Trump Just Ended The War - Here's What Most People Are Missing

[00:00] President Trump just announced that the

[00:02] war with Iran is over and investors are

[00:05] loving it. The stock market is rallying.

[00:07] Oil prices are falling and investors are

[00:10] hoping that the economy will be able to

[00:11] boom again. But there's more to the

[00:14] story that you want to pay attention to.

[00:16] In the past, when we've seen oil price

[00:18] shocks, the real pain to the economy

[00:20] doesn't happen while oil prices are

[00:22] high. They generally happen after the

[00:24] oil crisis ends. Not to mention the fact

[00:27] that this conflict in the Middle East

[00:29] also had an impact on China, the Federal

[00:32] Reserve Bank, and interest rates. So, in

[00:34] this video, I'm going to break down what

[00:35] might be coming now that we have the

[00:37] announcement that the war is officially

[00:40] over. So, let me break this all down. By

[00:41] the way, this is why again, today on

[00:44] June 16th, I have a live free and

[00:46] virtual investor workshop at 12:00 p.m.

[00:48] Eastern time, noon, where I'm going to

[00:50] be going over how you can find

[00:52] investment opportunities today, where

[00:54] the investment opportunities are. It's a

[00:56] free workshop. It's live. I'm going to

[00:57] be going over a lot of opportunities and

[00:59] research that a firm has been doing. So,

[01:01] if you haven't signed up yet, there's a

[01:02] limited number of people that can

[01:03] actually join me live. It's free at

[01:06] 12:00 p.m. Eastern time on June 16th.

[01:08] So, if you haven't registered, I look

[01:10] forward to seeing you there. The link is

[01:11] down in the description below.

[01:13] [clears throat] So, let me break down a

[01:14] few things that you want to understand.

[01:16] Starting with China. The reason why the

[01:19] conflict in the Middle East also

[01:20] impacted China is because the United

[01:22] States and China have been battling not

[01:25] militarily but economically. China's

[01:28] economy has been growing faster than the

[01:30] United States's economy. And there's

[01:32] been a lot of talk about the United

[01:33] States dollar losing its value, losing

[01:35] its trust while China has been working

[01:37] to buy more gold and strengthen their

[01:39] currency. Now, a lot of people will tell

[01:41] you that it's impossible to think that

[01:42] the Chinese yuan could ever replace the

[01:44] United States dollar. But just

[01:46] understand that China has made it very

[01:48] clear that they want to replace the

[01:50] United States as the world's superpower.

[01:53] Well, the reason why the United States

[01:55] and China are butdding heads

[01:57] economically, is because reports will

[02:00] show you that if China's economy keeps

[02:02] growing at the rate that it is, which is

[02:04] faster than the United States, we're

[02:06] approximately 10 years away from China

[02:08] surpassing the United States economy.

[02:11] Well, in response to that, the United

[02:14] States economy is trying to fight China.

[02:16] But they're not fighting them with tanks

[02:18] and missiles directly with China.

[02:19] Instead, the United States put tariffs

[02:21] on China as a way to not only bring

[02:24] business back to the United States, but

[02:25] also hurt China. The United States then

[02:27] attacked Venezuela and took out the

[02:30] president of Venezuela while also then

[02:33] getting in control of Venezuelan oil,

[02:35] which was previously going to China.

[02:37] Then the United States attacked Iran

[02:38] which again was selling oil to China at

[02:41] a discount and that also made it more

[02:44] difficult for China to continue

[02:45] operating their economy because China

[02:47] was relying on this cheap oil to

[02:48] continue producing the products for

[02:50] cheap. And then we have all these other

[02:53] economic things happening like the

[02:54] United States trying to build their own

[02:56] rare earth supply chain meaning trying

[02:58] to mine and produce our own metals

[03:01] without relying on China as a way to

[03:04] become more independent away from China.

[03:07] So part of this conflict had a lot to do

[03:10] with China and now the question is

[03:12] what's going to come next and is this

[03:14] enough with China? But let's go a little

[03:16] bit deeper as to what this means for the

[03:19] United States economy. Because a lot of

[03:21] people are now hoping that if this

[03:24] conflict ends, oil prices will fall

[03:26] drastically. We've already seen a huge

[03:28] drop in oil prices since President Trump

[03:30] made the announcement that the war with

[03:32] Iran is over. If oil prices fall,

[03:36] doesn't that mean that the economy is

[03:37] going to boom and inflation is going to

[03:39] get better? And there's a couple things

[03:41] that you want to understand about this.

[03:42] Let me start by taking a look at history

[03:44] because while history doesn't exactly

[03:45] repeat itself, it does rhyme. If we take

[03:48] a look at the last 11 recessions in the

[03:51] United States since World War II, 10 of

[03:55] them were preceded by an oil price

[03:59] spike. Meaning most of the recessions

[04:01] that we have seen in the United States

[04:03] over the last 100 or so years

[04:06] started with oil prices spiking. Now,

[04:09] the oil prices going up might not have

[04:11] been the cause of the recession, but

[04:13] it's something that we've seen happen

[04:14] before a lot of recessions. And the

[04:16] other part to that is that when oil

[04:19] prices spiked, that's not when the

[04:21] market crash or recession happened. The

[04:24] downturn started months or a year after

[04:27] the fact. Let me give you an example.

[04:29] Let's go back to 1973.

[04:32] In 1973, we had just faced an inflation

[04:35] problem because the dollar was taken off

[04:37] of the gold standard in 1971, just a

[04:40] couple years prior. That led to a lot of

[04:42] money printing and inflation. And then

[04:44] 1973, the United States got involved

[04:46] with a war in the United

[04:49] and then in 1973, the United States got

[04:51] involved with a war in the Middle East

[04:52] called the Yam Kapoor war, which caused

[04:55] oil prices to spike. Well, in response,

[04:57] OPEC in the United States had an oil

[04:59] embargo which hit in October of 1973.

[05:02] And everybody said the oil crisis is

[05:05] over in October 1973. But then the

[05:09] recession and the stock market hit in

[05:12] 1974. It didn't start for another 6

[05:15] months, that downturn. Let's fast

[05:17] forward to 1979.

[05:20] That was when the Iran revolution was

[05:22] happening. There was an oil shock which

[05:24] then led to a recession in the United

[05:26] States about one year later which lasted

[05:29] a couple of years. Let's go now to the

[05:32] year 1990 with the Gulf War. Oil prices

[05:35] spiked which then later months later led

[05:38] to a downturn in the economy. And then

[05:41] if we take a look at the 2008 crash, an

[05:45] oil shock happened before we saw the

[05:48] real downturn with the economy. Again,

[05:51] there was a lot of things that led to

[05:52] the 2008 great financial crisis, but an

[05:55] oil shock also happened leading up to

[05:57] the 2008 crash. Why does this all

[06:00] matter? Because the pain that we've seen

[06:04] with oil prices over the last number of

[06:05] months is going to be felt in our

[06:07] economy for some time into the future.

[06:10] And there is a chance that our economy

[06:12] can absorb it and no pain will come.

[06:14] There's also a chance that we will see

[06:16] some more economic pain as a result of

[06:18] the higher oil prices that we have seen

[06:20] over the last few months. What will

[06:22] happen? Only hindsight is 2020. But I

[06:25] want you to understand what we've seen

[06:27] happen in the past. The other reason why

[06:29] this is important for you to understand

[06:31] has to do with the Federal Reserve Bank

[06:33] and the housing market because the

[06:35] Federal Reserve Bank is the entity in

[06:37] charge of deciding interest rates.

[06:40] And President Trump just appointed a new

[06:42] chairman at the Federal Reserve Bank, a

[06:44] guy by the name of Kevin Worsh. Why does

[06:46] this matter? Because since President

[06:48] Trump entered the White House in 2025,

[06:50] he has been demanding lower interest

[06:53] rates. Well, for the Fed to cut interest

[06:56] rates generally

[06:58] they want to see some sort of pain in

[07:01] the economy. Well, inflation is not a

[07:03] problem. The reason why is lower

[07:05] interest rates help to stimulate the

[07:07] economy. So if you have pain in the

[07:08] economy, the lower interest rates can

[07:10] stimulate the economy. And the reason

[07:13] why the Fed doesn't want to see

[07:14] inflation when they want to cut interest

[07:16] rates is because the cutting of interest

[07:19] rates can make the inflation problem

[07:20] worse. So leading up to the year 2026,

[07:24] everybody had pretty much expected that

[07:27] we were going to see drastic interest

[07:29] rate cuts in 2026 because we were going

[07:31] to see a new chairman of the Federal

[07:33] Reserve Bank appointed by President

[07:34] Trump. And President Trump has been

[07:36] demanding lower interest rates. But then

[07:38] things changed after the United States

[07:40] attacked Iran because oil prices shot

[07:42] up. These higher oil prices led to

[07:44] higher gas prices, higher diesel prices,

[07:46] higher grocery costs, and higher prices

[07:48] of a lot of things. Inflation hit a new

[07:51] high that we haven't seen in about 3

[07:53] years.

[07:54] So now the talks were I don't think

[07:58] we're going to see lower interest rates

[08:00] in 2026. In fact, the Fed will probably

[08:03] have to raise interest rates in 2026

[08:06] because of how bad inflation is getting

[08:08] and how quickly it is getting bad. That

[08:10] had been pretty much the consensus with

[08:13] investors and Wall Street up until now

[08:17] because we don't know how long the

[08:18] conflict in the Middle East is going to

[08:20] last. We don't know how long oil prices

[08:22] are going to stay high. And as a result,

[08:24] well, we don't think that we're going to

[08:26] see lower interest rates anytime soon.

[08:28] In fact, we should be preparing for

[08:29] higher interest rates. Well, now we have

[08:33] this conflict in the Middle East ending.

[08:35] At least that's what we hear. We have

[08:37] oil prices falling and now the talk is

[08:41] what is this going to mean for inflation

[08:42] and inflation rates. And this is a

[08:45] concept that you want to understand the

[08:46] difference of because inflation is the

[08:48] price growth of things. Inflation rate

[08:51] is how fast the price growth is rising.

[08:54] Over the last few months, we have seen

[08:56] the prices of things rise relatively

[08:58] quickly. Now, the question is, what's

[09:00] going to come next? Is the inflation

[09:02] rate going to fall? President Trump says

[09:05] that it's going to fall like a rock, but

[09:07] it's not going to go negative. At least

[09:09] that's not what the government wants.

[09:11] That's not what the Federal Reserve Bank

[09:12] wants. That's not what Wall Street

[09:14] wants. They don't want negative

[09:15] inflation. They want lower inflation

[09:18] rates, which means the prices of things

[09:20] are still rising, just not as fast as

[09:22] they were before.

[09:24] So, if that's the case, if the prices of

[09:26] things continue to rise, just not as

[09:28] fast as they were before, that means

[09:29] that the prices of things shot up over

[09:30] the last few months, and then they're

[09:32] going to continue rising, just not as

[09:33] fast as they were before. That's one

[09:36] option. Option number two is there's a

[09:40] delayed impact of the lower oil prices

[09:44] into our economy, which means inflation

[09:46] rate stays higher for longer. What's

[09:49] ultimately going to happen? Well,

[09:50] hopefully oil prices will bring down the

[09:53] inflation rate causing the inflation

[09:55] rate to cool down. But generally, the

[09:58] government doesn't want to see a

[09:59] negative inflation rate because if the

[10:01] inflation rate is negative, that means

[10:04] we're seeing deflation. And the reason

[10:06] why that matters so much for the

[10:07] government is because remember the

[10:09] government has about $39 trillion of

[10:12] national debt.

[10:14] Deflation means that each dollar is more

[10:18] valuable, which means that $39 trillion

[10:21] of national debt is more valuable. It's

[10:23] more expensive to pay off. Inflation

[10:26] means that the value of each dollar is

[10:28] losing value, which means that the value

[10:31] of the 39 trillions of dollars of debt

[10:34] is becoming smaller and smaller because

[10:36] we're paying that money back with

[10:38] cheaper dollars. Think of it this way.

[10:41] Imagine 30 years ago you bought a house

[10:44] for $100,000.

[10:46] Today the house is worth a million, but

[10:49] 30 years ago you bought the house with a

[10:51] 30-year fixed rate mortgage at 20% down.

[10:55] That means you only financed $80,000.

[10:58] Well, the $80,000 that you financed 30

[11:00] years ago is a lot more valuable than

[11:02] $80,000 today because well, you're not

[11:05] going to buy a $100,000 house today in

[11:07] 2026.

[11:09] So because of inflation, your debt

[11:12] became a lot less expensive. And this is

[11:16] why the government does not want to see

[11:17] deflation. They want to see inflation.

[11:20] And so you want to understand what those

[11:22] two things mean. Inflation versus

[11:23] inflation rate because we're not going

[11:26] to or likely not going to see any

[11:28] negative inflation, but the government

[11:30] wants to see a lower inflation rate.

[11:32] Because when you have a high inflation

[11:34] rate, well then people get upset because

[11:37] the cost of living is growing faster

[11:39] than people's incomes. And when things

[11:41] are growing faster than people's

[11:42] incomes, they become poorer. And when

[11:44] it's a very noticeable effect, meaning

[11:47] it's happening quickly, people get more

[11:49] upset. Now, it's not a surprise that the

[11:53] cost of living is growing faster than

[11:55] incomes because that's been happening

[11:56] for decades. But generally, it happens

[11:59] at a slower rate and people don't notice

[12:01] it. And that's what the Federal Reserve

[12:03] Bank wants because when the inflation

[12:06] rate is not significantly higher than

[12:08] your incomes, people don't really ask a

[12:10] lot of questions. Hate it or love it,

[12:12] that's how the system works, which is

[12:14] why you want to be an investor so you

[12:15] can capitalize in the things that are

[12:17] happening in our economy. Again, that's

[12:18] why I have my workshop. The link is free

[12:20] down in the description to go over how

[12:22] you can find investment opportunities

[12:23] right now. But this also brings me to

[12:25] the housing market. And I'm going to do

[12:26] a deeper dive video on this housing

[12:28] market soon because I think it's

[12:29] important to understand. [snorts]

[12:31] But the housing market has gone through

[12:33] a lot of transitions, not just since the

[12:35] pandemic, but also in 2026 because a lot

[12:38] of people were hoping for and begging

[12:39] for lower mortgage rates in 2026. That's

[12:42] kind of what people have been promised

[12:44] that 2026 is the year mortgage rates are

[12:46] going to fall drastically.

[12:48] Well, ever since the conflict in the

[12:50] Middle East started, mortgage rates did

[12:51] not fall. They went up. And the reason

[12:53] why they went up is because of the

[12:55] higher concerns in the economy that led

[12:57] to higher mortgage rates. And the reason

[13:00] why I don't want to get into the

[13:01] technicals right now, it just has to do

[13:03] with the 10-year Treasury that as there

[13:06] was more concerns economically in the

[13:09] United States, United States Treasury

[13:11] yields went up, which then led to higher

[13:13] mortgage rates. So just in simple terms,

[13:17] more economic concern because of the war

[13:19] led to mortgage rates going up. So

[13:21] everybody here in 2026 said, "Okay, I'm

[13:23] going to be able to finally refinance.

[13:25] I'm going to finally buy a house as

[13:26] mortgage rates fall." But the opposite

[13:28] happened. Mortgage rates have been going

[13:30] up significantly, which has been putting

[13:32] a lot of strain on the housing market

[13:34] again. Well, now that oil prices are

[13:38] falling, people are hoping that this is

[13:41] going to lead to lower treasury rates,

[13:42] which is going to lead to lower mortgage

[13:45] rates, which will help stimulate the

[13:47] housing market again. And you want to

[13:50] understand how that ties into what the

[13:52] Federal Reserve Bank is doing. Because

[13:53] if the Federal Reserve Bank also has the

[13:56] ability to cut interest rates, that can

[13:58] also help drive lower mortgage rates in

[14:01] the housing market. Again, we don't know

[14:04] what's going to happen just yet, but

[14:06] this is what people in the real estate

[14:07] industry are hoping for. that because

[14:10] this conflict is over that we're going

[14:12] to finally see some relief in the

[14:13] mortgage market, which means mortgage

[14:15] bankers will be able to make more money,

[14:16] realtors will be able to make more

[14:17] money, title companies will be able to

[14:19] make more money, sellers will start

[14:21] selling their houses again, people that

[14:22] are owning their houses will start

[14:24] refinancing again, and buyers will want

[14:26] to start buying houses again. That's the

[14:29] hope that a lot of people have because

[14:30] real estate is really the backbone

[14:33] industry for the United States. And when

[14:35] the real estate industry slows down, the

[14:38] United States economy takes a hit. So

[14:41] hopefully we will not get dragged back

[14:42] into the war because that's going to

[14:44] create more volatility in the market

[14:45] again. We've seen this happen again and

[14:47] again. But that's what people are hoping

[14:49] does not happen. But the things you want

[14:52] to pay attention to is what is this

[14:54] going to mean for the long-term health

[14:56] of our economy at least over the next

[14:58] couple of years. What does this mean for

[15:00] the stock market over the next couple of

[15:01] years? What is this going to mean for

[15:04] China? What is it going to mean for the

[15:06] Federal Reserve Bank and interest rates?

[15:07] And what is it going to mean for the

[15:09] housing market? Hopefully, this video

[15:11] helped clarify a lot of things that are

[15:13] happening in the economy right now,

[15:14] especially due to the conflict in the

[15:16] Middle East. If you got value out of

[15:18] this video, the best thank you was a

[15:20] referral. So, if you could please share

[15:21] this video with a friend, family member,

[15:23] colleague, or fellow investor. That way,

[15:24] we can continue to spread this type of

[15:26] financial education. Thank you.

[15:27] President Trump is now unleashing the

[15:29] biggest AI push the world has ever seen.

[15:32] >> America is the country that started the

[15:35] AI race. And as president of the United

[15:38] States, I'm here today to declare that

[15:41] America [music] is going to win it. In

[15:44] plain English, that means hundreds of

[15:46] billions of your tax dollars are