Sharp Betting Strategies — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:30] [sighs] What is up? Yo, what's up, guys? How's everyone doing? Happy uh happy Wednesday. Okay, we got NFL playoffs this weekend. Who is winning Packers Bears, bro?

[00:48] Yo, guys, who's winning Packers Bears? What's up, guys? How's everyone doing? Happy um happy Wednesday. Let's get some bets locked in. Um let me know what sports book you guys want to look at, too. I got DraftKings pick six, we got

[01:01] underdog, we got prize picks, some good promos right now. Let's see what we can get locked in.

[01:19] morning, Goat. What's up, guys? What book do you want to look at? What's up? Let's get in some bets. So, maybe let's start out on better. Why not? Let's start out on Jake Paul's app and let's

[01:32] see if we can get in a slip. better. You know, it's another fixed payout sports book kind of like prize picks. [sighs] Damn, bro. They have some really good plays available right now. I know not everyone can do um not everyone can do

[01:46] play I'm going to go with this is going to be a college play on better. [snorts] What is this guy's name? Nigel Pack over 14 and a half points. Let's take a look at this [snorts] college basketball play.

[02:00] play. Um, and they bumped him. [snorts] Never mind. So, we're not going to do Mr. Nigel Pack. Let's see what else we can available. Maybe I will avoid college. So, the first play I'm going to go with,

[02:14] I guess we'll try some NBA. And [snorts] on better, you know, for all of these platforms, it's important to know what type of slip is optimal. And on better, it's like a, you know, a thigh pick flex play. That is the optimal slip type. So

[02:29] you can see here, you know, I do look kind of stupid with glasses, but maybe you guys will think I'm smarter. [snorts] So this play looks solid. I mean, there's heavy liquidity. So this is the odds jam sharp money

[02:43] tool, like no vig, which is a really smart book. They're offering over at plus 120 underdog odds. So they're telling us through their market, hey, you know, he's more likely to go under. So, let's just see if we can um rip a

[02:56] slip [snorts] as quickly as possible. I don't know why value is usually on the unders. So, let's see here. We have Jock Landell under seven and a half rebounds. This play also looks good. Every sports book,

[03:11] they got his under heavily favored. I do love diggs for this weekend. So, we'll [snorts] throw in some NFL. I mean, it's the NFL playoffs, so you guys will have the NFL playoffs, so you guys will have to be patient after we hit the first

[03:23] four plays in this slip. I guess we'll have to wait till Sunday, but that's have to wait till Sunday, but that's okay. really care what I'm betting on as long as there's good value. Keonte George,

[03:36] fading him this season has not been lucrative, dude. Keonte George is a problem. However, I'm kind of fine with it. Yo guys, better slip five pick entry. Can somebody put a link in the chat? I'm

[03:49] trying to rip bets as quickly as possible. All five of these picks have a solid edge. I mean, you can see Keonte George, edge. I mean, you can see Keonte George, his over is offered at plus 119. You

[04:01] could also take his under in points. It doesn't really matter. But here's the doesn't really matter. But here's the play we are looking at. It's beautiful. [snorts] NHL, NFL. Yo, can somebody put a link in

[04:13] NHL, NFL. Yo, can somebody put a link in the chat? Thanks for riding dudes with us today, Alex. Yo, no problem. [snorts]

[04:30] the link in the chat. Tell Clara I said hi Alex. Yeah, you wish. Okay, let's get this locked in. I'm going to run it.

[04:42] FanDuel flip bed MGM. So, we can look at FanDuel. Tell Stuff I said hi. I'm not telling my sister that you said hi. We can take a look at FanDuel. Dude, this play on lad

[04:56] [snorts] I mean, again, a lot of football value. to have as many bets with an edge locked in as possible. So, if you look at McConi, I mean, look at this play, dude.

[05:10] Whoa. It looks beautiful. I'm done with better for today. Obviously, they they give me a max bet size of 100 bucks per day. So, we just got him a better slip. I mean, FanDuel ridiculous value minus 128. All these other books average price

[05:23] minus 151. So, I mean, this is a good time to take Makoni. [snorts] And it's also right, it's it's a cross market, right? You can't have a cross market. You can't have arbitrage. I could bet his over on FanDuel, his under on

[05:37] profitex or Novig make a profit. So, one of these two plays has to be profitable. And it's really clear, too. You don't just have to look at these like, you know, smart peer-to-peer betting exchanges. Every other book has lads

[05:49] over as a much bigger favorite. But let's see what we can do. So, let's see what we have on prize picks, underdog, and you guys want to do a prize pick slip or what?

[06:04] what? Should we rip a prize pick slip?

[06:16] picks has better value. Sometimes it's better. Gary Payton under six and a half better. Gary Payton under six and a half points. Checks out from a Whoa. Checks out from a value perspective. I mean, you can see here both Profitex and Novig

[06:29] are offering as over as a heavy underdog. So he's more likely to go under. But what else do we like? What do we want to pair with? Derek Queen goated over 13 and a half points. Oh, baby. So, I got two picks so far.

[06:44] What do we think about him? But let's see what else we got. So, Derek Queen, this play looks good. Pinnacle, it looks good to every sports book. good to every sports book. We could include some NFL plays.

[06:58] Uh, do I want to run NFL or should we take Zubac? We could also take the D.

[07:10] Nah, I'll run this again. Yo, so I'm going to keep this NBA only. I don't really feel like waiting. I don't feel like waiting for Sunday um or Saturday. Yo, so here's the first

[07:23] prize pick slip. I'm gonna get locked in. three pick entry, 6x payout. I mean, mans. For prize picks, it's more marginal. Like, the difference between,

[07:35] you know, a three pick entry and a five pick entry isn't a huge difference when their payouts. For better, it's a bigger deal. [snorts] But anyways, let's get this locked in. Yo, thank you. What's up, Money Hands?

[07:49] What's up, Larry's Locks? Dabble, bro. Please, man. Don't you guys want to look at Dabble, we can pull up Dabble. Let me just I'm going to try to

[08:01] do one book at a time that you guys are asking for, otherwise I get overwhelmed. You don't want me to get overwhelmed. [sighs] [sighs] Um,

[08:17] good though. I mean, heavy amount of liquidity. Like the more liquidity obviously the better cuz that means the higher confidence you're going to have in your edge. Someone's betting like $50,000 on a

[08:29] player prop. Granted, this was only $1,000, but for a kind of niche market, Gary Payton points, it's actually a decent amount of liquidity.

[08:44] up the slip again. It seems like people missed it. Yo, didn't someone put the link in the chat? [ __ ] they removed Gary Payeyton, boys. That's annoying. So, they removed Gary Payeyton. I mean, this play on Derek

[08:58] Queen is still available. So, this play is still available, but [ __ ] man. They bumped the play on Gary Payton pretty quick, it looks like. I think, let's see.

[09:12] And they did. So, now it's only demons and goblins. Like, you can see on prize goblin. So, that's a little bit annoying. And they bumped Derrick Queen. What the [ __ ] dude? We may got to do another prize pick slip because they

[09:26] another prize pick slip because they just bumped that extremely quickly. Um, damn, bro. But maybe let's do these Sleeper promos first. I don't know, man. So, what does Sleeper have? Sleeper had some discounts for today. So, let's take

[09:41] some discounts for today. So, let's take a look. 100% NBA boost, college basketball boost. They also have some discounts again like these uh

[09:55] Moore where they're boosting the payout in general those are kind of trash so I wouldn't bet them but like if we look at Dante Moore passing yards Dante Moore passing yards actually this looks decent eh not really

[10:10] I mean you can see here like every buck has his line at 216 half It's not really a good discount, a 1.9x payout, you know, like sharp book, like they have an even lower line at 215 half. So, that's kind of

[10:26] trash. However, this one on Jacobs is probably good. So, let's see if we can get in some of the sleeper discounts as quickly as possible. So, we can do more prize picks. I'm sorry

[10:39] That's why you got to be tailing as fast as possible. So, here's a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Thomas Shabose over. Okay, so let's just get in a slip.

[11:00] we can do the sleeper promos. If you want to look at another book, we can look at another book. So, I'm just going to throw the hockey play on, you know, on a couple on a couple of the of the of the no-brainer

[11:15] discounts, but I also kind of want to look at DraftKings pick six because I [snorts] So, let's see.

[11:31] Durant over 26 and a half points. [snorts] So, we have KD over 26 and a half points. DraftKings pick six has a bouncing around from book to book. You

[11:44] can see prize picks has KD. They have his line a full point higher at 27 and a his line a full point higher at 27 and a half. So, this seems halfway decent on DraftKings pick six. What was the promo once again? Uh, choose your boost.

[12:05] boost. I mean, I'm just going to use it now. So, we got to do four picks. So, this is DraftKings pick six. I promise if you put a book you want to look at in if you put a book you want to look at in the chat, we'll look through it. But,

[12:18] we have a profit boost. This one, it's kind of weird. I feel like sometimes get the profit boost, which I guess they're doing today. Other times they they're doing today. Other times they don't. So, let's see what we can find.

[12:38] want to go with some NBA play. So, we got this play on KD Barnes under eight and a half rebounds. This is decent. I mean, look, like there's better value right now on prize picks and better compared to pick six, but obviously

[12:52] there's not a 30% profit boost, so we got to find something to run. I mean, so this seems decent, right? like it checks out from a value perspective. You know, DraftKings Pick Six is another fixed payout book. Every [ __ ] sports book

[13:06] has Scotty's under heavily favored. Also, eight and a half is a kind of high line for him, but whatever. Um, we're going to run Keonte George under 22 and going to run Keonte George under 22 and a half points. This is beautiful.

[13:28] six. This is what I'm running. One over, four unders. You gotta You gotta include the profit boost. But I think what they're going to do Oh no, they took it. Yo, so here's the play. Let me put the link in the chat real quick. Yo, link's

[13:42] in the chat. Larry Luck sharp as [ __ ] Dabble slip Payton under six and a half points. So apparently prize picks already bumped, you know, Derek Queen. I guess it's still available on Dabble. Do you still

[13:56] still available on Dabble. Do you still drink smoothies, Alex? A ZCF5. I sometimes drink smoothies, bro. Maybe

[14:11] I should. Honestly, now you got me hungry, bro. hungry, bro. What should I Door Dash? dude, let's reload this. Bro, why is this updating slow? I

[14:26] thought Gary Payton got bumped. They put him back on the board. Oh [ __ ] Yo, prize picks put I mean, that's a little bit annoying. Prize picks bumped Derek Queen and now he's back on the board.

[14:43] [snorts] So, let's find a play to go with.

[15:00] slip. So, we got Sorry, I get distracted by food. Oh [ __ ] by food. Oh [ __ ] [snorts] So, points. I mean, this play we already went through.

[15:14] This play looks [ __ ] crazy good. Matas over five and a half rebounds. Yo, so check this out. I mean, he's a [ __ ] the pick six discount. I still want to get something locked in though for the

[15:31] right like Matas Boozalis. He's a huge favorite to go over five and a half favorite to go over five and a half rebounds minus 150. Like, you know what rebounds minus 150. Like, you know what book is this? I don't even know. Um,

[15:43] and they bumped him. Are you kidding me? Prize picks, dude. So, they bumped that play. So, never mind. We're not going to be able to use it. However, that's okay because

[15:58] we have a lot of other good plays that we can go with.

[16:10] try to focus on cross market markets first just because that's when you have the highest confidence in your edge. I mean it seems a little crazy that his longest rush line is 6 and a half and his rushing yards line is only anyways

[16:23] six and a half. But let me just finish this slip. So um we need one more pick that we can go with. Let me remove Dabble for a sec. I promise you guys we can do Dabble or Sleeper, whatever you want to look at.

[16:37] Sleeper, whatever you want to look at. But let me just finish the slip. What do I like best? Trey Jones over 18 and a half PAs.

[16:50] Yo, what do we think about this, boys? Three pick entry. [snorts] entry? NFL basketball

[17:02] [ __ ] Um, can somebody put the link in the chat? That would be awesome.

[17:17] books you guys want to do. Unfortunately, I'm not in a state right Unfortunately, I'm not in a state right now where uh, you know, FanDuel's legal. FanDuel picks for you guys, but I'm just not in a state where it's legal.

[17:31] not in a state where it's legal. Anyways, three man. Where is this [ __ ]

[17:43] on prize pick. So, we got Gary Payeyton under Tank Bsby and Trey Jones. [snorts] Should we rip some underdog plays or what? what? Should we rip some underdog plays or

[17:58] Should we rip some underdog plays or what? it back on the board. Fliff, please bet MGM. Can you show the flip value? Yeah,

[18:10] I can show the flip value again. Like, dude, [ __ ] There's not much value on Fliff right now. There's way better value on DraftKings pick six. Actually, I don't really see any value on Fliff. Maybe Rebet has some. Um,

[18:26] Maybe Rebet has some. Um, I'm not sure. Dude, I actually have been looking. Rebet launched a pick a map. Kind of similar to prize picks. Yo, so this looks good. I mean, if you want to run

[18:42] 49ers plus 9 and a half. That looks like a crazy good bet on rebet minus 189. Every other book has this like minus 250 and the market is crossed, and the market is crossed, but obviously it's early. I mean,

[18:57] but obviously it's early. I mean, so

[19:31] Okay, let's see. Let's see what else we got. Um, so I'm going to put in underdog fantasy. Where did DraftKings pick six go? Pick six. We already did one of the promos. Look, I might as well do the college football boost right now. So,

[19:46] football. Let's see what we can find. [snorts] [snorts] Go, [ __ ] not sure if we're only going to be able to include picks for one day. Right over

[20:02] to include picks for one day. Right over 24 and a half receiving yards. So, what we're going to do is we are going

[20:15] what we're going to do is we are going to run a three pick entry. This is what I'm going to run. Okay. threeman for the DraftKings pick six. They got a college football boost. The play on right looked decent and um three

[20:28] pick entries are, you know, the best type of slip you can go with. [snorts] Hey, Alex, what do you think about Poly Market? Is Poly Market live in the US?

[20:40] Market? Is Poly Market live in the US? Do all you guys use Poly Market? bet on Poly Market yet. I like looking at it for like election odds and [ __ ]

[20:56] but I don't think I've really bet on it. I'm on Cali underdog.

[21:10] the chat, but here was the play. DraftKings pick six, 30% boost for easiest money you're going to make is from these [ __ ] promos. You got to

[21:22] hooked on sports betting initially is the is is all the sign up bonuses. Unfortunately, the signup bonuses, they have gotten worse, which is obviously have gotten worse, which is obviously kind of beat, but that's okay, right?

[21:42] So, what we're going to do is let's do this 100% profit boost on Sleeper. Sleeper again, it's um not my favorite sports book in general because they're trash in terms of their

[21:57] odds. However, they do offer, you know, pretty good uh they do offer really good promos, but again, like I if you're if if the main

[22:10] book you're betting on is Sleeper, you're literally, you know, you're messing something up. It's just like trash prices in general. It's the last book in the world you wanna you want to use. I mean, outside of promos. Um,

[22:29] just let me know. I'll put the link in the chat. [snorts] their odds in decimal format. I mean, it's all types of things, [snorts] but that's okay. So, here's what I ran on Sleeper. 30

[22:44] bucks. Let me just put the link in the chat. Sorry, guys. Um, let me put the link in the chat. Derek Queen, we already ran on prize halfway decent on Sleeper. Just trying to find some value for the 100% profit

[22:57] boost, dude. If you cannot make money with 100% profit boost, with 100% profit boost, you're messing something up, man. But let me put this link in the chat real quickly.

[23:25] this in the chat. Here we [ __ ] go. So, we got in the first profit boost. Um, check out Thrills. We need a replacement for Murray. Why do you need a replacement for Murray? Did they remove Murray? Do underdog.

[23:41] remove Murray? Do underdog. Underdog. Let's rip an Underdog slip. [ __ ] it. Um,

[23:57] Dude, I I All I want to do is nuke something. Yo, check this out. Go, [ __ ] Go, [ __ ] So, we got Keiante George under. This is very solid. [ __ ] dude. You just you you

[24:15] got to move quickly on some of these platforms. It's annoying, but it's true. platforms. It's annoying, but it's true. What is my favorite play, bro?

[24:29] quick as possible. So, this play looks crazy. Matas is under. He's heavily favored. Pinnacle every book. He's a massive favorite to go under. We have massive favorite to go under. We have Keiante George under and oh [ __ ] Aaron

[24:43] Gordon over 20 and a half Pas. Yo. So, what I'm going to do Why are all these guys [ __ ] questionable, dude? Take the bet.

[24:57] give me a lot of money on this. Unfortunately, a lot of these dudes are questionable, but hopefully they play. I think if both Gordon and Matas don't play, it'll just be voided. Hammer it. Yo, links in the chat. Should

[25:13] Hammer it. Yo, links in the chat. Should we rip an underdog slip? [snorts] you want to follow the hot girl at the bar. You want to bet on the book with

[25:26] value. So, let's just kind of see what do we have on underdog fantasy. Please give me something good. Christian Braun, Dyson Daniels, Mr. Vacuum. Bro, I think of Dyson Daniels. I always think about

[25:39] my vacuum cleaner, [snorts] which I use all the time. Oh [ __ ]

[25:51] yards. So, I got two picks so far. Again, it's weird. I don't know what to Again, it's weird. I don't know what to tell you on underdog three pick entries. Um, three pick entries are fine, but the

[26:04] optimal, you know, slip type, the optimal slip you want to go with is a uh is a six pick flex play. Like, if you break down the math and everything like that, dude, we are fading the [ __ ] out of I'm fading the [ __ ] out of Keonte

[26:20] George. Dude, why do we always fade? Anyways, got the directions right. I did. Yo, so you want to run it as a flex play? We

[26:35] got one over and then a bunch of unders. Um, sixman sixman on prize picks or sorry, what am I saying? On underdog fantasy. One, two, three, four, five, six. Can somebody put the link in the chat,

[26:49] somebody put the link in the chat, [snorts] please? Can somebody put the link in the chat?

[27:15] bump anything. I mean, you guys have had plenty of time to uh to bet this. Yo, thank you, Vinnie Curry. Thank you all for putting put the link in the chat, so I'm just going to bet this on my phone. I love

[27:28] you, Vinnie Curry. Thank you for putting the link in the chat.

[27:40] should I add for the fifth pick? Um,

[27:53] Damn, they already So, they bumped Dyson Daniels as well on Underdog Fantasy. Um, if Murray got bumped on Sleeper, you can see the Sleeper pick here. I don't know why they do that. They just straight up remove the player.

[28:09] Um, I would go with Clint Capella under four and a half rebounds at a 2.02x payout, which is just the same as plus 102 odds and like

[28:23] I don't know why they uh put their odds in decimal format, but they do. [snorts] asking about Rebet plays. Unfortunately, I don't have access to Rebet right now.

[28:36] the best play is Christian Brawn over three and a half rebounds at minus 120. Minus 120. But let's see what else we can do. What do we got on prize picks?

[28:48] So they haven't bumped this play on Gary Payton. This play looks really good. Luke Garza over 13 and a half PRs. So maybe what we

[29:00] can do is sixman? I'm down to do a prize pick slip. People want a fiveman or a

[29:12] six-man. Yo, so this play we did on underdog, but I also kind I mean again sometimes prize picks and underdog like you'll see similar plays because they you'll see similar plays because they work in the same way as one another.

[29:29] So we got Maxi under three and a half threes. This looks very good. again, you know, like Prize Pix has thousands of lines up at any given moment.

[29:42] moment. You should I try I try to start out just making sure like, okay, every pick I'm looking at looking at actually has value, has an edge.

[29:54] This play on Trey Jones is solid, too. So, we have Trey Jones over 18 and a half PA. Where is this? So, we could run a fiveman. Nah, I don't know if I love including Trey Jones with Isaiah Stewart. So,

[30:09] I mean, I'm already on the Gary Payton play, but like whatever. You could run it again. Gary Payton under six and a half points. Doesn't look good to the last five graph, but again, like historical data,

[30:21] it's it's priced into the market and stuff like that. fiveman getting a little more aggressive. I

[30:33] guess if you wanted to, what else looks decent? Let's check out the data. If you wanted to, if you can play college, you could add in Chase Ross over in points or, you know, you could add in the the tank

[30:45] bigsby play again under six and a half longest rush. That seems really good, longest rush. That seems really good, really free. [snorts] Damn, bro. six. So, this is a six pick flex play 25x payout. I've done a ton of

[31:02] videos kind of like breaking down the math behind prize picks, why certain slips are better than others, but whatever.

[31:15] Links in the chat. Link is in the chat.

[31:34] Thank you, Vinnie Curry. Thank you, Kyle Hamilton. Who's winning? So, Packers are slightly bigger favorites,

[31:47] dude. We have two really good g I mean Packers Bears is basically a coin flip. I mean I guess the Packers are very very very slight favorites. Bills Jags

[31:59] very slight favorites. Bills Jags basically a coin flip. Dude, is anyone I mean I don't know. That's going to be a crazy game. Is anyone else surprised the Bills are barely even

[32:12] favored? Are the Jags really like that? You guys Bills? What are we going to nuke? Packers are not beating us at home. I promise y'all. Go Bills. Better slip. We already did a better

[32:27] slip. I already did a better slip. I mean, I can go back to it. I'm not sure if it got bumped or not. I think it's still available. Better has a [ __ ] ton still available. Better has a [ __ ] ton of value available right now.

[32:40] So, here's what I got locked in. They recently changed their payouts on better. I said that before, but like it's basically the same payouts as prize picks except for if you go three for five. Um, you know, you get slightly

[32:56] better. Instead of a point 4x, you get a.5x. a.5x. That's the only difference. FanDuel. Again, I'm unfortunately I'm not in a state right now where FanDuel

[33:10] is legal, but Kawawaii under one and a half steals. This play looks super good at plus 124. I mean, you can kind of take a look at the board. There's a [ __ ] ton of value on FanDuel.

[33:24] Anyways, I'm going to call it a day for now. Enjoy the games. Um, I may stream now. Enjoy the games. Um, I may stream again. minerals kind