Change In State Of Delivery [CISD] - Orderblock Formation - ICT Concepts

[00:12] going to be over the change in stated delivery we'll first go over the PDF to learn what that is before going to the charts and finding some examples at the end I will combine it with standard deviations and AMD to create an entry

[00:24] model so here we are in the PDF and what is the change in state of delivery well the change State delivery is when price goes from bullish to bearish or from bearish to bullish now let's go through this example here price is moving up

[00:38] into a higher time frame PD array or important level this up close candle here gets closed below here and that is when the change in state of delivery occurs when the opening price of this up closed candle or series of up closed

[00:53] candles gets closed below after being closed below I can anticipate price to trade lower similarly down here price puts in a swing low raids the sell stops and then closes over the series or single down Clos candle changing the

[01:08] state of delivery when price returns I can anticipate a reaction to trade higher now let's take a look at two more examples now when there is more than one up closed candle or a series of up closed candles I use the opening price

[01:22] of the first candle so I will look for this price to be closed below and then when price returns I can anticipate it to trade lower similarly down here there are three down Clos candles into the important level I will use the opening

[01:37] price of the first candle as my change in state of delivery so let's go into this so here we are with our first example and I'm going to go ahead and Mark out our buy side liquidity resting above these old highs I'm then going to

[01:50] drop down to a 5 minute time frame and here we are just before New York open let's go ahead and watch and see what happens happens so you can see price displaces up over

[02:04] this high and then displaces back into the range now I generally prefer a lower but we'll go ahead and Mark it out without one so what I'm looking for here are the series or single up close candle that made the new high before displacing

[02:18] and closing below now where would that be right here we have one two candles displacement down and I'd want to see a close below here

[02:31] so you can see price is failing to close below this level and then now we get a new sweep of a high so now where would I look for price to change the state of delivery I'd want to see price close below these

[02:45] I'd want to see price close below these series of up close candles below those candles now that we have changed the state of delivery from bullish to bearish I can be looking for price to trade lower where is lower well

[03:02] we have London lows resting below right here so with that idea in mind I could be looking for price to retest the order block with my stop on the high targeting these London lows now since this is 1.66 r and I generally prefer a minimum of 2

[03:17] R what can I do I can take what we learned in the previous projection video project out this manipulation leg and then look for the -2 so letting this play out let's see what happens you can see it tags the order block

[03:33] respects this fair value Gap in Here and Now price trades and closes below this candle here which is now validating it as an order

[03:57] -2.5 standard deviations so just to review price goes sweeps an old high then displaces down however this can't change the state of delivery we get a lower time frame sweep which changes the state of delivery and then

[04:12] we can anticipate price to trade lower to London lows and the standard deviation projection from here I look for an entry model to gain entry into the move down so let's hop into the next example so in this next example we are

[04:25] and how you can use the change in state of delivery on multiple different time frames so you can see here we have a daily fair value Gap right here which would be the draw in liquidity here you can see price reaches

[04:38] up into this fair value Gap respects it and closes down using the next day model we can anticipate price to move lower the next day taking out previous day low but let's hop into the hourly chart to confirm this bias so here we are on the

[04:52] hourly chart and ideally we want to see a change in the state of delivery after engaging our higher time frame PD array well here is is our daily fair value Gap or our higher time frame PD array do we get a change in the state of delivery

[05:04] after engaging with it we do as we displace and close below a series of up Clos candles here now what else can we do from my latest videos to give us a target for this move down we can project out this manipulation leg from the high

[05:19] to the low then we can look for the -2 to -2.5 area for a Target so let's get to -2.5 area for a Target so let's get into the next day and see what so you can see here we are building a range and we just put in equal

[05:39] action a run of an old high is an area to be looking short so let's hop down to the lower time frames for this 930 open in this case we'll use the 2-minute so here we are on the 2-minute chart let's go ahead and zoom out so you can see

[05:52] where we're at we have the old high that was just tagged right there our equal was just tagged right there our equal lows here and we have a -2 to -2.5 right here so we'll go ahead and Mark that out zooming back in let's see what 930 open

[06:07] does so you can see 930 open manipulated up closed back in the range so if I'd want to see this move down I'd want to see a change in state of delivery or Price close below the series of up Clos candles

[06:25] it as a change in state of delivery so I'd be looking to enter a short position here My Stop on this high now what can I do for targets well I can also project off this manipulation like here and let's go ahead and zoom back out now

[06:39] ideally I'm looking for Targets in the -2 to -2.5 which we have some equal lows there we have equal lows as well as the4 to 4.5 there but we also have our hourly Target here I'm going to go ahead and put my target just on these equal lows

[06:54] here but we'll see how these areas react so let's go ahead and zoom back in so here we get tagged

[07:13] and we hit the low you can see we hit and we hit the low you can see we hit our -2 to -2.5 and our -4 let's see if our -2 to -2.5 and our -4 let's see if we reach for that hourly

[07:28] hourly chart just to review this we went from our higher time frame PD array which in this case was a daily fair value Gap we waited for the change in state of delivery on the hourly chart and then the next day we had a sweep of

[07:42] buy side liquidity which is an area to get short when price is bearish from here we looked for the change in state of delivery on the 2-minute chart to get short targeting these equal lows on the hourly chart as well as the projections

[07:55] understand the change in state of delivery how do I combine all this into delivery how do I combine all this into an entry model well what I focus on is a manipulation then a change in state of delivery and then I focus on order

[08:08] blocks and fair value gaps to deliver price to projections so let's go over a few examples of that so you can see right here we have created a range let's see what happens you can see price is failing to

[08:23] displace out of this range but that is the first thing manipulation the next thing I look for is a in the state of delivery so I would need price to close below this last up close candle so you can see we have not closed

[08:37] below it yet and there is our close below so that is our change in state of delivery now if I'm looking to take the first entry looking to enter here at the change of state of delivery or when it retests the

[08:51] order block my stop on the manipulation High which swept and then for targets I like to project out my targets now here I have a low I can be targeting but I can keep in mind the -2 to -2.5 so ideally it would look something like

[09:06] this targeting the -2 standard deviations we're going to go ahead and deviations we're going to go ahead and just keep it on this here and close below them and now we have more order blocks so if I was going

[09:22] to miss the first entry I'd be looking for another entry there we make more up close candles so I'd want to see this continue to support price lower and another thing I'll do is I'm

[09:37] only going to be looking for entries within a premium of this dealing range within a premium of this dealing range here so above this line

[09:51] here you can see price is retesting that order initial low let's go ahead and Mark out our -2 to

[10:05] -2.5 and now let's see if we can find something in the other direction so you can see we're building a

[10:20] -2.5 and Below these lows so if this is going to become manipulation I'd want to see a change in the state of delivery or Price close close over the series of Price close close over the series of down close candles

[10:37] thing I do is I Look to project out this manipulation I Look to our left what do manipulation I Look to our left what do we have resting in the -2 to -2.5 we have an old high so that will be my first Target so if I'm looking for the

[10:49] first entry I'm looking to enter on this change and state of delivery or the order block with my stop on the manipulation targeting this

[11:08] over this down close candle so now that they close over that it is also a valid support price and we go reach that high and

[11:20] price and we go reach that high and let's see how far we go end up and hit that negative4 standard deviations so after cleaning up

[11:32] the chart a little let's go through what I look for one more time so the first thing is manipulation so you can see we have manipulation over an old high before change in state of delivery once those two things occur I Look to project

[11:45] out this manipulation leg to give myself a Confluence or targets after that occurs I look for order blocks and fair value gaps to support price lower or higher in this case lower and then the same thing on the other side over here

[11:59] confirmed by changing the state of delivery I can then look for an entry on the order block or fair value Gap as price reaches higher to these projection targets and liquidity levels last thing we're going to talk about in this video

[12:13] is combining AMD or the Box setup with the change in state of delivery or an order block formation now I posted on my community tab this post and so we're going to go over this example so if you notice right here we have some sort of

[12:28] range let's wait for the manipulation before we identify that so here we get the manipulation as it we have an aggressive move out and then back into a range so going ahead and marking out this consolidation or

[12:43] accumulation and we'll also Mark out the highest body in that accumulation as that is the Box setup and we'll mark out the deviation from this range or the manipulation generally the Box setup is a retest of these previous highs over

[12:58] here my stop there and then looking for targets well how can we get targets we can project out this manipulation leg and look for that so this would be the normal box setup however if I want confirmation let's see what we would

[13:18] area instead of immediately taking an entry I'm looking for a formation of an order block or a change in the state of delivery right so you can see we have a high here that gets swept and then where is the series

[13:34] of up Clos candles that made the high right here and you can see price already closed below the opening price of that validating it as an order block so then I can look for an entry here and then I can decide I can either put my stop here

[13:49] or up here in this case I'm comfortable putting my stop here as we had a sweep and then I can look to Target that original projection so let's see how original projection so let's see how this

[14:10] range as we cannot make new highs or lows so marking out the lowest bodies in that range and now go ahead and Mark out our accumulation our manipulation now we want to see this displace back into the range which it

[14:24] does now if I'm looking for a box setup my original entry would be on a retest of this line here my stop on this low however let's wait for an order block formation there so you can see we have a down Clos

[14:39] candle into that area into the fair value Gap so then I'm looking for a close over this candle here we get a close over this candle so then I will be looking to enter long there then I can either put

[14:53] my stop on this low or here right here I would have my stop on this low and then I can project out this manipulation for a Target and in this case looking for a previous High here or this fair value Gap that lines up with the first

[15:08] Gap that lines up with the first standard deviation so we'll just go example from the post and I hope that makes sense and it gives you something

[15:21] to study I hope you found this video helpful if you did please consider liking and subscribing and if you want to see a more in-depth video on that entry model please let me know in the comments below and I'll see you guys

[15:33] comments below and I'll see you guys next week have a good