Sports Betting Value Strategies — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:13] [snorts] up, guys? How's everyone doing? Happy um happy Monday Night Football. I guess this is Monday Night Football. Um but anyways, we're going to get some bets locked in. Please let me know in the

[00:27] locked in. Please let me know in the chat whatever sports books you guys want to start out on. What's up guys? Rebet $100 free bet. Good evening father. Tell Stephanie I said hi. You're not going to talk to my [ __ ] sister, bro. I'm not

[00:43] telling my sister you said hi. But anyways, let's get some bets locked in. Just let me know in the chat what sports book you guys want to look at. I will book you guys want to look at. I will say there's pretty good value right now

[00:55] if you want to bet on the Steelers. Unfortunately, I no longer have rebet in Unfortunately, I no longer have rebet in my state, but yo, this looks pretty damn my state, but yo, this looks pretty damn solid. Steelers plus 143. This is on

[01:08] rebet. Rebet, rebet, rebet. This looks great. Plus 143. It's arbitrage. Market is crossed. You can get Steelers plus 143 or Texans minus 142. So, one of

[01:21] those two bets has to be profitable because you could just orbit and you know plus 143. It also looks good to Circa which is a really sharp book as well as Pinnacle which has 80K betting limits. So, you could throw your rebet

[01:35] [snorts] but let's see what we got here. Maybe let's start out on better. You guys want to do a better slip? Damn, bro. We got a

[01:47] lot of plays we can do. So, let's get into it. Um, first play I'm going to go with is going to be for Sleeper. So, Sleeper has a really

[02:04] good discount right now on um uh on Woody Marks. They have him discounted by 17 yards uh which I think is pretty good. That's a pretty good discount. So, let's just find something to pair with. I'm not

[02:17] sure why I'm only seeing hockey. Where the [ __ ] is NBA? And I'm going to pair this with Bridges first. First play I'm going with. This is Sleeper is I'm going to run Bridges, Miles Bridges to be clear. Um, under 27

[02:32] play I'm going to go with. I'm going to pair it with the Woody Marks discount. [snorts] Goat, Professor Monahan, FanDuel, anytime touchdown. We need a winning better slip. I'm good with better. Let's

[02:45] rip a better slip. Yo, so this play looks incredible. So, here's the first play. Okay, sleeper discount. Um, but now let's go over to better. Better picks Jake Paul's app. And let's see if we can do something

[02:59] good. Um, and there's a lot of value on better right now. So, it's kind of perfect. Okay, so first play I'm going to go with hockey play. I guess we got a lot of hockey tonight. Ekholm over one and a half shots on goal. I already ran

[03:12] this on prize picks. Prize picks and you know better kind of work the same way. So this is the first play we're going to go with. Um better picks fixed payout sports book. You take his over under same payout same [ __ ] as prize picks.

[03:25] You can see his under is offered with very high liquidity on profitex and Novig which are two of the you know smart betting exchanges. His under is a pretty big underdog with heavy liquidity. So these books are telling us

[03:38] you know hey he's a lot more likely to go over. So, we're gonna roll with that. And then we just need to find some plays to pair, bro. So, let's go here. Let's go here. And we have another hockey play. Dan Vadar over 21 and a half

[03:53] saves. His unders plus 120. Every sports book, you don't just have to look at these like betting exchanges, prediction markets, every sports book, you know, markets, every sports book, you know, they all have his overheavily favored.

[04:09] But give me a sec. I'm going to try to give you guys a beautiful slip. all hockey. I wouldn't mind some football if there

[04:21] is some football, but I'm not sure if there is some football. A lot of hockey there is some football. A lot of hockey overs. Kind of interesting. dude, there must be a lot of hockey today.

[04:35] today. Um, yeah. I mean, this guy's a huge This guy's a huge favorite to go over. guy's a huge favorite to go over. Okay, so let's finish the slip now.

[04:49] So, we have another hockey over. Dude, it just seems like better has their hockey lines too low. What are they doing? So, no picks in the same game, so there's no correlation or anything to

[05:02] worry about. And then I do like fading Embiid. And let's see what we got here. Embiid under 29 and a half. PA's points plus assist. They already bumped him, so never mind. What we'll go with as our

[05:16] final pick is Grimes. Yo, [snorts] so this is what I'm going to run. Five pick bumped. You guys like it? Yo, can somebody put the link in the chat? Yo, can somebody please put the link in the chat? What's up, guys? Happy uh happy

[05:31] Monday Night Football. Who do we want to win? Four hockey overs and then one NBA under. Nothing has been bumped. And then we can move on to another sports book. I mean, DraftKings pick six. They had some

[05:45] good promos, but I already ran a couple of them. Dude, what is wrong with Rebet? Steelers plus three. That also looks incredible. Pinnacle only has 11 cent spread. It's almost crossed with Pinnacle. So,

[05:59] Steelers plus three you could run as well. Anyways, sorry. And let me get this locked in real quick. Better slip. If someone could put

[06:13] a link in the chat, that would be awesome. What book do we want to do? I see some people asking for underdog.

[06:25] Can you do the sleeper boost? Can you What was the sleeper play? Give me a sec. Here's the sleeper play. Alex, can we do Here's the sleeper play. Alex, can we do under underdog underdog NBA boost? So,

[06:39] underdog. So, let's take a look at what we got going on. [snorts] Um, there's also some good stuff on prize picks, but whatever. Let's kind of go on to underdog. Underdog six pick entry. That's the

[06:56] Underdog six pick entry. That's the optimal slip type. Do I have to do NBA? optimal slip type. Do I have to do NBA? Yo, guys, does it have to be NBA plays?

[07:11] what does seem good again? underdog, better prize picks, like all these platforms, they work basically the same way, aside from kind of trying to figure way, aside from kind of trying to figure out the optimal slip type. So, if it is

[07:25] only NBA, let me kind of show you what I would run. Damn, dude. There's some would run. Damn, dude. There's some solid esports [ __ ] right now, too. solid esports [ __ ] right now, too. So, if you can only play NBA, this is

[07:39] what I would run. three pick entry, not a full six-man. I would just run these three picks. Okay, if it has to be NBA only, but I'm

[07:52] underdog fantasy, which is really annoying. So, I'm just going to go ahead and also give you guys a six- pick entry that I'm actually going to run. Um, a six- pick entry, dude. So, this play

[08:06] again, it looks amazing. Trent Miner over 21 and a half saves. [snorts] Yo, so I'm gonna do a six pick entry as quick as possible. And

[08:18] we can kind of go from there. I don't want to bet on football that's that far away. Yo, there's some good esports line discrepancies. So like for example, this dude. Yo, come here. Buzz [snorts] prize picks has his line at 23 half. These

[08:32] other sports books. Underdog just too low. 21 and a half. So, here would be a six pick entry. Again, if it's NBA only and you have a promo, I guess just run the NBA picks. Um, but I don't get promos. So, on top of the NBA picks, I'm

[08:48] here's what I'm running. Can someone put the link in the chat? Bro, I can't do the link in the chat? Bro, I can't do quarter points. Alex, let's ride Rogers tonight. Can you show me the flip value? Says John Ganon.

[09:03] Let's see if there's flip value. Yo, so let me get rid of underdog. We can look let me get rid of underdog. We can look at FanDuel. Fliff again. Uh Fliff doesn't really have much. Unfortunately,

[09:16] if you're looking for FanDuel, best play. Well, that's far away, bro. No Klay Thompson under two and a half threes. That play looks really good. Cross market and also like just FanDuel's offering ridiculous value. I

[09:29] mean, all these other books have them like plus 108ish. Sleeper, bro. Yo, give me a sec. And you can see they removed one of the esports plays, WHICH IS REALLY ANNOYING. But the nice thing is is there's a lot of other esports value.

[09:45] Dude, esports has like a billion games a day. This guy, his line is 14 on prize picks. You know, [snorts] underdog it just has him way too low at like 12 and a half. It's like, yep, smash. So, I'm just going to replace with this. But

[09:59] just going to replace with this. But shut up. Let's go, dude. What? Oh, go. And one, two, three, four, five, six.

[10:12] And one, two, three, four, five, six. So, we got a six-man locked in. and if you're curious what I ran on um pick six,

[10:24] this is what I ran on uh pick six for I'm not sure if they bumped it or whatever, but this is what I ran. Dalton over in receptions, Gainwell under in rushing yards, Warren over in in receiving yards. This is what I ran on

[10:36] uh DraftKings pick six. They got like a 30% profit boost. These profit boosts, you're ever going to make. So, definitely take advantage of them.

[10:54] boys? Can you show the rebet value, man? I told you, dude. Rebet has a lot of value. I mean, dude. Rebet has a lot of value. I mean, the best play is Steelers plus 143.

[11:08] I would run Steelers plus 143. If you're looking for a rebat play, I would just slam the Steelers. DraftKings pick six pretty light on value right now. I feel like prize picks had some good stuff. If you guys want to do a prize pick play,

[11:22] do these sleeper promos. So, let's just do these sleeper promos. So, let's just see what's available.

[11:35] over in points. let's see if it's actually a good line. I mean it usually is. This is just like the odds jam sports book screen. It you know whatever shows you all the raw

[11:51] discount. I mean you can see no vague really sharp book. Davis line at 17 half. FanDuel 18 half like okay this is definitely solid now we just got to find something we can pair with it. So that's what we're going to do.

[12:14] these sleeper discounts locked in since seems like that's the that's the seems like that's the that's the preferred thing another book. So,

[12:35] flag under and made threes. No, I don't want to do that. What I don't mind I want to do that. What I don't mind I n Jamal Shahed

[12:51] odds. Yeah, this seems solid. Yo, so this is what I'm going to run. Okay, two pick entry on Sleeper. I just paired the con discount. What? Oh [ __ ]

[13:06] have a they have an NFL profit boost. I'm going to try to fly through again. another sports book you guys want to look at. Again, even if the book like isn't legal in my state, I'll try to take a look for

[13:21] you guys. Um

[13:36] the NFL boost. Three picks. Three picks. 30% profit boost. Only one of the plays is for tonight. Sorry. I mean, sleeper also kind of screws you sometimes on the same game correlation.

[13:51] You look like LeBron. You look like LeBron. What are you You look like LeBron. What are you talking about? Pick six. Pick six. What do you guys want to look at on pick six? What do we want to do, man? What do we

[14:05] What do we want to do, man? What do we want to do? picks value. I mean, let's go here. Sorry, it's taking so long. And let's just see if we can put some plays together.

[14:21] So, let's go here. Let's go here. Let's go to prize picks. Um, good is Maxi under six and a half assists.

[14:36] under six and a half assists. Yo, you guys like fading Tyrese tonight? What do we think about fading Maxi? So, we have Maxi under six and a half assists. Oh [ __ ] this game is starting soon. Yo, I'm doing prize picks. For all

[14:48] you guys bugging me to do prize picks, we're doing prize picks. So, we got Maxi under six and a half assists. He's gone under four out of the past five games. Obviously, that doesn't really matter. It's priced into the market, but

[15:00] regardless, it looks pretty solid. But I mean, Khi, FanDuel, like all of these sharper whatever sports books, they all got us under heavily favored. So, this seems decent. And the question is, what do we want to pair? And that's what

[15:14] do we want to pair? And that's what we're going to find out right now. boys, be please please be ready to tail this if you want to tail it. Um, I'm

[15:29] going to try to go fast. I'm gonna try to go fast.

[15:45] NBA play. I'm Yo, five pick or six pick entry.

[16:01] Again, sometimes there's good value in tennis. Like you can see this dude heavily favored to go under Rodrigo Pernandez. Pernandez. Honestly, if you we wanted to, some of

[16:15] promised a threeman uh or you promised a fiveman is you could just run a threeman 6x payout like on prize picks five pick flex plays they're technically mathematically optimal but like three

[16:30] pick entries are pretty similar so I mean I don't think this is bad um can mean I don't think this is bad um can someone put a link in the chat

[16:42] yo can someone put a link in the chat threeman all unders is Beautiful threeman all unders is Beautiful is beautiful.

[16:54] whenever you're done building the slip? Yeah. Yo, Meccal 627. What book do you Yeah. Yo, Meccal 627. What book do you want to look for touchdown value on?

[17:10] that's correct. I wanted to take Walker under and receiving yards. Which sports books are the sharpest and softest? The sharpest books are the peer-to-peer betting exchanges, Novague, Profitex, Calshi, Poly Market when

[17:25] liquidity is high. The stupidest or softest sports books are like Rebet, softest sports books are like Rebet, Prize Picks, Fan No, maybe FanDuel's not super soft. Hard Rock, Hard Rock, Bet 365. Those are great examples of soft

[17:40] 365. Those are great examples of soft books. to do? So, I did the Sleeper promo. I got people asking for sleeper. I feel

[17:54] like I did sleeper. What do we want to look at? Touchdown value. I hear you loud and clear. Let's definitely do some touchdown value.

[18:10] um we'll do some touchdown scores. So, that sounds like a plan. MGM and Hard Rock. Let's look at the touchdown scores. Who do you guys think touchdown scores. Who do you guys think is scoring tonight? Jaylen Warren.

[18:33] Let's figure it out. So, I'm going to put in a bunch of different sports books. Why is DraftKings not here? So, let me put DraftKings back in. We got Hard Rock. We already got in Bet MGM. Okay, let me filter that back in.

[18:47] Sometimes like I filter books out. I'm just seeing too many. DraftKings, Bet MGM, Fliff, Onyx odds, Hard Rock. Let's see where the touchdown score value is. So, please be something

[19:00] good, bro. I don't see many touchdown scores right now. I mean, Bet MGM has a ton of good [ __ ] like this play. Jack Quinn under one and a half shots on goal. Odds Jam has, you know, oneclick bet. So, you can literally hit the bet

[19:14] button and it will take you straight there. Um,

[19:27] There must just not be a lot of touchdown value right now. touchdown value right now. Although maybe we'll find some here.

[19:43] and let me refresh. And maybe there's some touchdown score value. Give me a Books and increase my maximum odds range. And

[19:55] let's see what we got for touchdown scores. I'm just going to search for it. I mean, probably the best play. probably the best play. I I'm not in love with it, but

[20:09] I I'm not in love with it, but Jaden Higgins plus 425. That looks solid on DraftKings. As well as Nico. So, Jaden Higgins plus 425. That's on DraftKings. And then also Nico Collins. Like, Nico looks solid. I

[20:23] mean, Circa's only offering plus 145. It's not like incredible value in the touchdown score specifically available right now, but is what it is.

[20:35] right now, but is what it is. Let's see if Dabble has anything. Dabble does have a lot of good [ __ ] So, let's do a Dabble slip.

[20:49] Um, best touchdown scores. Again, if you use FanDuel, Nico plus 155, plus 155. That looks solid. And if you use um DraftKings, what was it?

[21:01] Higgins plus 425 looks pretty solid as well. But let's um let's start rolling on Dabble. Unfortunately, I got banned on Dabble, so I'm not actually going to be

[21:14] able to bet this. But the first play, it's a playoff game. Aaron Rogers old ass better be running the ball. Aaron Rodgers over half of a rushing yard. I'm already on this on prize picks earlier, but prize picks bumped it. One of the

[21:27] multiple sports books. Every [ __ ] data point, FanDuel, Bet Online, all overheavily favored. So, this is another, you know, fixed payout, whatever. But what's crazy is this play if it's

[21:43] still actually there. Yo, what are they doing? Bryce Sensab under 16 points plus rebounds. Where does prize points plus rebounds. Where does prize picks have his line?

[22:02] bro. We can look at flip. I didn't see any flip value. I mean, I put it into the sharp money tool. sharp money tool. So, Bryce is literally a big underdog to

[22:15] even go over 15 and a half. So, under 16 is even better. And let's finish the is even better. And let's finish the slip, though.

[22:31] Yo, so this is what I would run on Dabble. Three pick entry, 6x payout. Dabble. Three pick entry, 6x payout. Just like prize pick. 6x payout.

[22:46] picks. Need Rogers Legacy Night. Someone got a profile on Dabble I can copy from. got a profile on Dabble I can copy from. Is Dabble the easiest? Oh [ __ ] Someone said they're only giving a 5.7x payout. Why? Why would they do that? Maybe it's

[23:01] [snorts] In which case, I guess. I mean, again, I'm already on it. So, but you could just run EKM now. You're getting a 6x correlation issue. Again, this play was good on underdog. It's good on prize

[23:16] picks. You know, I guess underdog offers slightly better payouts for a six pick entry or better or for a six pick entry or better or whatever the [ __ ] we locked it in on.

[23:28] book." What sports book you want to look at, man? What sports book do you want to FanDuel. I just can't bet on FanDuel right now. Jaylen Noel under half of an

[23:40] interception at plus 150. Like there's a lot of good [ __ ] bro. Stop complaining. Jesper Walder. This play I think we already No, I'm not sure if we got it locked in on prize picks

[23:54] parlay. You can run as a straight bet. parlay. You can run as a straight bet. You can do whatever you want.

[24:07] So, let's see if there's anything exciting. If not, I'll call it a day. exciting. If not, I'll call it a day. Nah, nothing really new or exciting.

[24:19] Kind of same [ __ ] So, I'll call it a day for now. See you guys. Enjoy the day for now. See you guys. Enjoy the game.