AI Summary
This lesson from a free Moscow Exchange course examines realistic earning potential for beginner vs professional traders. The speaker, a trader since 2008, argues that income differences come not from trading strategies but from capital management, risk control, and persistence. He offers practical rules like the 10% volume adjustment and warns against high leverage.
Chapters
Artem Anatolyevich Zvezn, trading since 2008, presents the fifth and final lecture of a free Moscow Exchange course; he also runs an online school that has trained traders for over 11 years.
Novice traders often blame their strategy, but the real problem is improper strategy management and risk management; greed and external circumstances cause capital loss.
Many famous success stories are either fabricated or the result of random lucky bets; behaving like a casino is not sustainable trading.
Income without a system is random, and there is no experience in maintaining it; the solution is to write down rules, collect statistics, and algorithmize trading ideas.
All trading strategies work under certain conditions; break a strategy into specific patterns (e.g., 18 patterns), test over ~100 trades, remove the worst patterns and add new ones, repeating for 3–6 iterations.
After a profitable month, increase trading volume by 10%; after a losing month, reduce it by 10%; reducing volume during drawdowns softens the drop and stabilizes the capital curve.
A professional is someone who went through the path without quitting; the difference lies in capital, system, and distance, with systematic risk management producing consistent, compounding income.
Most people lose because of high leverage; the higher the leverage, the shorter the trader's lifespan. Ideally trade without borrowed capital, and avoid averaging out losses; 99% of losses come from leverage, drawdown, and averaging.
Your value is not how much you earn or how many trades you make, but your ability to sustain profits and long-term earnings.
Mentioned in this Video
Tutorial Checklist
Study Flashcards (10)
What is the main reason a beginner trader's equity curve shows rapid declines?
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What is the main reason a beginner trader's equity curve shows rapid declines?
Inability to manage capital and risk.
03:40
According to the lecturer, why do all trading strategies found on the internet work?
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According to the lecturer, why do all trading strategies found on the internet work?
They work under certain conditions; you must break them into patterns and filter them with statistics.
04:09
What does the lecturer suggest doing with underperforming patterns after 100 trades?
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What does the lecturer suggest doing with underperforming patterns after 100 trades?
Remove the worst ones and add new patterns, repeating for 3-6 iterations.
04:35
What is the 10% rule for trading volume?
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What is the 10% rule for trading volume?
Increase trading volume by 10% after a profitable month, decrease by 10% after a losing month.
06:09
What percentage of money losses in trading are due to leverage, drawdown, and averaging losses?
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What percentage of money losses in trading are due to leverage, drawdown, and averaging losses?
99%.
09:15
What is the ideal way to trade regarding leverage?
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What is the ideal way to trade regarding leverage?
Trade without leverage, or without borrowed capital.
08:59
What is the 'professional' according to the lecturer?
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What is the 'professional' according to the lecturer?
Not a genius, but a person who has traveled a certain path and didn't give up, with clear risk management and a system.
07:50
What is the expected timeframe of instability for a novice trader?
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What is the expected timeframe of instability for a novice trader?
First 3–6 months.
05:16
What three things cause 99% of all money losses?
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What three things cause 99% of all money losses?
Leverage, drawdown, and averaging out losses.
09:15
How long has the lecturer been trading and training?
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How long has the lecturer been trading and training?
Trading since 2008; training investors/traders for about 11-12 years.
00:27
💡 Key Takeaways
Capital management beats strategy selection
Clarifies that beginners mistakenly blame strategies, but the real skill is managing capital and risk.
03:40All strategies work under certain conditions
Offers a systematic method to adapt strategies through pattern testing and iteration.
04:09The 10% trading volume rule
A concrete, executable risk-management rule to smooth capital curves.
06:09Leverage shortens a trader's lifespan
Highlights the statistical reality that high leverage is the main killer of trading accounts.
08:59Your value is your ability to retain profits
Reframes success from earning to consistency and long-term profitability.
09:42Full Transcript
[00:01] words "Moscow Exchange" or " stock market" is how much can you earn? So how much money exactly does a beginner make, and how much, for example, does a professional make? These are absolutely understandable and correct questions, because you
[00:15] need to understand where to invest your time. Moreover, in the modern era it is sorely lacking, and it is important to decide whether it is worth investing in your time or not. My name is Zvezn Artem Anatolyevich.
[00:27] I have been trading in the market since 2008. This is the fifth and final lecture of the free course on the Moscow Exchange. Now you see QR codes. You can follow the QR code and find all the lectures dedicated to this course.
[00:41] watch it on any video hosting site. I have an online school. We have been training investors to become traders for more than 12 years now. 2013. In short, it was a very long time. We've been doing this for about 11 years. During all this
[00:57] time, I have seen a huge number of beginners and experienced people, and I clearly understand why a person loses, why he earns. And I've seen a ton of yield charts. The profitability of a beginner trader looks something like this
[01:10] . The trader earns a lot. After this he has some kind of problem. That is, he begins to lose. Due to greed, due to some external circumstances, he experiences a loss of
[01:23] capital. When he experiences a loss of capital, this is where he begins to change his trading strategy. The trading strategy allows it to grow briefly, but then it drains. And then he realizes that, well, it was just
[01:35] some kind of wrong strategy, he changes his trading strategy again, another rise, another fall, and so on. But the beginner does not understand that it is not a matter of strategy, and he earns and loses not because there are strategies, but because
[01:48] he does not manage these strategies correctly, does not manage risks correctly. Plus, unfortunately, there is a social warning that there is a huge amount of money here. If you open any podcasts like
[02:01] headliners or, for example, my channel or look at any podcasts of some traders, listen to them all. They were all nobodies, they had no names. There was no money, they came to the market with 100 dollars
[02:16] and became billionaires. Everyone has the same story, but it’s clear that half of it infidels, they just came up with a beautiful legend, but the other half you start to delve into this earnings, and why they earned it, you
[02:30] find out that they earned it randomly. But if you flip a coin and it comes up heads or tails, the outcome will be 50/50. If you bet all your property on whether you will get heads or tails, for example, you will either make money or
[02:45] lose money. So they also made several bets at one time. Let's put it in quotes because this is not trading, it's more like a casino. They earned a lot, then bragged about it for the rest of their lives. But when they are asked to repeat it, they
[02:57] they are not lucky the second time. Same goes for earn money, then they are unlucky, they lose. Another way to make money is when a trader makes money, loses it, but ends up in
[03:09] when a trader makes money, loses it, but ends up in occurrence. And one more option. It is extremely rare. If he right path, it means everything is fine with you . From this point, becoming a
[03:26] profitable trader is a sure thing . Very simple. In this case, there is a slow recovery, slow growth and a very fast decline. Then again a slow recovery and a rapid decline. The reason why this
[03:40] happens is the inability to manage capital. We'll talk about this a little later, so let's not get ahead of ourselves . So, in the case of a beginner trader's profitability, the first and second options are trading
[03:53] without a system. In this case, there is income, it is random, but there is no experience in maintaining this income. The solution is very simple: by writing down the rules of the trading system, collecting and analyzing statistics, and algorithmizing
[04:09] trading ideas. I will never tire of saying that all the trading strategies you come across on the Internet are all working. Another issue is that they work under certain conditions. Your main task is to take your trading
[04:22] strategy and break it down into specific patterns. In this case, well, for example, you will trade different patterns of technical analysis . And now you have 18 patterns, 18 regularities that you trade. You trade, for example, 100
[04:35] trades and you understand that after 100 trades, this pattern, for example, turned out to be very bad, this one turned out to be very bad, this one turned out to be very bad. That is, they turned out to be the worst. You simply remove them and add some new
[04:48] patterns that you trade using the following approach. And thus, after following approach. And thus, after 3, 5, or 6 approaches, you will have in your set those trading strategies that are effective for your trading style,
[05:01] your temperament, and your market. tailored to your instrument, tailored to your capital, and, most importantly, taking into account the realities you find yourself in. Be prepared for the fact that everything will be unstable for the first 3-6 months. And this, you know, is not some kind of
[05:16] pessimism. This is an honest picture that you need to prepare for, because in the first few months you will simply be getting used to the process and developing your own method of earning money. By my method of earning money, I
[05:29] mean my own trading system, assembled from pieces of others. When you start using this method of honing your trading strategy, your profitability will begin to look like this: you will slowly, slowly begin to creep up,
[05:43] slowly ... Again slow, slow growth, big drawdown. So , if you've encountered this, here's an option on what to do about it. This means you are on the right track.
[05:57] Next, you just need to add capital management here. That is, you need, firstly, to reduce trading volumes, and secondly, to use the following formula. If after some period, I
[06:09] wrote weeks here, but it could be a longer period, for example, you earned money for a month, for example, you earned money in a month and that’s great, right? After this, you increase your trading volume by 10%. If you lose in a month, you
[06:24] reduce your trading volume by 10%. Why do such big swings occur? When you earn here, there is slow growth and slow capitalization. After this, the market starts to fall, but something goes wrong. It's either
[06:40] just a system where, well, there are short periods when you don't make money, or there's something wrong with the market . Well, basically, something is happening. And when the first drawdown occurs on your trading account, you, in the expectation that
[06:53] the market will now recover, begin trading with the same volume that you traded before, but you, on the contrary, need to reduce it. And when you reduce the volume, you reduce the depth of the drawdown. Thus, your capital curve begins to
[07:07] be more or less stable. There won't be any super profits here, of course, but there won't be any big drops either. There will be something similar to the plan I showed. That is, please focus on my profitability. This is the return on trading, the
[07:19] return on investment. Here, if you pay attention, everything is more or less predictable, somehow. And my colleagues very often demonstrate such work that way for me, but perhaps it will work for you, when there's a long period of
[07:34] accumulation, that is, some small profitability, then a couple of successful deals, good profitability, then nothing happens again, then a couple of good grows. I have never been able to do this , but I have colleagues who
[07:50] do, so perhaps it will be similar for you. A professional is not a genius, but a person who has gone a certain way and has not given up at the start. And the difference is only in capital and in the system, and, most importantly, in the distance.
[08:03] That is, systematic work with clear risk management, understanding what you are doing, a good trading strategy, and how to sharpen it, which I just told you about. This gives a good output of a million, 2 million per month. Well, if
[08:17] And most importantly, your money capitalizes over time. That is, over time you will receive more and more and more and more. Friends, by now you've probably watched this
[08:31] , so you can scan the QR code and check them out. By this point, you're probably wondering, well, you know, why do most people lose money there if it's as simple as you
[08:45] something like that. Well, firstly, I'm cutting back on a lot of things, and secondly, most people trade with high leverage, and the higher the leverage, the shorter the lifespan of a trader. This is a scientifically proven fact. And unfortunately,
[08:59] the more you use your shoulder in a position, the less life you will have. Ideally, trade without leverage, that is, without borrowed capital. But if you trade with leverage, you need to avoid dragging out the drawdown and averaging out losses. 99% of all
[09:15] money losses are due to leverage, drawdown, and averaging out losses. This will be constantly monitored. For this reason, at the very beginning it is necessary, first of all, to start with a clear base, and this is the mechanics of the market, this is risk management. Secondly, choose
[09:30] one correct trading method, manage risk and work on statistics, work on the quality of your trading. Your value is not how much you earn, not the
[09:42] number of your transactions. Your value is your ability to maintain profits and long-term earnings. The purpose of this video course is to try to explain to you that the difference is not in, you know, how exactly you trade. the difference is simply
[09:57] in how you go through the stages and at what speed and how correctly you go through them. Because most people there read the GPT chat, watched a couple of videos on YouTube, and naturally, the results correspond, that is, people are
[10:11] I have a training program called the Grail of Worthwhile Trading. It contains methods and ways to earn money, what to do specifically from scratch to a good,
[10:23] stable income. I've already gone through all the troubles for you. I know exactly what to do . And I told you about this training program . You just have to follow her. This is a step-by-step tutorial. What's inside? A step-by-step system from the first
[10:39] entry to stable results. Inside are collected non-public lectures, that is, I have not given them publicly, from the very basics, that is, what charts are, what they look like, what commissions there are, how to register a
[10:52] brokerage account. And gradually, gradually it becomes more complicated. Everything is given sequentially, step by step. Each lesson includes several parts, namely a video part and a text part. The video section covers the main
[11:07] material, and the text provides a brief explanation of what the video, or lecture, is, so you don't have to write it all out yourself . We've already taken care of you. You just need to follow what I said. The video is available without virns. We
[11:21] live and work in Russia, we are not hiding from the law or anything like that. You can watch anytime, anywhere. There are modules on market mechanics, that is, the very basics, on volume analysis, on risk management, on trading in
[11:36] modern markets. And, of course, there is a practical part, that is, recordings of my real trading, with comments on what exactly to do, where to look, where to click, what is called to make money, as I like to say.
[11:49] You will have access to training forever, without limits or restrictions. Purchase once and use it for the rest of your life. Analysis of real transactions and living examples. Scan the QR code and check it out. See you at my
[12:05] training. I wish you happiness and prosperity. Happily.