РЫНОК ПЕРЕГРЕТ! ПРОДАЮ ЭТИ АЛЬТКОИНЫ! (ОЧЕНЬ ВАЖНО!)

[00:01] Sergey. This is the Kiga channel. And today I have prepared an overview of the cryptocurrency market for you will show you what actions I am currently performing. Perhaps yes, you saw on Telegram that I locked in 50% of the Ethereum cryptocurrency. And in this video I'll

[00:16] tell you why I decided to do this. I will also show other fixations and generally market situation. Let's get started together.

[00:28] First, let's refresh our memory of our Bitcoin cryptocurrency scenario. let's immediately open the global picture, that is, the higher timeframes. I open the weekly time frame, and there is an opinion that the current cycle may

[00:43] lengthen, the current bull market may lengthen, because, as we know, all bull markets and bear markets in the Bitcoin cryptocurrency lasted about the same time. And some believe the current bull market will last

[00:57] longer. Let me try to explain to you how I look at this point of view. I'm moving the graph a little further. We see that Bitcoin has been in a bull market since 2008, that is, since its inception. And all the bull and bear markets

[01:14] in the Bitcoin cryptocurrency were approximately the same, that is, they even lasted approximately the same amount of time. Because of this, I suspect we are looking at a single, major bull market . That is, I remind you that the market is a

[01:28] matryoshka doll. And every bull market consists of cycles of a lower degree. If we open the weekly time frame, there will be, yes, cycles of a lesser degree. If we open the daily, hourly, minute cycles, we will also find cycles of a lower degree there.

[01:43] And in the wave principle there are certain rules and norms that work perfectly. These rules and regulations are based on the mathematical relationships between Fibonacci numbers. That is, this is a purely mathematical calculation. And there is a

[01:57] rule that only one impulse wave can be stretched. Look what we see here. We see that, yes, as I noted on the chart, the third impulse wave is extended. That is, in total,

[02:13] this cycle, this bull market, consists of nine waves. That is, we already see stretching. Therefore, I assume that this fifth wave, that is, the current bull market, will not be extended, that is, it is

[02:28] more likely that it will not lengthen, yes, perhaps locally we can be in this bull market a little longer, maybe a little less, well, approximately, yes, the same range, but I do not expect any super-large extension. And

[02:41] what does such a picture mean anyway? We've seen before that Bitcoin bear markets have been roughly the same size all the time . But the next bear market may be completely different from the one that came before . That is,

[02:55] perhaps it will be deeper, perhaps it will be longer, perhaps the Bitcoin cryptocurrency will cease to exist altogether, I do n’t know. However, we need to prepare for the fact that the next bear market will not be like the previous ones. And

[03:09] yes, if we look at the distance that Bitcoin travels in each bull market, that distance decreases by about four-five times. That is, the asset becomes heavier, its capitalization becomes larger, and in the future it

[03:22] shows less and less growth. Therefore, the current cycle in the crypto market is most likely the last cycle in which one can make money. And we did it successfully . This means that all of our public

[03:34] cryptocurrency portfolios are in the positive territory. Yes, let me remind you that in 2022 we purchased cryptocurrency for the project . Also, about a year ago I gave the top 10 altcoins. The portfolio is also in positive territory. I recently started a

[03:47] new investment project, and we're already up secured some profits. By the way, I'll soon be releasing the third edition of our releasing the third edition of our

[04:01] running for several years now. And since I filmed the second episode about a year ago, I’ll show you how our portfolio is doing. Spoiler: he feels very well. There the profit is more than 100%. So, we have analyzed the global picture

[04:15] . That is, I assume that the current cycle will not lengthen and we can expect the beginning of a bear market in the near future. I already told you this. So I final phase of a bull market and we need to sell and prepare for a bear

[04:29] market. Let's return to the idea that the market is a matryoshka doll. I opened the daily timeframe, local picture. And here we see how our current bull market already consists of five waves visually. That is, this is wave one, this is wave 2, 3 and we

[04:43] are in the fifth final wave. This fifth wave may consist of only two structures. The first structure is the first scenario is pessimistic and the second scenario is optimistic. Now I have highlighted the pessimistic scenario,

[04:57] because, as I have already said, I first consider pessimistic goals. Let me zoom in a little bit on the current market picture. That is, a, the formation of the so-called final diagonal, that is, a structure similar to an

[05:11] ascending wedge, after which the trend reverses. We see a gradual narrowing of the range, that is, wave one, wave 2, wave 3, wave four and wave five. All the rules and norms of the wave principle

[05:25] are mathematically observed. For example, wave three, that is, this wave has traveled 62% of the distance of wave one, this is the golden ratio. Wave 4 did not reach the 0.618 mark. Here the norm is observed. And now I have noted the expansion of the Fibnach

[05:41] based on the third wave. And we see that wave 5 has already traveled 62% of the distance of wave 3. That is, this wave 5 is forming, and it has already traveled 62% of the distance of wave 3.

[05:53] However, there may be a scenario where only the clear, I will show you what this might look like. Let's say it's wave one, wave two. Wave three is now forming. Next we can see wave four and

[06:07] wave five. This all falls within the scope of the final diagonal scenario. And after that, of course, the start of a bear market is expected. But since the picture is I am first considering the pessimistic scenario, let me explain something to you. We have

[06:21] reached our stated goal of around . And we see a small reaction from our target. This is our level 0.618.

[06:35] Please note that there is a level of one above, that is, this is 100% of the distance of wave 3. If, within the framework of this upward movement, we go beyond this maximum, go beyond one, then in this case the structure of the diagonal will

[06:50] be disrupted. And I will now consider an optimistic scenario for the formation of momentum. The wave principle works by the method of elimination. If something is mathematically violated, then we are already considering a different structure. And here are

[07:04] fifth wave can stand. That is, this is the first structure, the final diagonal, and this is the second structure, the structure of the impulse movement. I will not consider the second structure until we break through the unit. That is, this value is

[07:18] approximately $135,000 in this location. As long as we are below this level, I am looking at the pessimistic scenario of an ending diagonal forming. As for my actions on the Bitcoin cryptocurrency, in the

[07:32] bear market you and I accumulated in this place, and our average purchase price dropped to $20,000, that is, to approximately the global minimum in this place. And in the regular market we were already gradually recording profits. That is,

[07:46] buy, in a bull market we gradually sell, and in Bitcoin we have a fairly large profit. However, I always leave 10% in case the price continues its upward movement. movements and

[07:59] I record these 10% when the structure has already been formed with a very high probability . For now, I am not fixating on these 10% , since there is a possibility of a breakthrough of 135,000 and the formation of an impulse. And if I

[08:13] see some kind of reaction here with a rebound from the 0618 level, that is, with such a rebound, then perhaps I will fix the remainder of the Bitcoin. And I will warn you about this in the Telegram channel. The link to it is in the description. That is,

[08:25] everything is fine with Bitcoin, we are even in the black with Bitcoin. And I said that after Bitcoin, my main focus will be on the Ethereum cryptocurrency. These are the two most important, most popular, and most reliable cryptocurrencies. We'll return to the Ethereum cryptocurrency

[08:39] a little later in this video. In the meantime, let's look at Bitcoin dominance. I said that at the end of the bull market, we will see funds flowing from Bitcoin to altcoins, as happened in previous cycles. And

[08:52] Bitcoin's dominance will, understandably, begin to decline. We are currently seeing a slight downward reaction in the Bitcoin cryptocurrency. Now let's open up Bitcoin dominance. Our dominance shows quite a strong

[09:04] downward momentum. And here too something similar to the final diagonal was formed . Ah, of course, yes, looking at the dominance of the structure is a rather controversial matter, but nevertheless, there is a structure that

[09:17] indicates a decrease in dominance. If we have formed a final diagonal here, as I noted on the chart, then we can go down locally to about And given that Bitcoin is slowly declining in our country and

[09:30] Bitcoin's dominance is also declining, this means that funds have begun to slowly flow into altcoins. That is, here our assumption is also justified. Ethereum cryptocurrency. What do we see here? First, what were our

[09:43] actions? At this point, we have recorded 50% of the Ethereum cryptocurrency. I notified you about this on Telegram. Then we saw a downward correction. The correction was quite deep. I assumed that we would form a triangle. And this is the C

[09:57] wave of this triangle. And wave C has traveled 62% of the distance of wave A of the triangle, so I, uh, thought that this was a very good entry point and realized the profit that I

[10:10] fixed at this entry point. That is, once again, here at a price of 3,500 we is, once again, here at a price of 3,500 we sold 50%, and here at a price of 1,500 we realized the profit from this sale. And thus we were able to accumulate a

[10:24] larger volume. Then we saw growth from these marks. I notified everyone about all purchases on Telegram. I also said that Ethereum cryptocurrency made up 40% of my portfolio at the time of its growth, since I focused on it

[10:38] after Bitcoin. And now the price has risen from our entry point, from our average purchase, by about 100%, a little more. Yesterday I wrote that I decided to lock in 50% of the Ethereum cryptocurrency across all my

[10:52] portfolios. Why did I decide to do this? Look, wave D. That is, yes, I noted this scenario. I expected the formation of wave D here, and now, according to the is, the price may correct quite deeply after this growth. And

[11:07] after this growth. And the price has traveled a distance equal to 62%, that is, here I marked level 018. The price has traveled a distance equal to 62% of wave b. This is the most likely target for wave D, so I decided to lock in

[11:21] works mathematically. I looked at these mathematical relationships and found that this was the most likely place to profit. Now I want to see the price movement within the wave, that is, a

[11:34] fairly deep correction, during which I will again realize this fixed profit so that I have a larger volume of this cryptocurrency in my portfolio. And as a result, the profit from this fifth wave will increase. That

[11:48] accumulate this cryptocurrency in the range in which it is located. And here I will be riding the wave and, probably, my final purchase of this Altcoin. And yet the goals are still relevant. That is, after the formation of this range, I

[12:04] expect an exit from this triangle upwards and the achievement of the set goals. Let 's say, yes, at the level of 0118, at the level of 1118 I will gradually fix the profit. I will warn you about this . But still, if yes, I

[12:20] expect a correction here, why didn’t I fix 100% at this place in order to buy here for this very 100%, to get even more profit, because none of us knows where the market will go, how it will move. I just build scenarios,

[12:33] the most probable ones, and act according to these scenarios. But I also take into account that these are all probabilities and that, let’s say, the price could now update the global maximum and this correction will not happen. This is exactly why I left 50%, that

[12:47] is, if the price updates this global maximum, I will simply act according to the plan and lock in profits on this remaining 50%. Well, what’s more, since the asset made up 40% of the portfolio, it had a 40% share, and I decided to

[13:02] simply withdraw the invested funds after 100% growth. That is, I completely withdrew all my invested funds, and now I only have the profit on this cryptocurrency left. I think the logic behind selling Ethereum cryptocurrency is clear to you. If not

[13:14] me, you can ask what you are interested in in the comments. I will try to answer in as much detail as possible. Now let's move on to the altcoins I bought. The next Altcoin is the AAVA cryptocurrency. And here I also

[13:28] fixed 50%, using exactly the same logic as I fixed the profit on the Ethereum cryptocurrency. That is, wave D of the triangle, yes, most likely, , as in the Ethereum cryptocurrency. And wave D, that is, this

[13:43] wave, has traveled 62% of the distance of wave B. That is, this is the most likely place for the beginning of a correction. And within the framework of the wave and this triangle. The price has increased from my average purchase price by about 200%. I secured 50% here, having withdrawn the

[14:00] invested funds, and also received additional profit on top of that. Overall, approximately 3-5% of the portfolio, which is not as much as Ethereum. But nevertheless, here I also want to try to accumulate a larger volume of this

[14:14] altcoin. And therefore, if we have a wave of this triangle formed here, then on this wave I will realize the fixed profit. That is, I act exactly the same as with the Ethereum cryptocurrency. And there are a couple more

[14:27] altcoins that I might take profit on in the near future. The first Altcoin is the XRP cryptocurrency. Let me remind you that we have been monitoring this Altcoin since around Let me remind you that we have been monitoring this Altcoin since around

[14:39] dollars. That is, we expected an upward exit from this range, an upward exit from the triangle. Some people in the comments write: "Why, yes, I see triangles everywhere." Ah, but the thing is, this structure is always formed before the

[14:51] final wave. And given that we are in the final wave of the bull market in the cryptocurrency market, it is normal to see this structure now in the current market phase. Moreover, we have already successfully implemented this

[15:05] structure, for example, on the XRP cryptocurrency, on the XLM cryptocurrency, on the Toncoin cryptocurrency, and on the Tron cryptocurrency. And so far, not a single triangle formation has broken for us. On this Altcoin, after the wave is completed,

[15:18] we see a five-wave structure. That is, the market is a matryoshka doll, and here the same five final waves of growth are formed in the fifth final wave. It's a bit confusing, yes, but that's how it works. And now we are seeing the formation, most

[15:33] likely, of a local fifth final wave of this impulse that is occurring here. And I plan to make the next fixation in the region of 4 dollars in this place. As you can see, we are almost at this level, and

[15:47] it is possible that in the near future, if it reaches this level, I will take If anything happens, I'll notify you in the Telegram channel. The link is in the description. From our average purchase price,

[15:59] the description. From our average purchase price, the price has increased by a little more than 500%, by 500-600%, and this is a very good market move. I remember many people in could make a surge. And many didn't believe in the growth of this cryptocurrency,

[16:14] capitalization, who will pump it up, and so on. There were such claims, but nevertheless, we see how our strategy is working perfectly, and we are making money using this strategy. I never look

[16:28] at fundamental factors in cryptocurrency because there is no fundamental analysis in cryptocurrency . Oh, yes, I don’t look at funds, I don’t look at technology, I don’t look at the project, at the team. These are all completely useless factors that do not

[16:41] affect the price in any way. The price is influenced solely by human greed. I say this because I do not recommend you use fundamental analysis in is the determination of the true value of an asset. Let's say that this can be done in the stock market

[16:55] cannot be done in any way. How do you determine the fair market price of a cryptocurrency that is simply air? There is no and there cannot be. We also worked on breaking out of the

[17:09] We also worked on breaking out of the triangle on the Steller cryptocurrency. At around $0.10, that was our entry point, and the price has already risen from our entry point by around 500%. That is, the same movement occurred as with the XRP cryptocurrency.

[17:22] We recorded the first part of the profit at the level of 0618 in this place. And after our fixation, a rather deep correction formed. Now we see how the upward movement continues. It is possible that the final

[17:35] impulse is emerging. Ah, that is, yes, this is wave 1 2 3 4 5 and I expect a target here in the region of 1 dollar. At this target I will lock in the next portion of the profit. That's all for now regarding my actions. That is, I have

[17:53] finally, I want to give you this parting word . That is to say, yes, many people invested in unpromising altcoins and demonstrated poor diversification. I recently conducted a survey on Telegram and found that many people are experiencing

[18:09] portfolio declines. Approximately 60% is in drawdown, 10% is in breakeven and is in drawdown, 10% is in breakeven and 30% is in profit. In principle, the statistics are not that bad, because, as a rule, people earn 5-10% in the market,

[18:22] and 30% of profit participants is a pretty good result. But nevertheless, I would like there to be more percentage here. And people who are in a drawdown, they see Bitcoin growing, they see Ethereum growing, they see

[18:35] other altcoins growing, and they regret that they, uh, invested not in these altcoins, but in some other ones that aren't growing. And I understand, this is, of course, sad. This is sad. A form, a foma, is formed, that is, a syndrome of wasted benefit. But

[18:51] nevertheless, I want to say that there are always opportunities in the market where you can make money. And now you've simply acquired a colossal amount of experience that can be used in other markets or in other

[19:06] cryptocurrency cycles. For example, yes, I will say that about six months ago I took out a portfolio of federal loan bonds. I informed you about this in the Telegram channel. That is, this is a different market, this is a stock market, this is a different financial instrument.

[19:20] And now this instrument, and this is the instrument with the most minimal bonds are the most minimal risks, I received a 50% return in dollars in

[19:32] looked at the chart, identified certain is, on an instrument with the most minimal risks, a 50% return in dollars over six months, which continues to grow, I gradually

[19:45] simply an insane result. And I say this to say that in any case there will be opportunities. Simply gain experience, accumulate knowledge, and eventually you will be able to earn money in the financial markets, gradually increase your capital, and

[19:59] achieve your financial goals. If you are currently in a drawdown, don't be upset, because in any case, this is an experience. And when I started, I also spent a whole year doing so much that I wasted it. Moreover, I lost money on short-term

[20:12] trading. But in long-term trading, in principle, it is quite difficult to lose, that is, it is more difficult to do. In the short term, you can lose quite large sums, and I lost a lot back then. But nevertheless, I gained experience, which I

[20:25] later used and earned back a lot of lost money. The main thing is, don’t stop, keep learning, keep try to achieve them, and you will definitely succeed. I wish everyone all the

[20:41] best. If you found this video helpful, please be sure to give it a like, leave a comment in support, and subscribe to the subscribe to the Telegram channel, the link is in the description. Ah,

[20:54] friends, I love you all, keep winning and bye everyone . See you in the next video.