Why Bookmakers Always Win: The Math Behind Betting

[00:01] current popular ways to make money on bets, whether lithogon, the and other betting strategies work, is it worth buying forecasts from tipsters, access to automated bots, analytics, or even a fixed match in 2022, why

[00:16] gamblers can't beat bookmakers even based on banal mathematics, is it legal bookmaker can refuse to pay out your winnings, and is it possible to compare actually, I liked this video, write comments with attitudes to

[00:30] bets, and receive a 100% bonus to your dacha after subscribing to my channel. But seriously, bookmakers really are always in the black,

[00:43] simplicity and the excitement of the thesis: invested, did nothing, received a profit, but in reality, everything happens differently. Instead of losing money at a bookmaker, you can simply put aside your spare money, or better yet, invest it in shares for

[00:55] This is a simple, reliable way to start building and increasing your wealth. Your stock market is going down this is an excellent opportunity for investment the crisis will end like in 2008 2014-2020 and the supporting stock will stay with you for

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[01:52] simple language An excellent option for entering the seemingly confusing world of you have questions, you can ask them in the open In the chat with like-minded people, description. Invest your future. Without betting, excitement, nerves, and inevitable

[02:07] disappointment. But remember that investing is not a money-making button, and you need to link in the description and subscribe to the Profit telegram channel. Successes for bookmakers, organizations that accept bets on various

[02:21] sports, zero in the CIS, happened once. Just for several thousand betting points from Giving your money to a bookmaker, such as a casino owner, was as simple as possible. However, later, the authorities began to fight gambling,

[02:33] several mountainous zones, and also began to confront illegal bookmakers. This should seemingly have a positive effect on the benefit of non-gamblers, but losing money ultimately became even easier. Bookmakers simply moved to the

[02:46] pirated films or software have been the battlefield of online casinos and numerous 1xbets with the popularization of telegrams. Sports betting received capper projects, including from media personalities who promised to

[03:00] make you rich. A few clicks are worth paying only for. Reinforced concrete register with a referral link at the most reliable bookmaker so that the capper receives a percentage of your winnings. Oh, I apologize. The losses of scammers in the

[03:13] betting industry died out. A couple of years ago, at least in a global sense. However, users' interest in earning money on bets has not disappeared. It's just that instead of plan, they began to look for other ways to get richer with minimal effort. So, is

[03:26] bookmaker always in the black? Let's start with statistics. Almost one and a half trillion bet on sports at bookmakers every year. It's worth keeping in mind that this figure only applies to legal bookmakers, such as 1xbet and other reliable stickers, which you can

[03:42] Spam advertising or recommendations from your favorite blogger are not included in these statistics. about 5 million citizens aged 18 to 70 years place sports bets in Russia. The average domestic player is a man aged 25 to 34 years with an income of 20-50

[03:58] Most betting enthusiasts spend between 500 and see this method of potential earnings, spending an average of more than 17,000 rubles. These figures do not take into account the changes that occurred in

[04:13] 2022. They are actually unpleasantly surprising. According to the president of PC Badpool, in April 2022, the number of joints in Russia increased by 38% compared to the February volume. Some began to play in order to improve their financial situation,

[04:26] and someone perhaps simply to escape the news avalanche. All this at home for their son, one can take as a fact. Bookmakers feel more than comfortable. newcomers are engaged in serious analytics. Will it finally break the

[04:39] long-standing series of space bookmakers? Unfortunately, the bookmaker is always in the black, even if the players win. All thanks to the law of large numbers. This is not popular science for you, so using the example of bets, we will take two random teams with

[04:51] Professional analytics. Ordinary viewers determined the probability. The odds of these teams winning are 50/50, which is pure casino roulette, where instead of zero there will be win by both teams in this case should be equal to two. It's mathematically

[05:04] logical in practice that the odds always take into account the bookmaker's margin. This is the those the bookmaker sets in its line; it is this margin that determines the bookmaker's profit from a given event. Sometimes we take not 50/50, but a different

[05:18] public and analysts. Let's say 30% believe in the team. and Whose 20% for Team B, 50% of ordinary people, the odds. If we do not take into account the margin, they should be as follows: take into account the margin, they should be as follows: 3.3 5.2. Let's say the total amount of colliding

[05:32] Naturally, a bet on real money, gambling belief in one of the teams, statistics take their toll, therefore, 10% of those who initially believed nothing will bet on the victory of one of the teams. As a result, if the team wins, the bookmaker must

[05:45] pay the players 11 million 550 thousand rubles in the event of a draw, 5 million after the triumph of Team B11 million. I hope I did not overload you with numbers and were able to grasp the main problem. In two out of three cases, the mathematical bookmaker is in the minus, 66

[05:59] percent probability of losses, how are they still afloat? We dive into reality, values ​​​​of popular bookmakers. The odds calculated in the European sets a slightly adjusted one, let's say 2.8 for Team A4, 1.7 for

[06:17] Team B. We return to the calculations and are unpleasantly surprised by the Victory. Teams and the player's payout is nine million 800,000, a draw is 4 million, Team B wins are 9 million 350,000. Wait, cappers are always in the black. Yes, for

[06:31] example, I took a fairly large margin of as much as 18%, and very simple numbers in practice are sometimes closer to mathematical ones. However, the essence of this does not change. Plus, for optimizing expenses and income, which usually track

[06:43] users began to bet heavily on the team, and the odds on it are significantly reduced. According to the balance of the decomposed mathematical model, Sanya. Yes, you are behind your math. The main thing is that I can win. Or whether the bookmaker will undress

[06:55] others, I don't care. Everything is open, the stuffy part is over. But you won't like the next option either, because various strategies for earning are also not on the player's side. Let's start with the

[07:07] called catch-up. The essence is simple: choose an event with odds of 2 or higher, bet a conditional thousand rubles, lose, look for another odds of 2 plus and bet. 2,000 rubles, as a result, if you win at the second step, you will receive a net profit

[07:20] of 1,000 rubles, let's go earn money. Oh well, math, let's say you have 100,000 rubles, take them and go do something useful and not gamble. Okay, I promised not to stifle you, a smart, in quotes, approach in catch-up is to bet 1-2% of the bank, that

[07:35] 1,000 rubles, it looks very safe, only 1,000. When you have a hundred, 6 bets of your grandmother. Whatever it was at the first step, one percent will only be enough for 6 bets. After the sixth step, you will give the bookmaker 63 thousand rubles, there will

[07:49] be only 37 left on the balance, which is not enough to double. Okay, if you earn money, then there is very little left until the end, to the stars, I'll go borrow to the stars, I'll go borrow 27,000 from my neighbors and take the seventh step. Damn,

[08:12] betting 64 thousand rubles in order to win. 128 sounds cool, but my net profit, taking into account all previous losses, in this case will be 1,000 rubles. And if the bet does not come in, I need 128 thousand rubles. Hello to everyone who did not

[08:26] understand how people fall into the trap of gambling addiction. Do con is a really very it can work for someone. However, the probability that 6 initial coefficients of 2 plus in a row will not come in is quite high. Risking 100 thousand

[08:39] for a one percent profit is somehow strange. In this case, another resignations are quite low with coefficients usually from one and one to one and three. The player places a bet of 1,000 rubles, receives 1,300 rubles and became the entire amount

[08:53] has several thousand rubles with practically minimal risk. Firstly, remember the bookmaker's margin. The coefficient of 1.3 is not mathematical. 77% probability of winning, let's say five percent plus the office's adjustment is

[09:07] there are many examples where even the coefficient of 1.11 It doesn't work. Here's one of German national team, and the North Macedonian team. The underdogs won, the ladder is destroyed. What's going on here? Look at the current World Cup, a

[09:22] similar situation. Betting strategies on those no one believes in. You'll bet 1,000 rubles, odds of 4, playing something like Dagon. In the end, you'll be left with nothing. Only bookmakers win. I'm not just a hater, but tipsters who give

[09:34] predictions with a probability of 95%. And some even 99%, after even such a brief analysis, it looks even more stupid, as do various automated bots that calculate probabilities. It's time for a supposedly 100% way to

[09:46] make money on bets. Fixed matches. What's the point here, it seems, if we're talking about a matches can be found in a couple of clicks in VK publics on all sorts of platforms, even through a banal search by keyword. Telegram.

[09:59] for just a couple of thousand of the most stable Russian rubles, and this is not only because such information costs not a couple of thousand, but a couple of hundred thousand, and sometimes rubles Let's imagine for a second that these are real fixed matches. Let's look at

[10:15] them from the point of view of the main thesis of the video. The bookmaker is always in the black. Most often, resource offer to calculate cash on their card. The sharpening brush coefficient on it exceeds 20, that is, prefixes of 10,000 rubles. You will receive 190,000 net

[10:28] profit. Now imagine that 100 people bought the account before lunch - 19 million rubles for the bookmaker. Yes, he will recoup a little at the expense of those who bet on opponents, but not only the bookmaker who suffers from mass flooding on one or another outcome. The bookmaker adjusts

[10:41] the seller mentioned earlier. Naturally, in the case of reality, he will probably just get less profit, since for now he will reduce the conditional X 30 to X5, what is the benefit of the insider then? Rhetorical questions. But what if you found a real fixed

[10:55] uncle was steaming in the bathhouse with a table tennis player who is going to to the case when it is really possible. Bend the greedy bookmaker again, there is no one on who obviously will not ignore large bays at high odds.

[11:10] When in sports or, what is relevant in recent years, eSports, there is obvious match-fixing. 322 in the language of CS4 Dota fans, the bookmaker simply return the money you bet on the outcome of cases obtained

[11:22] through unfair play. Mass. So, in this case, it is unlikely that you will be able to loot a freebie. There are no home matches by bookmakers. However, the following precautions are taken: small bets from different accounts and in different bulls,

[11:35] other tricks. Naturally, entry into such a community again does not cost 3,000 rubles. But those who bet on him lose millions, the bookmaker is again in the black. Good thing the finals have forgotten everything I said in this video. They imagined that, for example, the ladder

[11:50] goes with a bang, two days they imagined the odds of 1.3 rose 10,000. 100 bookmaker Defeated, we make a withdrawal request and receive a refusal of the operation. website with Speran films or in the channel, the camera really doesn't like to withdraw money from

[12:04] everyday players. Tens of thousands of reviews with far-fetched reasons for this confirmation are sometimes bookmakers even simulate hacking your account, automatically placing the winning balance on incredible outcomes, zeroing it out. Yes, such stories can also be

[12:16] found on the Internet more than once, although it sounds incredible, what can you prove to 1xbet, registered here in Curacao and banned in the Russian Federation? Another rhetorical question to add to the piggy bank of this toxic video. Some companies

[12:28] anything about it. Well, if you create an account legally and everything here is also very interesting. You start the ladder with 10,000 bet the entire amount. Get to 100,000 on the balance, and the delivery limit is

[12:43] reduced to 1,000 rubles. Naturally, raise by 300 The ruble becomes uninteresting with one event, the excitement kicks in, you imagine dozens of withdrawals with the motivation not to lose. The pace of earnings and rash actions most often

[12:55] luck turns off, as if 100% matches simply end. The victories of underdogs are dry, the remains are the same casino, at least you or, through mathematics, only by adding human factors of emotions into the equation.

[13:09] No, I'm still not a fierce hater of bets. Each of us has friends fuel interest in the game, experience a controlled dose of excitement. The main difference is the lack of a goal to earn in the long term. Great betting, at least

[13:23] in my understanding, is betting on money that you have already let go, the winnings essence of this event. Of course, there are also experienced analysts who have long turned their gambling into a hobby into cold-blooded work, but it is unlikely that we are

[13:36] talking about the majority and let's already admit it. Let's be honest, I will tell you too, you may comments under this video, as well as I'm 100% sure there are ways to make money on bets that I haven't found. Just don't forget to read the odds of

[13:49] winning before describing it. The math is such an addition to this topic. I promise not to burden the public with math in my Telegram channel anymore. I'll reveal that weren't included in the video. Go crazy, the main thing is to have fun. If you're already

[14:02] doing this, but if not, think about it. But if this is even that. Thanks for your likes and comments under my videos. This allows me to promote interesting World Cup and bet on the system for up to a year with the most reliable

[14:15] bookmaker in the galaxy. Just a joke: like, subscribe, bell, comment, and was Sanya Korchevnikov. Thank you all, bye.