NHL Player Goal Betting Strategy — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:02] wrong markets. But there's one player prop market that sharp bers have quietly been crushing all season long. Over the past 2 and 1/2 months, I've made over $4,500 betting on NHL anytime goal scores and a 64% ROI in October alone.

[00:18] Here's my picket dashboard showing my verified results. $2,300 in October, $2,000 in November, and so far in December, I'm up almost $200. While lines and totals, [music] NHL player goals is an absolute money

[00:35] printer. Let's go through my Odds Jam setup so that you can copy and paste my filters and start printing money yourself. Where I find all of my success is using OddsJam's positive EV tool. If you come up here to the top middle,

[00:48] click on the filters section. Let's go through step by step exactly what my filter setup is and I'll explain to you my process. So, first and foremost, you and select the books that you have accounts with. I find the most success

[01:03] betting these plays on FanDuel and Circa. Bet MGM and the Cami books like Bet Rivers and Ballet Bet also provide very profitable opportunities. If you are someone that lives in a state that doesn't have these sports books, utilize

[01:17] Novig and Profitex and create markets based off of these odds and you'll find a lot of success as well. As we start to jump into this, I love to go after odds of a minimum of minus 150 odds and a maximum of plus 250 odds. And here's

[01:32] why. The reason that this odds range is set at this mark is because I like to focus on the first and second lines, the best players on each team, the top the number one power play minutes. In crunch time, in crucial game situations,

[01:46] we want to have the players that are most trusted on the ice. And this goes after the best goal scorers in the league. For my DVIG settings, I solely rely on Pinnacle as the sharp book that [music] guides me and finds me plays.

[01:58] different options here. I like to use additive, but also feel free to use power. Additive does a great job of appropriately placing the correct amount appropriately placing the correct amount of EV edge on underdog odds. So, plus

[02:11] 150, plus 200, plus 250. Longer shot underdog odds, use additive. Power is a great hybrid devig method that goes after that minus 150 to plus 100 range. Power is great. So either option here you're going to find success obviously.

[02:25] for markets guys in the search bar up here I just type in player goals. Now guys if you want to try Odds Jam one week for free and then save 35% off your first month after the oneweek trial lens. Use code Billy35. It'll be linked

[02:39] all your parameters set up, make sure that you click save filter and then save this filter under a certain specific name so that you can receive notifications any time that a play pops up. As you can see in my filter section,

[02:53] guys, I have this already pre-selected. All I have to do is check off the box, click show results, and I automatically see a play that I'm in love with. Brian Rust to score a goal tonight. This is on MGM and FanDuel. Utilizing the one-click

[03:06] play up for you. Just make sure that you logged into your sports book. I'm going to go ahead and wager $200 as that's an appropriate amount to place on this bet according to the edge that I have over here on FanDuel. As we come back over to

[03:19] the plus EV tool, you can see that I should be wagering $190. And I'm just going to round up to an even 200. This has an almost 7% edge on this play. When we open up these this play right here, you can see that a $100 wager over at

[03:34] Hard Rock is going to pay us out $175. That same $100 wager on FanDuel or MGM is going to pay us out $220. That's a massive difference of profit in

[03:46] our pocket playing this over at MGM or FanDuel compared to Hard Rock. The next thing that I'm going to do is just click the plus sign. Switch this over to FanDuel and then make sure that I input input here the $200. Click track. And

[03:59] and save. [music] What I love about betting this market, this is where the most action comes down for casual sports bers. They love to bet on their favorite player to score a goal. So, when you're clicking on Austin Matthews at plus110

[04:13] odds over here at FanDuel and I type in a very large number, you can see that FanDuel's accepting close to $4500 on this market. So, if you're someone that has a large bankroll, you can place a significant wager size over here on

[04:26] FanDuel and the recreational books. So, this helps blend in our sharp action over here at the Wreckbooks because this is a very popular casual sports better market, one that we can bet a lot of money on and make a ton of profit.

[04:40] Anything that is a 2% edge or higher on this EV tool [music] is an auto bet for me. I go find the sports book. I go lock in the play. I do stick to the recommended bet size. Anything that's under 2% like this Austin Matthews or

[04:53] Nathan McKinnon play, I will evaluate. I lean more betting on Matthews because the edge is a little bit higher. But again, feel free to just skip these plays and set this as a 2% minimum edge or higher and just automatically bet

[05:06] these plays. Over 80% of my betting action in this market is over at FanDuel. It's the largest sports book in America. It takes the highest liquidity on this market compared to any recreational sports book. So, this is a

[05:19] lasting strategy that can lead you to a lot of success over the entire NHL season. Now, you might be wondering about my bankroll management for this strategy for NHL anytime goals. I never bet more than 2 to 3% of my bankroll on

[05:34] a single play. These are higher variance bets going after some of these plays that are plus 150 to plus 250. Even with a 60% ROI in October, I ran into some losing streaks. As you can see with my picket results, I lost more bets than I

[05:49] won. But these are longer underdog odds and because these are positive EV plays what we should each time that we cash a bet that extra profit that we're getting paid out really acrru. The main reason I'm able to even create this video is

[06:04] because I track all of my bets using odds jams bet tracker. Whether you use odds jams tracker or pick it track your bets. This is going to provide you to bet certain markets that you have awesome success in. While the NHL season

[06:19] is in full swing, we're also in the heart of the NBA season. If you want to see another strategy that I've been absolutely crushing, then click this you through my step-by-step process of how I love to bet first quarter totals

[06:33] in the NBA. Trust me, this is a strategy that isn't talked about enough. That's that isn't talked about enough. That's an absolute money printer.