Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

[00:11] Yo, what's up, guys? Let's get some bets locked in. locked in. Oh, baby.

[00:40] doing? Happy um NFL Sunday. Let's [ __ ] go. Yo, so the first game we have is going to be I mean possibly a complete blowout. Although it

[00:56] does look like yo yo yo if any of you guys still have rebet. I know they just guys still have rebet. I know they just banned rebet in California plus 450. Yo Panthers plus 450 honestly looks pretty good. [snorts] It's across market baby.

[01:10] It's arbitrage dude. Panthers plus 450. You can get that on Hard Rock or Rebet. Do any of you guys like it? It's arbitrage to novig. Sheesh, man. So, let's take a look. Where is this Panthers game?

[01:25] Yeah, I mean, there's a [ __ ] ton of value on the Panthers. Unfortunately, they banned Rebet these sweep stakes books in a few states, but there's a ton of liquidity being offered on the Rams at minus435.

[01:38] at minus435. So like market makers, I mean 35K, they're offering on the Rams at minus435, which means someone like these are sharp market makers. They're trying to bet the Panthers at plus 435 if

[01:50] they're offering Rams at minus435. You could also just arbitrage bet it, you know, bet Rams on Novig. Um Panthers on rebet, make a risk-free profit. But what I wanted to do is let's see what we have here. We have some promos on Sleeper.

[02:06] We got a promo on prize picks. We have some promos on pick six. And by the way, our pick six slip hit yesterday if you were on the live stream. Just want to make sure I brag about it. Yo, not a bad not a bad win. Little 10k

[02:21] win. So, we may have to fire on pick six again. But let's start out doing some of these sleeper promos. So, sleeper again, it's not a book I use a lot. They charge a lot of juice, but

[02:36] they have Jack Quinn's under at a 2.2x payout. So, like, you know, looks like kind of good value. Um, Novig has the over at minus 125. 2.2x payout just means, you know, plus 120. So, we'll do some sleeper promos. We'll do some prize

[02:53] unfortunately I'm currently in California, so [snorts] that means I will not be able to do rebet or FanDuel, but we can look for value. I mean, I wish I could slam the Panthers right now with you guys. I

[03:09] wouldn't mind slamming the Panthers. Onyx rebet and flip. I took the over 43 half. Is Koshi liquidity good to read for sharp plays?

[03:21] Yeah, Khi is definitely I mean it's another peer-to-peer betting exchange. Koshi has a lot of smart market makers. Dude, the only problem with Koshi is if you're just like recreationally betting on it, they they just charge a lot of

[03:35] fees, right? Like I mean they have a hundred cents of juice almost on an NFL playoff money line. I mean that's kind of ridiculous. Fig is only 17 cents. Profitex. So, like they're just kind of wide once you

[03:50] actually bake in the fees, but I mean there is a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Let's do a better slip though. So, the first play we have is we have Bryce first play we have is we have Bryce Young to throw an interception.

[04:10] have Bryce Young to to throw an interception. you know, prize picks better. All these fixed payout sports books. I mean, you can see payout sports books. I mean, you can see here every book has Bryce Young. His

[04:23] over is favored, right? They're telling you through their odds, through their is a lot more likely to throw an interception as opposed to not throw an peer-to-peer betting exchanges, their offering is under with pretty heavy

[04:37] liquidity. But [snorts] what I want to do is try to move quickly. So the second play I'm going to go with hockey play Gibson under 24 and a half saves. What?

[04:50] Yep. So I guess I guess we got some hockey today. Yo, so let me just try to rip a slip as quickly as possible. I don't want to waste anyone's time.

[05:05] Dude, why does Roma Adun have such a low reception line? Two and a half and we're taking the under. Yo, what do we like better? Do we like fading Caleb Williams You guys think Caleb's throwing an interception? Line's been kind of moving

[05:20] towards the Packers. [snorts] What's been going on here? Let's pull it up. Um, but anyways, let me just try to finish this slip as quickly as possible. platforms have somewhat different payouts. You know, five pick flex plays.

[05:36] I mean, if you go through the math, if you don't believe me, that's the optimal slip type. [snorts] So, I have four picks so far. We need one more. This line hasn't really been moving

[05:49] much. Um, but let's go here and let's find one final play that we can go with on better. What do you got for me? Brandon Miller over in PAS. I mean, that looks decent,

[06:07] Let's run it. Jay Huff under 14 and a half PRs. in. And please let me know in the chat what other sports book you guys want to I'm going to lock this in. They only

[06:22] give me a $100 max bet size, so that's okay, though. Bryce Young so that's okay, though. Bryce Young interception and then these four picks. Yo, can somebody put a link in the chat, please?

[06:40] pair instead of Odun, I decided to use the Caleb Williams under half of an the Caleb Williams under half of an interception play. [snorts]

[06:52] preference. like it probably doesn't make sense to pair Caleb Williams to not throw an interception as well as you know his one of his main receivers. I am half reception line. [snorts] Thank you guys for putting the link in

[07:07] the chat. Alex, how can I make 60k a month like you? Uh what are we talking about? I don't make 60k a month. [snorts] Yeah, so linesman moving towards the Packers. I mean if you wanted to minus

[07:19] 120 on Hard Rock looks pretty decent. Also, I'm done for the day on better because they give me this [ __ ] $100, you know, max betting limit per day, [snorts] but that's okay. I'm not gonna complain too much.

[07:37] minus 120 Packers if you wanted to run it. If you wanted to, I'm just throwing out options for you guys. You don't you don't have to listen, but you should listen. You should listen.

[07:51] Um, anyways, what do we want to do?

[08:05] more on sleeper or should we look at pick six? So, what did we have on pick six? I thought they had some promos. So, they got a 30% NFL boost. They got a puka free play. They have two profit boosts for Sunday. So, we may got to try

[08:20] out better. I do kind of want to see if there's any good touchdown scores, bro. I wish I could just nuke the [ __ ] Panthers with you guys. I mean, plus 6 and a half. This looks ridiculous. Look at this. Panthers plus 6 and a half

[08:34] minus 107 on Rebet. It's arbitrage to Profitex and no vague. So, one of these two plays has to be plus EV. It's also arbitrage to Pinnacle, right? Pinnacle like Rebet's the only book with Rams minus 6 and a half favored. You know,

[08:48] you can see Pinnacle. It's like Panthers plus six and a half is heavily favored. We are day trading the sports books. [snorts] Um, but what was I talking about? Let's see touchdown scores. Is there anything?

[09:01] No, bro. Honestly, the best touchdown score for tonight is Josh Jacobs. And this is on prize picks. And you can kind of see here like this just odds jam line movement chart. It's been drifting towards the Packers. Um, but what did I

[09:15] want to do? Let's go here. Let's see. Prize picks. I'm pretty surprised that they have this lineup. You guys think Jacobs is scoring? Am I crazy? They got a Caleb Williams free

[09:28] square, too, but we used that on the on the last stream. Um, I mean, you can literally see here prize picks take his overunder, same payout. I mean, Circa crossed market, very tight touchdown score markets. Jacob's heavily

[09:43] favored to score. It's also crossed with no vig. I mean, you know, two of the Jacobs heavily favored to score a touchdown. So, we definitely want to use touchdown. So, we definitely want to use this, but what else did we want to do?

[09:56] Damn, man. I got to get back to Virginia. I got to get back to Virginia. Um, let's go here. Where's prize picks? So, let me get rid of some of these [snorts] and let's just see if we can do

[10:11] a slip. We can also look at uh at Dabble if you guys want. There's a lot of these fixed payout DFS apps. So, we got Josh Jacobs score touchdown. And what else do we like? I mean, this play looked solid, but

[10:26] let's see if we can find some new blood. Again, you can run the Caleb Williams play if you haven't already used it. But what I want to do is see what we got what I want to do is see what we got going on on prize picks. Wiggins under

[10:38] seven and a half rebounds plus assists. This looks solid. You guys like fading Wiggins Pacers game. He's gone under the past three games. Obviously, that's like

[10:50] the odds jam v tool. Compares prize picks to books, you know, for a five flex if you like break down prize picks math. They're just charging you minus19 minus 1119 juice. And you know, you can see here FanDuel, all these sports books

[11:05] see here FanDuel, all these sports books have his under heavily favored. know. It's a little It's not fun. It's a little beat.

[11:20] little beat. Not fun. Anyways, let me finish this slip. So, we got Johnson.

[11:33] Johnson, they have him listed at five and a half on prize picks. And then if you hit this, they also have him listed at six. So obviously you want to make sure you take his over four and a half. But anyways, let me shut the [ __ ] up and

[11:47] try to finish this. So we got Trey Jones over 9 and a half RAS. That looks solid over 9 and a half RAS. That looks solid as well. And what else do we like? I mean, maybe just to complete the five flex, we'll run Lopez.

[12:02] So again, like prize picks, you know, all these sports books, prize picks has tons of lines up. We're just trying to zone in on, you know, the five picks that actually have value actually have an edge. So, one, two, three,

[12:17] four, five. Someone get this locked in. Put a link in the chat, please. the chat. I'm trying to fly. We're going to do I promise you we are going to do

[12:29] Everything is gone in California. What do we do? I mean, I'm just here for a do we do? I mean, I'm just here for a vacation, but what you should do is move vacation, but what you should do is move to Virginia. I can't wait to go home to

[12:41] to Virginia. I can't wait to go home to my house. I love my house. I love Virginia, man. It's probably the most underrated state. most underrated state. A lot of things to do in Virginia.

[12:54] I hate New York. I tried living in New York. It's just, bro, it's too busy. [snorts] Too much [ __ ] going on. Um, anyways, I want to look at pick six. Let's see if we can do a pick six slip.

[13:08] So, again, they got a third they well they have a variety of 30% profit boosts, but one of them is for today. So, let's just see what we have going on here. So, let's see. NFL.

[13:31] under six and a half receiving yards. Again, sometimes the values in these weird [ __ ] markets. Um, so let's go here to the Packers game. Okay.

[13:43] and a half receiving yards. He's literally an underdog to go over. So his under is the favorite outcome. Again, it's another fixed payout sports book. I wish I Dude, I really wish rebat was still legal here, but it's not.

[14:17] Yo, so give me a sec. I'm just trying to finish this slip as quickly as possible before people start bitting at me. Harrison MV Memphis under eight and a half kicking points. Yo, so this is what I'm going to get locked in. I think

[14:32] three picks is fine, right? Three pick entries. Like again, if you break down the math on pick six. I've done it in YouTube videos, but you'll see that's the optimal slip. Yo, so this is just three unders. One, two, three. One, two,

[14:46] three unders. One, two, three. One, two, three. One, two, three. And we had a big hit on pick six yesterday, which I can't lie, I'm pretty excited about. Can't lie, I'm pretty excited about it, man. I was calling out on the live stream the

[14:59] was calling out on the live stream the correlation on Jabari and Thompson. correlation on Jabari and Thompson. And it feels good to get a win.

[15:12] California now. Um, for fantasy. Yeah, we gota have H has anyone looked at rebet fantasy? Is there any good [ __ ] on there? Jabari was hysterical, bro. Was hitting the side of the backboard. There

[15:28] we [ __ ] go. Need a fourth pick for the pick six boost. Yo, so if you need a fourth pick, what would I take?

[15:50] take Caleb Williams rushing yards over. Caleb Williams over in rushing yards. fourth pick. I mean, it's a little beat that they make you get a fourth pick, but it is what it is.

[16:11] I mean, I just don't want to forget to use them tomorrow. We have a lot of the NFL and they have two boosts. So, we're going to take Herbert under in passing going to take Herbert under in passing touchdowns free. I like that.

[16:35] Are you guys betting on the Bills tomorrow? I am a little shocked. I feel like the line is just moving towards the Jaguars. Um, Justin Herbert. Okay, Hunter Henry over

[16:48] three and a half receptions. Yo, so this is what I'm going to run for the promos tomorrow. I know this isn't for today, but sorry. And this is what we're going but sorry. And this is what we're going to run.

[17:05] No. [ __ ] dude. Anyways, whatever. I forgot to I forgot to put the max on that one, but whatever. Yo, so I This is what I ran once again for the for the promo tomorrow. I mean, you can put up to 50. I'm just literally a complete

[17:19] idiot and put [ __ ] Sometimes Sometimes I piss myself off. [snorts]

[17:34] we don't have a ton of time left. We could do underdog [snorts] could do underdog [snorts] or we could try to get more creative.

[17:47] Is there a reason I don't see football selected? Let's go here. Sorry.

[18:00] Okay. Anyways, what do we want to do? What do you guys want to look at? What's the Allen line? Under one and a half passing touchdowns. Josh Allen half passing touchdowns. Josh Allen under one and a half passing touchdowns.

[18:14] Underdog, please. Hard Rock, please. Oh [ __ ] bro. Why are all these sweepstake sports books leaving California? It is so beat, bro. California? It is so beat, bro. California.

[18:31] Sleeper always has good promos. I want to know how to use them. You want to know how to use what? I do use Splash Sports. Anyways, let me do these sleeper Sports. Anyways, let me do these sleeper promos real quickly. Give me a sec.

[18:54] receiving yards. We're running that for the second discount. And then what I want to do is

[19:18] Give me a sec. I'm trying to do this uh this sleeper boost

[19:37] value is in weird places. So, they have a 30% NF or sorry, a 30% profit boost. guys are going to hate the puka no touchdown, but sorry. Um, this is what

[19:50] I'm running. And then what what did what did they have for the NFL? 80% boost. did they have for the NFL? 80% boost. That's [ __ ] crazy.

[20:27] No touchdown. No, that doesn't make sense. Yo, give me a sec. Sorry, sorry, sorry. I just need one more pick. I'm trying to go as quickly as possible.

[20:39] Okay. Okay. 80% NFL boost. Yo, so this is what I'm running. You need four picks in it, so whatever. I did my best to go as quickly as possible. Four picks, sleeper boost, NFL.

[20:53] Um, give me a pick on underdog, please. Let's go to underdog if that's what you guys want to do. Let's see, man. Oh [ __ ]

[21:07] dude, this play on Vidal looks kind of crazy, but let's go to underdog and let's see. I know we don't have a ton of time before this game starts, so I'm trying to move, boys. Um, underdog, six pick entries, mathematically optimal

[21:21] once you start going through the math and stuff, which is super fun and and stuff, which is super fun and exciting. Um, Sorry. So, I got three picks so far. Be be ready to go. Um, six pick entries.

[21:38] You want to run them as flex plays. I know I've said it before. know I've said it before. Oh [ __ ]

[21:59] Let's go back here. Let's go here. Let's go to underdog. And where the [ __ ] is go to underdog. And where the [ __ ] is the value?

[22:11] book has his under three and a half tackles plus assists. This just the odds jam like line discrepancy tool. James Cook line looks good. Every other book has his line higher at like, you know, 19 and a half, 20 and a half

[22:25] receiving yards. And underdog is just kind of chilling at Underdog's just kind of chilling at 15 and a half. A way lower line. So that and a half. A way lower line. So that kind of makes sense.

[22:42] though. Sorry. I don't know if I love pairing that. Harden. Right. This is a little bit of correlation.

[22:57] Harden over 27 and a half points plus rebounds. It's, you know, kind of good correlation with John Collins. Like the plays yesterday we ended up doing. Whoa. So that was the play again on DraftKings pick six for the promo. But you know you

[23:12] like yesterday in our big winning slip. Jabari under Thompson over. You know players on the same team kind of compete to go over in points. So, this is the play. Can somebody put a What the [ __ ] is going on?

[23:27] What the [ __ ] is going on? What is wrong with underdog, dude? What is wrong with underdog, dude? Oh my god. Where did the slip go?

[23:39] the chat, bro? It literally just crashed out. chat. Thank you, Cozy Trashfire. just happened to me as well. What is wrong

[23:52] happened to me as well. What is wrong with this book? real quickly. Cook got bumped to 20. Panthers are plus 360 on rebet. Yeah,

[24:07] Panthers looked really good on rebet. I mean, this is [ __ ] crazy, dude. Now they're plus 470. Well, I guess now lines are moving a touch back towards

[24:27] underdog real quick. But I mean, all these lines on rebet, all of these spreads, they're crossed markets. They're arbitrage. One of these two bets has to be plus EV or profitable. It also just looks like minus 105. This

[24:41] is arbitrage here. There, it's arbitrage to Pinnacle, which has 30k betting to Pinnacle, which has 30k betting limits. [snorts]

[25:01] underdog real quick. Sorry. [snorts] Okay. Um, dude, that's crazy, right? Every other book Panthers plus six and a half. I mean, heavily cross market

[25:13] arbitrage like looks beautiful. But again, I'm not going to be able to bet it. Unfortunately, I didn't see a ton of touchdown value even on the main sports touchdown value even on the main sports books. [snorts] That's okay.

[25:30] off. Enjoy the game and um, good luck on your bets, boys. I and um, good luck on your bets, boys. I hope the Panthers