Best Betfair Trading Strategy That Actually Works

[00:00] So what is the best Betfair trading strategy? to start the video by saying that, you know, your role as a trader is There's a strategy and every strategy of the market, and trying to find

[00:16] something that just generally works pretty well on pretty much everything. It's probably the hardest thing that you would ever do. works quite well in a lot of markets.

[00:29] It's simple to understand, explain why it's profitable and easy to can do it better than anybody else.

[00:46] So it's very easy to overcomplicate things when you're Betfair trading. let's try and understand what's going on within the market and taking in all this information, trying to make a judgment, and they get chucked out the other side.

[01:00] when you're looking at markets. of sports, and they all have slightly different solutions. So if you turn up to a market and then you try and, you know, digest what's in

[01:13] the market from a different perspective. And this is how it's gonna make money, and therefore these are the So when you look at different sports, you have different, uh, styles of trading.

[01:29] And when we look at, um, horse racing, you'll have different markets appearing of run through them in terms of the way that they're likely to behave. So a maiden race with unraised horses is gonna behave very differently from

[01:43] So when you focus in on those perspectives, you can begin to adjust your style according to what you should be doing in each of those markets. just gonna behave completely differently.

[01:59] Now when I started, my objective was really, really simple and that was I Um, I was arbitraging between bookmakers and the exchange. Hey, press, do.

[02:12] I made money and I thought, okay, I'm onto something here. What are the things that are going to help me? And I think people often mistake that they're trading as a process of trying

[02:28] to understand, um, exactly what's going to happen within the market, when really how are they going to be matched? gonna talk you through here.

[02:42] Um, so yeah, you know, if you're looking at saying, oh, which direction You know, all of those things you can get really, really complicated So let's do that.

[02:56] pretty much anybody can do. market and you want them to get matched. order, and then you need to get the other bet matched within the market.

[03:13] But the strategy I'm gonna show you here, um, allows you to know exactly when And the way to think about this from a trading perspective is the longer Um, the more the trade could potentially go against you.

[03:29] Now it could go for you as well, but if you're doing a long, big, uh, trend trade, you're looking to sort of lay something down here and you're looking you towards that particular level.

[03:43] sort of be in and outta the market quite quickly, and that's what we're But even better than that. This particular trade doesn't rely upon you knowing where the odds are gonna go.

[03:57] In fact, when you open this trade, you may not have any clue whatsoever. allow you to potentially profit. gonna be putting in the closing trade first, which sounds a bit odd.

[04:12] later, almost the complete opposite way round to what you would expect. We're gonna profit by laying at a lower price we back at or vice versa.

[04:25] our favor rather than against us. So you're not guaranteed to profit every time, but you should be getting I've imparted in other videos to give you a much better steer as to exactly

[04:41] how the market is behaving when you have this trade open or when you're Um, but probably the best way to describe exactly what we're gonna do is to actually have a look at me using this particular strategy.

[04:55] So we're looking at this market, we can see it's relatively range bound. And the reason that I can tell you that is because we can look at where the price is traded on the front three runners, and you can see that they're all sort

[05:07] So this isn't a volatile market, it's a reasonably stable market. We're not expecting it to fly off in one direction.

[05:19] And the interesting thing is where I put the initial opening trade. because there's not much money there.

[05:31] I go down here, there's three hundreds, four hundreds, and I go all the way And I put the opening trade there and another one at 3 95. But what I'm trying to do is try to get to the front of the order

[05:47] I know that sounds weird because surely you're supposed to open But what we're gonna do is we're gonna put our closing position in first, and And what we're trying to do is get right to the front of queue every

[06:01] You have to wait for all of the stuff in front of you to get matched sides, and we've placed our closing trade in where we know we're gonna

[06:13] And the whole objective of doing this is so that we can actually execute the trade incredibly quickly when the price, uh, reaches that particular point. Um, so let's wind the video forward and have a look at when that happens.

[06:26] So as the market matures, um, there will be more money in the market and Here you can see it doesn't matter what direction it goes in 'cause we've got So it doesn't matter which way it goes, we're sorted.

[06:40] I need to lay at 3 75 in order to make a profit. there the trade is complete. on this particular trade.

[06:55] Now as the price is moving up, you can see we've got money set at 3 95. So I need to get ready at um, three 90, but there's no reason why you So all I need to do here is make a decision on exactly when I click,

[07:10] um, at three 90 because we know we're gonna get matched very quickly at 3 95. The odds at three 90 and when they will get taken and the price At the moment, you can see we're four or five ticks away.

[07:25] that because I think this is the price point that is gonna go next. If it went in the other direction, I would simply hover my mouse Because we've got a lay order in at 3.3, but as it stands, I just need to

[07:41] make a decision here and when actually click at three 90, so when I'm pretty I can put my order in and you can see we're getting matched It's gone up, uh, fairly quickly to the next point within there,

[07:55] So you can see we've narrowed that decision making process I. We don't need to worry about the direction of the trade here. Uh, we don't need to think too much about anything other than, uh, when

[08:10] You can do this as many times as you like, uh, before we actually get to the so that involves a little bit of timing and your interpretation of the market.

[08:24] win whatever the result, and then you can move on to the next race. I've made a couple of minor changes, but nothing dramatic.

[08:37] And one of the reasons for sort of giving you a vanilla view of the market that I've made to the ladder. That would make the video sort of two or three times longer.

[08:49] thought, no, it's, that needs to be a video in its own particular, right? you where the money is within the market and also the likelihood

[09:01] But really, I think that's deserving of a separate video. If you would like to see that, but you can go onto the forum where you can actually look at additional enhancements that you can make and

[09:14] Obviously, the user guide can tell you all about the ladder settings, areas. But if you go into this servant's area of the forum, there's

[09:26] So you should definitely check that out alongside this video. you're actually doing is you are only gaining one tick at a time.

[09:39] So that means that your strike rate has to be very high in order for you to be That will lose you many times what you could have gained and therefore So part of your role in this particular strategy is to select

[09:55] a market where it isn't going to move dramatically against you. So if you decided to deploy this strategy into an early season, maiden wipe out lots of small little gains.

[10:09] to be able to get a positive trade and you know, therefore you need to. Identify that it is behaving the way you expect it, and then

[10:23] And of course you can do more than one trade. the favorite, the amount you make per, uh, tick gain, there's gonna be much So there are lots of opportunities there for you to do things that will

[10:41] But if you just go into the market at random and trade everything with it. So put some thought and process into this before you do it. So you need markets that are relatively stable in order to

[10:58] Don't do it in markets that are much more volatile because it will not work. It's a very simple strategy. You don't have to rely upon direction.

[11:12] effectively than other people. Um, so yeah, this is one of the reasons that I recommend this particular strategy have, especially if you're starting out or you need to build a bit of confidence.

[11:27] Uh, select the right market and there's no reason why you can't profit to.