[27:13] in the comments. And if you are a trader, you trade good, opportunities I'm bringing your way really, really soon. All based on copy me. Copy me is still ongoing.

[27:26] We should start testing this month. If we test this month and everything because you need you need to test it out for a very long time to make sure it Then if we are good, we should be set to launch

[27:40] June. It's time for Q&A. For this giveaway, like I said, it's going to it's going to it's going to take place I'm going to give the information in details

[27:54] on Friday. And if I have everything ironed out, I'll also leave the modalities to win this in the comment section of this video.

[28:13] going to end this live. If you want me to look at any coin, just If you want me to look at any coin, just type it in the comment section

[29:16] And we then look at um Sui cuz somebody asked about Sui. This is gold, all right? Um let's start from the 4-hour time frame.

[29:31] um if you've been watching my um um initially I saw this as a change of character because it showed me that on

[29:43] the on the 4-hour time frame, then I saw that on the weekly timeframe, tapped into that demand zone and continue. So, this might not be a change to hit

[29:57] an all-time high again. Then, we had an internal change of character here. I was expecting gold to retrace to this point to go higher. It didn't. It broke structure here.

[30:10] It tapped into this zone. Broke structure here. I marked out this zone actually. This is one I marked out um waiting for a confirmation entry. Let's see what happened there.

[30:25] can see because of how the market is going, just mainly because of how going, just mainly because of how what we are seeing uh with the war, we've been having a lot of jumps in the market. If you look at DXY, it's

[30:38] market. If you look at DXY, it's jumping. You look at Euro USD, other um other foreign other tradi- traditional assets, they're all jumping. So, gold had a jump here. So, it closed here over the weekend.

[30:51] point. It jumped right straight into the area I was I was expecting it to drive into before we jump. And it jumped there and started kicking off. So, the next target for gold

[31:05] is this point. Is since this is a break of structure, the next target is here. But, the question is how do you enter?

[31:20] How do you enter? Gold is one of the assets to that reacts to the Iran to the the war conditions. Okay. How do you enter here? Um interested in this zone, but we didn't hit it.

[31:35] hit it. And again, we

[32:06] Uh if you look at this structure, um we came down this way from gold. This way. So, all this way now is the next flow. So, this is the last high.

[32:19] For gold to keep going higher, we want to break this region to go we want to break this region to go higher. So, what will happen from here? If I go back to 4-hour timeframe, okay?

[32:37] I want to mark out an area of interest on gold. this region here, it is still an area of interest.

[32:52] This one here. So, I can mark out the whole of this because this is an order It is still an area of interest. I'm going to remove this now. Okay? Now,

[33:09] above this line. Gold needs to go above this line. Then, this becomes an area where I'll be interested in taking gold higher.

[33:22] interested in seeing gold retrace from. Then again, if you look at this, I want to go back to the 4-hour timeframe to see if if it's clear. If you look at this, you will see that

[33:35] you will see that there is also this. This is also a demand zone. Okay?

[33:52] So, I'm going to go back to the 1-hour timeframe. gold is that I want to see it break above here.

[34:04] Okay? Break above here, then this this becomes a break of structure. Then, the possible places it can move from if we have this break of structure is this region.

[34:19] We can move from here. We can move from here. There's also another region here that is below. So, just in this region, all you want to look for gold is a confirmation entry. Sometimes, you might

[34:33] not get that confirmation entry because the market is kind of um because the market right now is just reacting to a lot of fundamental that is going on. Until we have certainties,

[34:46] certainty. Now, let's look at Sui. Sui is another coin somebody requested for. It's been a long time I looked at Sui. Sui USDT.

[35:06] I don't expect it I don't expect anything different. It's just going to be very very um similar to this coin. The coin now that is not similar is just basically um

[35:21] that is going higher. So, the same thing.

[35:59] I expect us to keep on going higher. But, we are still ranging between here and this low. Okay? market structure, this is the last high we have here. We have this high

[36:15] which I we have not broken through. Okay? And um what else? We have this order block block over here.

[36:30] A supply zone here. We have another one here. But, let us um worry about this first one here. We don't need to go higher. action. Okay?

[36:46] Then, we have this. Now, this didn't lead anywhere. You can see that. So, it left us a zone here.

[36:58] ranging in this zone. What do I want to see? Very similar to I want to go back to the 1-hour timeframe now to make it clear. Okay? So, if we see the market go above this region

[37:15] here, then if I see confirmation entry, then I can take it lower. My first target will be here. Second confirmation here, again, take it higher. Again, again, it

[37:31] doesn't happen all the time. But, if you get it, this is what you do. If you don't get it, I don't trade. If I get it, I take it. way. Um I didn't give you confirmation. You

[37:46] shouldn't worry about that because in many cases where you don't wait for confirmation, you will take some winning trades. You will also take losing trades as well, a lot more losing trades.

[38:11] Somebody is say- saying that he's not being let in the into the group. You know what? Just chat me up on Telegram. It's at Jude World. Let me sort out the issue. Chat me up on Telegram or send me

[38:26] Chat me up on Telegram or send me um email. section. I'm typing what you should do in the comment section. So, it's send me

[38:38] in the comment section. So, it's send me an email or a message on Telegram so I found out what the problem is, why you are not yet what the problem is, why you are not yet in the group.

[39:01] Telegram message or an email and I will sort that out. I think that's about it. Um thank you for attending the live.

[39:14] Sol. It's going to be the same thing. This is the last one. After Sol, we're not looking at more coins. We are done with this live. So, this is the last coin we are looking at.

[39:28] at. Solana. I think we did something on on on Solana before.

[39:47] We didn't get the required movements. Okay.

[40:10] block here. I don't even need to go lower. I don't I Let's see what is happening here based on what is happening in other places. We have this here. Okay.

[40:23] Then, if you watch this price action, this is the low high. We haven't broken this with a candle body closure. So, this is a high we want to break to um Okay, this is a high that we want to break through.

[40:42] the same thing. Below here, we have a low at this point. I want to mark the whole of this. Okay? So, what can we see? Possibility on the lower time frame is that one, we

[40:56] do this, we get a confirmation here to go lower, then we go lower to this Okay? I really doubt that this is going to hold. Um just because we have this tiny have this tiny fair value gap here.

[41:09] And we have an order block here. So, there's there's very every like uh it's more likely that this is the one we come to. And we attack this one. So, if we give confirmation here,

[41:22] short position, give confirmation here, long position. I I doubt that Okay, this might hold, but I I see this as a retracement to

[41:37] That's what I see. Or we might just break through it. I Or we might just break through it. I don't know if

[41:49] Okay. So, I see this as a retracement to keep on going higher. And of course, I'm expecting I'm still I still I might be wrong, but be wrong, but you see this region here,

[42:04] I I still feel that we're going to get a crash If we break above it, then we go higher. If we don't, we might get a big crash from this region to even go to even go lower. So, that is it. I'll

[42:19] to even go lower. So, that is it. I'll see you guys She has spoken to the lady. Um just trust me up and

[42:36] opinion, I don't think it has bottomed. I think we are going we're going to go lower. I don't think so. Um For Solana, if we break above 106,

[42:50] bottomed. But, if we if we reject 106, we might be headed for lower lower distance. Then, from macroeconomics uh perspective, okay? From macroeconomics perspective.

[43:06] Uh you see that dollar is going to start getting strength because we have a change of character here. We have a good retracement. That is why you see crypto and everything pumping

[43:20] because we're having the dollar retracing, but if the dollar starts moving higher, then we might see a lot of these um other

[43:34] coins paired against the US dollar to start going lower. That is what we might see. And it's very close to that particular region where we we might see that. So, are we at the bottom? I don't think

[43:48] bottomed. I don't think we have bottomed. I think we're going lower. And this is the region that I want to see that confirmation. This

[44:00] region will confirm to me that is between 77 and 79 is going to confirm to me if we have bottomed or not. If we break above it with a good candle body

[44:14] bottomed. We can retrace to go higher. But, if we sweep it and go lower, But, if we sweep it and go lower, then we're going lower.

[44:27] You want to join join this course channel, you have to go to afib.com. channel, you have to go to afib.com. It's not a free channel. ready. And people can start taking it. It's

[44:43] it's ready now. So, go here and you get access through this particular place. The link will also be in the description of this video. Uh somebody asked, "What about Solana?" I just talked about Solana now.

[45:03] Is it Solana I talked about now? Where is it?

[45:17] No, no, no. Is it Is it not it I talked about? Oh, I didn't? It's the same thing. It's It's

[45:34] coin was I talking about then? I was talking about a different coin. me. Um like most crypto just do the same Um like most crypto just do the same thing.

[45:49] Solana came to this region. This our We marked this region the last time, I I believe. Came to this region and we are pulling away from it. So, you can look at Solana now. We have actually formed Now, for Solana,

[46:04] I want to wait for this candle to close. If this candle closes this one, If this candle closes this one, you can see this first one is is a sweep. But, this one

[46:18] this one is still forming. Okay? It's going to end in the next um 13 minutes. So, if it stays above, So, if it stays above, then I can now call this particular line

[46:31] a break of structure. Then, we can now look for further retracement. Maybe a wait for it to retrace to go higher, either from here

[46:46] or from here. There will be trade opportunities here if you get a confirmation. Trade opportunities here if you get a confirmation or here if you get a confirmation. So, here, here, and here

[47:00] is your area of interest until we get to this particular region.

[47:14] 86. Let's see.

[47:40] It might. It might not. Basically, what I do is wait till I see Basically, what I do is wait till I see um confirmation.

[47:53] Thank you guys for watching in the live. See you again on Friday. performs and if you can send a trade to take during the weekend. I barely I hardly take trades on the weekend. But, on Friday, we'll

[48:08] look at how all these things play out. Then, we'll read again on Monday. See you guys on Friday. Bye, everyone.