Real-Time Trade Setup Revealed
45sViewers love seeing live trades with clear entry and exit points, making them feel like insiders.
▶ Play ClipThis video presents a real-time trading analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), focusing on the New Zealand dollar. The trader demonstrates a mechanical approach to identifying premium and discount zones, order blocks, and change of character to execute short trades.
Trader since 2007, full time since 2011. Not financial advice.
Provides a clean chart that viewers can copy and paste to improve trading.
New Zealand dollar was in an uptrend with BOS (Break of Structure) above highs.
Flipping from bullish to bearish identified by a change of character.
Uses Fibonacci retracement levels (likely 61.8% and 79%) to identify premium and discount.
Uses higher timeframe for structure and 5-minute for entry.
Emphasizes paying attention to imbalances (FVG) for trade entries.
Identifies a textbook low formation for short entry.
Entry occurs on an imbalance after mitigation.
Mentions profitable S&P 500 short and Australian dollar trades shared with VIP members.
Markets are mean reverting; price snaps back to the mean.
Identifies an imbalance in NZD that was not revisited, supporting short bias.
Trade achieved 3.08R reward (risk-reward ratio).
All trades for the week were winners.
Expects potential internal shift and further shorts if OTE is reached.
The trader emphasizes a mechanical SMC strategy focusing on structure, imbalances, and OTE for consistent trading. The approach is repeatable and has yielded profitable results.
"Title accurately reflects the content: a practical SMC model demonstrated in real trades."
What does BOS stand for in SMC?
Break of Structure.
00:40
What is a change of character (CHoCH)?
A signal that the market is flipping from bullish to bearish or vice versa.
01:37
What Fibonacci levels are used to identify premium and discount?
61.8% and 79% retracement levels.
02:06
What is the recommended timeframe combination for this strategy?
Higher timeframe for structure, 5-minute for entry.
03:00
What is an imbalance in SMC?
A fair value gap (FVG) where price has not revisited.
04:06
What is the entry trigger for a short trade?
Price revisits and mitigates an imbalance after a change of character.
06:21
Where is the stop loss placed in this short trade?
Above the recent high that should hold.
07:42
What risk-reward ratio was achieved in the NZD trade?
3.08R.
09:14
What is the concept of mean reversion in trading?
Markets tend to snap back to the mean after extreme moves.
08:21
What does OTE stand for?
Optimal Trade Entry.
05:13
Change of Character
Key signal for trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
01:37Mean Reversion
Explains why price snaps back to the mean, a core principle.
08:213R Reward Achieved
Demonstrates a successful trade with a 3.08 risk-reward ratio.
09:14All Winners Week
Claims all trades for the week were winners, indicating strategy effectiveness.
10:22[00:00] setup this week And yes, this was also shared in real time This is a real time trade.
[00:14] Trader since 2007, full time since 2011. and not financial advice. a clean chart.
[00:27] so you can You can literally copy and paste it's going to make you a better trader. it is one of the best features of
[00:40] the New Zealand dollar was in an uptrend, because we have here a BOS above the high, We then have up here a new high
[00:56] we have another BOS above the high. Now, this is all important for what happens any given time using SMC,
[01:11] and identify things like this over here in the current moment. right? And we know that this is significant
[01:23] right here before this BOS. here on the New Zealand dollar, as to whether or not we really broke that,
[01:37] Okay, so this right here now becomes our I am flipping from bullish back here This right here, this change of character
[01:53] It should feel late in this move because Instead, what we want to do here is once I this down here is our potential short-term low.
[02:06] our fibs from the high up here talking about my settings here for my So this is how I identify premium and
[02:21] Trade Entry. and 79% retracement. like a change of character like this,
[02:34] And this is especially important when it absolutely nothing. also want to see
[02:47] to see this market come up here and revisit and move this forward now and see what we get. timeframe still, we can see that the New
[03:00] Now I want to show you something. timeframe. for structure and then the five minute for
[03:13] So first of all, you can see that this back we had the low, then we had a break of this.
[03:25] technically is internal because we never low and then do this and then give us the BOS with using this,
[03:38] So go back here Right? There is no retrace into these drag it across from these candles up here.
[03:52] If we just take this box here Notice how we never came up here So anybody using this right here as your
[04:06] wasn't paying attention to this imbalance So the moment that we get that, what I'm timeframe and searching for
[04:19] Same exact pattern, guys, same exact thing. timeframe. BOS, okay?
[04:32] with the acceptance above that high. what this means is that this low down here now okay, or protected low.
[04:46] this was our high, we came down, we formed We then had the market sweep this This is exactly what you wanna see
[05:00] This low right here is textbook. what I'm looking for again, I'm looking for Because I wanna get short here, but I want
[05:13] So playing this forward again, still in the Now right there we do get confirmation. is I'm going to drag this back over to keep
[05:26] So again, what we're doing here is we have We have our OTE imbalance mitigated back here. character.
[05:41] One thing you'll notice too, and this is thinking that they're going to miss this This doesn't matter, guys, because look at
[05:54] So again, case, sellers are taking over once again. are taking over and giving us that
[06:07] The entry occurs up here on this imbalance. time frame, Now, I want to see the market come up here
[06:21] And this right here brings me to my short entry. because this really only applies to this From there, we're looking for that low time
[06:35] from right here in this area once we Discord as I do with everything else. You can see
[06:48] mitigated this imbalance up here. This was my entry, okay? other trades here too,
[07:01] profitable, S&P 500 short, Australian this idea to VIP members here. setting up.
[07:15] Okay, so I'm sharing this, not the flex, This was a trade that I actually took in screen.
[07:28] It's nearly two hours of content that's So, looking here at again, New Zealand Now, my stop loss in this case
[07:42] reason for that is because, again, we had out, this high up here should hold. target in this case...
[07:54] And the reason that I was targeting lower because if this is gonna be our lower high, below this low.
[08:09] in terms of in terms of a trend in a market, we've these type of channels before, but in terms
[08:21] is you get the market essentially revolving So markets are mean reverting. the mean.
[08:33] snap back to the mean. So and again, knowing that if this is going to And furthermore too,
[08:47] What do you notice about these candles back up here to these lows back here, This is also an imbalance here for the New
[09:02] and we never saw the market come back to So that alone right there was enough for me and get my 3R meaning my reward was three
[09:14] can see here 3.08 was the what happens here with the new zealand about 24 hours or so you can see right
[09:26] So if I now hide this, let's take a look here. content in terms of what we could see next. And You can see that if we just recap this,
[09:42] breakup structure, external low down here, imbalance, OTE, doing is the exact same thing.
[09:55] Now, you could absolutely adopt this. you could look at this back here and see this change of character and look
[10:09] and then look to play it that way too. of what you're trying to do. trading is super mechanical, I get enough
[10:22] week, all winners so far, it gives me here, what I'm looking at next to be the low for the New Zealand dollar.
[10:34] rotation here. now a BOS, okay, so this right here tells if this right here, we don't know where
[10:48] But if we were to bottom out right where we imbalance through this area, also an shorts again.
[11:00] Okay, so it could be down here toward these lows, But either way, guys, wherever that OT is and our OTE is up here in this area,
[11:15] Basically above these highs, Some type of internal shift up here to then It's not saying that it will happen. Again,
[11:29] And this back here was a perfect example of that. this one-hour change of character and also helped explain my exact SMC strategy.
[11:44] And be sure to check out this video right identify premium and discount and OTE. Until next time, trade well.
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