College Football Saturday Bets & DFS Picks — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:00] Alright everyone, welcome back into another college football video. Giving you a break down the early slate on Saturday. Giving you guys all my favorite bets and picks. And then we're going to end the video with some DFS coverage going over my first look build and comparing that against the 9-5 line builder.

[00:12] Let's go ahead and get into it.

[00:30] So we start out with Georgia here versus Arkansas. This is obviously going to be a game that's projected to be a blowout. Georgia's going to be 24.5-point favorites here. So with that, I don't really see a bet that I want to get to in this regard.

[00:43] I feel like the lines that we're getting here do make sense. Now, that could impact some of the profits that we want to be on, though. Like Gunnar Stockton, to get under his completions of 18.5, does end up being the top profit on the board, and you could see that hitting just in the sense that he's not going to have to

[00:57] throw the football that much because they're going to be playing with such a massive lead. Obviously, that could lead to a more run-heavy approach there in that game. So there are some interesting bets to get here, but no like plus easy bets. And I do think we actually are getting one for Gunnar Stockton.

[01:11] I actually like the idea of getting to his over fantasy score. So we're going to notice that Underdog does have this one at 23 for his fantasy score, which does feel a little bit too low. He's someone that I could see betting on to get over 1.5 pass and touchdowns as well.

[01:24] That should end up being a pretty darn easy bet to hit. We do see kind of his line is at 2.5 passing touchdowns for the under hit. But the overall point is I do think he's going to get to two passing touchdowns and maybe add a little bit more for us.

[01:36] And then just going over his game log, I did not get the over in the opening game. That game was too much of a blowout too fast. So we do need Arkansas to be able to play at least some football here in this game. It's always a risk here with these games that are massive blowouts

[01:50] where maybe the player that you're on isn't scoring the touchdowns and then you're not going to get the overs. But for the most part, I do think this bet has a great chance at a pinning, especially given the solid matchup that he has. And then I like the idea of getting to Chris Marshall here in this game,

[02:03] really to have a good game. The fantasy scoreline here at 10.5, I would argue, is a little bit too low. We are actually being told to bet on the under here, so we probably should be finding a different bet. So I don't mind the idea of getting to over four receptions.

[02:16] At 3.5 receptions, this bet has a strong likelihood for the over to hit. But at 4.5 receptions, the under has a strong likelihood to hit. so it could ultimately end up being a push. The appeal for me with Chris Marshall is going to be the fact that

[02:28] this is a game where they are going to be playing from behind, and the fact that he has had 10 targets and 11 targets. They had a game against Utah, which was a more difficult matchup, and was still able to produce in that game five receptions for 63 yards.

[02:41] Lots of snaps as well. 72 snaps in Week 1, and then in the previous game, guys, in that more difficult matchup, still ended up playing 55 snaps there. And so, again, if this game stays close enough or long enough,

[02:53] That ends up being a very solid bet overall. And then if you want to get to the over 48.5 receiving yards, I could also see that one hitting. I just think given the double-digit targets, you know, the last couple of games, I think that's just going to lock in a few more receptions.

[03:07] And then that four should end up being a pretty good one. But that's where if you want to bet on him to get over 10.5 for the fantasy score, that kind of makes sense. You know, 4.8 receiving yards, four receptions. You know, looking at 8.8 points there,

[03:19] there's not too much nuance there with that fantasy score prop bet. Now, if you're worried about Stockton being able to get this over, I wouldn't mind the idea of Nate Frazier to have a pretty massive game here to get a touchdown and thus be pretty likely to get the over-finished score here of 15.5.

[03:33] Also not a terrible spot to get to. Then we jump on into Kansas here versus Arizona State. Now, this game is in London for some reason, so that could naturally lead to some variance there, guys. Again, don't really have a big takeaway in regards to the point spread here in general.

[03:47] A 5.5 point spread in favor of Arizona State. If you guys want to bet on Kansas, not terrible odds there on the score bet. It does look like a lot of people are betting on Arizona State to win, guys, at about minus 190.

[04:00] 77% of people betting on this game are betting on that. Now, there are a lot of players that I do like betting on here in this game, but again, maybe a little bit concerning, kind of giving maybe some added variance in there.

[04:12] Nick McMillan's kind of an interesting player to be on. I could see getting to his over 3.5 receptions, but we're being told to bet on his under. where Fandu was given this underbet, a pretty strong likelihood to hit.

[04:24] And so this is where it does end up being a better, like, more traditional sportswear bet. So if you guys are from that Betts on Fandu, I could see myself getting smashing on this, where the bet is at plus 104. Now, in the first game, guys, obviously, good one off in that game.

[04:36] In the second game, they played in only two receptions for 52 yards. But as we're calling out, he did have seven targets in both of those games. Played in 53 of the snaps there as well in that game against Missouri.

[04:48] Their receiver number one, this game's supposed to stay close and close enough. Overall, shouldn't be as difficult of a matchup as well, you would hope. But then you could also just get to his over fantasy score as well, which he's been able to get the last two games.

[05:01] Kind of just betting on him to, once again, just have another good game. And another player that I like betting on is actually Reed Harris to, once again, get his over 4.5 for his reception. We are seeing a lot of books are giving this as a bet that has a strong likelihood

[05:14] for the under to hit. If you want to bet on the over, the score bet, once again, plus 100. Fred Fangel, minus 102, kind of some of the more traditional bets there. But just kind of an interesting market. You could also maybe chase over receiving yards or fantasy score with him as well

[05:27] if you guys want to go that route. Receiving yards is at 76.5. Not too many lines where it's different. For college football, we typically do see some bigger prop line differences. Now, Reed Harris has been going off for the first two games thus far this season,

[05:40] and I would expect that to continue. So we're going to see nine receptions, six receptions. Love that. over 100 yards receiving in both games, two touchdowns in both games as well, eight targets and 12 targets, so just a heavy target share.

[05:52] Higher snaps in the last game there as well where they lost, 40 in game one and then 67 in game two. So obviously the game is going to be a game that's supposed to stay close. He's going to have a pretty massive game you would expect.

[06:04] For DFS, I also like to hear it to him, but just in general, I like the idea of just betting on him to have a good game. It just really comes down to which side that you want to end up on there. and then from there we are getting one other bet here in this game and that was actually with

[06:16] Miller to once again get his over reception here of 5.5 so a lot of the books are writing this out as you know around a 49% chance for the over to hit again if you're betting on a more traditional site I really don't mind the idea of getting to this bet if you wanted to you could also just

[06:32] get to his over receiving yards or over fancy score really I think all of them are pretty darn appealing but Miller is also some that's had a very heavy target share thus far and basically around the same snaps as Reed there.

[06:44] 37 in week one, 68 last week. Obviously, eight and nine receptions. Ended up with nine targets in week one, 15 in week two. So very good stuff there. What's crazy is kind of the lack of receiving yards there in that last game.

[06:58] A little bit of a worry, I would say, in this game, but that's where I do end up liking the receptions that much better there for Miller. Chase, not very heavy target share, and also a very good snap share. Then here's where Connock gets. If you want to use the Arizona State quarterback there with those two pass

[07:11] catchers and maybe a stack. I don't mind that just because I found the heavy correlation there where obviously for DFS you want to use your quarterback with one of the receivers I could see playing both of them Let me go ahead and jump on into the next game North Carolina versus Clemson So this ends up being a game that is basically a toss Carolina is going to end up being or there if you want to bet on them to be able

[07:33] to cover. You could bet on that at minus $1.05 on DraftKings. One of the better bets is Clemson to be able to cover at plus $1.05 there on Hard Rock bets. So some interesting bets there. We are seeing more people are betting on North Carolina to win, guys.

[07:45] So about 52% share of the market there is on North Carolina just to win. And so people are liking that bet at plus 140. Around plus 153 there actually on Cal State.

[07:57] So if you guys are something that does that, they're really not terrible. We are seeing a correlated bet, which is kind of fun. But I think we just want to chase maybe more to get over four receptions. Not a terrible one, but also not one where I feel like we have to be going out of our way to target.

[08:11] and what's tough to me in this game is that for a college football game, it kind of ends up being a lower scoring game here in general, and so I was actually looking for some under bets to place. I know, crazy, right? I never do under bets. Billy Edwards Jr. to get under his fantasy score of 14.5 did somewhat stand out to me.

[08:27] What was annoying is right before I went to record this video, they updated the underdog odds for him where he was at like 15.5. I'm like, all right, we'll bet that under. But now I still think we can get to his under 14.5.

[08:39] It really just ends up being a tougher matchup. And this bet is giving about a 53% likelihood for it to hit. Now, after that, I didn't really like any other bets here for this game. We're calling out guys that we are getting Reynolds to get over his fantasy score as well as a decent bet.

[08:54] I'm kind of indifferent about that, but it does have a 53% likelihood to hit whenever we get fantasy score bets that are popping up. As always, that's worth calling out. Again, I think this game is going to be a little bit lower scoring, so I don't really want to chase the over bet.

[09:06] And not only thing, but like Reynolds, this is his first start. Freshman, like could end up struggling. Billy Edwards is going to be without one of his top receivers. Like maybe the under just in this game ends up being the spot to get to.

[09:18] Could end up being wrong about that. It's college football, right? And a big place to happen due to the lack of discipline defensively. But interesting, interesting thoughts there. Let's go ahead and jump on in to the next game, which will be the Ohio State versus Kent State Golden Flashes.

[09:31] This is obviously going to be a game in which Ohio State is going to be projected to win by a ton. 52.5 total points. Do with that what you will. With that, these are always more difficult spots to really be on in general for betting. I think we can

[09:45] mostly just pass up on it because, well, we don't know how much these players are going to play. Sure, for Ohio State, a lot of these guys are going to be part of the reason why the games are going to get blocked, but overall, I don't feel like we need to be

[09:57] chasing any of those bets. There is actually an interesting DFS quick for a deep shot value running back-wise, and that would be Legend Bay, where if this game doesn't be in a massive blowout, there's a good chance that you could end up with kind of the same

[10:09] output that happened in Week 1 for them, where he was able to get to 15.4 DFS points, mostly because he was able to add in a touchdown. I don't mind the idea of chasing that for that DFS slate, and if that's a bet that you guys want to chase as well, I mean

[10:21] you can, it's just you're betting on backup's backup to get some work, but it is a game where it does end up being a pretty heavy blowout, and if it, you know, they're putting out 53.5 points, it really wouldn't pretty shocking to see a running back score a touchdown,

[10:33] a backup running back score a touchdown. Then we go ahead and get into Buffalo versus Penn State, where Buffalo does have some kind of fun pieces offensively. Chance Morrow has five touchdowns for them, kind of just a fun player to cheer

[10:45] for in this game, and maybe just something to pay attention to. But overall, Penn State is the team that we want to be on in general. Obviously for DFS purposes, we're going to like that. Betting purposes, it does end up being a little

[10:57] bit thin in regards to the bets that we can get to. Although I do think Rocco Beck is going to have a pretty stellar game here in this game. It does end up being a pretty strong matchup for him in general. And so if we take a peek at some of the bets that we can get to, are there any bets stand out? Well, I will say this passing

[11:11] yards one to be off compared to some of the other sites is a little bit appealing to me. So Price Race has it at 245, which most books have it at. Some have it at 246. Some have it at 247. So if we're just taking a peek at it, I do think, again, just given the matchup, there's a good

[11:25] chance that he does end up getting this over. Now, overall, I do think that's a fine bet, but overall, I actually don't mind the idea of just betting on him to have a good game. Over 21.5 for his fantasy score can end up being a good bet, and I phrase it that way because, again, if you guys are some of

[11:37] the bets elsewhere, like underdogs, double check. Make sure that, you know, when if they have a line and it's lower, you just want to be placing the best bet possible, so you'd want to place the over bet on underdogs. I'm just, I don't know if underdogs are going to have that line yet. They

[11:50] didn't when I recorded this video, but I do end up thinking that could be a decent flyer for you as the target, and then we are getting a decent flyer in this game, once again, more from a DFS standpoint. And that is Carson Henson here, where

[12:02] hasn't really scored the touchdowns, and so if you're someone that's not going to be on Michael Beck, I do think that ends up being interesting. And given kind of the lack of production in the game, I don't think many people are going to be targeting 7.3 there on

[12:14] drafting. Whereas if we take a peek at his fans who score on Pysers, they have this at 17.5, and I do think he's just going to have a good game. Buffalo is an easy defense for Penn State to pick apart. You would expect him to be able to score a Russian

[12:27] touchdown here in this game, which is what PrizePace is projecting there by having that be a goblin. Now what sucks is this is the exact bet that we're kind of being told to bet on for the under. 53 fantasy points, or 53% likely for him to get under his fantasy points of 17.5. So massive

[12:42] game total, sorry, massive point spread where Penn State is, you know, projected to win by 41 points. You would expect the running back to finally pick up a touchdown, especially given the fact that he He hasn't done it just yet. And that's where I think, you know, GPPU-wise may be more of a fun click there for DFS.

[12:56] So let me go ahead and jump on into the next game where we've got Kentucky versus Texas A&M. Now, Kentucky's going to be 17-point underdogs here in this game, which, again, I don't really have a takeaway from that. We're calling out some of the volume here.

[13:08] People are betting on Texas A&M to win. That's basically the most high-volume bet that we are getting. But this is where it gets interesting. We're getting two of our plus-ED bets here in this game. Owens to get under his fantasy score of 15, and then Minchie as well to get under his fantasy score of 12.5 fantasy points.

[13:24] Both bets that have a 55% likelihood or better to hit. And if we look at the game log here for Owens, really has been struggling to get that heavier over there. Now, again, they are going to be pretty heavy favorites, and that does typically dictate more success for a running back in that spot.

[13:39] But I could see why this would end up being appealing to a lot of people, especially given the fact that this bet does have a 55% likelihood to hit. And then the other bet ends up being an under for the Kentucky quarterback. Now, he is someone that did struggle in more difficult competition there against Bama.

[13:54] Now, it is Bama. You would kind of expect him to struggle there. Did have a good game in his first game, though, however. So, tough to truly gauge this one, although I do think that, yeah, I probably would be favoring the under here in this spot. And this is another one where when we take a peek at the prizestate line compared to the underdog line,

[14:10] we can tell that we are actually getting a good bet because of that. So, let me jump on into Bama versus Florida State. Bama's going to open up as 19.5 point favorites there, guys, if you guys like them. Two cover bats. Caesars actually offering a pretty good market there, minus Lionel A.

[14:24] They're not terrible. Some people are actually betting on Florida State to win, I mean, I wouldn't say crazy volume, but I think that's more due to how, like, Bama looked, more specifically, Russell, their quarterback. And this actually ends up being really, I would argue, one of the better bets ever again.

[14:38] I don't want to say best bet, but 25 does end up being a very high fantasy score for him. And it not like it a massive game total Well I mean 49 and a half total points is not nothing but at the same time it not like egregiously high game where Beggs is expecting it to be a shootout type of game and maybe that would concern us more

[14:56] Now, he is expected to throw for two passing touchdowns, which we don't like, and overall, all-purpose yards is about 280. So, you could see a path where maybe this bet that does look strong, 56% likely for his bet to hit, maybe it ends up being a little bit of a sweat.

[15:11] But on top of that, we are seeing that likely to get an anytime touchdown. But overall, did not get the over through the first two games thus far. So kind of worth calling out. And that's enough confirmation bias for me to end up placing that bet.

[15:23] But that was really the only bet that I felt like it was worthwhile to chase. We are getting another one, though. The Florida State running back to get under his rush yards. And we are seeing some pop line differences here as well. 61.5 does seem to be on the higher end.

[15:37] Because you guys are some of that does bet on prize space and or underdog. Really not a terrible spot to get two fours under. I would say that does go hand in hand with the expectations for this game, but like we're calling out two very good games in a row now for him.

[15:50] Obviously, Bama ends up being a much more difficult matchup, and then we are getting another one, guys. Daniels to get under his fantasy score, 54% likelihood for that bet to hit, and again, not a terrible spot. Underdog has it a little bit lower as well, so if you want to place that bet, at least you are placing it on the correct site.

[16:05] And then we go ahead and get into, I would say, the most fun game slate, on the slate, sorry. S&U versus Louisville, where this ends up being a very high projected gain total, 58.5 total points, ends the game, that ends up being a toss-up.

[16:17] You're actually going to have a lot more people are betting on Louisville to win, which, fine, you know, 58% of the people are betting on them. You know, it wouldn't be a terrible bet then, I guess, on any of the books at, like, minus 116. But I think this is a toss-up, and I think for DFS, for betting,

[16:31] we want to be trying to attack some of the spots that we're getting. The issue is, I would say most of the bets are correct. And so for me, it ends up being one where maybe you're just blindly stacking a lot of over fantasy score bets.

[16:44] And like, we look at the board, guys, and we're just not seeing any bets where Rash is being told about on the over. I could get to this one with Lincoln to get over his passing touchdowns here at 1.5. Actually, Deaton just ends up being one of the better bets that are not like plus EV bets, only 52% likely for that to hit.

[16:59] But overall, I really don't mind that market's been able to go two for two thus far this year in regards to getting that over. I also don't mind the idea of getting to it once again as over fantasy score. I feel like either of those two end up being the correct number. This would actually be a bet where you, it's a small difference, you know, .25,

[17:14] but still, you'd want to bet the over there on Underdog. Overall, though, I felt like those lines were correct. Like, their appeal betting on him would just be to bet on Kevin Jennings as well to get his over fantasy score. And when we look at Kevin Jennings, it's not like we're getting a drastic,

[17:28] slight prop point difference at all. And for the most part, I would argue, yeah, the markets are probably correct for him as well. But he does have a very high passing yards total, and maybe that leads you to want to be on him to get over his passing touchdowns of 1.5.

[17:42] You are being told to bet on his under, though, which is pretty unfortunate to me, because I do like the idea of betting on the over more so. But I did want to spend a little bit of time for this game, looking at it from a DFS standpoint. I think you could just go Kevin Jennings, who arguably is a little bit too cheap against.

[17:57] This game ends up being a shootout. We're obviously going to want our action on this, and it does end up being, I would say, a mostly easy fight to stack. You can get Lincoln in there, who, for me, ends up being someone that I view as more of a core player, mostly due to us having some pretty good studs that we want to get to on the slate running back-wise, receiver-wise.

[18:12] He does allow some flexibility there. Running back-wise, I don't think we need to go crazy with. The issue that we have on the slate is Richardson's fine. They're expected to have a good game, but not one I want to go crazy with. We are actually getting a decent punt value in Smith, who is kind of the receiver number one.

[18:28] had a very big game in week one. I still end up with a touchdown there in week two. Sounds like being a player you can stack with Kevin Jennings. And it is where Connelly is. You guys are looking to bet on that game. You could maybe bet on him to score another touchdown.

[18:40] The markets are not really valuing him too much. We're not really getting any bets for him, though, which is a little bit annoying. And then we get into USC here versus Rutgers. Rutgers are going to be pretty heavy underdogs in this game. 21.5 points, which I would say is validated.

[18:54] the only player that is like worth something in this for the state does seem to be KJ Duff who has really been going off as part of our GPP takedown for DFS on that Friday night and really went off

[19:06] for us on our bet slip as well but I mean it's a high game tool like worth calling out but I really don't think we need to even chase him this is a game where USC is going to be without one of their top receivers which should create some value but the next best option that we have is

[19:22] Hines here who also has had his snaps limited over the past few games and so if we knew for sure that Hines was going to not be limited in this game I would love this over and I do think on a more traditional site betting on it's over on like Fandu or Caesars worth about minus 105 I do like the

[19:37] idea of getting to that bet and again we can kind of see just really hasn't had that productivity partially due to limited snaps but with Mosley being out here in this game you know there's two receptions in the previous game and then seven receptions in the first game that does

[19:50] leave a lot of opportunities open. Now this is where Conor Dixon-Wyatt is also someone that has had a few decent games overall, and he is someone that should also step up, and I wouldn't mind the idea of getting to his over 51.5 receiving

[20:02] yards here, but they all are a little bit risk-reward, I will say, given the high game total and given their likelihood to win. I would be kicking myself not being on those two just because it is a very logical spot for those two to

[20:14] step up into a bigger role, and then obviously in what is a good matchup be able to exploit that and then although Rutgers has been decent against the run I don't mind the idea of getting to or sorry although USC has been good against stopping the run I wouldn't mind getting

[20:28] to Raymond uh for I do hesitate to say it's like for him as a like low owned DFS flyer because again people aren't going to want to be on him now for betting his fantasy score is pretty low

[20:40] like if they are going to keep this game close and it does end up being kind of just a close game And he's going to be part of the reason that's why. He could chase his over 70.5 rush yards. We'll admit, probably a little thin. And he is currently questionable. And so, you know, maybe in a blowout, they end up limiting his stats even more.

[20:55] Then we go ahead and jump on into Duke here versus Stanford. So, interesting game. 50.5 total points. Duke going to be heavier favorites. And that's mostly due to Nate Shepard just freaking going off the last few games.

[21:08] We'll talk about him in just a second. A lot of people are betting on Duke to win here as well as you with their stats. Yeah, Nate Shepard, let's go ahead and break him down because he has went off like 40 fancy points each of the last two games. Really likely to have a good game here again.

[21:20] We are being told to bet on his under. I would not bet this one, guys. Has a almost 55% likelihood for the under to hit. But obviously the offense has been flowing through him. And he has been someone that has really been going off without too much trouble, right?

[21:34] Six yards per carry, catching the ball to the back, doing everything. and gets a good matchup here against Stanford as well, who has been pretty susceptible to giving up the points in the run game to running back. I'd actually probably like the over.

[21:46] If we were being told to bet the over, I'd hammer that one. But maybe we just stay away from him, kind of just work on his productivity, do expect him to have a good game once again, and for DFS, ends up being kind of an auto-click at this point, even at that price tag.

[21:58] I do think the rush receiving yards line sounds crazy. I do think this could end up being a little bit too low. Again, just give them a matchup. I don like messing with these numbers like that where it I mean 161 pull a yard for a running back is pretty darn crazy So I think we just stay away there I do think all the receivers have a good chance

[22:18] to end up having a good game. I just didn't particularly want to get to any of them. Let me rephrase that. I didn't see the point of, like, singling out one of them. If you guys have one in mind that you think is going to end up having a good game,

[22:30] you call that out. But this is the matchup I do want to target. Sanford is, you know, just poor defensively. I just think it ends up being a guessing game as to which receiver is going to go off and what is going off to them if Nate Shepard is still dominating and dominating the time of possession, right?

[22:44] It might just be one deep shot touchdown that hits, and maybe that helps for DFS, but for betting, it ends up being a little bit thin. And then we jump on into Mississippi State here versus South Carolina. Another pretty fun game, a decent high game total, 58.5 total points,

[22:58] a 3.5 point spread as well. I'm a sucker for betting on Mississippi State to win here, guys. I don't mind that action. Cover at 3.5 as well. I could definitely see that. It does seem like most of the public, though, however, is betting on South Carolina to win,

[23:13] at least at this point. About 52% of the bets are coming in on them to win. In regards to some of the spots that we can get to in this game, we're not really getting any plus EV bets here. A lot of us are actually being told to bet on the under.

[23:26] Rush yards is 69.5. We are seeing some other books actually offer 72.5 for him for his rush yards. So we're pulling it out. Like, we are seeing a big, like, prop on difference. This would actually be a spot where we'd probably be better off chasing the over, right?

[23:40] As some of the other books have them at 71, 72.5. And so far this year, got the over pretty handily against Minnesota, which was seen as a more difficult matchup. And then you have the first game where it just wasn't needed much out of him.

[23:52] Now, this does end up being a more difficult matchup against South Carolina for sure. And overall, I think we stay away from that. But I did want to call that one out. And then I actually like the idea of getting to tailor Fords over Fantasy Score.

[24:04] Mostly, again, just betting on him to have a good game. Now, this does end up being a more difficult matchup for sure, but to me, the prop line difference that we are seeing there, where PrizeFix has him at 23, I end up liking that. Now, this bet has about a 50-50 chance of hitting per the biggest odds,

[24:19] and so, like, it's a massive slate. We don't have to force this type of bet in there, but we'll see. We'll be kicking myself if he does end up getting that over. And so, before we go ahead and get into the bet today, I do just want to ask you guys to like the video, subscribe to the channel if you guys have not done so before.

[24:32] If you guys want access to that tool, that prop betting dashboard, head on over to 95sports.com. You guys can get access to that tool for just $10 a month. Again, 95sports.com. Feel free to check that out. Now, we'll jump on into the bed of the day.

[24:44] After that, we'll jump on into more of the DFS side of things here. But this does end up being a weird slate. Where a lot of the bets that I end up liking the most were bets in which they were like receiver bets over reception bets.

[24:57] and the tough part is that a lot of those were being told about the under zone so for like a prize pick by the day not necessarily the spots that we should be getting to but again I really like Miller to get over 5.5 receptions Harris to get over 4.5 receptions Marshall some of that

[25:11] really like to get over four receptions I think those are all great spots but for the most part all the reception profits that we could be on we're actually being told about the under on so that makes sense to get the action on those elsewhere and so I just went like primarily with what the board is currently telling us keyword currently obviously bets are updating

[25:26] constantly, and it does feel weird to be on two unders for that Alabama Florida State game. Basically hoping for that game to not be that high scoring. But then we go ahead and jump on into more of the DFS side of things. Again, I really don't mind the idea of getting

[25:38] Kevin Jennings stacked with Lincoln there in that game. The top part for me is they are difficult to stack, really both of them. I think pricing-wise makes them difficult to stack, and so hand build is going to be tough to do.

[25:50] Generate minus is not that difficult, obviously. The optimizer will take care of that. Corey will show you that in just a second. Running back-wise, I don't mind the idea of getting the Parker, even though that does end up being a difficult matchup for him. And then, yeah, Nate Shepard, we're just going to be jamming into our builds for now,

[26:03] just with how solid of a click he is. Then we are getting some pretty interesting values. One of those values ends up being Eli Wood there, who we can see has been productive. Six starts in both the games, 11, sorry, receptions, 11 targets,

[26:17] nine targets, 11 maps, has been very productive thus far, and would expect that to continue, and just way too cheap. And I wouldn't say a great spot, for sure, but maybe gets a little bit of garbage time production there,

[26:29] and that play does open up a bunch for this slate. So obviously, quarterback-wise, we probably can't get to one of these quarterbacks, and I did want to call out one other one that we are getting that does end up being a player that opens up enough,

[26:41] and that's Grady. Not going to butcher his last name, but he is someone that came in, looked fine, expected to start here in this game as well, but just ends up being a cheap play, where if he doesn't end up being able to put up around 15 or so points,

[26:53] even 12 at this price, that does open up a bunch. The issue is if we have another quarterback go for like 40, right, it doesn't really matter if you're hitting the correct value plays because you just need that raw point product.

[27:05] So it's kind of a weird slate in that regard. But that's kind of the approach that I'm looking at for this slate. But then again, when we're looking at it from more of a lineup builder standpoint, that's going to change something. So just taking a peek here at position by position,

[27:18] we are getting plenty of solid quarterback plays. I really like Stockton as kind of a safe play. He is priced up a little bit much, especially in comparison to some of these other quarterbacks and how they're projected to play. I think Taylor is a very fun click as well.

[27:31] More difficult matchup, but he's been pretty darn solid. David disagrees a little bit with me there as well. If we take a peek at some of the values, we are getting some very strong values. And the one player I really want to try to go out of my way to target is going to be Lincoln there.

[27:43] And so I set the max or min exposure to at least 20% of those. The tough part about him and, again, Kevin Jennings is going to be they're pass catchers. They're not as perfect of options for us.

[27:55] And then we are getting enough decent running back flyers. I would say nothing too crazy, but it has Parker and Shepard. Great out as the second and third best, sorry, third and fourth best running backs that has used on the slate.

[28:07] And they're two of the higher priced running backs and values on the slate. That should really tell you everything that you need to know. And then some of the receivers that we're getting to as, like, good values are a little bit different than what I was seeing. And again, I really like Eli Wood. About the fifth best guy, you got Jordan Shipp, who I didn't mention there for UNC.

[28:21] A very cheap price tag. Chance Morrow there, who, again, very, very productive lately. Probably going to get just destroyed there against Penn State, but maybe, maybe he splashes a big play.

[28:33] In terms of total projected points, Smith ends up being up there. Duff ends up being up there as well. Plenty of players to pay up for if I had to choose. Evans, Miller, and then probably Reed and Marshall. So I think those two plays end up being pretty darn safe in general here as well.

[28:47] And then just some simple clicks here, guys. We are going to obviously want to stack our quarterback with our pass catcher and then super flex stack as well. Not only end up doing 20 lines, but the data does really like Lenore's there, Sellers, as a quarterback.

[29:00] And then AJ, Soarce, and I don't know. I don't really like that, but I just get into Parker there. I do really like that. They've given to Parker and Nate Shepard and Bill together, but it isn't doing that combination too much.

[29:13] So this is where the data sees it a little bit differently than I do, at least right now. We'll see how this stuff updates again up until lineup lock. So that's going to do it for this video. I do appreciate everyone being here. Again, make sure to leave a like on the video, subscribe to the channel.

[29:26] Again, if you guys want access to either of the tools that you saw throughout this video, make sure to head on over to 9to5sports.com. You guys can get access to all the tools on the website for a bold monthly cost of only $10 a month. I appreciate you being here. Good luck. And as always, let's keep cashing.