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Live Crypto Trading Analysis — Full Breakdown & Transcript

Live BTC Trade with Jude (Tues July 21)

0h 26m video Published Jul 28, 2026 Transcribed Aug 14, 2026 J Jude Umeano
Intermediate 5 min read For: Crypto traders with a basic understanding of technical analysis, looking to refine their entry and exit strategies.
AI Trust Score 62/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"The title is accurate but generic; the content delivers a live trading analysis as promised, though with some filler."

AI Summary

In this live trading session, the host, Jude, provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. He outlines his trading strategy, which involves identifying trends, structures, and areas of interest, and waiting for confirmations before entering trades. The session focuses on potential entry and exit points, with a strong emphasis on risk management.

[05:36]
Core Trading Strategy

The trader's methodology is simple: trend, structure, area, confirmation. He uses higher timeframes (4H) to identify areas and lower timeframes (5M) for entry confirmations.

[04:08]
Bitcoin Bearish Target

Despite recent ETF inflows, the trader believes Bitcoin could drop to $44,700 before a potential rally to new all-time highs. He outlines two scenarios: a long if a confirmation appears in the current zone, or a short if the zone is broken.

[10:45]
Ethereum Setup

For Ethereum, the trader identifies a major break of structure and a golden zone. He suggests waiting for a change of character (CHoCH) or a break of a key line before entering a short position, with a target of a three-digit price before a major rally.

[15:24]
Solana Range-Bound

Solana is showing a range-bound, non-textbook structure. The trader suggests waiting for a break of a key level or a confirmation at a demand zone to enter a short, with a first target at a nearby zone.

[18:55]
XRP Order Block Play

For XRP, the trader identifies an order block as the key area of interest. He will wait for a confirmation on the 5-minute chart if price reaches this zone, targeting a lower level.

[22:41]
Risk Management and 3R Rule

The trader emphasizes a minimum 3R (reward-to-risk) for every trade, ensuring profitability even with a 50% win rate. He also warns about scammers in the comment section.

Mentioned in this Video

Tutorial Checklist

1 03:11 Identify the trend on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H).
2 03:38 Mark out key structural levels (break of structure, change of character).
3 04:24 Define areas of interest (demand/supply zones, order blocks).
4 05:21 Wait for price to reach the area of interest.
5 05:36 Drop to a lower timeframe (e.g., 5M) and look for a confirmation entry (e.g., break of structure).
6 05:49 If no confirmation, do not trade. Wait for the next setup.
7 22:41 Set a minimum reward-to-risk ratio of 3R for each trade.

Study Flashcards (5)

What is the trader's core trading methodology?

easy Click to reveal answer

Trend, structure, area, confirmation.

05:36

What is the minimum reward-to-risk ratio the trader requires for each trade?

medium Click to reveal answer

A minimum of 3R (three times the risk).

22:41

What does a break of a key level signify in the trader's strategy?

medium Click to reveal answer

A change of character (CHoCH).

13:13

What does the trader do when price reaches an area of interest?

medium Click to reveal answer

To look for a confirmation entry on a lower timeframe.

05:36

What type of zone does the trader mark out for a potential long entry in XRP?

hard Click to reveal answer

A demand zone or order block.

21:46

💡 Key Takeaways

🔧

The 'Trend, Structure, Area, Confirmation' Method

This is the core, repeatable strategy that the trader applies to all markets, providing a clear framework for entries.

05:36
⚖️

The 3R Minimum Reward Rule

This risk management principle ensures profitability even with a 50% win rate, a key edge in trading.

22:41
💡

Contrarian View on Bitcoin

Despite ETF inflows, the trader maintains a bearish target of $44,700, showing the importance of technical structure over sentiment.

04:08
🔧

Using Change of Character (CHoCH) for Entries

The trader explains how a break of a key level (CHoCH) can be used to time entries on pullbacks, a practical application of market structure.

13:13

[01:12] for you. So this is going to be a a quick one because we [music] I'm just going to go

[01:26] ahead and and just the market the market is looking pretty it's pretty straightforward what is going to happen or what analysis [music] what the straightforward. So I'm going to go ahead and just you know dive into it.

[01:41] Welcome everybody. Good morning. You can [music] you know how many good money in the comment section and I will reply you. So what do we do every morning before we start? I want to know where you guys are

[01:56] attending this live from. You go to the comment section and type the city [music] and the con and the country you are in. and the con and the country you are in. For example, I'm still inaccurate.

[02:27] Good morning, Felix Steven from Delta. I see you. Good morning, Solid Crypto Academy. Good morning, Cryptog.

[02:39] You guys are welcome to and I see you here. Deep Wuru FCT always. Joseph's in here. Deep Wuru FCT always. Joseph's in Abuja. Um, Sheriff is also in Abuja and

[02:52] Soly Crypto is chatting from Lagos, Nigeria. Welcome to the show. Good morning, Joseph Wales. Um, good morning Safi O.

[03:11] just four markets. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Sana, and XRP. I want to look at possible places we can enter the market from and have a good trade. I also see from and have a good trade. I also see you save from

[03:26] um auction date. So if you look at this, what am I seeing? This is Bitcoin. Um I am on the 4hour time frame. It is pretty clear. Okay, if you zoom out, you see

[03:38] of structure we have for a very long time. And this breakoff structure gave time. And this breakoff structure gave rise to this area. So I've been expecting that if the market come into this area, okay, then we go down. Mind

[03:53] this area, okay, then we go down. Mind you, people laugh when I say this. I'm looking forward to seeing Bitcoin at 44K. Because of last week, for the past seven days, if you look at the Bitcoin ETF, it has been just people have been

[04:08] buying. There has been inflow, inflow, inflow. People are saying, man, this is going to rise. But I still believe that Bitcoin can get to 44,700. Okay. So, my idea was if Bitcoin get here to this zone, this zone I mark here

[04:24] that I'm shorting. But again this breakoff structure this area here is for this breaker structure here but we have another breakout structure inside here

[04:41] my idea has been this if this protected high is invalidated then we're going for this one. But if it is maintained then we're going below. But from what I'm seeing, it's looking as if it's going to be maintained. It's looking as if it's

[04:56] going to be respected. So if we go down, if we go to this zone, somebody's if we go to this zone, somebody's charting 44K. Yes, 44K. That is how I say it. And 44K from there, I think we can get to another

[05:09] alltime high. That is time for me to start buying. So from where from this point, okay, so last week I was looking at this. I marked out three areas last

[05:21] week. The first area is this one which has been invalidated. I'm going to remove it. Okay. The second area is this. And mind you, when it gets to my area, I have to go down to the 5 minutes time frame and look for um a

[05:36] confirmation entry. The way I trade is simply trend trend structure area confirmation. That is it. So on the 5 minutes time frame, I'm going to go down here. Now you can

[05:49] see that when Bitcoin got into this into this area there was no confirmation even confirmation are really important. No confirmation and what happened going back to the 4 hours and what happened that also got invalidated. Now I'm going

[06:05] to remove this. So look at my plan. Look at what I'm looking at now. There are two things that can happen here because of this breaker structure over here. I'm going to because of this DOS here. Okay,

[06:22] because of this DOS here. Okay, this area that we are currently in, if I get a confirmation, I'm longing this. We can still go higher. Okay, but if there's no confirmation and it is broken, then I'm going short. Let me see

[06:37] what I mean. If they say confirmation here, there's my two. If there's a confirmation inside this zone, okay, then I'm longing this to go high. Okay, but if this gets broken,

[06:54] high. Okay, but if this gets broken, then I'm worth shorting this. Then we're going down to this line. It's as simple as that. [snorts] Let me now go to the lower time frame and show you what I mean. Again, two scenario for Bitcoin.

[07:07] If you go confirmation here, I'm logging it to this zone. If it breaks it, then I'm taking my I'm looking for a retracement. I attract it to this zone.

[07:19] time frame now. So, you see what I'm talking about. So, we are in this area. what I mean. So, right now, what is a structure inside this area? We have a

[07:36] structure here and this. There's no other structure. and this. There's no other structure. Okay. So Okay. So based off of this structure, this is

[07:51] the breakoff structure. Internal breakoff structure is here breakoff structure here. Hope you guys can see this.

[08:08] So this is the internal record structure here. Let me remove this yellow line. here. Let me remove this yellow line. This one. Now if This one. Now if price comes above this line,

[08:25] if price comes above this line like this way, then I want I'm going to go long. That is the trade. That is a confirmation I'm talking about. But if

[08:38] price continues this way and breaks structure again then this becomes my break or structure. Okay. Then if you now goes above this Okay. Then if you now goes above this one now this one here and that becomes

[08:53] one now this one here and that becomes I will go long from here. But if this I will go long from here. But if this didn't happen and price just continue and just say you know what I'm not giving you guys confirmation.

[09:05] Um damn this line and it continues all the way this way and breaks this line. You know what? I can still look for a way to go

[09:20] longer to go long on the lower time frame, but ultimately I I'm not bullish. And my bullishness is that I'm going to take a short position when price comes take a short position when price comes around here when I get to my my area.

[09:36] around here when I get to my my area. Let me go back to the 4 hours. So if price breaks this region right you see here this place now becomes my area

[09:48] of interest. This is the area where I'm going to be looking forward to take a short position from from here if it breaks but all in all I'm still looking for a confirmation within this particular zone. So there's

[10:04] possibility of trade trade possibility one is if we get a confirmation within one is if we get a confirmation within this particular zone okay you take a this particular zone okay you take a long position if you break it okay I get

[10:18] a confirmation in this zone this is why I have more experience you take a long position to this zone from here confirmation to short it to um

[10:30] this particular zone these are the possible scenario I'm seeing for possible scenario I'm seeing for Bitcoin. Clear?

[10:45] Ethereum. Um, so if you been following me, there are have the same thing. This is the major breakup structure. And from here, major breakup structure. And from here, I marked out this area. This is the area

[10:58] where we have um the golden zone from this for this structure and we also have a demand zone here and there's another demand no a supply zone here there's another supply zone here 4hour supply zone I said I as I'm saying what I was

[11:14] zone I said I as I'm saying what I was saying is that is this that price could saying is that is this that price could react from here okay if you get a confirmation here you can go short from here if it is invalidated then the short

[11:30] is from this region and from here you can see that it seems to um let's look at this so you can see from this region this is actually a beautiful trade if you took it as a matter of fact

[11:45] I didn't actually take this trade but this is the confirmation I'm talking about but if you look at because if you look at this over here is what look at this over here is what a internal breaker structure. Okay. Then

[11:59] over here is change of character. Then this is the trade. You can still use your fibry to pull to this um zone

[12:14] and take it from here. Short position from this particular um midway.

[12:27] trade. This is this would have been a very good trade. And I think soon um to this region, you're already hitting a 3 um 26 to this particular place is a 4.61. Anyway, I actually made this. I wasn't

[12:42] Anyway, I actually made this. I wasn't um actually trading when this G. But when I mark this area, this is the confirmation I'm talking about. So, what trade? There are two things you can do. one you can simply

[12:57] one you can simply still wait for another confirmation. What is the other confirmation or or wait for another a structural shift? What is the shift in structure? It is this. If you can wait for price to

[13:13] find his way all the way to break this line. If you break this line, then this line. If you break this line, then this becomes a change of character. And it becomes a change of character. You can trade any pullback to take it

[13:28] You can trade any pullback to take it all the way down confirmation of getting. So if you have this line

[13:45] This gives a confirmation that this market is going to all go all the way to this particular point at least. Even if it's not going all the way, you can just um it can come at least to the demand

[14:00] zone we have here to this zone. You can trade it. Maybe you take your first I'll be taking my first take profit around this particular zone. Okay? And because he say zone he can react from but ultimately I just see it getting down to

[14:14] this one. Uh for the guy that was shouting about it. Um where do I think it's getting to? I think it also I I think I'm going to see we're going to think I'm going to see we're going to see a three-digit eat before the major

[14:28] see a three-digit eat before the major move rally. Again, this is what I I want move rally. Again, this is what I I want to see. But my actual trading is if this happen then this, if this then that. If this then that. Okay? If this then that.

[14:43] If that doesn't happen, I'm not going to do anything. Okay? Just like I'm I'm do anything. Okay? Just like I'm I'm showing you here. If this line is broken, then I'm shorting. If it's not broken, I'm not going to short. Okay? If

[14:56] it breaks above, then I'll start looking for long position to this zone. If I get here, I don't just [clears throat] take the trade. I'm still going tohead go ahead and do if this happen. If you get that confirmation, then we take that

[15:09] particular trade. Hope you got this. So, this is for Ethereum. Now, let's go to Sena. For Sena, um Sena, you can see Sena For Sena, um Sena, you can see Sena here. We got to this zone that this zone

[15:24] I was looking for and price tap into that zone, but I didn't. If you look at this, okay, on the 5 minute time frame, it gave it gave um

[15:51] on the 5 minutes. You can see that breaker structure here.

[16:04] And what do you have here? Have a change of character here. And you can see the pullback. This is a protected high. Now the pullback still gave a very good entry and the market has gone down all the way

[16:18] to this particular zone. Now I'm going to go back to the 4 hours and if you check again there was another bigger change of character or demand

[16:30] zone fail here. So I was expecting that this market come all the way to this particular zone here but you can see the market didn't. I was expecting to go this particular zone but it didn't come all the way here. From the way it looks,

[16:45] we have been uh this is not a proper structure. It's been more like rangy kind of structure to the downside. It's going

[16:57] down but it's not giving like you know textbook structure. You can see this is not a breaker structure. This is not a breaker structure. um they are not fabricous structure but I still have this line over here this

[17:11] line so the same thing the same thing from the way it looks okay I can actually pull my area here this area here

[17:26] if the market comes all the way to this high if the market comes here you want to look for confirmation entry to go lower look for confirmation entry to go lower okay But if we have these breaks first

[17:39] even becomes more then if you have if you have this break first you can can go ahead and put your Fibonacci draw your golden zone it becomes more certain it becomes a higher probability that the market is going to

[17:52] go even is going to go lower so this is a higher probability that we're going lower if this gets broken okay but this is still a possible trade you can take even without it getting broken if I give confirmation here I'm going going to go

[18:06] um lower. This is the target I'm looking forward to. But your first target can just be around this zone. Let me go to the 1 hour time frame. the 1 hour time frame. First target

[18:24] can be here. So this can be the first target. Um let me get this. Where is this? Okay. This can be the first target. Okay, but ultimately you want to target this particular this particular zone. So

[18:40] that is that for Sana. Now let's look at XRP which is the last coin I'm looking XRP which is the last coin I'm looking at. XRP I have not actually taken a trade in a while. Um I was looking forward to take a trade from this zone.

[18:55] The market actually gave confirmation here but I I I was looking forward to getting it getting here. Like I said initially, if this happen, I do this. If other there are plenty opportunities in the market. So XRP didn't get here. So I

[19:13] trade from here based on the confirmation I talked about, you would confirmation I talked about, you would have actually gotten a trade.

[19:28] if you see a crazy thing drop in the comment section just ignore some things. people dropping things to lure you to a channel or whatever just ignore it cuz

[19:43] everywhere. Scammers in in in the comment section. So um for XRP I was expecting here a reaction from here that market didn't get here but there's a

[19:55] confirmation this was a good trade um that didn't happen then XRP if you can that didn't happen then XRP if you can see we've been having at least was giving us it was ranging but it was it was giving us a it was

[20:08] but it was it was giving us a it was going it's going down but XRP is giving more like I'm not seeing a proper structure here this is basically a range you You can see this basically a range. You want structure. This a break of

[20:22] continue. But ultimately it seems to now be heading for this area. This um um this level we've had

[20:37] structurally this is a breakout structure. We have this one. This golden zone was respected. Price came to it. pull back gave another break of structure. This other golden zone from this one wasn't

[20:52] wasn't tapped. It was just missed. It wasn't t got we didn't get here but we seems to be breaking down. So if you want to trade this, if you really want to trade this, let's look at the internal structure that is creating

[21:06] internal structure. We have um this is a breakup structure internally guys internally. Just make sure is that you understand that. So this another breaker structure here. So to to the

[21:19] other line is a change of character. Then this one also is a breaker structure over here. And because of this one, this one becomes a what? A change

[21:32] of character. Internal change of character. Okay. So therefore, if you want to trade this, it's pretty simple. What you do is to it's pretty simple. What you do is to mark out your demand zone. Uh I want to

[21:46] go down to the um 1 hour. Okay, back to the 4 hour. So let me go to the daily. Okay, because why I'm going to daily? Because on the 4hour we have

[21:58] Because on the 4hour we have like two other block one and okay two supplies on this and this. You know what I'm just going to take the major the the order block instead of the supply or demand zone. So which is this take this

[22:11] demand zone. So which is this take this one this way. So this becomes the zone the zone I'm looking forward to. So if the market happens to come this way. Okay I'm going to go to the 5 minutes time frame. If you see confirmation

[22:24] entry this way, then you can trade this market to this particular zone. market to this particular zone. So that is that on XRP. It's pretty this um um rocket science. And guys

[22:41] with this you're looking forward to at least I don't take a trade if it doesn't give me a minimum of 3 hour. In other words, for each trade, the minimum reward you are getting is a three R. So even if you win half and lose half, you

[22:55] even if you win half and lose half, you are still like two times better off. I don't know if that makes sense because every win is three times the losses. So this is how to trade. This is how to give this I get an edge in the market

[23:09] give this I get an edge in the market and this is my um XRP play. If the market gets to this zone, gives a confirmation, I am taking this trade. If the market gets to this zone and doesn't give a confirmation, I'm not taking this

[23:23] give a confirmation, I'm not taking this trade. Again, if this then that for Sana, if the market gets to this zone, if it breaks this, gets to this zone, I'm taking this. If it doesn't happen, I'm not taking the trade. For XRP,

[23:38] was a good trade inside this place following again the market got here gave a confirmation. If you took this trade, you are good again. Uh but this is the next play I'm looking at for Bitcoin. I gave you I gave two possible scenario. A

[23:55] confirmation here is a confirmation here is it is is um if you get a confirmation here, you can go long. If it breaks and it retraces and

[24:08] you get a confirmation here in this region or in the um golden zone, if a golden zone forms after retracing, then that would be a very good trade to take. I hope you enjoy this class. Um I'll see you guys

[24:27] take some questions. Dur is asking uh what profit would you recommend for uh what profit would you recommend for crypto trading? What? Okay, right now crypto trading? What? Okay, right now um the platform I currently use

[24:41] um the platform I currently use is CTI CT trader Imperium. It's mainly for forex. Okay, even if you're trading cryptocurrencies, you can still trade like all the coins I mentioned XRP, Solana,

[24:56] um Bitcoin and Ethereum, you can still trade it with City Trader and Ethereum. But the thing there is when trading it, you see the way we calculate position size is not the way I'm going to

[25:09] calculate position size on them. I'm actually going to still use my FS crypto calculator, the one that you know that I built. Okay. Oh, it's not showing here crypto calculator, I'm still going to use it. Then instead of going to the

[25:24] crypto section, I'm going to go to the Forex PS calculator because I still need to calculate my lot size because we're trading in lot size now in instit

[25:36] trading in lot size now in instit USD position site. So that is just one I use. Okay, I trade I trade crypto there sometimes but mostly I trade crypto on cryptocurrency exchanges and just trade forex using the proper. Hope that answer

[25:49] forex using the proper. Hope that answer your question.

[26:05] See you guys on Monday for the forest class again.

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