Bitcoin Still Short: No Longs After 0.5 Test
45sA decisive bearish call backed by a key 0.5 imbalance test makes bulls second-guess any bounce.
▶ Play ClipAI Summary
In this video, the analyst presents a medium-term and short-term Bitcoin forecast (with a final note on Ether), maintaining a firmly bearish bias. The analysis centers on a tested weekly imbalance, bearish session flows across all major regions, and specific liquidity-based entry conditions for any potential long positions.
Chapters
[00:02]
Short bias confirmed
The price has tested the 0.5 weekly imbalance and continues its short move; there are no hints of a long position, regardless of outside opinions.
[00:30]
Targets on weekly swing
The target could be a weekly swing level or another level; two targets are marked on the daily timeframe.
[01:03]
No longs on any timeframe
Even session-based analysis shows no long signals; the short-term forecast for Bitcoin remains bearish across all timeframes.
[01:33]
All sessions are selling
Session setups show Asia Short, London Short, and New York Short — consistent selling pressure across all major sessions.
[02:03]
Condition for longs
The analyst will only consider long positions once sessions start buying; until then, only short positions are warranted.
[02:17]
Entry trigger for shorts
Short-term entries are considered only after a liquidity removal, and require a long imbalance (manipulation, breakdown, and long imbalance) for confirmation.
[02:44]
Global liquidity below
No global longs are warranted because liquidity sits on the daily timeframe, including a weekly swing and two additional levels.
[03:00]
Market narrative
The expected pattern is a quick short, a slow correction, then another quick short; the analyst also applies this forecast to Ether.
The analyst maintains a resolutely bearish outlook for Bitcoin and Ether, anchored in a tested weekly imbalance and uniformly bearish session flows. Only a clear shift in buying behavior during sessions or a specific manipulation-and-imbalance setup would justify reconsidering a long position.
Study Flashcards (6)
What did the price test according to the analyst?
easy
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What did the price test according to the analyst?
easy
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The 0.5 weekly imbalance.
00:02
Which sessions are currently selling?
easy
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Which sessions are currently selling?
easy
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Asia, London, and New York.
01:33
What condition must be met before the analyst considers long positions?
medium
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What condition must be met before the analyst considers long positions?
medium
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Sessions must start buying.
02:03
What does the analyst require before entering a short position?
medium
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What does the analyst require before entering a short position?
medium
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A liquidity removal and a long imbalance (manipulation, breakdown, long imbalance).
02:17
Why are no global longs warranted?
medium
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Why are no global longs warranted?
medium
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Because liquidity sits on the daily timeframe, including a weekly swing and two additional levels.
02:44
What is the forecast pattern for the market?
easy
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What is the forecast pattern for the market?
easy
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A quick short, a slow correction, then another quick short.
03:00
💡 Key Takeaways
💡
Confirmed short bias
The analyst anchors the entire forecast on the tested weekly imbalance, establishing a clear directional premise.
00:02
📊
Uniformly bearish sessions
Observing that Asia, London, and New York are all selling reinforces the bearish case across all time zones.
01:33
🔧
Long imbalance entry trigger
The requirement for a manipulation-and-imbalance setup provides a concrete, rule-based entry signal for shorts.
02:17
⚖️
Quick-short narrative
The expected sequence of a fast drop, slow correction, and another drop gives a tactical roadmap for the medium term.
03:00Full Transcript
[00:02] our sharps continue as we see, uh, the initial analysis, which I gave here a long time ago, that we are in shorts, that is, we have reached 0.5 weeks of imbalance,
[00:17] tested it and continue our short movement. There are no hints of a long one here, no matter what they tell us. Uh, the test is
[00:30] clearly 0.5, the beginning of the chart. Mm, the target could be this weekly swing, or this one in general how the price will react depending on the circumstances. We will mark two of them
[00:47] react depending on the circumstances. We will mark two of them on the daily time frame. gain positions somewhere from here, but for me that would be too high. I would have waited until today closed. We will have an imbalance here and we will work from it
[01:03] . This is a short-term forecast for Bitcoin. Uh, I don't see any longs, even including sessions. If we look at the hourly timeframe,
[01:18] we will look at the sessions, let's switch now to M15. We see we have a clock imbalance, test it with the tip. I didn't gain any positions . Today, what I would like to see in
[01:33] Today, what I would like to see in Bitcoin is this kind of manipulation, if they allow it here and continue shorts. From the session setups, we see that everyone is simply
[01:49] setups, we see that everyone is simply selling, starting with Asia Short, London Short, New York Short, and so on. And all this continues. Until we start buying during sessions, we
[02:03] won’t consider any long positions, only short positions in the long term. We can use short-term [clears throat] so I can use short-term. Here I need to accumulate liquidity. on LTF, for example, on M5 we are already
[02:17] leaving things as equal. There are goals. Where do I work from? It would There are goals. Where do I work from? It would only work after this removal.
[02:29] This is how short-term positions can be considered. the purchases here. What is shopping? These are long imbalances for us, that is, manipulation, breakdown and long imbalance. Only then will I enter into a position.
[02:44] Previously, no way. I don’t see any point in global longs see any point in global longs , since we have liquidity on the daily timeframe . Weekly swing, this one , plus these two. That is, no matter what they
[03:00] tell us, short, correction and continuation of short. And we see the narrative that is happening here. This is a quick short, a slow correction and then
[03:13] another quick short. I don’t even rule out say that we will not come here. Well, everyone said that we wouldn’t go down from 125
[03:26] said that we wouldn’t go down from 125 even to 80, let alone 59,000. That is, this is my forecast for the global and short-term for the global and short-term on ether.
