Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

[00:13] Are we back? I got a Starbucks. five of these per day, otherwise I'll fall asleep on my live streams. What's

[00:28] fall asleep on my live streams. What's up, guys? How's everyone doing? How's everyone doing? What's up, guys? We are going to find some bets. At least We are going to find some bets. At least that is the goal. So, let's get going. I

[00:40] there's a lot of good bets available. Please let me know though in the chat whatever sports books, you know, you guys want to look at. I may listen to you, I may not listen to you. It depends if your sports books align with what

[00:53] sports books I want to look at. And most importantly, where the value is. I love finding value. I love cracking sports books. [snorts] books. [snorts] Just take Addie, bro.

[01:12] for underdog streaks. I love riding dudes with you. Alex, I'm from Ontario. We don't have betting exchanges. Well, even if you don't have betting exchanges, you can still look at their odds as a source of information. Why is

[01:25] there so much value on this under? Holy moly, man. I got our first bet. So, go over to Rebet. Oh my gosh, dude. There is value like a [ __ ] right now. Okay, so the first play I'm going to go with is the under in the

[01:41] Cleveland Cavaliers versus Philadelphia 76ers. That reminds me of two MLB teams that absolutely choked the Guardians and the Phillies. But where is this? Let's get going, dude. So, there is a lot of value right now.

[01:57] I'm absolutely in love. The first play we want to go with is the or at least we want to go with is the or at least the highest value play is the under 235 half. So, this is the first play I'm going to

[02:09] get locked in. Okay, under 235 half. This is arbitrage with no vague. Literally a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. You can also see like you you you also should be looking at other sports books. You don't just have to be looking like

[02:22] FanDuel has this underfed and we're able to get this at plus money on rebet. We're able to get plus money underdog odds and FanDuel did they literally just odds and FanDuel did they literally just bump it? What the [ __ ] Damn, dude. They

[02:36] guys. Wow, we got a lot of value right now. Wow, we got a lot of value right now. This is lit as tits. [snorts] Um, dude, this is crazy. So, Pick Six has some promos right now. They have a 30%.

[02:52] [ __ ] Anyways, just go. Just go, Alex. You can go. So, I'm just going to get slips. Tail what you want to tail. First play we're going to go with is Moy under play we're going to go with is Moy under nine and a half rebounds. Pick six fixed

[03:07] payout book. You know, it's just like prize picks. It's just like underdog fantasy. You take Mobly to go over. Whichever way you want to ride him. You to hit him from the front. We don't care. 6x payout regardless. You take his

[03:21] over, under, same payout. His over is literally a plus 132 underdog. But unfortunately, I love this guy. This new guy on the Thunder, he's actually kind of clutch. I don't think I've lost a bet on him this

[03:35] don't think I've lost a bet on him this entire year. AJ Mitchell over 14 and a half points. His unders offered at plus 130. Crossed market bets. You have the highest confidence in your edge. Oh [ __ ] And then we have Demar D Rozan to

[03:48] make a three or Darius Garland under in Pas obviously. No. Come on, man. They bumped it. So, unfortunately, they just bumped one of the picks I wanted to lock in, which is beyond frustrating.

[04:03] beyond frustrating. Similar to Beyond Meat. Oh [ __ ] dude. Similar to Beyond Meat. Oh [ __ ] dude. Who is this guy? Tyrese Martin. Who is this guy? Tyrese Martin. Under 16 and a half pas. Wait. Whoa.

[04:15] Whoa. Whoa. Where is this Martin dude? Tyrese Martin under 16 and a half Pas. I've never heard of this guy. Under 16 and a half Pas. We got our second pick. His over is a plus 130 underdog. What do I like, bro? Do I want to fade

[04:30] Wii? Do we want to fade WBY? Do we want to fade Wii? Yes, we do. Under 27 and a half points. Is Luca playing tonight or is Luca still out? Boys, is Luca Dontri still out? I don't know. How much should we bet on this? Give me $10,000. Give me

[04:46] $10,000. Let's see. So, we have Tyrese Martin under. We under. Evan Mobley under. This is a mega max. Take the bet. Why are Why do they only say a thousand? Why are Why do they only say a thousand? Give me 5,000. [snorts] Give it. Only

[05:00] 500. No. 500 bucks. Here's the first play from the live stream. But what I've noticed because I'm very smart is sometimes it's just for the scrub players that they

[05:15] limit you. So sometimes if you take out a scrub and you put in someone who's not a scrub and you put in someone who's not a scrub. Oh [ __ ] Noah Clowny. I love that name. It reminds me of Janad Javian Clowny. Who is Jadavian Clowney? Alex.

[05:29] He is now an NFL player. He used to be a South Carolina Gamecoox. Damn, dude. They just bumped WBY. They bumped that [ __ ] fast. Anyways, what other books do [snorts] are all over the place. You guys are crazy. Let's see what we can

[05:44] do. Um, wow, there's a lot of stuff right now. What is this? Trailblazers on the spread. That's plus EV to Pinnacles market. Super tight market. Minus 125 plus 112. So, if you devig the market, if you find the midpoint, what would be

[05:59] if you find the midpoint, what would be the fair price? You know, 13 cents. So maybe like 6 and a half like minus 120 we're getting minus 115 that's cross market that's arbitrage I don't know how the trailblazers honestly this doesn't

[06:13] go with my intuition I expected the trailblazers to be bigger underdogs but I'm a big believer in following the data as some of you may know [snorts] cross market rebet is arbitrage crossed with uh novig or profitex I'm not even sure

[06:29] which one it was where are you so here You can see cross market arbitrage. So, one of these two bets has to be profitable by definition because again, you could bet both bets and guarantee a risk-free profit. Give me the

[06:42] Trailblazers on the spread. Yo, are the Trailblazers night nice this year? Are the Thunder still undefeated? What color is the sky? Mom, I love asking questions. [snorts] Um, anyways, this Trailblazers play is crazy. What?

[06:57] They're limiting me. No, I thought they were going to let me nuke that. were going to let me nuke that. You guys are all over the place. OKC on a backtoback tonight. Portland's a bunch of tryards this year. They're super fun

[07:11] of tryards this year. They're super fun to watch, what's up, Peter Gazer? Dude, I was worried you died, man. Yo, Peter, it's

[07:27] good to have you back. I was worried you died. I I started to notice there were no sexual comments in my live streams and I started to get worried about you. [snorts] What's up, Peter? Everyone say, "Hi, Peter." Hi, Peter Gazer. He's the

[07:41] goat. Oh, [ __ ] Yo, so this Moby play is still available. Yo, D Rozan to make 13. You guys think this handsome guy who claims he's never had alcohol but definitely

[07:56] has smoked weed. Guy acts like he's a saint. This is a cross market. His unders offered at plus 127. Checks out with the other sports books, too. All these books have D Rozan as a massive [ __ ] favorite to record a three. Oh,

[08:08] and now you want to put AJ Mitchell back on the board at 14 half again. on the board at 14 half again. Unfortunately, you can't pair uh college basketball with NBA. I don't know why. I'm not a scientist, you know.

[08:24] Yep. Hammer. Five grand. Give me five. Give me five. NO, [screaming] bucks. Broke [ __ ] Why are you only going to give me 2,200? Yo, anyways,

[08:37] here's a play I just locked in. Good luck if you tail it. I love Wednesdays, man. Typically, you have a good NBA slate. Glazing up, Alex. Yeah, what's up, Peter Gazer? How you doing, bro? I missed you, dude. People

[08:51] in the chat were worried about you. You went off the wall for a bit. [snorts] I know you had nothing to do. I know you're in high school, Peter Gazer.

[09:05] draft kings play? Someone's telling me to look the Facebook chat. Bro, I [ __ ] hate my Facebook chat. My Facebook chat is worse than my Twitch chat. I've explained this to many of you guys. It's very

[09:17] frustrating. Um, yeah, it's very frustrating. On Twitch, I have like, you know, all high school kids. On Facebook, it's all like 55 angry at the world, divorced men.

[09:31] [sighs] Prize picks, Alex, me and D boy Curry were in county prison. Okay, back to ignoring Peter Gazer. How does that sound? That sounds great. I'm just kidding, Peter. I never ignore you.

[09:44] kidding, Peter. I never ignore you. [snorts] T. What the [ __ ] bro? Why is there so much value on pick six? much value on pick six? Sorry. Um, dude, does Mobly play Reed

[09:59] Sorry. Um, dude, does Mobly play Reed Shepard? Who the [ __ ] is Reed Shepard? another book. What do you guys want? Dabble, prize picks. What?

[10:15] Dabble, prize picks. What? It sounds like people want prize picks. So, let's get a prize pick slip going. First play we have is Anna Faressa Simons under two and a half rebounds. He's now on the Boston. Bro, this guy

[10:30] finally gets to leave Portland and Portland is actually good this year. Poor kid. So, we have Simons. Wow, there is Dude, there is a lot of value at this time of day. I need more coffee, though. Um,

[10:46] let's get a threeman in. So, on prize picks, again, the optimal slip type is five or six pick flex plays. I've gone through the math and a bunch of YouTube videos if you want to check them out, but um three mans aren't that much

[10:59] really good plays available and I'm worried about them bumping a line like I want to ride the dude before they bump my line, you know?

[11:12] So, Reed Shepard over 11 and a half PSAs. His under is offered at plus 126. If market makers are offering his under at plus 126, they want to be on his over

[11:25] at minus 126. On prize picks for a threeman, you're getting minus 122 odds when you break down the math, dude. And then fade every player on the Wizards in

[11:37] general. That's pretty good advice. But I actually think I like this Harrison Ford play. No, sorry. Harrison Ford. Who the [ __ ] is Harrison Ford? Is that the guy who invented the uh the car?

[11:50] car? No. Who invented the car again? I don't know. I don't really care either. But here's the play. Three pick either. But here's the play. Three pick entry. Who invented the car?

[12:02] entry. Who invented the car? It Bro, I've never heard of any of these guys. Carl Benz, that is a sick [ __ ] three pick entry. Get this locked in if you want to play it. Very simple.

[12:19] Threeman on prize picks. All of these plays are ridiculously good. It's absolutely insane. Alex, can you please use the sleeper boost? Henry Ford.

[12:32] Oh, not Harrison Ford, bro. Who the [ __ ] is Harrison Ford? Yo, so they have some profit boost, dude. So, Sleeper again, great book.

[12:44] In terms of promos, absolutely awful book in terms of the lines they run. So I really only bet on Sleeper pretty rarely

[13:00] first play we're going to go with is Josh Aaguia under [snorts] two and a half uh one and a half assists. I apologize. So again, Sleeper puts their odds in decimal format. Odds Jam just kind of converts it to being American

[13:14] odds. But let me get into play real quickly. Oh [ __ ] there's some actually decent value on Sleeper right now. So we have value on Sleeper right now. So we have Tyrese Martin. I love the name Tyrese.

[13:41] So, here's the first play I got locked in. Okay, so this is the 20% profit boost. You can use any sports. Some of you guys are going to complain. Why'd you got to use Z Flowers? Game's not until Sunday, Alex. Sorry. Sorry.

[13:58] Um, what was I going to say though? I was talking to you guys about something. Is this is why I don't bet on Sleeper a lot, dude. They just charge so much juice. Look at this. This is crazy, dude. They're charging a 63 cent spread

[14:11] on Mooney receptions. FanDuel's 34 cents. They literally charge double the cents. They literally charge double the juice of every other sports book, which obviously makes it harder to make money on the book if they're charging you

[14:25] on the book if they're charging you double the juice. what book did you guys want to do? Man, we got a lot of promos.

[14:39] Oi, Reed Shepard. So, this Reed Shepard play, damn, you can get it on P six as well. Again, these peer-to-peer betting exchanges are extremely sharp. That guy is extremely handsome. Kind of looks

[14:53] like Alex. Um, what else did we have? We had Evan Mobley being modest. I say this all the time, dude. I've never claimed to be the best looking or sorry, the best sports better. The only thing I've claimed is to be the best looking sports

[15:09] claimed is to be the best looking sports better. [snorts] run any more picks at this level. This is absolute [ __ ] But

[15:22] is absolute [ __ ] But okay. What do you guys want to do? Should we rip a dabble slip [snorts] flip, rebet,

[15:37] dabble again? There's a bunch of value on Hard Rock. Yo, what do we think about Pacers on the spread against the Nets? You guys on the spread against the Nets? You guys like Pacers spread? Oh my gosh, why does

[15:50] like Pacers spread? Oh my gosh, why does Dabble always have so much value? Yeah, this looks very solid. Pacers on the spread. Games at 4 - 5 1/2

[16:03] - 115. So I'm going to lock this in on flip. Market makers are offering nets plus 5 and a half at plus 115. Very high liquidity. High liquidity means um a really good play. Higher liquidity, higher confidence. Dude, I love you

[16:19] guys. You guys, you guys crack me up, dude. I just give out dabble slips and they just like every time you guys hit the copy button and obviously everyone wants to copy my bets. Literally everybody, dude, I give out a dabble

[16:32] play. There's like 45,000 people trying to click copy entry at the same time. And apparently they pay you for that. So, thank you guys for making me $445 in the past week. All because everyone wants to tail Alex's picks. But let's

[16:47] wants to tail Alex's picks. But let's keep going. So, we have Victor Webbyama under three and a half turnovers. This play is absolutely insane, dude. His over is literally plus 150 plus 148 plus 146. Everybody wants to be on his, you

[17:01] know, market makers are saying they want to be on his under at minus 150. They're offering the over at plus 150. Minus 150 means a 60% implied win probability. A 60% favorite to go under. [snorts] Hi. Yo, what's the best shield?

[17:22] under and rebounds. That guy's like he's I'm taller than him. Oh my gosh. We could play so many dabble slips. It's absolutely crazy. So, we have DeAndre Swift rushing touchdown. Rushing plus receiving. I So,

[17:40] copy directly from the app. I'm not sure what the best shield is. Nobody told me what the best shield is. Nobody told me in the chat. Lazy.

[17:58] Someone said Stro shot on goal. Thank you. Matthew running nine. Hey, so let's see what happens here. If I get rid of Swift

[18:11] cross market bats are the best plays because you have the Matt Matthew shot on goal. Maxi rebounds. Let's see who's smart.

[18:23] rebounds. Let's see who's smart. There is no Maxi rebound shield. let's see this. James Cook touchdown. Is there a payout shift? I don't know why

[18:37] this stopped working. The WBY play is by far the best play. So, no payout shift. It's basically like going on prize picks.

[18:51] Dude, we're not taking on the in the same slip. There's no correlation. if you're not taking it in the same slip. There's no correlation. It literally doesn't matter. So, where's Aaron Gordon? You just

[19:04] wouldn't want to take them in the same slip. Aaron Gordon three-pointers made. Is that actually a good shield? I mean, a lot of times you you you kind of want to check and make sure it's a good shield, but it's pretty insane, dude.

[19:17] shield, but it's pretty insane, dude. Like, James Cook is a 7x. Dabble is Like, James Cook is a 7x. Dabble is supposed to reduce your payout by.7 from 6x to I guess like 5.4x and they just like forget to do that.

[19:31] It's kind of like if you could include a bunch of goblins on prize picks and they didn't add a payout shift. But prize picks isn't that stupid. They're not as stupid as Dabble. They actually reduce your payout from 6x

[19:52] I love Starbucks. [sighs] I'm tired. Um, what do we want to do? Some people want prize picks. [snorts] Yo, so if you haven't used that hockey play, that looks like a very good hockey

[20:05] play, dude. The WBY play is absolutely insane. Um, what were we talking about? Russell Westbrook triple double.

[20:24] [yawns] give me a sec. Um, it sounds like people want to do prize picks. Okay, we can do prize picks. I mean, that's the most popular book being requested. Sorry. First play we have is hockey. We

[20:39] have William Nlander over two and a half shots on goal. This game is about to start again. Fixed payout sports book. You take his over, you take his under. On prize picks, you get the same payout, a 6x payout for a three pick entry. So,

[20:53] we want to be on his over, right? If his under is offered at plus 123. [snorts] under is offered at plus 123. [snorts] Um,

[21:08] this Reed Shepard play is crazy good, but again, we've already run it, but but again, we've already run it, but this play looks even crazier. this play looks even crazier. Kell Johnson under 14 and a half pas.

[21:21] PAS, it sounds like a perverted term, but it literally just means points plus assists. His over is offered at plus 136. And then I never mind getting in some early NFL bets. I like getting to Sunday when I just need one pick to like

[21:36] cash out a slip. It's kind of fun. So this would be a crossore entry. If you don't want to run flowers, I mean take Kevin Love under eight and a half RAS. Or honestly, why am I being lazy? I should just do a five pick entry for you

[21:50] guys [snorts] and be a good Samaritan. Kevin Love under eight and a half RAS. Damn, dude. There's a [ __ ] ton of value. There's more value than

[22:04] Reed Shepard over six and a half points. slip. Five pick entry. Can somebody please put the link in the chat? [snorts] Yo, can you guys see my screen?

[22:18] basketball, NBA. Technically, it's actually, basketball leagues going on because college basketball started. College college basketball started. College basketball is um it's also people call

[22:33] basketball is um it's also people call it CBB, college basketball or NCAAB because like NCAA and then B for basketball, [snorts] but you can't bet on a college basketball on prize picks in every

[22:45] state. So, this is a five pick flex play. If someone could put the link in the chat. Can somebody put the link in the chat? Yo, what's up, Peter Gazer? to everyone who put the link in the

[22:58] to everyone who put the link in the chat. Oh, there is a lot of [ __ ] right now. Again, make sure you join the Discord if you're not already in it. I post a lot

[23:14] of plays in there when um I'm too lazy to live stream. >> Yeah, I do. And also follow me on YouTube. You can watch the live streams there. Some people prefer it because it uh

[23:29] people prefer it because it uh it apparently like you can rewind and do some different things and stuff. This play is crazy, but there's nothing to pair it with on pick six. Um,

[23:44] if there's anything quick we could do on Underdog. Underdog's a great book. It just kind of sucks dick in terms of um bumps. Underdog bumps. I mean, it's by

[23:56] far the easiest DFS platform to beat that and Dabble. Underdog gives you better payouts than any other DFS book, but you got to run a a six pick entry, and sometimes you maybe don't want to do that, right? So,

[24:17] They banned me from promos. So, here you you not only have Profitex, but you also have Underdog Fantasy. So, this is a three pick entry. Nah, I'm going to get rid of Simons because we already ran it and run

[24:33] Reed Shepard again. [laughter] Why not? Reed Shepard. Come on. Underdog limits me though, so like don't take this too seriously. Underdog's like, "Yo, Alex, you've made too much money off us. They only give me a $25 max bet

[24:47] size." But this is these are the best three picks currently available. Niander, again, there's a [ __ ] ton of liquidity that is not your neighbor on Profitex in Novig. His under is offered at plus 123, plus 122. These market

[25:02] makers, these trading firms, Citadel Securities, this offering is under at plus 123. That means they want to bet his over at minus123. You're copying their homework and getting it at minus 122. Well, actually, you're not getting

[25:15] it at minus 122 because underdog bumped it. So, now we have to replace it with Z Flowers receiving yards and they bumped him. and they bumped him. You're killing me. Um,

[25:35] This book pisses me off, dude. They just bump things too fast. I mean, I give prize pick [ __ ] from time to time, but they are not this annoying they are not this annoying about bumps.

[25:56] college football. [snorts] You can see here, this is just from the odds jam line discrepancy tool. Every other book has Kelly's line at like 70 and a half rushing yards. Buy the stock at 70 half if uh you know he's 60 and a

[26:12] half on underdog. This is just the odds jam line discrepancy tool. They got his line at 60 and a half on underdog. All the other books 70 and a half.