The ULTIMATE 2026 Crypto Portfolio STRATEGY!!

[00:00] In 2025, US stocks rallied by over 16%.

[00:04] International stocks rallied by almost

[00:06] 30%, gold rallied by around 70% and

[00:10] silver rallied by a whopping

[00:13] 150%. Meanwhile, the crypto market fell

[00:17] by 10%. This therefore has everyone

[00:20] wondering, is there any point to holding

[00:22] crypto in 2026, or is it better to stick

[00:26] to last year's winning assets? And if

[00:28] there is a point to holding crypto,

[00:30] which ones make the most sense to hold?

[00:33] That's why today we're going to figure

[00:34] out what an optimized crypto portfolio

[00:37] for 2026 looks like. Allin, all out, or

[00:41] somewhere in between. My name is Guy,

[00:43] and if you hold crypto, this is a video

[00:46] you can't afford to miss. Before we

[00:49] begin though, you need to know that I am

[00:51] not a financial adviser, and nothing in

[00:53] this video is financial advice. It's

[00:55] educational content intended to inform

[00:57] you about the factors driving the

[00:58] markets and which cryptos, if any, could

[01:01] perform well in 2026 given these

[01:04] factors. If that sounds good, smash that

[01:06] like button and let's get into it. Now,

[01:09] I want to start off with something you

[01:11] may have noticed in the intro, and

[01:13] that's the fact that international

[01:15] stocks rallied twice as much as US

[01:17] stocks last year, and precious metals

[01:20] rallied twice as much as international

[01:22] stocks. Yes, some US stocks rallied more

[01:26] than international stocks and even gold,

[01:28] but the trend is clear. Global capital

[01:31] is rotating out of the US and into other

[01:34] countries and commodities. This is due

[01:36] to a combination of factors, including

[01:39] the US dollar, which fell by almost 10%

[01:42] in 2025, and concerns around things like

[01:45] Trump's tariffs and America's

[01:47] reliability as an ally. Whereas a

[01:50] falling US dollar provides a boost to

[01:52] international economies, concerns around

[01:54] the US's political and geopolitical

[01:57] stances have caused capital to flow

[01:59] elsewhere, boosted by the narrative of

[02:01] booming emerging market economies. As

[02:04] you can see, the outperformance of US

[02:06] stocks versus international stocks

[02:08] follows a cycle just like everything

[02:10] else in the markets. This image is from

[02:13] early 2025, but we can draw in what

[02:16] happened. International stocks

[02:18] outperformed US stocks at a level not

[02:21] seen since the early 2000s. Now, believe

[02:24] it or not, but this could be why crypto

[02:26] and US small cap stocks struggled in

[02:29] 2025. You see, all the world's assets

[02:32] exist on a risk spectrum. At one end of

[02:35] the spectrum, you have safe assets like

[02:37] government bonds, and at the other end

[02:39] of the spectrum, you have riskier assets

[02:41] like penny stocks. As investors feel

[02:44] more confident about the future of the

[02:46] economy and the markets, the more they

[02:48] start allocating further down the risk

[02:51] spectrum. The catch though is that not

[02:54] all assets across the spectrum are

[02:56] equal. For example, since the reserves

[02:58] of Russia's central bank were frozen

[03:00] following Russia's invasion of Ukraine

[03:02] in 2022, many countries decided to

[03:05] accumulate gold in lie of Western

[03:08] government bonds as reserves. In other

[03:10] words, more of the capital being

[03:12] allocated into the low-risk part of the

[03:15] market started finding its way into

[03:17] gold. It's possible that something

[03:19] similar happened on the opposite end of

[03:21] the risk spectrum. As more capital

[03:23] started going into the high-risk part of

[03:25] the market, it was allocated to

[03:26] international stocks and commodities

[03:28] instead of crypto and US small cap

[03:31] stocks. Some would argue that this

[03:33] capital went into AI stocks and there's

[03:35] certainly some truth to that when it

[03:37] comes to retail investors, but most of

[03:40] the money is with the institutions and

[03:42] it looks like they went into foreign

[03:44] stocks and metals in 2025. If this is

[03:47] indeed the case, then it begs the

[03:49] question of whether any of this risk on

[03:51] capital will find its way into crypto in

[03:54] 2026. Before I give you the answer

[03:56] though, I need to tell you about the

[03:57] Coinb Club. That's where we do weekly

[04:00] deep dives into promising crypto assets

[04:02] of all kinds, provide daily updates

[04:04] about what's going on in the markets,

[04:06] and reveal how we are personally

[04:08] positioned. So, if you want to know

[04:10] which cryptos we're holding in 2026 and

[04:13] which ones we're considering buying,

[04:14] then become a member of the Coin Bureau

[04:16] Club using the link down in the

[04:18] description. Now, let's go back to that

[04:21] chart showing the historical

[04:23] outperformance of US stocks versus

[04:25] international stocks. As you may have

[04:27] noticed, there's never been a period in

[04:29] crypto's history where international

[04:31] stocks significantly outperformed US

[04:34] stocks, at least not until 2025. Besides

[04:37] the fact that this supports the idea

[04:39] that international stocks drained

[04:41] liquidity from crypto, it could be the

[04:43] start of a bigger trend. As you can see,

[04:46] every decade has had its own investment

[04:48] theme. In the 1950s, it was European

[04:51] stocks. In the 1960s, it was US stocks.

[04:54] In the 1970s, it was emerging markets

[04:57] and commodities. In the 1980s, it was

[04:59] Japanese stocks, i.e. international

[05:01] stocks. In the 1990s, it was US stocks.

[05:04] In the 2000s, it was emerging markets

[05:06] and commodities again. And in the 2010s,

[05:08] it was US stocks again. Again, there

[05:11] seems to be a cycle. And this cycle

[05:14] suggests that the 2020s will likely be

[05:17] dominated by international stocks and

[05:20] commodities. At first glance, you might

[05:22] think that this means the crypto market

[05:24] is going to struggle. After all, these

[05:26] international stocks and commodities

[05:28] appear to be competing for the same risk

[05:31] capital as crypto. The caveat, though,

[05:33] is that these flows into international

[05:35] stocks and commodities could kickstart a

[05:38] new riskon wave. You see, international

[05:41] stocks and commodities are seen as risk

[05:43] assets by investors in developed

[05:45] countries, namely the US. However, this

[05:48] isn't the case in many other countries,

[05:50] especially emerging markets. This makes

[05:52] sense when you consider that for most

[05:54] investors, the safest assets are those

[05:57] found in their own countries. And in

[05:59] many countries, lots of these assets are

[06:01] tied up in commodities. Take the

[06:04] Canadian stock market for instance.

[06:06] Resource and commodity companies make up

[06:08] more than a third of the TSX. That's

[06:11] Canada's version of the S&P 500. To put

[06:14] things into perspective, resource and

[06:15] commodity companies make up less than 5%

[06:18] of the S&P 500. By this point, you're

[06:21] probably wondering how any of this is

[06:23] related to crypto. Well, it becomes

[06:26] clear when you look closely at the

[06:28] capital flows at play. Some US investors

[06:31] looking to allocate further out along

[06:32] the risk spectrum will invest in the

[06:34] Canadian stock market. This will cause

[06:37] the Canadian stock market to rise, and

[06:39] the TSX went up by 30% in 2025, by the

[06:42] way. Whereas Canadian stocks are seen as

[06:45] riskier by US investors, they're seen as

[06:47] the safest option by most Canadian

[06:49] investors. The huge rise in the TSX will

[06:52] inevitably increase risk on sentiment

[06:55] among Canadians. So where will Canadian

[06:58] investors allocate their capital if

[07:00] they're looking to invest in riskier

[07:02] assets? Sure, they could invest in other

[07:04] international stocks and commodities,

[07:06] but it's not as easy for Canadians to

[07:08] invest internationally. And commodities

[07:10] aren't anything exciting. They're the

[07:12] boring old backbone of the Canadian

[07:14] economy. It's possible, therefore,

[07:16] keyword possible, that some of this

[07:19] capital goes into crypto. In other

[07:21] words, liquidity started off by flowing

[07:24] into US stocks, then it flowed into

[07:26] international stocks and commodities

[07:28] instead of flowing into crypto and small

[07:30] cap US stocks as it had in previous

[07:32] cycles. As such, you could say that

[07:35] liquidity from US investors took a

[07:37] detour. It went overseas instead of

[07:39] online. The thing is that this overseas

[07:42] capital will need to flow somewhere once

[07:44] foreign markets are flooded with

[07:46] liquidity. And one of the places it

[07:48] could flow into is crypto. Aside from

[07:51] the fact that crypto also lies further

[07:53] out along the risk spectrum for

[07:55] international investors, it's also much

[07:57] easier for international investors to

[07:59] access compared to say the Polish stock

[08:02] market, which was up 45% in 2025. By the

[08:05] way, this begs a bigger question though,

[08:07] and that's when foreign investors will

[08:10] buy crypto and which ones they will buy,

[08:13] if any. And the answer here is

[08:15] fascinating because it ultimately

[08:17] depends on a combination of two factors.

[08:20] Which countries are opening their doors

[08:22] to crypto and which particular cryptos

[08:25] investors in those jurisdictions are

[08:27] interested in. Suppose we're dealing

[08:29] with a European investor. The DAX, the

[08:32] German stock market index, is hitting

[08:33] new all-time highs, and they want to

[08:35] invest some of this capital out along

[08:37] the risk spectrum into crypto. Now, as

[08:40] some of you will know, the EU recently

[08:42] introduced its markets in crypto assets

[08:44] or MIA regulation, which creates clarity

[08:47] for crypto, particularly altcoins

[08:49] listing on exchanges. What you may not

[08:51] know though is that the EU also

[08:53] introduced strict travel rule

[08:55] regulations which make it very

[08:57] inconvenient to move crypto off

[08:59] exchanges. At the same time, many

[09:02] European investors are environmentally

[09:04] conscious, if you catch my drift. This

[09:06] means that European investors are likely

[09:08] to stay away from crypto niches like

[09:10] DeFi and could even steer clear of

[09:12] proofof work cryptos like Bitcoin due to

[09:15] their resource inensive mining.

[09:17] Logically, this means that most of the

[09:19] risk on capital from European investors

[09:21] will probably find its way into larger

[09:23] altcoins which are easily accessible on

[09:25] exchanges, including on traditional

[09:27] centralized exchanges. As it so happens,

[09:30] there are a lot of altcoin ETPs listed

[09:33] in Europe. Beyond Bitcoin, the largest

[09:36] ETPs by assets under management are

[09:38] those for Ethereum, Salana, and XRP. So,

[09:41] it stands to reason that ETH, Soul, XRP,

[09:45] and other large altcoins will start to

[09:47] get investment once European stock

[09:49] indices are saturated with enough

[09:51] liquidity that European investors start

[09:53] going further out along the risk

[09:55] spectrum, whenever that may be. If we

[09:58] had to guess, the boom in European stock

[10:00] markets will probably happen once the

[10:02] war in Ukraine is over, which will

[10:05] hopefully be by the end of 2026. It goes

[10:08] without saying that it would take time

[10:10] for liquidity in European markets to

[10:12] rise after that. And it would also take

[10:14] time for that liquidity to find its way

[10:16] into crypto. But we'll come back to the

[10:19] time it will take for that to happen a

[10:20] little bit later on. First though, I

[10:23] want to drive the point home. Suppose

[10:25] instead we're dealing with a South

[10:27] Korean investor. The Cosby, the South

[10:30] Korean stock market index, is hitting

[10:32] new all-time highs and they want to

[10:33] invest some of this capital out along

[10:35] the risk spectrum into crypto. Similar

[10:37] to Europe, South Korea has incredibly

[10:40] strict regulations that make it very

[10:42] difficult to do onchain things like DeFi

[10:45] and invest in cryptos that aren't on

[10:47] centralized exchanges. The difference is

[10:49] that South Koreans invest almost

[10:52] exclusively in altcoins, presumably

[10:54] because they have smaller price tags and

[10:56] are perceived as having more upside

[10:58] potential. As a fun fact, XRP is the

[11:01] most traded cryptocurrency in South

[11:03] Korea by a wide margin. And if you look

[11:06] at the top trading pairs on South Korean

[11:08] crypto exchanges like Upbit, it's mostly

[11:11] obscure small cap altcoins we've never

[11:13] even heard about. Once again, the main

[11:16] question here is time. When will South

[11:19] Korean capital flow into the crypto

[11:20] market in size? Well, believe it or not,

[11:23] but it could be a decline in tensions

[11:25] with North Korea. To bring you up to

[11:27] speed, the new South Korean

[11:28] administration wants to become

[11:30] friendlier with North Korea and has even

[11:32] asked the Chinese government to help.

[11:34] So, a decline in tensions would likely

[11:37] result in more investment and

[11:39] speculation. And regarding which cryptos

[11:42] South Koreans would buy, trading volume

[11:44] suggests XRP and ETH top the list.

[11:47] Though this list is subject to change,

[11:49] and everything else that comes after it

[11:51] is, well, anyone's guess. By now though,

[11:54] it should be clear that investors in

[11:56] many countries seem to be primarily

[11:58] interested in altcoins. Be it because of

[12:01] environmental sensibilities or the

[12:03] perception that altcoins offer higher

[12:05] returns. And this brings me to the big

[12:07] question and that's how we can use all

[12:09] of this information to construct a

[12:11] crypto portfolio for 2026. The answer

[12:15] depends on where we are in the process

[12:17] we just discussed. Specifically, how

[12:19] long it will take for global liquidity

[12:21] to finish flowing into international

[12:23] markets and commodities and when this

[12:25] international liquidity would start

[12:26] flowing into crypto, if at all. Well, if

[12:29] the DAX and Cosby are anything to go by,

[12:32] many international stock markets have

[12:34] only just started breaking out, which is

[12:36] remarkable when you remember that they

[12:38] already beat US stocks in 2025.

[12:41] Unfortunately, this means that

[12:43] international liquidity is unlikely to

[12:45] flow into crypto anytime soon, but there

[12:48] are signs that the altcoin bias of

[12:50] international investors is already

[12:52] starting to reflect in the charts. If

[12:54] you're addicted to social media, then

[12:56] chances are you've seen this chart of

[12:58] others BTC. To refresh your memory,

[13:01] others measures the combined market cap

[13:03] of cryptos outside of the top 10. So,

[13:06] altcoins. So, what others BTC shows us

[13:09] is the strength of smaller altcoins

[13:12] relative to Bitcoin. As you can see,

[13:14] altcoins were weakening against Bitcoin

[13:16] until recently, and it looks like this

[13:19] viral ratio has bottomed out. Naturally,

[13:22] this has led to speculation that there's

[13:24] going to be a massive breakout in

[13:25] altcoins relative to Bitcoin in the

[13:27] coming weeks and months, which seems

[13:29] impossible given where we are in the

[13:31] crypto market cycle, as well as the

[13:33] liquidity cycle. That is until you

[13:36] realize that others doesn't just include

[13:38] altcoins. It also includes stable coins

[13:41] and tokenized assets, notably tokenized

[13:44] gold. So then what happens if precious

[13:48] metals keep rallying and we start seeing

[13:50] tokenized silver, tokenized platinum and

[13:53] other tokens for precious metals?

[13:55] Obviously others would rise in both fiat

[13:57] terms and relative to BTC. This is

[14:00] incredibly important to understand as

[14:02] it's something that everyone seems to be

[14:04] missing. Others BTC could rise

[14:07] significantly in 2026, but it may not be

[14:10] because of growth in altcoins. It could

[14:13] be because of the growth in stable coins

[14:15] and tokenized assets which happen to be

[14:17] of interest to investors in the US right

[14:19] now and have been highlighted as key

[14:21] themes for 2026 by institutions. In

[14:25] practical terms, this means that the

[14:26] optimal crypto portfolio in 2026 could

[14:29] be one that's focused on stable coins

[14:31] and tokenized assets simply because some

[14:34] of the risk on capital could go into

[14:37] these niches. And of course, most of the

[14:39] stable coins and tokenized assets

[14:41] currently exist on Ethereum. It should

[14:44] come as no surprise then that ETH BTC

[14:46] has been rising since last summer when

[14:48] the Genius Act regulating stable coins

[14:51] was passed in the US. What is surprising

[14:54] is that ETH BTC has technically been in

[14:56] an uptrend since April of 2025. As crazy

[15:00] as it sounds, this means there's been

[15:02] rotation into ETH beneath the surface.

[15:05] Things get even crazier when you

[15:07] consider what this means for altcoin

[15:09] rotation. In case you forgot, it's

[15:12] assumed that any money that goes into

[15:13] crypto first gets invested into BTC,

[15:16] then it rotates into ETH, and then into

[15:19] other altcoins. Upon closer inspection,

[15:21] though, you realize this rotation is a

[15:23] bit more complicated, but it nonetheless

[15:26] suggests that the rotation from BTC into

[15:28] ETH could have only begun in the spring

[15:31] of 2025. Again, it sounds crazy, but

[15:34] recall the nuances I just explained.

[15:36] Stable coins and tokenized assets were

[15:39] key themes for institutional investors

[15:41] in 2025 and have been underscored as key

[15:43] themes for 2026. Most stable coins and

[15:46] tokenized assets exist on Ethereum. So,

[15:49] it makes sense that ETH has strengthened

[15:51] relative to BTC in recent months. And

[15:53] the same is true for others BTC rising

[15:56] due to stable coins and tokenized

[15:58] assets. So, does this mean go allin on

[16:02] ETH stable coins and tokenized assets

[16:04] for 2026? Not so fast. You see, for

[16:08] starters, ETH BTC and others BTC don't

[16:11] tell us anything about the prices of any

[16:13] of the assets in question. If BTC fell

[16:16] by 55% and ETH fell by 50%, ETH BTC

[16:21] would rise. Similarly, if BTC fell by

[16:23] 55% and most altcoins fell by 70%,

[16:26] others BTC could still rise if the

[16:29] market cap of others is growing from

[16:31] stable coins and tokenized RWA. Well,

[16:34] historical crypto cycles and the

[16:36] liquidity cycle suggest 2026 is going to

[16:39] be a bearish year for BTC, ETH, and

[16:42] altcoins regardless of what ratios like

[16:45] ETHBTC and others BTC suggest. But

[16:48] before you go all into stable coins

[16:50] though, there's another nuance to keep

[16:52] in mind. Whether it makes sense to go

[16:54] into stable coins or not fundamentally

[16:56] depends on how the US dollar's value

[16:59] will change in 2026 versus the currency

[17:02] that you use. If you use the euro and go

[17:04] all into stable coins and the US dollar

[17:07] falls in 2026, you'll lose money in real

[17:10] terms. Conversely, if you use the euro

[17:12] and go all into stable coins and the US

[17:14] dollar rises in 2026, you'll make money

[17:16] in real terms. Before you ask, we're not

[17:19] sure where the US dollar will go in

[17:21] 2026, but historically bare market years

[17:24] corresponded to a rise in the US dollar

[17:27] and therefore this could happen in 2026.

[17:31] And what about tokenized assets then?

[17:33] Well, it's a similar story to stable

[17:35] coins. If you go all into tokenized US

[17:38] bonds and US bond prices fall, you'll

[17:40] lose money and vice versa. Fortunately,

[17:43] we're likely to see new natively issued

[17:45] tokenized assets like companies

[17:47] launching their stocks as digital tokens

[17:49] instead of physical shares. So getting

[17:52] in early on these opportunities could be

[17:54] lucrative. You'll have to dy about

[17:56] those. So then what does the optimal

[17:59] crypto portfolio for 2026 look like

[18:02] given these dynamics? Well, at the end

[18:05] of the day, it depends on your risk

[18:07] tolerance and time horizon. If you don't

[18:09] mind holding ETH for a couple of years,

[18:11] even if prices fall another 50 to 70%,

[18:14] then it could potentially be a better

[18:16] portfolio anchor than BTC. If you can't

[18:19] stand that volatility and can't stand

[18:21] waiting, then stable coins may be a

[18:23] better anchor. Just keep in mind though

[18:25] that US dollar stable coins could still

[18:28] lose you money depending on exchange

[18:30] rates. The same goes for tokenized gold,

[18:33] which could be another potential anchor

[18:35] depending on your time horizon and risk

[18:37] tolerance. In a perfect world, it would

[18:39] be possible to invest in companies that

[18:41] are involved in stable coins and

[18:43] tokenization, but most of these

[18:45] companies are highly correlated to

[18:47] crypto. In theory, stocks like Circle

[18:49] and Coinbase would be good bets for 2026

[18:52] since Circle issues USDC and Coinbase

[18:55] will offer tokenized RWA trading and

[18:58] presumably issuance. In reality though,

[19:00] they could get dragged down with the

[19:02] rest of the crypto market if crypto

[19:04] enters a bare market later this year,

[19:06] which is likely historically speaking.

[19:09] The silver lining though is that the

[19:10] 2027 2028 period is shaping up to be

[19:14] explosive. By that point, most countries

[19:16] should have reasonable crypto

[19:18] regulations in place. And factors making

[19:20] international investors hesitant to

[19:22] allocate into risk assets like the war

[19:24] in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East,

[19:26] and issues in Asia will hopefully be

[19:29] resolved. This will make it possible for

[19:31] liquidity to flow from international

[19:33] markets into crypto by the end of the

[19:35] decade when international stocks will

[19:38] likely peak. So, TLDDR, pay attention to

[19:41] assets related to stable coins and

[19:43] tokenization in 2026, and watch altcoins

[19:47] closely as we approach 2027, starting

[19:50] with Ethereum. And be sure to watch the

[19:52] Coin Bureau so you know where we are in

[19:55] this process. And if you want to know

[19:57] what other themes investors are watching

[19:59] in 2026 and which cryptos could benefit,

[20:02] then be sure to check out this video

[20:04] here. And if you made it this far, thank

[20:06] you so much for watching and I'll see

[20:07] you in the next one. This is guy. Over

[20:10] and out.