Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

[00:09] man. We still got a lot of games tonight. We still got a lot of games tonight. So, let's get some bets locked in.

[00:26] guys? How's everyone doing? Yo, what's good, Alex? Oh, yeah. Rebet value. Yes, sir. Double stream. Let's get it. Long long shot TDs.

[00:39] Let's see where the value is. Dude, I'm kind of annoyed. So, DraftKings pick six for college basketball. Unfortunately, they give you pretty ass payouts. They only give you a 5x payout for three mans, 8x. It's kind of

[00:54] for three mans, 8x. It's kind of [ __ ] But there has been regardless today. But let's see what we can do. Let's see about prize picks. Maybe we'll start out on prize picks and then we can go to another sports book. Whatever

[01:07] people want to do. So the first play we have is Sabonis over 32 and a half Pas. tonight? Nope. That is not what I meant to bet. Sabonis over 32 and a half Pas.

[01:20] Damn, there's a solid amount of This play is [ __ ] crazy, dude. Yo, are you guys able to bet on college basketball? Yo, can most of you do college basketball? I'm just kidding. I'm going to bet on college basketball.

[01:36] If you don't live in a state where college basketball betting is legal, you should probably move, dude. You gotta level up. But anyway, second player we're going to go with is Yakel

[01:48] Lendenberg. What a name. under 17 and a half points. Again, Price Pix is a fixed you take his under, you get the same [ __ ] payout regardless. You can see here on Profitex, super sharp peer-to-peer book trading firm setting

[02:04] their lines. His over is literally a plus 132 underdog. If his over is a plus 132 underdog, then obviously his under is the favored, the more likely outcome by a lot. So, that's the sharp pick we want to be on on prize picks. But we got

[02:19] to finish this slip, don't we? Don't we? Don't we? Damn, dude. There is a lot of Don't we? Damn, dude. There is a lot of college value. Oh my god. I don't know what I want to do. We have Ryan Conwell under 17 and a half Pas,

[02:33] boys. We got to move quicker. [snorts] And what else did we have? Man, this Clint Capella play is crazy, too. Dude, his over is literally a plus 138 Why is there so much value on prize picks? I guess we're doing a fiveman. If

[02:48] you're Oh [ __ ] this game starts in like 40 seconds, so you better be moving quick. I'm gonna add in one more pick. If you are not able to play college, I recommend just remove the college picks and run a threeman. Final play we're

[03:03] going to go with is Jake Lavaria. Bro, how is the entire Lakers team white? Um, yo, here's the play. Get it locked in. Get it locked in. You literally have like 15 seconds on this Capella play. Yo, are people able to see my screen?

[03:18] You definitely are. Yo, I gave you guys plenty of time to bet it. A link better be in the chat now. First three picks. Final three picks. You got five more Final three picks. You got five more seconds. Bang. Let's go. Take the bet.

[03:32] We ain't getting the link. Yo, somebody put the link in the chat. Do you consider liquidity on prediction markets for the Sharp Money tool? Um, I

[03:45] think Odds Jam's going to be adding it in. Realistically though, Koshi and um, Yo, so prize picks play submitted. But what I was going to say is if you just what I was going to say is if you just like look at like I mean

[04:00] usually these other prediction markets like Khi and Poly market, they are just nowhere near as competitive as Novig and Profitex. I mean, if you just look at NFL money line tonight, Cardinals Cowboys game, Profitex has six cents of

[04:15] juice, Novig has a one cent spread, and Cali is like a [ __ ] Cali is like a [ __ ] uh 33 cent spread. So, like some of these prediction markets, they're just a lot wider,

[04:31] so they're not as, you know, competitive. But Anyways, I still got to figure out on DraftKings pick six what is the optimal

[04:45] slept type, but I'll do that another time. I'm trying to rip some bets. You know what I mean? So, let me get rid of pick six for a second because again, for of crappy payout. So, you got to be careful there. However, let's get into

[05:00] some underdog fantasy plays, dude. So, they have this play on Ryan Conwell available as well. Dude, there's just so much college value. It's absolutely insane. College basketball, I think player props, if you're able to bet on

[05:14] them, arguably the most profitable of all, it's pretty insane. So, let's see what we can do. Maybe we can find some NFL bets for tonight. Um, dude, this guy, we bet him I gave him out under 10 and a half. The market has just

[05:30] got him under 10 and a half on prize picks. Now he's favored. He's a huge underdog to even go over eight and a half. So, we got some crazy good CLV on that one. [ __ ] it. Maybe I'll rebet it again. Now I'm getting a worse line, but

[05:45] the market the information in the market has also adjusted. So, like, who really cares? Oi. So, let me get rid of prize picks for a sec. I'm trying to move as fast as possible because we got a lot of [ __ ] to do. Yes,

[06:00] because we got a lot of [ __ ] to do. Yes, we do, sir. Yes, we do. Wow, dude. I feel like in general, these college basketball lines are just too high. Obviously, it doesn't make sense to take Conwell's under and this Isaac

[06:13] McNeely guy. Again, price picks an underdog, like on underdog, they offer the best payouts in the DFS industry. I've said that before, but

[06:29] Powell under 19 half. Jake Ferguson under 16 and a half longest reception. He's a tight end. 16 and a half is a pretty long longest reception line. Dude, why are we always all unders? [ __ ] problem, dude. Um I don't know,

[06:45] man. We are always on the unders. That's be that's usually where the better value is. There's some good live value on Oh, shoot. Caldwell Pope under two and a half first quarter points. Smash. Where is this?

[06:59] Yep. Okay. Sixman. Somebody put a link in the chat. I'm giving you guys some time to bet it. Again, you want to run these as a flex play. If you go through the math behind underdog's payouts, you can see they have me max limited. Like I

[07:12] get $25 a slip. It's some [ __ ] but it is what it is. Here's the play again. Yo, link link link. First three picks, second three picks. Even if you don't use FanDuel, you still want to put some weight into their odds.

[07:25] I mean literally Caldwell Pope is a minus 178 favorite to go under two and a half first quarter points. Underdog is minus 116 juice. When you break down the math behind underdog fantasy, they're basically just giving you what the [ __ ]

[07:45] the [ __ ] dude? Why did they do this to us? They are not supporters of Alex. No, they are not. [gasps] Um, Um, yeah. What do we want to do?

[07:59] All right. So, now we're back to four picks. I mean, [ __ ] annoying, but I don't know what to tell you, man. I don't know what to tell you.

[08:16] problem with esports is they usually bump esports especially fast. So, let's try this. We got Dwight Powell under four and a half rebounds and Duncan Robinson under 15 and a half PRs. I

[08:31] mean, again, I wish I like cross market bets, you have the highest confidence in your edge, but I don't even see his PR line available, dude. Um, I like D Rozan under and Pas. I don't

[08:46] I'll just run this instead. And they bumped it. What the [ __ ] And I don't know if I love pairing those together. Damn. Give me one sack. One

[09:01] sack. I'm almost done. I promise. Oh, I'm trying to do as many bets as Oh, I'm trying to do as many bets as possible. [ __ ] man. Um,

[09:15] Yeah. Let's see. So, this game's obviously about to start. So, you guys try to go quick. I mean, sorry they bumped everything or the replacement plays. Can somebody please put a link in the chat again on

[09:30] underdog? If you go through the math, you will see for yourself. Six pick flex you will see for yourself. Six pick flex plays are optimal.

[09:46] plenty of time to bet it. What the [ __ ] dude? Now they're telling me you've already bet on Norman Powell. You can't bet on Norman Powell again. Dude, they are really a pain in the ass sometimes.

[10:00] sometimes. Um,

[10:13] bro? And they're already adding on multipliers and [ __ ] [ __ ] bro. So, they bumped one of the Louisville players, but again, there were two

[10:26] players with decent value. Okay, they're bumping everything. I wasn't able to get it locked in. Hopefully, you guys were able to get it locked in. Kind of a waste of time. I apologize.

[10:44] struggling to get my bets locked in. [ __ ] this app. Um, just run a three pick and move on. Not going to lie. Okay, so some people want touchdown value. Let's just see what's available for tonight. Hard Rock,

[10:59] Bet MGM. Again, I'm not in a state right now with FanDuel or any of these legal, but I am curious. What are the best touchdown scores for tonight? [ __ ] man. Bet MGM has a lot. Dude, this play looks crazy. Jacobe Brisset to score a

[11:14] touchdown plus 550. This is the best touchdown play for tonight. Again, I'm not in a state where unfortunately bet MGM is legal, but you guys like my Villanova hat. You got any Villanova fans in the chat?

[11:30] Yo, we got any Villanova fans in the chat? Um, dude, this play is crazy. Jacobe Bryet

[11:44] plus 550 and then on FanDuel I would say Carter plus 320. I mean, both of these are cross markets. These are the bets where you have the highest confidence in your edge, right? So, that's why they're so

[11:58] amazing to run. Like, this is heavy liquidity on Novig. His under him to not 533. If they're offering it at minus 533, they want to bet his over at plus

[12:10] 533. You could literally arbitrage bet this bet him to score on MGM him to not score on Novig and guarantee a risk-free profit. That's arbitrage. So, one of these two bets has to be plus EV. Novig's a super smart book, you know.

[12:25] And Bet MGM is literally dumb as a [ __ ] brick, bro. It's literally insane. Nothing on rebet. [ __ ] man. I don't have any mainline market bets on don't have any mainline market bets on this game. I can't even lie.

[12:38] Well, actually, no. I may be messing that up. Let's see. Here we go. Nah. Nah. There's some like early value college

[12:51] There's some like early value college football bets, but nothing crazy. Better has some ridiculous value. So, they actually have this Duke Brennan guy. They have his line at nine and a half. So, if you wanted a better slip, Duke, I

[13:04] already ran one on the previous stream. Again, they only let me bet $100 per day on better. I don't know why it's very annoying, but it's just the way it is. I would run Duke Brennan under N and a half points. He's literally

[13:20] That's [ __ ] a crazy line. He's literally a plus 160 underdog to go over. This is a fixed payout sports book and there's heavy liquidity on that, too. And then I would pair that with uh Laura Via under 10 and a half RAS and

[13:37] Ketta under nine and a half points. So you could just run these three better picks right here. They're all really solid value, but Damn, man. Underdog. Yeah, man. Underdog's a waste of time.

[13:53] Yeah, man. Underdog's a waste of time. That is very annoying. Um sorry, guys. Oh [ __ ] Let's look at Dabble. Let's see if we got anything on Dabble. Yo, what is the best um uh what's the

[14:05] best shield on Dabble? Does anyone know the best shield on Dabble? Does anyone know the best shield on Dabble? So, we have Clifford under five and a half points. Again, you want to be using multiple DFS

[14:20] books. This line is literally not available on prize picks. Someone said Sabonis double double is good. Let's see if this works.

[14:36] So, we have Sabonis double double. He's had a double double the past uh Okay, so we got two picks so far, right? Clifford is a plus 130 underdog to go over. So, obviously his under is the favorite outcome. Dabble's another

[14:51] [ __ ] over, you take his under, it doesn't matter. you get the same payout regardless. Oh my gosh. So, I did fade Jake Laura via

[15:07] fade his um no.

[15:20] of data points. This is just the odds jam line discrepancy tool. So, let's go here. What about the Lakers game? game? Damn, dude. So, they bumped Lara via.

[15:35] They bumped him higher, but that's okay. So, what we'll go with is for the Heat game. Kind of random prop, but give me a sec. Let's see if this works. First sec. Let's see if this works. First quarter points is we're going to fade.

[15:49] Anyways, let me just search him. Wiggins under four and a half first quarter points. How do I get here, dude? Where's the search button? So, here we got it. So, let's go here. I'm going to go to Wiggins.

[16:05] He's gone under. So, still getting a 6x payout, right? That's crazy, dude. I how crazy this is. So again, sometimes I have to turn off my uh or just

[16:17] disconnect my phone for a sec. It like messes with the location verifier when I'm streaming. But here you can see the play right here that I got locked in. Add Forsber Shield for the optimal slip type. Oh [ __ ] Someone said the Duke

[16:33] type. Oh [ __ ] Someone said the Duke Brennan line is 11 on Dabble. Is it still dude? How are they messing this up this big? That is insane.

[16:49] these shields you can literally see dude they say sabonis double double.7x payout. It's a goblin on prize picks. They're supposed to reduce your payout but they just forget to do it sometimes. I mean not

[17:05] with every shield. You got to like be selective. But whoever recommended this selective. But whoever recommended this in the chat is a genius. Is a genius. Dude, this Duke Brennan play is crazy. I mean, he's literally

[17:25] over nine and a half and we're able to get him on dabble under 11 when he's a plus 160 dog to go over nine and a half. That's insane, dude. That's insane, dude. Um,

[17:42] also good. So again, like on Dabble, I'm limited unfortunately. But what you can do is just kind of like replace you can literally just replace one of the plays and even though they give me jack [ __ ] betting limits, so I still barely bet on

[17:56] betting limits, so I still barely bet on it. It's pretty cool. It's pretty cool how you can do that. So, check this out. Um, so on DraftKings pick six, the optimal slip type for

[18:12] college basketball. I still have to figure out, but for a two pick entry, getting a 3x payout, right? Well, we'll see. I mean, I guess we'll see. We'll

[18:27] see. I mean, I guess we'll see. We'll see if they try to screw you on it. Dude, 2.7x. Why are they so cheap?

[18:40] dude. That's literally crazy. They're not even giving you a 3x payout. It's kind of [ __ ] but again, if you wanted to add on the profit boost, they had a 30% profit boost for college basketball.

[18:55] Um, I already gave it out in the SA Discord. There's like this Discord where when I'm bored I give out plays in there. So check it out. You should beside the point because I want to get some other bets locked in.

[19:11] Yes, I have bets in the football game. I'm on Michael [clears throat] Carter I'm on Michael [clears throat] Carter under seven and a half rushing attempts. can finish some of these slips. So pick six. It seems kind of useless. I'm not

[19:26] even going to lie for college basketball, but because they give you just jack [ __ ] payouts, but okay. I guess that's just

[19:38] what they want to do. Is there any NBA value or is it all college? value or is it all college? So, it doesn't look like there's It's very annoying that they don't just give you the same payout for every sport, but

[19:52] whatever. Let's see if there's any more prize picks or underdog value. If not, I can call the stream. Dude, this play is crazy, man.

[20:04] I mean, this play is literally insanely good. Like, Ryan Yakel Luxembourg under 17 and a half points. [ __ ] crazy.

[20:24] see if we can do one more play on prize picks or dabble. Let's see, dude. And he keeps becoming a bigger underdog now on Profitex. Their offering

[20:37] is over at plus 170. That's crazy. insane, man. Oh my gosh.

[21:04] these plays on prize picks is just [ __ ] ridiculous. [ __ ] ridiculous. So, I don't love recommending to rerun the same slip, but all of them are crazy just crazy good.

[21:21] So, I think you just gotta you just gotta I think you just gotta you just gotta you just gotta do it. you just gotta do it. That's insane.

[21:43] yo, can somebody please put the link in the chat? Can somebody please put the the chat? Can somebody please put the link in the chat? as a threeman. Again, the value is pretty ridiculous on all three of them.

[22:18] minute NBA value. I know the football game's starting, so most people are probably going to gonna bail out on me, but that's okay. I still love you guys. Sorry I didn't have a moneyline bet on the game. I don't have any I don't have

[22:31] much, dude. There there was just way more there was way more value in college basketball today. Kind of crazy. Kind of crazy. Kind of [ __ ] crazy.

[23:11] see. Boy. Oh [ __ ] Cowboys already in the red zone. [snorts]

[23:24] rushing yard or sorry, passing yards. But anyways, this plays crazy on prize picks, but I want to see if we can do something new. Again, if you can't play college basketball, I apologize to you

[23:38] because that's where so much of this value is. [snorts] value is. [snorts] Let's try dabble underdog flip. Hard rock always has a ton of value. Sabonis double double. Whoever gave out

[23:51] that play as a shield is a genius. I mean, you can literally see he's like a minus 200 favorite to get a double double. His under is offered on these double. His under is offered on these super sharp exchanges at plus 202 and

[24:04] we're able to get him in a dabble slip at minus 122. [ __ ] crazy. Even on Hard Rock at minus 195, if I was able to use Hard Rock right now, I would bet it.

[24:18] Sorry. Um, I mean, again, market makers are offering his under 4.7K in liquidity at plus 202. If they want to be on his over at minus 202. You're copying their homework and

[24:34] getting minus 195. One of these two bets has to be plus EV because again, it's arbitrage. You could just bet his over on Hard Rock, his under on Novig, the two bets has to be plus EV by definition. Yeah, Dan. Dan from the

[24:49] Facebook chat likes it. There we go. Yeah, lock it in, bro. Play it big. Play it big, Dan. Hey, let's see though.

[25:01] I'll be able to do an underdog slip. Nah, not enough value. Anyways, short stream. Sorry I didn't get to it in time. I didn't get to streaming. I streamed earlier, but I didn't. I should have started.