Options with J Trader: Analysis and Live Strategies for Brazilian Stocks

[00:34] Hey everyone, good evening. Goodnight. Good evening everyone. Welcome everyone options study. Let's just show my face here first, shall we? Then

[00:50] we'll share the strategies we've prepared for you. Hey you, who's watching, go ahead and leave a like, share the video with your friends, and here on André's channel, if you're not subscribed, subscribe

[01:06] now too, okay? Another very important piece of information for you is that you have to go to my channel and subscribe to my channel as well. I'm live there every day, Monday to Friday, from 9 to 10 in the morning, to

[01:23] Friday, from 9 to 10 in the morning, to do what? The quick cash register in the first hour of trading. OK? So, my guest is J Trader, come in here, subscribe to my channel, and put it in the chat for you guys.

[01:45] started here with our charts. I brought a graph here, a slightly different configuration to show you what I'm seeing from a different angle, from a different point of view, okay? And so we're

[01:59] point of view, okay? And so we're seeing that we landed 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12 trading sessions, landing at this average here. J, what average is

[02:12] that? This average here, look. Oh no! This average here, look, is our exponential average of 200 , okay? So, this average here shows the market standing still, but look , here we had, right, a place that should be holding up. It's a

[02:28] region, yes, but it's losing, losing strength, it tried, it didn't work, it's getting beaten. So, it's dangerous. Dangerous place. It's a little place that caught my attention.

[02:40] The market might hold here, okay? It's a place for those who have this, let's It's a place for those who have this, let's say, this reason, right? If you hold it here, we say, "Wow, it hit, it held." In other words, it's the right place

[02:55] to hold on, but it doesn't always hold, okay? So this here is our BOVA 11 asset, which has the reference of our main benchmark, which is our index, our

[03:07] Bankmk. Let's go back to our Ibovespa index now. Our Ibovespa index is right there, look. Same thing. Let's take our standard chart. Let's look at these graphs here. So, for those of you who don't know me, I 'm J. I'm here every Sunday night

[03:25] after André Moraes' Sunday studio session on his channel so we can you're invited to be here every Sunday night to begin our preparation for the week. Those who prepare themselves get ahead. Beauty?

[03:41] Starting with you here, I want you to see, in addition to subscribing to my channel, that this information continues to show a negative flow, that continues to show a negative flow, that is, the selling flow from

[03:56] foreigners remains strong and steady. Foreigners continue to sell strongly. They still have n't stopped selling. It just sells, sells, sells, sells, sells,

[04:08] sells, sells, okay? I also want you to know that we at live trading have all of this here for you, live with the experts. All of this here is like a

[04:20] Netflix for trading, right here in our live trading session, for you to participate in with André's Room from Bom Dia Mercado. From the "Bom Dia Mercado" (Good Morning Market) broadcast at 8:30 AM until the market closes, we have open rooms here. There's the flow reading

[04:35] with Paco, the scalping room with Túlio, the Time strategy with André and Flávio, day trading results in André's report , and the operational room, which is an operational support room with our friend Edu. And here's Evandro, recently arrived

[04:51] Edu. And here's Evandro, recently arrived to join our 2 MV team. Evandro Soares is here too, with his office door open. Flávio Pascoal, with his office also open, and in addition to that, Flávio also

[05:05] handles market closing and long positions. I have options here, okay? Parco also deals with Forex, international markets, etc. So all of this is now available to you in a vacation package, a top-notch package where you

[05:21] vacation package, a top-notch package where you can enjoy all of this plus three can enjoy all of this plus three courses from our studio, one by me, one by can take advantage of and are already included in the package. What do

[05:35] you have in this package? All those trading rooms I mentioned, all the apps for day trading recommendations, swing trading, commodities, long/short strategies, options, international markets—you have access to everything in a single plan, a

[05:50] single package for one year, okay? You have this option now, in addition to the three educational courses for you to delve deeper into the specific topics of your interest, okay? Or all three, preferably diving headfirst into all three right away. Okay, here it is

[06:05] , I'm going to put this link in the chat so you can decide whether to this link in the chat so you can decide whether to participate in the live trading during the holidays, okay? Beauty? Here's a great link for you all. Beauty?

[06:20] Let's go. Now I want to talk to you about the chart and our analysis, about the chart and our analysis, okay?

[06:32] share with you here. [snoring] Let's start with ours, we've already talked about the IBOV, which is BOVA, right? We'll also be talking about the INFC, the

[06:44] financial index. Look, let's take that same reference. This one's already losing, you see? You're already working from the bottom, you 're already losing. So there's still no sign of life,

[06:59] [clearing throat] there's still no sign , okay? By what will this asset go up? So the financial index is still weak. Let's look at their main assets. Itaú, look, Itaú is perhaps one of the

[07:16] strongest within this index, okay? Look, Itaú has already recovered upwards, it's already turned blue here, it's already trying to pivot a bit to at

[07:28] least hold on here again. Who knows, maybe R$42 there, something like that, he might come test it out next week starting tomorrow, okay? So, look, Itaú, OK, right? Let's

[07:41] see. BBAS , right? Obviously not. BBS is either sell or do nothing. We don't buy it here. If it goes back to the averages, it's a sell signal, and since it's falling here, you're not going to buy. BBDC4 is

[07:57] not yet either. Even though it's stopped, right? It stopped, lost momentum in the fall, but it does n't yet have the momentum of an upward trend, right? What we need to see is a stronger force pulling it back up above this average, this reference point for this configuration here, okay?

[08:14] same thing, you see? It's below average. Beauty? So, speaking of banks, the only major banks I could consider buying is Itaú. And we've already set up structures weeks before,

[08:29] precisely for that reason, right? We have already set up purchasing structures. If our positions work out, we'll already be beyond our existing income portfolio ; the structure we've built with this focus on Itaú could also be

[08:43] very successful, very good. Beauty. Now let's talk about Petrobras. Petrobras faltered and hasn't stopped since, right? Look where she stopped. Look where it

[08:55] ended up. Exactly. Here too, on this line here. And it's at this point where she stopped; she's trying to come back. There are a few gaps here. There's a small gap here. This one closed, right? But it 's still too early to say it will go up.

[09:11] Important support region, Fibonacci region. So it's somewhere between the 50th and Fibonacci region. So it's somewhere between the 50th and 61st Fibonacci retracements. A relevant decision point, a return point, where it usually makes pullbacks and then goes back to

[09:26] test its high, in this case where the bias is bullish, right? So, we still have this interesting situation for Petrobras, but the signal is weak or there is no signal yet because it's just a candle that stopped above this 200-period moving average; it

[09:40] that stopped above this 200-period moving average; it 's nothing that relevant yet. OK? What else can we bring here as well? Okay, so Petrobras is more or less OK,

[09:52] above support, at least it's above support, it's not falling, it's in a pullback above support. Here we have a valley moving sideways above its main average. Even in our

[10:07] standard here, we see laterality as well. It goes up, it goes down, in other words, this average has already lost its value. And we're looking at a longer average, it's above this average here, but there are still resistances, closed doors to move

[10:22] up, we still have to put in a lot of effort here, okay? So, it's even better to hold back . She might come back. If the market starts to rise again, of course , it's almost certain that Vale will be one of the companies that will see its stocks recover,

[10:35] okay? So it's almost certain. Of course, it's not a certainty. All the banks and all the oil companies can go up and Vale can go down, but it's very likely that if the market shows signs of a reaction, Vale will be one of the companies that also reacts because it's at a

[10:51] also reacts because it's at a support level. Petrobras, Vale and Itaú are above support levels. Bradesco is trying to hold on there. There are signs of a weak decline, but there are still no signs of an upward trend. And Banco do Brasil is

[11:05] going bankrupt, okay? These are the main assets, in my opinion. We can assets, in my opinion. We can include B3 in that list. B3, which has become overdue, or if it is delayed. After everyone else, she decided to fall

[11:17] too. And she's falling more than everyone else now, right? So she falls, she doesn't stop falling, she's really going downhill, okay? It hasn't pulled the brakes yet, just like Banco do Brasil, this one is going down, Banco do Brasil down, B3 down, Banco

[11:32] Brasil down, B3 down, Banco Bradesco neutral, Itaú up, okay? And then we have Petrobras at support, Vale moving sideways above support. This is the general scenario. So, for any asset that we think we can

[11:46] take a position on at that support level for a possible resumption of the upward trend, we have to do that. Those assets that weren't performing well, like Banco do Brasil and B3, for example, shouldn't be used for that. In that case, we're going to set up a structure

[12:02] so that if he keeps falling, we'll win. In this case, we dualize, that is, we balance our portfolio. If this is a well-structured global portfolio , you're well protected, because if it falls, you gain on one side, lose

[12:16] less on the other, and gain more on one side. If it goes up, you gain more from the other one and lose less from the one you sold. So you have to put together a structure in a you have to put together a structure in a way that you have that balance.

[12:28] it's possible, it's hard work, it's difficult, it's simple, it's not. But things in a simpler way. And we show it live every day in our trading room, which happens at 2 PM from Monday to Friday on TR

[12:44] live. We'll show them the wallet there, working and running. And she does it every day, obligated to perform positively every day , okay? But she has been performing positively almost every day. I think there was one day, in the last 23 weeks,

[13:01] was close to zero, a little bit negative, and it has been performing positively all day. The market goes up, the market moves sideways, the market hits intraday, and yet our portfolio keeps stabilizing, right?

[13:17] properly. Of course, sometimes it's not like that. Okay, so we need to observe, wait a minute, there's a loose end here, we're going to adjust that end, okay? So, if you have any assets you'd like me to look at, besides these

[13:32] main ones here, if I have time, I'll take a look for you. But now I want to share a strategy with you. The strategy I've chosen to use this week isn't very different from last week's. Why? Because the market

[13:45] isn't much different from what happened the previous week, just like we were the week before. Okay, let 's go, I'm going to present two situations to you. Why? Because it can happen that it keeps falling and it can happen that it

[14:00] stops and starts to rise. So, if I'm trading an asset that could go up, for example, Bova is at a support level, as is Bradesco, Petrobras, and Vale, right? And it's Itaú, right? It's there, uh, Bradesco less so,

[14:17] but it's around there. Now, if I think fall anyway, then I can establish a up, I'll set up a position to go up. So, I brought some

[14:32] alternatives and I can apply the same rule to Petrobras, Vale, B3, rule to Petrobras, Vale, B3, BBAS, Bradesco, and Itaú. Why? Because they are assets that have good liquidity. Of course, not everyone has

[14:48] excellent liquidity; only Petrobras will, but if you have good liquidity, you could even put together something very close to what I'm presenting to you. So, look, we could call this a

[15:02] we could call this a reverse Brook Wing Color, right? Well, it's inverted, but regardless of what name we give it here, it's a structure for those who believe in an upward trend, or for that asset

[15:16] that we see is above support and that may resume an upward trend, which is the case with those I just mentioned to you. put together a strategy like this, for example, and this strategy will put me

[15:31] example, and this strategy will put me in a very favorable position. Look, I 'll be here, in that situation. I don't lose by a small margin, I win by a small margin. The peak of gain is in this middle section, and it's impossible to hit this point right here. And if

[15:44] impossible to hit this point right here. And if it goes up, I'll make a profit, OK? So, it 's kind of a broke wing with zero risk, right? It's OK? Because I also added a necklace here in the middle of this structure, you know. So here I am protected downwards.

[15:57] If I fall, I won't lose. I'll still win something in the middle of the month. This is the center, the peak of my profit, and it's impossible to get this right. Almost impossible. And if it goes up even a little, I'll start to have that guaranteed profit

[16:10] guaranteed gain. It went up, I have that gain guaranteed. This is a very OK scenario. In the case of Bova, in the case of Petrobras, you should be able to put together something very close to this. Those with less liquidity won't look so good

[16:23] , okay? But it will be close to this here as well, because the figure, the payoff ends up being, of course, evidently the same. No, I think it will fall. going to sell the ones that are going up, I'm going to sell the ones that are facing downwards,

[16:39] right? So, whoever is facing down, you can devise a strategy, for example, like this one here, which protects you; it's like a lock, but it's not a lock, okay? You're totally directional

[16:53] in the fall, right? And here you have, in this case, the sale of the asset, and the purchase of something to protect that asset. So you sell one put option and buy two, which is what will give you this here. This will give you the payoff here. You sell a

[17:07] put option, buy two put options, all with the same expiration date, and also buy a call option with the same expiration date, and sell the underlying asset here, since you see that the asset will continue to fall, so you sell the asset. What is the purpose of buying CP? It serves

[17:22] to prevent the sale of the asset. So, if the asset goes up at this expiration date, instead of going down, you're locking in the call option, and then you have a maximum loss limit, which is here, with a pre-defined payoff downwards and an

[17:37] undefined gain, because you sold one put option but bought two. So, one is locked and the other is free. You are directionally benefiting from this drop. So, think about these two strategies for this week, because that's what

[17:52] I'll be doing in the classroom most of the time when opportunities arise. Why? Because in our market, when we see the BOVA, the IBOV above a support level,

[18:04] see the BOVA, the IBOV above a support level, 60, 70% or more of the stocks are also above that support level. When you see the IBOV lose support, 60-70% or more of the stocks have lost support, and vice versa, okay? So, in this

[18:21] vice versa, okay? So, in this current scenario, you apply this rule to the asset that you've seen is in the conditions you want to change. Now, I recommend that, since we're talking about options and not the stock itself, be careful, because the stock might look great

[18:36] , its chart might be beautiful, but the option might lack liquidity, and you'll be creating a problem for yourself. So be careful because it's a determining factor for success in the strategy, in the structure, to have liquidity with the

[18:53] options of that stock you want. Ah, I heard all four of them here. Aa 4 looks really good , but when you go to the option, it 's not good, it doesn't have liquidity, you can't 's not good, it doesn't have liquidity, you can't find it. So forget about that, focus on the

[19:06] main ones, because the main ones will give you the liquidity to build the structure give you the liquidity to build the structure you're envisioning, okay, everyone? We're starting a little later, so we'll have a shorter time

[19:19] here today, because at 9:30 Paco starts his broadcast on his channel, starts his broadcast on his channel, Paco Mur on YouTube, to do the international market. So, if you like and want to learn how to trade in the

[19:34] want to learn how to trade in the international market, Forex, HK, gold, oil, everything that's moving, starting at 7 PM, you'll begin trading now at 9:30 PM on his channel; he'll start trading there. So you

[19:50] him, you'll also learn how to operate in this international market and not just stay in the Brazilian market. If you're interested in this, feel free to leave here and head over to his channel. Now don't forget to like this

[20:03] Now don't forget to like this video and tomorrow we'll be together, starting at 9 am on my channel, I'll be there to do our quick cash register in the first hour. Don't forget to subscribe here, to this J Trader channel, and tomorrow at 9 AM

[20:18] we'll be there to make a quick cash deposit, okay? Hugs, quick cash deposit, okay? Hugs, God bless you. Thanks, thanks, thanks. Bye, bye.