AI Summary
The video showcases a professional sports bettor who claims to have made $38,000 in a single day using a data-driven approach. He emphasizes that this isn't about gut feelings or luck, but about leveraging sharp money signals and market inefficiencies through tools like OddsJam. The core strategy is cross-market EV betting, which involves finding discrepancies between sharp and soft sportsbooks to place bets with a positive expected value.
Chapters
The bettor made $38,000 from a $9,000 wager, achieving a 414% ROI, all from his phone at the airport.
The strategy relies on finding an edge on every bet, like flipping a coin with a 55% chance of winning, rather than relying on luck.
Exchanges like Profit X and Novibet are game-changers because they don't limit profitable bettors and provide valuable data on sharp money flow.
Sharp books (Pinnacle, Circa) set accurate lines, while soft books (FanDuel, DraftKings) are slower to adjust, creating opportunities.
Cross-market EV betting involves finding discrepancies between sharp and soft books to place bets with positive expected value.
The OddsJam Sharp Money Tool scans exchanges for large wagers and flags them, allowing bettors to get better prices on soft books.
The bettor's record on the $38K day was 16 wins, 15 losses, and 4 pushes—a coin flip—yet he profited because every bet had positive EV.
The bettor emphasizes that variance is part of the game, and you must stay disciplined and trust the math over the long term.
Mentioned in this Video
Tutorial Checklist
Study Flashcards (6)
What is the difference between sharp and soft sportsbooks?
easy
Click to reveal answer
What is the difference between sharp and soft sportsbooks?
Sharp books (e.g., Pinnacle, Circa) have accurate lines, while soft books (e.g., FanDuel, DraftKings) are slower to adjust.
01:38
Why are exchanges like Profit X and Novibet considered game-changers?
medium
Click to reveal answer
Why are exchanges like Profit X and Novibet considered game-changers?
They don't limit profitable bettors and offer data on sharp money flow.
02:02
What is cross-market EV betting?
medium
Click to reveal answer
What is cross-market EV betting?
Cross-market EV betting is finding discrepancies between sharp and soft books to place bets with positive expected value.
04:42
Why can a bettor with a coin-flip record still be profitable?
hard
Click to reveal answer
Why can a bettor with a coin-flip record still be profitable?
You don't need to win 60% of bets if you're consistently getting better prices than the market dictates.
14:15
How does the OddsJam Sharp Money Tool work?
medium
Click to reveal answer
How does the OddsJam Sharp Money Tool work?
The Sharp Money Tool scans exchanges for large wagers and flags them, allowing you to get better prices on soft books.
06:34
What is the key to handling losing streaks in this strategy?
easy
Click to reveal answer
What is the key to handling losing streaks in this strategy?
Variance is part of the game; you must stay disciplined and trust the math over the long term.
14:52
💡 Key Takeaways
Cross-Market EV Betting
This is the core strategy that allows bettors to profit from discrepancies between sharp and soft books.
04:42Coin-Flip Record, Big Profit
Demonstrates that a high win rate isn't necessary if you have a consistent edge, challenging common betting wisdom.
14:15Embrace Variance
Highlights the psychological discipline required to stick with a long-term strategy despite short-term losses.
15:05Exchanges Don't Limit Winners
Explains why exchanges like Profit X and Novibet are superior data sources for sharp bettors.
02:02Full Transcript
[00:01] days ago, I had one of my best sports betting days ever. 414% ROI, just over 9 grand wager, and took home just under 38 grand in total [music] profit. It was literally did it all from my phone at the airport. Travel day, right? [music]
[00:16] traveling, I was still going to have to place profitable bets, right? I'll show you this trying to flex in any way, shape, or form. I'm trying to teach you guys how you could do this yourself at being sharp profitable sports bettors.
[00:29] Let's get into it. You guys know the sports betting landscape, right? Especially on social media. 99% of it, complete garbage. I'm talking picks of caps that mean absolutely nothing. I'm talking 10 and 0 run, even though I'm 10
[00:43] and 160 my last 170, right? This is not what this is. What I'm about to show you approach. Every single bet that I made in this day that I made 38 grand had an [music] edge. We're flipping a coin, but we're getting 55% on every bet that
[00:57] we're flipping that 100 times, we're going to be profitable long term. I'm reports at [music] 3:00 in the morning. I'm letting the market and these sharp syndicates [music] setting lines on
[01:11] Novibet and Profit X, two exchanges that have completely reshaped the game, Odds Jam do the work for you. They are finding these [music] odd discrepancies, these line discrepancies, the bets you want to be placing in order to find that
[01:24] the entire game. [music] Stay with me now. I'm going to show you exactly how So, let's start with some basics here. This is the Odds Jam sports book screen. principles [music] to following sports betting, profitable sports betting,
[01:38] right? There's sharp books and then there's soft books. I like to call them Uh, what I'm talking about here is uh, FanDuel. I do have a lot of sharp books pulled up here, right? Because
[01:50] that's obviously the data points I want to be looking at. Pinnacle, the sharpest Circa is not showing up here right now, these are the two game changers right here. [music] The exchanges, Profit X
[02:02] and Novibet. These came about about a couple years ago. And basically why they're a great data point is because they do not limit you, right? If you are a profitable sports better, you will be limited on Caesars, FanDuel, DraftKings.
[02:15] just [music] try and pull up like a player prop or something here to show you even more books. Um, I live in Minnesota. I don't even have DraftKings or FanDuel legal here legal here, and I'm still
[02:27] dollars a month. Uh, because we have Rebet, we have Parlay Play, we have all the DFS books, right? If you're in Texas, [music] if you're in Florida, there are many ways to be profitable.
[02:41] Uh, Sleeper, Better, Jake Paul sports book. Uh, these are all candy, right? There isn't really a sharp DFS book. The the main game, too, and how I made most Pick Six, [music] which also has really generous limits cuz it's like half
[02:56] >> [music] >> Um, so you can just use these data Pinnacle. Well, why am I looking at their odds every time? Because I know they're sharp as a tack. Uh, and you want to be looking at this.
[03:09] inefficiencies in the sports betting market, and just using math to find um, over just trying to think that, oh, I really think Ausar Thompson is going to get 11 points cuz I think he's good at basketball. No, it's it [music]
[03:23] actually would be a bad bet because he was favored to go under on these super would be a great play on Better, so to odds. That's the simple start to it. But let's [music] get into uh, how you can
[03:35] use these specific sharp strategies to really have an edge. things here. This is my all-time stats verified bet tracker, Pick It, right? I'm saying without data backing it up, right? So, this is my all-time stats,
[03:48] dormant. This is when I was like a degenerate better, right? Before [music] I discovered Odds Jam and really how math should control your sports betting, [music] right? Then the the the sharp peer-to-peer exchanges came about, and
[04:02] we were still learning about them before we figured out, okay, these are the data looking at and using to place your bets on these soft sports books. Sharp money tool gets invented, right? For Odds Jam, which I'm going to show you in just a
[04:15] history [music] in terms of profits. Again, everything that I do is positive Arbitrage betting is where you make a risk-free profit, right? And you could betting, still very profitable, but you will get limited on sports books other
[04:30] And where the epiphany was for me, right? Where I finally was like, wait a second. These exchanges, right? Cuz you're you're arbing, you're you're doing these Profit X and Novibet lines, making a risk-free profit off of
[04:42] FanDuel, off of DraftKings. What you'll notice is a lot of the times the money is being made on those plays on the soft sports books. >> That's called cross-market EV betting. So, the sharp the sharp money tool here
[04:55] DraftKings, which also work [music] DraftKings and Onyx, which is legal in Minnesota, have the same odds. So, I'm able to beat Onyx by just looking at tool. And so, what are we looking at here? Better, in a five-man, you can get
[05:09] Jack Leiter under 16 and 1/2 outs at minus 118. That's the optimal slip type, uh, for [music] Better to beat them long term. Uh, you want to be very price conscious. It's minus 118. Well, what this is telling you is that his over is
[05:25] actually being offered, right? The exact opposite of this bet, 16 and 1/2 16 and [music] to win, and also one of these bets has to be plus EV because we have two sports books that are so out of sync with each other, you can bet both sides
[05:39] of these and make a risk-free profit. Um, all the way up to plus 123. A lot of bookmaker in the world, only willing to take up to $250 bets on this. Somebody's trying to put 2,300 on it. Uh, so we know that we want to be on his under.
[05:54] Why? Because there's a ton of liquidity being offered on his over. So, that's the basis of basically cross-market EV betting, right? Arbing. When there is arbitrage, by definition one of these two plays has to be profitable, and we
[06:08] know more times than not it's going to be on this side, the soft book. The soft book side. Why? Because hedge firms, syndicates are setting this line on the minus 123, but we're actually getting it at minus 118. So, I kind of showed you
[06:22] both sides of that, right? I show you the sports book screen where you could technically go try and find your own EV [music] manually. And sure, you can do that, but why is that probably not the best idea? Cuz it just takes too long.
[06:34] lines for you, [music] find these discrepancies, where the sharp money is flowing, where you should be capitalizing, where DraftKings is slow on this book. [music] Grayson Allen over 2 and 1/2 rebounds. Profit X all the way
[06:47] offering a line. It's a one-way [music] market. Caesars, known to be kind of a Pinnacle, Circa [music] right underneath Novibet, Profit X. And you've got kind of the Caesars, FanDuel level. And then DraftKings we know is dumb as a brick.
[07:02] >> [music] >> It again, cross-market EV. One of these it's probably going to be on the DraftKings side because Profit X is very sharp. $1,000 worth of liquidity on this play as well being offered, which means
[07:17] sharp is going to be on, which is in [music] this case Grayson Allen over 2 and 1/2 rebounds. And let the again, let Odds Jam do the work for you. Put in exactly what you should be betting on each and every play. I think mine is set
[07:30] right now to 2 grand uh, sorry, 2 grand, 20 grand. And this would be my recommended bet size [music] based off of the EV, so to speak, based on how good the play is. Uh, you can put in any sports book here, right? I just have
[07:42] Minnesota books pulled up, but you could do all sports books, offshore books, Bet 105. There is limitless opportunities with the tools at Odds Jam and bread and butter. So, let me show you another real example here that I posted.
[07:56] Again, follow me on Twitter, follow EV Bettors on Twitter. All my plays are [music] on Pick It. You can follow me there, D Corbett 13. This is Seth Lugo over 1 and 1/2 walks. Why I took this play, a sharp on Profit X is hammering
[08:08] the over. Over [music] $1,000 in liquidity sitting behind at plus 127. This tool flags it, scans all comparable books to see where you can get a better price on a soft book or the same [music] price in this arbitrage opportunity. So,
[08:20] up to minus 140, [music] and I can grab this at minus 122 fair odds on DK Pick Six or maybe another DFS sports app, that's an absolute smash. You guys know absolute smash. There's limitless opportunities. The sharp money tool does
[08:34] opportunities for you to smash. If I'm getting a better price than a sharp is plays in my slip. [music] I think I've said this before. I do love using each and every single tool at Odds Jam, right? The fantasy optimizer helps
[08:48] the DFS sports book. So, let's take an example for say Better. Here's how I we know cuz we're a sharp sports better that Better at minus 118, which is five-man insured, that's the optimal slip type we
[09:03] we go. We got three beautiful plays, four actually, already sitting up here on the sharp money tool. These all look absolutely beautiful. There's no negative correlation. We're seeing these are all different games. Four perfect
[09:16] uh, we want to put in our Better slip, right? And then you can go over to the discrepancies [music] to find that fifth be a beautiful slip. Now, how I would describe each of these tools that again,
[09:29] they're each and all very uh, beneficial to your sports betting. The fantasy optimizer and the traditional EV betting tool with Odds Jam, I like to say is tool with Odds Jam, I like to say is where the EV is currently, right? So,
[09:43] there is currently this is an EV play, right? Plus EV, plus expected value [music] play. You go over to the sharp money tool. These are, and this is why you sometimes won't see these plays show up on the
[09:57] traditional EV tool. This is where the EV is going to be. We're already getting an edge like before the market is moving, right before Pinnacle and Circa, world, are seeing where the money's flowing on these exchanges and are like,
[10:11] "Oh boy, we actually got to follow suit." This is where the EV is not only like it may look negative EV EV at this current time, but I guarantee you more times than not every single play that you're going to find up here is going to
[10:26] market is going to move. This is capital flow. There is a lot of liquidity being shelled saying that this is [music] likely to be the play that's going to be better, bumped on better, a payout reducer. This is where the market is
[10:40] And that's why it's an absolute game-changer for [music] countless amount of books, not just DFS, DraftKings, you name it, all the soft money thanks to the OddsJam sharp money tool. So, let me walk through exactly
[10:53] how this legendary day unfolded. 35 bets, these weren't me picking random think the Lakers are going to win. I think the Twins are hot right now, is flagged by the sharp money tool powered by OddsJam. So, I go to the
[11:07] morning. I pull it up. There's always value at different times throughout the day, overnight, early morning, lineups are starting to come out, injury news is I pull up the OddsJam app. I'm looking [music] what boosts do I have? Where's
[11:22] going. As you know, these plays bump quickly, markets [music] are always moving. We're tailing sharks, right? Sportsbooks are trying to avoid the that to move quick. I'm just scrolling, I'm moving in between the fantasy optimizer,
[11:35] the low holds tool, the sharp money tool. I'm building my plays all with [music] an edge. And it's a constant feed. It is marking and flagging this ever-changing line movement in money, capital flow, 24/7 for you, making sure
[11:48] OddsJam up constantly fresh. There's also the auto refresh option, which I all day, make sure I don't miss a single play. This is a limitless opportunity here with the sharp money tool. So, for DFS betting, optimal slip type is a very
[12:03] key metric to being profitable, [music] right? Underdog recently just upgraded right? Underdog recently just upgraded their payouts to where two-mans are now the most profitable slip type in the DFS industry. PrizePicks, if you run
[12:15] You should not be doing that. They are going to give you a 3.5x payout for a two-man, and I believe it is now a 6.5x for three-mans. I personally like doing profitable than PrizePicks, more profitable than the other three-man
[12:28] optimal slip types on other books, best payouts in the industry. Um and because I'm limited, why? Because I'm a sharp sports better, so I only get three slips per day on Underdog, limit to $25 per slip. Uh so, and also they're
[12:41] one of those sportsbooks where if one of those guys doesn't play in a two-man uh two-pick entry, they're going to avoid that no matter [music] what. So, want to go one to waste. Three-mans are still very good. Over here, you can see
[12:54] this on Underdog in the fantasy optimizer powered by OddsJam, minus 116 over to PrizePicks, you see what do they have for a three-man, it's still minus 122, which is the same case over on Pick Six. But, Pick Six again, it it varies
[13:09] with Underdog. We see one sharp money play. Obviously, we need a second play. my gut. No, we know we're smarter than that. We're going to go over to the fantasy optimizer, and this is why this is also a game-changer because esports
[13:22] the sharp money tool, but it does on the fantasy optimizer where we're getting these line discrepancies, right? PrizePicks has this at 24 and 1/2, go under 26 and 1/2. We see there's a chance to hit a 55%. Again, it's like
[13:36] we're flipping a coin, but our choice of either heads or tails has a 55% chance flipping that coin and know we're going to be positive over the long term cuz we're hitting at above the win rate we need to be profitable on Underdog. So
[13:48] optimizer and fill out your DFS slips that way. It's still going to be very is the highest level of confidence. This is where actual money, hedge funds, money where their mouth is, big liquidity. They are setting these
[14:03] fill out the optimal slip type with plays that are still very profitable on a slip. [music] Multiple ways to be profitable here over on OddsJam. 16 wins, 15 losses, four pushes. Basically a coin flip record, and I was still able
[14:15] to make 38 grand. How was I able to do that? Well, when every bet has a real you're consistently getting better prices than you should be relative to care of itself. The math is going to work itself out. You don't need to win
[14:28] 60% of your bets. Maybe you do if you're betting with your gut and you're betting a lot of favorites, but if you're getting that consistent edge, you don't need to win 60%. You just got to get the right price and place bets at the right
[14:40] team transparency. You are going to [music] have losing days. You are going to have losing months. This isn't arbitrage better. Losing weeks, I should months. You will not have a losing year. You're not locking in a risk-free
[14:52] There are going to be highs. There are going to be lows. You got to stay process. You got to manage your bankroll. You are going to have variance. Variance is part of the game. I embrace it at this point because why?
[15:05] negative variance, the new all-time high is going to hit. You're going to be profitable long term. The next 40 grand day is going to hit. This isn't magic. I've had 10K wins before. I've had 20K wins before, days-wise. And then all of
[15:18] a sudden, I have a 40K win day. Will I ever hit that again? Probably. It'll probably be bigger. Why? Because I know I'm betting consistently with edge. But, the mistake most people bet is placing 50 bets, losing on day one, giving up,
[15:32] >> having a losing week, saying this isn't for me. It is the long-term game. You got to give it at least a month, preferably two, preferably six. It is a process. There are going to be winning days and losing days. The losing days
[15:44] suck. The winning days are awesome. Stay level both ways. This is a numbers game. going to limit you. That's also very year, they banned me. Okay, great. What do I do? I take my money, I find the
[15:57] next edge. The prediction traders tool by OddsJam helps you find an edge on those limitless exchanges, no big profit edge. There's always a next edge. I'm good problem to have when sportsbooks are limiting you. It means you're doing
[16:10] winning. You find the next [music] edge. And every play needs to have an edge. Otherwise, you truly are just gambling. The 38K wasn't magic. It was coming. It with negative variance, and then all of a sudden, you forget about it because
[16:23] new year-to-date high. This isn't new. We're following what sharks have been technology, we're better informed. It's better. These are good problems to have. We are following [music] sharp money. These exchanges becoming a thing. Now,
[16:36] and then moving the line. We weren't actually seeing their bets. We were just moved their odds. We probably want to follow suit there." Now, we're seeing beating Pinnacle, the sharpest bookmaker in the world. I can't recommend these
[16:49] tools enough. They've changed my life. I now do this full-time professionally. know it's not gambling, so it's been a very profitable start. I try and teach you how to do this yourself. [music] Catch me on live streams. Catch me on EV
[17:02] very useful information, which hopefully you are enjoying as well here. That's You want to study and learn, teach yourself, and then apply it. And I encourage you to apply it. If you want to try yourself, OddsJam has a free
[17:16] in the description. Put in the books that you use. You want to use as many sportsbooks as possible. I am in Minnesota, maybe you are in Indiana, literally limitless sportsbooks. Put in whatever sportsbooks, stack [music]
[17:31] a couple of hundreds, and look at your actual ROI. You always want to be be seeing what's working, maybe what isn't working, and then adjust. Maybe always here to help you here at OddsJam. And that's really the only test that
[17:43] matters is [music] applying it yourself, figuring out how these tools can be super profitable for you. The math either works or it doesn't, and I can tell you from experience, it truly does work. It truly does work. Drop your
[17:55] questions and comments. I do really read them all. I'm literally open to help I'm in this to make myself money, but I also want to teach you guys how you could do this as well. Check out the live streams, and I'll check you out as
[18:07] to try and do some more educational sports betting content for you guys. You know the drill. And I'll catch you in a live stream. I'll catch you on social media. And hopefully, you enjoyed this video.