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BTC Weekly Forecast – Bitcoin (May 25–31, 2026)

0h 09m video Published May 25, 2026 Transcribed Jul 31, 2026 S Smart Money Club
Intermediate 5 min read For: Crypto traders and investors interested in Bitcoin technical analysis and weekly price forecasts.
AI Trust Score 75/100
⚠️ Average / Some Fluff

"Delivers exactly what the title promises: a detailed weekly BTC forecast with clear levels and scenarios."

AI Summary

A Bitcoin technical analysis video providing a weekly forecast for May 25–31, 2026, focusing on key price levels, support and resistance zones, and a trading plan based on recent market imbalances.

[00:03]
Weekly Narrative Continues

The previous trading week closed with an expansion of the short and achieved the first target set earlier. The analyst continues the same bearish weekly narrative.

[01:00]
Full Chart Analysis

New variables are introduced. The analyst plans to define a narrative and form trading ideas with specific points A and B, then review them at the end of the week.

[01:54]
Fair Value Zone

Price is in the fair value (equilibrium) area, so no increased buying or selling pressure is expected in a market auction.

[02:24]
First Target Reached

The 74,900 mark was reached. A lower second target around 73,000 remains on the chart as a possible delivery price, but it is not a reason to short aggressively.

[02:54]
New Variable: Buyer Pressure

A pivot rejection and buyer pressure are forming, showing support dominance over resistance and partially changing the balance of power.

[03:48]
Four-Hour Timeframe Signals

Internal compression formed, and a gap area exists from 78,000 to 80,000. The area above 79,000 remains valid active resistance.

[04:46]
80,000 Key Level

80,000 has been a key level for two weeks and remains resistance. The 79,000 support was broken, creating a new supply zone.

[05:30]
Buyer Control

The four-hour chart shows an imbalance toward excess purchases, indicating buyers currently control the market, creating serious support.

[06:29]
Main Scenario: Correction

The likely scenario for the week is a transition to a possible correction, targeting the gap area. A bullish weekly close is 'more no than yes'.

[07:27]
Long Trading Idea

A long trade is preferred with clear point A and point B. Low volatility is expected, and the analyst warns not to rush or force the trade.

[08:10]
Medium-Term Perspective

Medium-term plans involve watching whether expansion, stable order flow with buyer dominance, or compression into sideways movement occurs, which could lead to another short.

The analyst provides a cautiously bullish short-term trading idea while maintaining a bearish medium-term bias, emphasizing patience and waiting for a missing variable to confirm the next major move.

Study Flashcards (7)

What was the first target that Bitcoin reached according to the analyst?

easy Click to reveal answer

74,900

02:24

What is the key resistance level mentioned on the four-hour chart?

easy Click to reveal answer

80,000

04:46

Where is the gap area located on the four-hour chart?

medium Click to reveal answer

From 78,000 to 80,000

04:30

How does the analyst characterize the current price position in terms of fair value?

medium Click to reveal answer

The price is in equilibrium, so no increased buying or selling pressure is expected.

01:54

What is the main trading scenario for the current week?

medium Click to reveal answer

A transition to a possible correction with targets in the gap area.

06:29

Does the analyst expect the weekly candle to close with a bullish extension?

easy Click to reveal answer

More no than yes.

07:11

What is the second target that remains on the chart after reaching 74,900?

medium Click to reveal answer

Around 73,000

02:39

💡 Key Takeaways

📊

First Target Reached

Confirms the previous weekly analysis and validates the bearish narrative.

02:24
📊

80K Key Level

This level has been repeatedly identified as a critical resistance influencing trade planning.

04:46
💡

Correction Scenario

The analyst outlines the most likely market path for the week, giving traders a concrete scenario to watch.

06:29
💡

Bullish Close Unlikely

Contrary to the long bias, the analyst doubts a bullish weekly close, showing nuance in the forecast.

07:11
⚖️

Medium-Term Perspective

Emphasizes the need to watch for expansion vs. compression to determine the next major move.

08:10

[00:03] This is where we develop that very narrative. If you and I assumed two weeks ago, based on the changes, that we would have a weekly narrative, or rather, at least my conclusion was based on what was on the chart, then

[00:17] the candle closed with a weekly expansion of the short. The next, that is, the previous trading week, the end of which I congratulate you all, also closed with the achievement of the targets that we set last week, at

[00:32] least the first target, and plus it closed with an expansion of the short, that is, the same narrative. So let's just tell this story once, just once. If

[00:45] we are talking about a weekly narrative, then, in particular, we are discussing how the weekly candle will most likely be formed . graph in terms of variables?

[01:00] graph in terms of variables? Now let's do a full analysis of what we have on the graph. Now I'll move the chat a little. And we have something to discuss here, something to point out, because there are new

[01:13] variables that are worth paying attention to. Next, based on the results, we will try to define the narrative. If we can do this effectively, we will then formulate trading ideas where we will have a specific point A, point B, and

[01:28] any possible variations for the week, and at the end of the week we will review them. We'll look at other AA assets later, and in particular, we'll talk about AA assets later, and in particular, we'll talk about Ether. M further, I think, we'll see, uh,

[01:42] dollar. The situation with the euro is interesting; the gold index is off today. Ah, so what do we have in terms of B2C and price position? We are currently

[01:54] in the area of ​​fair value, that is, in equilibrium. Therefore, I would not expect any increased pressure from buyers or sales in terms of a market auction . And the new variables that

[02:08] . And the new variables that we have added, firstly, I would like to return to the analysis of last week, where we set two goals, right? And this mark of 74900, roughly speaking, we

[02:24] have reached this mark. And the second target was a little lower, let me remind you, in the supposed support, where we can see increased pressure from , since we haven’t reached there yet, but such a goal is present on the graph.

[02:39] Just as a variable, just as a possible delivery price. This does not mean that you need to shorten the whole cutlet here. This is the 7300 mark. We are removing this target. We have one left. And a new variable

[02:54] that was added at the close of last week is the formation of P. get rejection and pressure from buyers. In particular, we are

[03:10] developing a dominance of support over resistance. And in the local picture, roughly speaking, we have found, uh, a buyer who is showing strength and partially

[03:23] who is showing strength and partially changing the balance of power between buyers or sellers. Therefore, we mark the support on the daily chart, yes, we still have the daily chart, yes, we still have the same resistance in the form of a weekly RB, and we will

[03:36] also leave it as a variable. I think we'll find it useful.

[03:48] four-hour timeframe, because I'm interested in the pricing that was in this part. This is because it will present a clearer picture of possible targets for the trading week. And that's pretty much it for us with

[04:04] Bitcoin. Accordingly, a four-hour time frame. We have two things to pay attention to now . The first is the internal compression that was formed

[04:18] in this part. This is how I'll mark it. Plus, there is a gap area on the chart

[04:30] well, a gap here, specifically in the current pricing, which is quite smeared. Why? because it starts from 78 and ends at 80,000, where, let me remind you, in fact, 80,000 for us,

[04:46] in addition to the fact that this was the key level the week before last and last week, we have repeatedly supplemented our picture and our analysis with this figure. And I'll also

[04:58] remind you that there's such an important point here, that just 79, well, the whole area, yes, the lines, so you understand correctly, remains, while there was a support, which we currently broke. And we have a resist here in

[05:15] the form of sonar, so we also leave this area. And the current pricing, yes, we have B and we have currency exchange rates, that is, essentially, two fairly serious signs on the four-hour time frame that at the current

[05:30] moment the market is controlled by buyers, that is, the imbalance factor towards an excess of purchases, in general, occurred as a result of last week, yes, and at the beginning of the current trading week. That's why we have

[05:45] quite serious support. Here we have a resistance and the area of ​​that very gap, which I would set as a target, a possible target for the current trading week. We will leave the Oblastina. And here I will remind you that everything that the

[06:02] price is above the 79,000 mark is, in fact, still a valid and active resistance. Therefore, it would be more accurate to bet on it as targets for a breakout,

[06:14] but I would not bet on the current week, at least not this week. We also have the following point, which is essentially finding the price in the equilibrium area. So let's sum it up. Now look, based on the variables, the

[06:29] Now look, based on the variables, the next thing we essentially do is define some kind of narrative, presumably for the trading week. Yes, I like the moment here of transition to a possible correction,

[06:43] moment here of transition to a possible correction, yes, and reaching these targets. What is likely to happen this trading week? So this is probably the main scenario that I would watch. Does this mean that the

[06:58] watch. Does this mean that the current weekly candle is highly likely to close with a bullish extension? More no than yes. Because there are quite a lot of variations in the current pricing for its closure

[07:11] , yes. But given the support, given the variable in the form of a four-hour stable imbalance and the dominance of buyers, I would be happy to work long. Therefore , in general, one could say that there is a B2C

[07:27] , in general, one could say that there is a B2C trading idea. And for monetization, we have a clear, precise point A and a clear, precise point B. Yes, there's a slight discrepancy here, of course, in the numbers, but it's there nonetheless, so

[07:41] I would n't expect any high volatility here. It is also not worth excluding the fact that, although it is not likely, yes, this could happen, but most likely not. And this

[07:54] trading week, we will update the minimum, but sooner or later, given the dynamics, this may be the target. Looking ahead a bit , it will be more interesting to make more medium-term plans for B2C now, to

[08:10] medium-term plans for B2C now, to see the dynamics, yes, what will happen here. Will this be expansionary delivery, will this be a stable order flow significant buyer dominance, or will we see compression that

[08:24] will turn into a sideways movement, and we will continue to short this whole story. That is, in fact, we will see a correction. We'll find out about this when these variables are formed, because I saw them writing in chats that you either need to long-tail it all

[08:40] , or short-tail it all. I wouldn't rush. We are currently missing one variable that is missing from the overall puzzle. Most likely, this puzzle will come together this very week. This is one. Secondly, everything that is needed for

[08:55] trading, namely the formation of point A and point B, in order to open a quality trade, is already present on the chart. Therefore, in general, you don’t have to force things, work with what is provided, and you will be

[09:11] happy. Therefore, finishing with B2C, I don’t have, based on the variables that are present on the graph, any kind of highly probable narrative for the current week. This is one. But besides this, there is a

[09:28] trading week idea that I will most likely monetize. I will most likely monetize. A little later I'll send it to you, ae, in the feed. Yes. Next comes the broadcast. There is a difference with the ether.

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