Today's Market is Confusing! Here's Why
55sRelatable uncertainty in market interpretation keeps viewers engaged and curious for clarity.
▶ Play Clip"True to its title: a live market analysis with technical commentary and viewer Q&A."
In this live market analysis, Flavio Pascoal reviews global market conditions, technical patterns in Brazilian stocks, and provides trading insights. He discusses the impact of news events, portfolio positions, and answers viewer questions, emphasizing the importance of financial education for beginners.
Flavio starts the BDM (Bom Dia Mercado) live stream on July 24, 2026, noting it's Friday and the team is at the Expert event, so he's solo.
US indices (DJIA +0.44%, S&P +0.21%, NASDAQ +0.10%) and European indices are positive; Asian markets mixed (Nikkei -1.61%, Shanghai -1%, Hang Seng +2.80%).
Important news: a 'sink' (likely SNK or similar) opens at 10:45 causing volatility, and New Home Sales at 11:00 (minor impact).
Oil down: Brent -2.83%, WTI -2.42%. Gold slightly up +0.30%, Silver +1.05%, Copper +0.18%, Aluminum -0.98%. Iron ore in Dalian -0.13%.
Petrobras DR (US listed) down 0.26%. Vale (VALE3) opening +0.8%, bought at R$75.04, current R$75.68.
Mining stocks mixed: BHP -0.86%, Anglo American +2.37%, Rio Tinto -0.40%, Glencore -0.20%, Antofagasta +0.25%. Banks all above 1% positive.
Foreign inflow of R$278,000 on July 22, 2026, indicating some external interest.
Flavio notes that highly volatile days (like Wednesday) are typically followed by stable, low-volatility days (like Thursday).
The Ibovespa faces a resistance region around 188,000-189,000 points, with aligned bottoms and tops. Breakout above could lead to new highs.
Vale bought in multiple parts at R$75.04; if it opens with a small gap down, it might be an additional buying opportunity.
Current portfolio: R$3,000 assets, R$2,103 own money. Risking R$3,000-R$4,000 to gain R$14,000 (risk-reward ratio ~3.5:1).
Bought at R$41.40, target R$46.89. Already took partial profit. Waiting for continuation.
BBAS (Banco do Brasil) is in a downtrend but breaking a trend line. If it forms a pivot, could change outlook.
GGBR (Gerdau) near a resistance level. Could be a double top (bearish) or the start of a third leg (bullish). Suggested entry at R$22.44, stop at R$21.35, partial at R$25.53, final at R$27.71.
USIM5 (Usiminas) is in a retracement zone. First bullish pivot would trigger a buy opportunity.
Balance sheet releases are back in focus. For example, a stock (likely VALE or similar) needs to break R$47 to reach R$53.25.
Braera (BRAP4) entry at R$85.75, stop at R$80.51, partial at R$90.99, final at R$101.47. Currently in retracement region.
EGE3 (Engie Brasil) is in a downtrend, below all averages. Better to avoid buying; consider selling if patterns form.
B3 SA3 (Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão) entry at R$15.94, stop at R$14.92, partial at R$16.96, final at R$19.00. Not added to portfolio because already two banks.
Purple 34 (likely a bank stock) is in downtrend. Only buy above R$12.36 with stop at R$11.14 (10% risk).
CSMG (Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional?) missing a pivot. Filter is present but no trigger yet.
Flavio offers free Friday classes on filters and triggers. This week's class is postponed due to Expert event.
Flavio met Fábio Figueiredo, Felipe Aranha, Storb, Biz, and others. He appreciates their integrity and analysis.
Cirela (Cielo) is in a downtrend, below averages. Wait for pullback to R$23.40 for potential entry.
SBSP3 (Sabesp) shows a potential head and shoulders pattern. Break of neckline would activate pattern. Alternatively, a pivot up would cancel it.
Uses 17-period and 72-period exponential moving averages on daily chart, and 72-period on weekly chart (currently at R$37.41).
UNIP6 (Unipar) is sideways with support near R$59. Stop loss below R$58.96 if buying.
SEMIG4 (Cemig) is in a good electricity sector. Entry at R$11.44, stop at R$10.89, partial at R$11.91, final at R$12.93.
Alus (Alupar) and Axia (Axia Energy) are in downtrends. Need pivot for entry.
Ibovespa opened at 0.03% (near zero as predicted). Dollar slightly negative.
Magalu (MGLU3) in strong downtrend, broke support. No buying opportunity unless flow diffuser turns to buy.
CPLE3 (Copel) hit support. Rectangle pattern: best to buy breakout after pullback with short stop and long target.
SMFT3 (Smart Fit) caught at trend reversal. If it breaks R$22, consider re-entry.
Goal (Gol) has buy signal but could be double top. Entry R$10.68, stop R$10.12, partial R$11.24, final R$12.36.
Best investment is financial education. Follow honest people, consume free material, then consider paid products like courses.
For long-term, invest in ETFs like BOVA11 and SMAL11. This avoids need for active swing trading.
The live analysis provides a comprehensive market overview and specific trade setups, emphasizing the importance of technical patterns and risk management. Flavio encourages beginners to focus on education and long-term ETF investing.
What is the risk-reward ratio mentioned for the portfolio?
3.5 to 1 (risking R$3,000-R$4,000 to gain R$14,000).
09:35
What are the two moving averages used for daily analysis?
17-period and 72-period exponential moving averages.
27:10
What pattern is forming on Sabesp's chart?
A potential head and shoulders pattern.
24:58
What is the entry price for SEMIG4?
R$11.44.
28:11
What does Flavio recommend for beginners as the best investment?
Investing in financial education, then considering ETFs like BOVA11 and SMAL11 for long term.
33:31
What is the target price for Petrobras?
R$46.89.
10:36
What does a double top pattern imply for a stock?
It is a bearish reversal pattern indicating resistance and potential decline.
12:51
What is the stop price for GGBR according to the suggested trade?
R$21.35.
12:51
Volatility Pattern
Observations on market behavior after high-volatility days can help traders anticipate low-volatility days.
07:01Double Top vs Third Leg
Illustrates the uncertainty and risk in technical analysis where the same price level can signal both bullish and bearish outcomes.
12:51Financial Education First
Directly addresses new investors with practical, non-promotional advice on building knowledge before risking capital.
33:31Long-Term ETF Recommendation
Suggests a passive, low-risk strategy for beginners using BOVA11 and SMAL11, aligning with long-term market growth.
34:46[01:08] good morning. Starting another BDM today, July 24, 2026, talking to you all here. Flavio Pascoal. Let's go. Let's go. It's Friday today,
[01:20] Let's go. Let's go. It's Friday today, right? Today we wrap up the week. Well, it was interesting day on Wednesday. That was a good day , wasn't it? One day, yesterday was kind of a mixed bag, but at least the market responded, it went up a
[01:35] little. Let's see if he can maintain this high level next week , shall we? As everyone knows, the entire team, including myself, is at Expert. So we 're short-handed here, just missing everyone, okay? I, that is, I'm
[01:51] doing BDM alone at my own risk. So, let me just show you risk. So, let me just show you my screen here and let me get my screen here and let me get the data on how the world is doing right now, so
[02:03] we can understand how the world is opening up, whether it's opening up favorably or unfavorably. Okay, let's start by having the American market, which is slightly positive, right? Djone is up 0.44, SNP 021, NASDAC 010.
[02:21] The market in the eurozone is also positive, right? Stock 600 up, DAX up 1%, Bex also up close to 1%, and CAC at 0.36. And the Asian market, right,
[02:37] [clearing throat] [clearing throat] right, 1.61 down, Shanghai, 1% right, 1.61 down, Shanghai, 1% Hanseng, 2.80
[02:51] positive, ignoring the Asian market which was negative, but it always prices in the previous day. Speaking of important news that we need to pay attention to, let me see if there's
[03:04] anything with three stars. Yes, there's a sink open today at 10:45, okay? So, for those who will be in front of the screen trading at 10.45, understand that there will be significant volatility. You need to be aware of the news to
[03:19] adjust your stop-loss order or to avoid entering a day trade if an opportunity arises. And at 11 o'clock there are also new home sales, which is an OK statistic , but only because of the name. It doesn't make much difference. Looking at the oil prices
[03:33] difference. Looking at the oil prices this morning, the BRANCH oil is down 2.83 and WTI is down 2.42, and WTI is down 2.42, right? The other stocks related
[03:46] to the oil market are also trading in a negative scenario. Well, this should make it difficult for Petrobras to go public. Petro, which yesterday abused the upward gap, we made a trade in Petro, we entered Petro
[03:58] on the 21st, okay? My internet connection is very unstable here. Well, we managed to get her released yesterday, right? Right at the opening, she already opened up, she already gave us the point we wanted, we already made a partial profit on Petrobras.
[04:13] Ah, but speaking of it today, right, at this moment, Petrobras's DR is down 0.26 , right, which is listed on the American stock exchange. Looking at the metallic combos, the
[04:26] gold is giving a very slight breath of fresh air, is n't it? Yes, it was coming off a sharp drop yesterday To be honest, I didn't even go to the market yesterday. Yesterday I just walked around like a complete idiot, with my feet all messed up. Gold went up 0.30, silver went up 1.05, copper went up
[04:43] 0.30, silver went up 1.05, copper went up 0.18, and aluminum is down 0.98, actually down 1%. Beauty? Oh, the iron ore in Dallen is falling by 0.13, right? And the mining companies outside are mixed. We have BHP down 0.86,
[04:59] Anglo-American up 2.37. And Tinto falling 0 is 40, right? Glincore And Tinto falling 0 is 40, right? Glincore down 0.20. Antofogas is going up 0.25.
[05:11] Acelo 2.35 32. Pretty confusing there, huh? But those that are rising are rising well, rising even more than those that are falling. Looking at Vale in
[05:23] this scenario, it's opening with a 0.8% increase. So, she's pricing in something positive in this whole scenario, right? And looking at the banks here, in a positive scenario. I won't go into detail about them, but everything there is only above
[05:38] 1%. So the bank is OK. Looking at currency pairs, okay? Okay, it's all messed up here, it's going more and more and then it's going less. The dollar is weak at the start of the day, but not by much , right? The euro is strong at the start of the
[05:53] day, but there's not much else going for it. What interests us, and is more or less here, is the Mexican currency and the Russian currency, which are performing in a positive scenario, okay? That could mean that if emerging markets go up, we might go up
[06:05] too. I found the interpretation of the world this morning quite confusing. Well, the EWZ, which is our stock exchange listed abroad, is down from 0.19, so I wouldn't even risk it. I do n't think everything will open very close to zero, both the index and the dollar will be
[06:19] right near zero, or a little bit higher or a little bit lower. I don't see anything that will move the price today, right, that will create a big gap up or down, okay?
[06:33] up or down, okay? Foreign influx, uh, there was one there that day, there's always a two-day gap, right? There was a capital inflow of 278,000 on the 22nd. And that's it, okay? Let's head over here to our great Brazil.
[06:48] here to our great Brazil. That's right, our beloved Brazil. Well, yesterday was one of those days. We, Flávio and I, always have this feeling that when you have a very volatile day, the next day is usually a more
[07:01] stable day, with less volatility. And that's what happened, right? It was a pretty volatile day on Wednesday, wasn't it? A day similar to this Friday last week, or Thursday, I don't know, the
[07:16] week before last. And the next day was a very slow day, a day with little activity there as well. Everyone was at Exper, right? Who was going to trade the market? Everyone was there. There was no volatility on that train. So, who
[07:29] this region here will break apart, okay? Yesterday, while doing the here will break apart, okay? Yesterday, while doing the BDM (Brazilian Business Development Management), we understood that this region is the next difficult one, the region that needs to be
[07:42] overcome because it has aligned bottoms and tops. So it's a region of bipolarity, there's price war in that region. A breakout from this point upwards will give buyers more encouragement , perhaps leading them to test the
[07:57] next resistance point around 188,000, 189,000 points, which is where that next peak is located, okay? So this nice candle here breaking upwards would be ideal. If it fails, if instead of making this
[08:13] candle here because I don't even know if it will exist. If he comes back here, then man, he's left this consolidation here to set up a consolidation over there, okay? It's
[08:26] going to be that simple. It will rise a little and then consolidate again , probably. So again, we'll have to wait and see if it breaks downwards, meaning we'll continue falling, or if it breaks upwards and reaches
[08:38] new highs, okay? I'll see, there's not much else to do about it. We're fully invested in Vale. H, it must be very close to that breaking point here. I don't have the exact location because it's the
[08:53] computer I'm using, and the locations are set to Teresópolis, okay? And I 'm in São Paulo, but I can take a quick look here. Let me get it here. Ah, Vale, if we do it like this, look. Oh, there you go. Here is our wallet. Hey,
[09:08] let me pull it like this. Like this. Yes, we bought Vale at 7504. What's its we bought Vale at 7504. What's its price now? 7568. If it opens with a small downward gap, it might still be possible to buy it. It's just the way it is
[09:22] . If it keeps going up, forget it. But we're buying in a multi- part investment. BMGB4 also missed a partial time, but ran well yesterday, almost made it through the partial time. YouTube Smartfit Petro also purchased, already with a partial payment in hand. Petrobras made a
[09:35] partial profit yesterday and is waiting for it to go up. If we had closed yesterday, we would have put R$ 2,103 of our own money into these R$ 3,000 here, which is our accumulated assets since the portfolio began. We didn't do that,
[09:50] accepting a loss of R$3,000, R$4,000, okay, I'll round it up to try and win R$14,000. It's 3.5 to one, right? I put the ratio of 3.5 to 1 here in the risk-reward question. We'll see what happens. Looking at her now, I don't see
[10:05] much I can do, okay? I don't see any purchase in it. She's at the bottom of a crate. Hopefully, it will reach the top so we can capture that upward movement. We talked about buying Petrobras here, look. André spoke, and I
[10:19] also spoke in my closing statement, although it's a role that I have my reservations about, you know? But I ended up saying, "Oh, yes, it's possible." and so on. I even said I'd prefer to go with the options, set up an auto-spread, buy a call option,
[10:36] I do? Now you applaud whoever made the decision when it was at R$ 41.40. Now that she's gone up, there's not much to do but wait. Hopefully it keeps climbing, goes straight up to 46,
[10:50] 89 so we can make our final exit, okay? There is no trade standing. Heading to BBAS banks. Well, it's a very convoluted role, isn't it ? A stock that, if you were to study the Avero stock, is in a
[11:04] downtrend. Yeah, and it's breaking a trend line here, okay? It hit here, you know. Let's see. If he makes a pivot here, I might change my mind, , I don't want it. You can even see a little upward trend here, right? For those who
[11:18] like the channel. I think I managed to draw this draw here badly and poorly. Here you go. Leave a little high-frequency channel like that, okay? Oh, leave it there, but I don't see anything else
[11:30] to do. BBDC4 is in the retracement zone of the downward movement, right? It's in a conflict zone over there. Well, the purchase here could be a near-average amount, and it would have already been partially made. Now things are getting a little weird to me. I'll let it go
[11:44] . ATB, we did that, right? We bought it exactly right? We bought it exactly when it broke here, uh, the, the, the,
[11:56] Hold on, everyone. Oh no! What's here? Uh, yeah, we did that, right? When the stock price went up here, it made a pivot, and
[12:11] we bought that breakout, with a stop loss down here. She's already gone up, she gave a partial result. So there it is on paper, halfway through . I don't know if the stop signal will be marked here. I don't think so. I haven't updated. No, I don't see what to do. Okay
[12:23] . It's another role that's already pretty average, right? Perhaps a new pivot in that region will encourage some action there, but that's not the case right now, okay? A new pivot in this region could indeed be a
[12:37] could indeed be a future opportunity. Looking at the mining companies here, uh, actually steel mills, right? I've already said it, GGBR is all about the "no said it, GGBR is all about the "no free lunch" mentality, right? You can try to
[12:51] buy the breakout of this pivot and catch a beautiful three-legged bullish continuation of the trend. So, when we come here, like
[13:03] So, when we come here, like , leg one, leg two, leg three, okay? If the topan breaks, this will be a third leg, and it could be a very beautiful third leg. But it could be a double top too, right? That's why you might hit this spot,
[13:16] feel some difficulty, and sink. So, there's no such thing as a free lunch. What do you prefer? Buy and take stop if it's back to double or one minute, guys, wait a minute.
[13:35] could be the start of a third leg, right? So we don't know what it is. Oh, that's the magic of the market. For those who think this here, go ahead, son, clean it up, it's going to be the continuation of leg three. That's it right here. Buy at
[13:49] 22.44, stop at 35, partial profit at 2553, final profit at 27.71. stop at 35, partial profit at 2553, final profit at 27.71. Goal, right? Just passing through Goal, which is the same thing, but not quite the same thing, okay? She 's there too, in the same region, same
[14:05] situation, right? We don't know if it's a double top or a continuation of leg three. And that's exactly the scheme. Buy 1068, stop is 10, 12, partial 11, 24,
[14:17] final 12, 63. That's what we have here. I just want to sell CSN, and its stock went up quite a bit two days ago. Yesterday she failed again.
[14:29] will trigger a sell signal; I don't see a buying opportunity in this stock. The only buying scenario is pivots upwards, which is the closest thing to happening, but I don't see any signs of
[14:41] that. On the contrary, yesterday it left a horrible candlestick pattern, a horrible candlestick pattern, a shooting star at the top, and US Minas is as beautiful as GGBR, but it lacks a pivot, okay? She 's pretty because she has a pretty leg
[14:53] , one that's in the retraction zone, it's in the midsection. The first upward pivot point she makes there is interesting for us to consider a possible buy, okay? If this bullish pivot occurs here, it's possible to buy the breakout from the top with a stop at the
[15:06] bottom. Beauty? To wrap things up here, we'll talk about the To wrap things up here, we'll talk about the paying attention to this information again, right? Well, the issue of
[15:21] financial statements, they're back in the spotlight. So, the balance sheet was released yesterday, right? The day before yesterday, she let go of the swing, and it was a beautiful day. Yesterday was a swing, and it was a beautiful day. Yesterday was a day where I was still sort of figuring out
[15:34] what this balance sheet is, okay? She needs to break through those R$47 levels to gain new ranges and maybe even reach the 53-25 region. And the last thing I have to go to Expert soon, have coffee, go to Expert, I'm not going to
[15:50] prolong our BDM today. Well, it's a stock in a We talked about buying here in the queue, which already gave a partial return, and now it's struggling consider buying this stock as well,
[16:04] okay? Is this your favorite, Flávio? No, it 's not, but uh, I'm wrong. Yeah, it does... I think it's more normal than I think, that's right in some analyses. So, at 85
[16:16] right in some analyses. So, at 85 75 you can buy, at 80 51 partial, at 90 with a 75 you can buy, at 80 51 partial, at 90 with a 99 stop, at 101 with a 47 final exit, then at Braera, it's in the retracement region, right? Although it's right there on the back leg
[16:29] . So every time this happens, let me delete it. What is it here that actually bothers me the most? I'll even grab this one that's already ready, look. This region of aligned hilltops here, look. This region here, uh, is a spot where
[16:42] the buyer appeared, not long ago, and could appear again, right? maybe pushing the price down, okay? So there's no point, you have to pay to what you're asking, if there's
[16:57] any demand, otherwise we'll just close up early today and get on with it , right? Oh, there's Perin! The pear was at the fair yesterday, man. He talked to us there, stayed there and everything, but he's here today too, right? It's three days. Eh, let's
[17:11] too, right? It's three days. Eh, let's go, let's go. Come on, let's go go, let's go. Come on, let's go , folks! Guys, like this post! Hey Rô, tell me Rô, how are you doing? All is well? Was it fun yesterday? How's my foot doing?
[17:25] Crippled. I'm not used to walking. Oh my God, I decided to go for a walk yesterday. my God, I decided to go for a walk yesterday. EGE3. Let's go. Március is asking about E3, uh, man, a stock that's in a
[17:38] downtrend, right? If I were to do anything in that role, I would pay more attention to selling than to buying. Because when you do the stock trend study here, let me pull out the right tool. It's leg one, leg
[17:53] two, he launched leg three. If he turns to the side here, does a side four, I'm going to want to, I'm going to want to , oh, I can try to get the five-legged takedown. I don't see the point in buying that stock. He's below
[18:07] all averages and everything else. So, that's a stock that, for me, is trending downwards; I prefer to stay out of it, okay? I think B3 SA3 is a good stock. Well, yesterday
[18:20] I think B3 SA3 is a good stock. Well, yesterday she didn't go up the hill that she could have, and that would have triggered this queue-jumping operation here. I think this deal is worth it, okay? 15 with 94
[18:35] 94 entry, 14 with 92 stop, 16 with 96 partial, R$ 19 final exit. I think this document wo n't go into my portfolio only because we're already in two banks, right? We're in,
[18:48] although partially, that's not the problem, but we're in BMGB, problem, but we're in BMGB, BMGB4. If we weren't already in BMGB4, added to our portfolio today. That's where our customers' glasses would go. I think my
[19:02] our customers' glasses would go. I think my profit is bugged here, it's bugged. He's over there. Hey, Pamela here is asking about purple size 34. Purple size 34
[19:15] in the bank. Okay, let's look at mine here, let me remove these lines here. Paper is also going through a difficult time, right? It's right there, man. Let me change the timeline here, see if it
[19:30] change the timeline here, see if it fixes it, man. It's not bugged here, mine just didn't work. Wow, . Go ahead and use it even if it's bugged.
[19:44] It's a stock that's trending downwards, right? If you understand the debate, fighting in the mid-range, it's like this, you could even think about a queue-jumper here, Pamel. So, think about a queue-jumper here, Pamel. So, I would only buy above 1236, okay?
[19:57] I'd place a buy order at 12.36, thinking about a potential price fluctuation, I'll put it at 40. And the stop-loss down here, it's kind of expensive, isn't it? Let me pull it over so we can see, look. Stop at 11, 14, it's giving a 10% risk.
[20:12] So that's the price. I think B3 is prettier. 13 with a partial score of 66, 16 with an prettier. 13 with a partial score of 66, 16 with an 18 final exit, then in purple 34 in the bank. My friend HD Magalhães, who became our client, is
[20:28] Magalhães, who became our client, is asking about CSMG, okay? Oh, nice paper. That document had that issue of whether to privatize or not, right? H, and then when the news came out that it was here and all, we talked about a pivot player,
[20:41] he had already left and given a partial result. Magalhães, now I think we're missing a pivot, right? We're missing our beloved trigger, right? The filter is already there. What is the filter? It right? The filter is already there. What is the filter? It went up, it's getting back to average, right? And here,
[20:55] went up, it's getting back to average, right? And here, on average, the first pivot point is what triggers me to consider this purchase. And I'm going to use the trigger filter to invite you all to join my
[21:08] community, right? I have a community there where I've been giving free classes every Friday. There won't be one today, obviously, right? For obvious reasons. I'm not
[21:20] at home and all that, I'm not in my comfort zone. And I'm going to teach a class over there at the drill studio, right? Drill is a type of stand where there are, like, 20 or 30 spots available,
[21:32] right? Today's class won't be tomorrow's. And the topic I chose was precisely about filters and triggers, which was a lesson I gave in this giving, and people really liked it. So, uh, I'm going to give a brief summary of the
[21:48] when I'm alone, you know, at home, and the time is mine. But I'll go talk about join the community. I just added here is free; you'll join the WhatsApp group, and from there you'll
[22:03] WhatsApp group, and from there you'll receive the link to the class every time there's one, which is every Friday at 7 PM, and so on. And there's also an exchange of knowledge there, people asking questions, people talking about
[22:17] people asking questions, people talking about operations, and so on. So, uh, that's it, okay? So, for me, the filter is there, but I'm missing the trigger to make a decision, my dear friend HD Magalhães, okay? And regarding B3, I just mentioned it, I think I already
[22:31] B3, I just mentioned it, I think I already answered your question, okay, buddy? Yesterday, I took pictures with people I really like, you know? So,
[22:43] uh, I ended up talking, I never imagined it. I was listening to Fábio, and when I talk to you?" Then come here. Fábio Figueiredo is a guy I really like because of the way he analyzes things, and the integrity he demonstrates as a person
[22:56] , you know? Yeah, and I've been his student in several different areas, you know. I when I looked to the side, there was Felipe Aranha, who I hadn't even seen yet, and he 's another guy I really like, man. So, yesterday I was the same, yesterday
[23:09] I met a bunch of people there, took a picture with Storb, took a picture with Biz, Bizio talked to me, look, Biz recognized me. I said, "What's this, man? I don't deserve so much, but it was really cool, right? There are two more days ahead. Let's go,
[23:21] two more days ahead. Let's go, we'll meet more people. Ah, Cirela. Cirela. Let's talk about Cirela here. Ah, let me see here, look. Cirela.
[23:36] it's another stock that's kind of like this, it's a sector that's quite difficult, right, Marcos? sector that's quite difficult, right, Marcos? Marco, the Imob is in a Marco, the Imob is in a downtrend, perhaps of all the sectors, right? And Imob,
[23:49] ugliest, right? It's in a downtrend there, pivoting downwards, look. It's already done a down leg, a correction leg, a down leg, a correction leg, launching a new down leg. So, uh, it's already broken the
[24:04] affected, it's fighting at the average there, hopefully it will hold. So, I don't think, if the market will be the one that will take the longest to respond. And Cirela is below all
[24:16] averages." Right? So I don't see a reason to buy it. At the very least, wait for it to go up here, hit those 23.40 and do a pullback to have a minimal possibility. There's also a shorter trend line here,
[24:29] anyway, to try to combine the operational data with a possible entry point, okay? How do you contact me, interest? Well, phone number there. My phone number is there, just join and you can call me
[24:43] privately, no problem at all. Okay? If you want to chat with me, we're in this together. Uh, let's go. Let's go. My friend Web Market here asking about My friend Web Market here asking about Sabesp and Eub, right? SBSP3
[24:58] Sabesp. Uh, a stock that, let me see here, look. It had an upward trend and now it's trying to do a head and shoulders pattern, right? Maybe, right? No, it's similar here, look. For those who are
[25:14] chartists, who like patterns, look here, look. It's not more or less in the same region at shoulder height, look. It's not more or less there. In the same region. It could be a head-to-shoulders pattern, right? Pay attention here to the breakout of the neckline
[25:29] here to the breakout of the neckline , which would be this one here, between this bottom and this bottom. I'll even set an alarm. Although I'm not going to use this computer, I'll still set an alarm here. Uh, the breakout there
[25:42] will activate this head-to-shoulders pattern. If it goes up here, oh, oh, web, and makes a little pivot, then it cancels the head-to-shoulders pattern and says it's going to go up more, right? Uh, the good thing about the market, I think this is fantastic, is that there are always two
[25:57] first trend leg, this could be a second corrective leg, and it could launch a third leg. So it could be either a reversal movement, which would be this one here. It fell, the top, and it's going to break the bottom. This one here would be the reversal movement,
[26:14] the red one. And the purple one here could be the trend continuation movement, right? We don't know which one is prevailing. Right? The market doesn't offer free lunches, short blankets, uh, you have to choose what you think is
[26:27] 're in it, I don't see what to do. I mean, if it makes a new pivot in that region, maybe the big banks will look better, okay? The new pivot there. Uh,
[26:41] the averages today are the 17-period and 72-period moving averages. These are the averages here, see? It's the 17-period exponential moving average , which is the purple one. It's the
[26:55] 72-period exponential moving average, which is the orange one. And here is the 72-period moving average as well, but it here is the 72-period moving average as well, but it 's on the weekly chart, see? And it is... Oh, wow, I'll have to do this here, I think like this, see? Okay, see? This
[27:10] is the average that you fix on the chart, on the time frame you want, so I don't need to go to the weekly chart to know that... The 72-period moving average of the weekly chart is here at 37 with 41. These are the averages we
[27:24] These are the averages we use, okay? Bought in UNIP 6. UNIP 6. Let me see where I would put my stop loss, Alexandre, if I had bought it, okay? The most natural bottom is here, below 59, 58, 96, 58 and
[27:40] so on. Okay? If it breaks the top here, if it breaks these 63 with 10, then the stop loss can be at 60 with 66. But it's a stock that's very sideways, right? It's a stock that's going through a kind of "I'll go, I won't go" movement, right? It
[27:55] breaks down, doesn't fall, breaks up , doesn't go, and it's there, it's in the middle of the action. Hopefully it will go up, break the top and go away. Semig. Oh Marcos, there was a lot of fluctuating interest in it, man. Semig 4. Semig 4, Okay. It was, it isn't. It's here, look.
[28:11] This one is OK, you see? If the market decides to go up today, and you 're looking for an opportunity, take a good look at SEMIG. It's a very good sector, the electricity sector. Throughout this whole downward movement,
[28:25] it managed to hold on, it didn't fall like the others, right? And SEMIG is one of our strategies, right? R$ 11.44 is the entry, R$10.89 is the stop, R$11.91
[28:40] is the entry, R$10.89 is the stop, R$11.91 partial, R$12.93 is the final exit in SEMIG partial, R$12.93 is the final exit in SEMIG 4. Okay? Ah, Alus and Axia, let's look at Alus here, I think it's the same problem as the IMOB sector, right? It's
[28:52] a sector that's suffering and it's a stock that fell quite a bit. At a minimum, I'll have to wait for it to test those R$28.40 and make a bullish pivot. And Axia? Axia is below all the averages, right? Let me see here...
[29:05] Okay. I'm going to pull an option. The deceased Elete. Ah, no, the weekly average is missing there, but it's below the average too. I 'll have to wait for it to at least pullback, to make a pivot, preferably already testing this top here, you
[29:19] know? Because if it's below the top, I don't think I even want it, but it could be. Let's see if it will do that over time. Oh, the index is opening, uh, with a 0.03 increase. Remember I said it would open at 0-0? Look at that
[29:33] beautiful 0-0, right? 0.02. Eh, and let me see the dollar here. little bit too. No, let me zoom in here because I can't see it here.
[29:48] Go on, my son. Oh, this one opened, it opened falling a little bit. It fell a little bit, right? Emerging markets were positive, the dollar was slightly negative, but "Zero to zero too, look. It's already at the entry point. So, unsurprisingly, at the
[30:01] opening of our futures market, we had a very coherent reading of what's happening, okay? Uh, let's go. Talk about Magalu, is there still hope? Well, graphically, no, okay? Oh, oh, oh, Panvan. Uh, a stock that's
[30:20] in a strong downtrend, broke through an important region, right? It's going to have a target down there and doesn't show any kind of strength, right? When it tries to go up, a sequence of negative days follows, showing that for
[30:36] now it's still down, I don't see the slightest possibility of buying this stock. Maybe if the flow diffuser starts turning to a buy, right, which is our indicator that tries to anticipate the trend reversal, then we start
[30:49] to change our minds. But the way things are here, it's best to stay out, okay? here, it's best to stay out, okay? Uh, Copel Smartfit here. Gota is asking here, look. CPLE3 Copel,
[31:04] man. The stock hit a support level." Right there, right? So, for me it's kind of rectangular, kind of rectangular here, look. Let me do it like this, see? This stock is kind of stuck in a consolidation. For me, the best scenario would be for it to test this
[31:18] top and make a pullback, then you try to buy the breakout of the rectangle with a short stop, right, and a long target, which is always the best option, right? Being able to buy with a short stop and a long target is the best of both worlds. Look, the
[31:31] previous top is far away if it makes this pullback. So, for me, that's it here with Copel. Smart Fit, man, we caught it down there in a trend reversal when we caught it here, right? We
[31:45] do with it. There isn't an important region here . If it surpasses this R$22 region, I'll look again for a possible re-entry, okay? I already talked about SEMIG, we're together, Jean. Uh, Goal, I talked about that too, Gota Amazônica.
[32:02] Goal, I talked about that too, Gota Amazônica. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Goal 4. Uh, there's a buy signal on it, okay? The problem is that we don't know if this will be a double top or if this will be a double top or if this is a three-legged pattern. That's the
[32:17] right? It's a tired three, also falling. But if you think it's a three-legged pattern, these are the points I mentioned earlier, okay? 1068, 10 12 10 11 24 12
[32:31] earlier, okay? 1068, 10 12 10 11 24 12 36. Uh, 36. Uh, my friend Antônio here is talking about... in the free classes we did, right? Uh, in some of them I bring up some
[32:45] famous setups. Ah, I had already talked about the 9.3 in a previous class and in last week's class, which isn't available on YouTube, I talked about David Lundry and the
[32:58] 9.1, right? And making a confluence between the two and using programming. I brought a bit of programming into the financial market. I thought the class was really cool. Uh, and that's what we do
[33:14] in these free classes. I don't bring... Just one more thing, I try not to just bring more of the same, right? I also try to bring new things, things that can add value, right? Auzi Minas is missing pivot David, I've already been through it. Uh, no, no, Rebeca, for
[33:31] beginners. What's the best sector to invest in? Rebeca, I'm going to give you some sales talk, but it's not. I think the best sector for you to invest in is your financial education, right? You follow good people, people
[33:47] you perceive as honest and not selling you the dream of getting rich overnight. You consume the free material that these people offer. And when you feel that the free material is no
[34:00] longer adding value, then you go and try to acquire some product, a course, a room, a mentorship to be able to take the next step, okay? I think that before investing you need to understand where you are going to invest. So I see it
[34:16] more from that perspective, okay? So, since you put it as for beginners, the best place to invest is in your financial education to be able to... You need in the market. And to wrap things up, my friend Wilton asked about trend 3, if
[34:33] trend 3 that I mentioned selling. No, it wasn't . It must have been trend 3 that I mentioned selling. Trend 3, I don't know. Uh, here, ah, and just like this, Rebeca. Ah, Flávio, but I want to start
[34:46] participating in the market before I answer, just so I don't leave you alone. I would go for BD, for ETFs, I would sporadically buy BOVA 11, I would sporadically buy Small 11 and participate, but for the long
[35:00] term, without what I do here, without swing trading. It's about buying so that in swing trading. It's about buying so that in 10, 15, 20 years you get 3, 4, 5, 10 times what you put in, right, in value. Theoretically, obviously,
[35:14] we don't know where the financial market is going, but the trend is the market. Okay, so it's going up, right? And since the Ibovespa represents the country's economy , the BOVA 11 represents the Ibovespa, it's the country's economy. We understand that over time the economy improves.
[35:28] I don't see what to do with it, my friend. The stock is showing a nice downward correction friend. The stock is showing a nice downward correction . There's support here at R$7.40. Let's see what happens here, okay? The index opened and then went haywire. It took a big
[35:42] hit downwards and life goes on. Okay , folks. So, great. Let's go. Let's go to the Expert session. I appreciate everyone's participation.
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