Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

[00:18] I know I promised a live stream yesterday and unfortunately I completely forgot. So, I'm live streaming right now. What's up, guys? How's everyone now. What's up, guys? How's everyone doing? Am I live? No. Zoom out.

[00:35] doing? Am I live? No. Zoom out. Let's see if this is working. Hopefully the quality is okay. Let's see what we can do here. [snorts]

[00:55] know and let's get it rolling. and let's get it rolling. So, I should be live, I hope. And what some bets. I've been trying to deposit

[01:08] money in Bovvada, but dude, sending crypto has been a little bit of a pain. So, I put some money in Cali. What else did I put money in? I love you, Alex. Um, what are the new implied odds? I assume people are asking about

[01:23] underdogs. So, let's just take a look right here. Apparently, they improved their payouts for everybody. Um, which hopefully they did. Hopefully, there's hopefully they did. Hopefully, there's not a reason. What is going on?

[01:35] Why is this all Let's go to NBA, [snorts] dude. It is 3.5x. So, what is the implied odds? Somebody asked. And let's go through the math quickly. So, minus 114 - 115 14.8 8 for two pick

[01:55] entries and then there's a three pick. Let's do the math. So, dude, two pick entries are going to be [ __ ] dope on Underdog Fantasy. I mean, granted, I'm Underdog Fantasy. I mean, granted, I'm still going to be limited, but whatever.

[02:09] What about three mans? Three mans minus 115. So, two mans I think are the best type of slip on underdog, which is actually a little bit wild, but it is just what it is. You can deposit through match pay on Bovvada. They accept zel,

[02:25] dude. So, Underdog Fantasy, shout out Underdog, I guess. I mean, if they could unlimit me, that would be sick. Minus 115 odds for two mans and three mans now. I mean, that's pretty pretty pretty good. Pretty good. Pretty good. Um, but

[02:41] what was I talking about? Finding some bets. So, let's see what we can do. Um, again, I still haven't been able to get money in Bovvada. It's been such a pain, bro. Why don't they just let you deposit with a debit card? But I

[02:56] got some money in Cali. We got underdog. We got prize picks. It should be flex Friday. And it is. Flex Friday. 40% boost. Prize picks, I assume. Yeah,

[03:08] prize picks is still giving a shitty 3x payout. So, I don't know. I don't know. I'm honestly surprised underdog's making it that good, but it is what it is. So, the first player we're going to go with is Sadiq

[03:22] over two and a half assists. This is solid on prize picks. So, you can see his unders, you know, a heavy underdog, so he's more likely to go over. And prize picks, you know, is a fixed payout sports book. Uh, what's up, Alex? What's

[03:36] up, Rock the Colin? What happened to yesterday? Dude, I told you I forgot. Sorry. Uh, what did I do yesterday? I was going to live stream and then I ordered 30 chicken nuggets from Chick-fil-A

[03:49] [snorts] and I completely forgot to live stream and I completely forgot to live stream um because I ended up taking a nap. So, wow. Okay. So, okay. Let's just start getting a slept locked in.

[04:03] Um so, I'm going to do flex Friday first. And honestly, I'm just going to rip through this stuff. So, if you want a tail, move quick. Play number one. Dean Wade over four and a half rebounds plus assists. Clowny under 18 and a half

[04:16] plus assists. Clowny under 18 and a half PRs. I mean, I'm just didn't I'm kind of I'm trying to move through a bunch of sports books here. Isaiah Joe heavy. You know, he's an underdog to go over. We

[04:29] want to be on his under. Sometimes the values and weird markets like PAS, values and weird markets like PAS, points plus assists. Where are you, bro? Wait, where is Joe? Points plus assists. Here we go. So, I got three picks so

[04:43] far. This is for flex Friday. So, obviously it has to be it's got to be a flex play. Nas Reed under two and a half assists. Let's just finish this first slip. Okay, that sound good.

[04:58] Nas Reed under two and a half assists. So, now we got four plays. Uh, what do we think about this? I'm just taking a look. Yes, I don't know if I love pairing Isaiah Joe with the clowny play, dude. There's

[05:13] gonna be so much value on underdog. This is crazy. So, we'll do Hatchy under. I don't want to pair the others together because maybe a little bit uncorrelated. And then we have Con over 18 half. Nope, they bumped him. Um,

[05:30] and they bumped Dean Wade. Damn. So, Price is moving a little faster. Give me a sec. It's just taking too long. So, we could do I don't even know what this is. Hockey, which is starting soon. Let's go to Olympic hockey. Um, under three and a

[05:45] half shots on goal. FanDuel has him as a plus 128 underdog. So, I'm fine with that. And then we'll go back to Sadi Bay. And I'm trying to finish this slip. I'm sorry it's taking so long, bro. Where are you, baby? Sadique Bay over

[05:59] two and a half assists. Okay, so here's the slip. What do we think? any we're good. Yo, so here's the slip if you want to tail. Flex Friday 40% boost again. I'm in California currently,

[06:13] again. I'm in California currently, which is a little beat because they just like they got rid of Fliff, they got rid of Rebet. So like Koshi, Poly Market, Bovvada, these DFS apps is kind of what you're stuck with. [snorts]

[06:27] Um, so let's run this [ __ ] and let's go to a new book. Maybe we should do an underdog slip. That feels kind of fitting. Yo, can someone put a link in the chat? Alex, are two mans any good now that

[06:41] they that that that the payout increase? Yeah, I think twoman's are the best type of slip. Someone Thank you for God 7 for putting the link in the chat. Hi, Alex. What's up, Killer 11? I think two mans are the best type of slip on underdog

[06:53] are the best type of slip on underdog fantasy now. What's up, Killa 11? next? Is it fitting to just rip some underdog slips? I mean, I'm kind of open

[07:05] Damn, dude. Prize picks is kind of popping right now. How many NBA games? Sleeper. I don't see any discounts right now. now. So, let's see real quickly. Oh, yeah,

[07:19] baby. We got nine NBA games. I'm sorry I didn't stream yesterday. Dude, when I eat too much food and I never eat healthy, sometimes I just get really tired and like take a nap. [snorts] Um,

[07:34] so let's do Underdog cuz why not? I mean, this is going to be the easy I the world to beat now. Like, I'm dead serious. Underdog Fantasy, two pick

[07:47] entries, 3.5x payout. It's like really good. A forex payout is completely, you good. A forex payout is completely, you know, 5050 fair odds.

[07:59] Instagram. What was I saying? Trey Johnson. [snorts] Let's get a twoman in. Over 12 and a half points. This looks good. Naji Marshall under 18 points. So, I should be getting a 3x payout. 3.5x payout.

[08:14] This is crazy. This is crazy. Someone lock it in, boys. Ooh, if you guys are new to underdog fantasy, this is going to be a book at least for a bit until you get limited. That's crazy. I still can't

[08:29] believe it. This is permanent, too, I think. Right. Is this permanent? Alex, do the math in the stream. It's very simple. One divided by 3.5 to the.5

[08:54] to Odds Jam? It's expensive. I don't know. know. It's permanent.

[09:07] So, this is how you get the implied odds. The math's in the chat. What's up, odds. The math's in the chat. What's up, Ramu? Let's look at pick six. We can do pick six if people want. I think they have some promos as well. Has

[09:21] anyone used um DraftKings predictions? This is crazy, bro. Jarus Walker. I mean, I kind of just want to rip three underdog slips as quickly as possible and I feel like they're all going to win. And I'm looking good. I'm looking

[09:34] win. And I'm looking good. I'm looking young. I'm [ __ ] 30, bro. But I look like I'm 23, bro. That's what's crazy. [snorts] Yo, so here's another two pick on underdog again. Three. I mean, this is crazy. Okay, lock

[09:49] it in. I hope you guys got it locked in already. I mean, I'm trying to move. Trying to move, boys. I may stream twice today. Would anybody be interested in two streams today? Because I did promise I was going to stream yesterday and then

[10:02] I lied. Maybe I will. Actually, I don't want to commit to that. Never mind. Ignore that I said that. If I stream again, it's just going to be a surprise. It's like getting a [ __ ] on a Monday, dude. It's just a surprise. [snorts] Um,

[10:18] you don't expect to get blown on a Monday. So, what do we have here? Okay, locked in. There's tons of value on Odds Jam. Two pick entries. If you're just tuning in on Underdog Fantasy, those are mathematically optimal. I don't know

[10:34] what to tell you. That's just the way it is. Um, 3.5x payout minus 114.8 8 implied odds, which is crazy. I mean, I'm very excited about this. I wish I could bet more. Are you kidding me? I got to deposit more money real quick.

[10:50] Let me do that and then we can move on. Yo, get this and then we can move on. Yo, get this locked in though if you want to play it. locked in though if you want to play it. And it's already gone.

[11:05] I want three streams. Why not, bro? Two for one. What are you talking about? Yes, we need two streams. Underdog just wants to separate the sharps from the hacks. Limits probably coming immediately for us. You're officially

[11:18] immediately for us. You're officially ank now. Shut the [ __ ] up. I've never done Coke, Jacob188. [snorts] Dude, I'm [ __ ] engaged. If

[11:30] you're doing cocaine when you're engaged, engaged, that would be a problem. that would be a problem. Um, add money with Apple Pay.

[11:42] Should I add money with Apple Pay or No, let's do let's do I don't know, man. Um, Alex, can you tell your fiance to let you stream more? She may be in here. No,

[11:57] she's at work. Never mind. 2C slide, please. 24hour stream. Yeah, 2C slide, please. 24hour stream. Yeah, right. Okay, so let's do underdog again

[12:10] because they just bumped it. Unfortunately, that probably will never change. And they bumped Ruie, too. This is crazy. Hero over in points, right? He's an underdog to go under. So, we want to be on his over. Pretty simple,

[12:27] man. And guess what? If he doesn't go over, I'm not going to message his wife. Although, Tyler Herro is definitely not married, dude. I don't know. He does not seem like that type. Pat Spencer under 16 and a half points. All this [ __ ] is

[12:41] cashing. Why are you only betting $25, Alex? That's the max I can get. Yo, two Alex? That's the max I can get. Yo, two pick entry. Who is Cam Spencer? [snorts] No, I accidentally exited. Let's go.

[13:01] Thank you. Thank you very much. So, I think I'm done for the day on underdog. Let's see. Yeah. So, this hasn't changed. You hit your daily limit. They're not going to let me bet more. [snorts]

[13:22] Are you coming to Cal to record your business startup videos? Maybe. Why do you have Katie working, bro? Yo, Katie likes to work, man. She likes to be busy. My fiance's [ __ ] smart, dude. My fiance's very smart.

[13:39] dude. My fiance's very smart. I don't know, dude. She wants to work. got here, though. So, I'm done on Underdog. Some people

[13:56] were asking about pick six, so maybe we got to rip some slips. They have some discounts. So like chat under this seems solid. Why are you only doing DFS? Why no FanDuel again? Dude, I would do FanDuel.

[14:13] I'm just not in a state where is legal. So we got chat under. Same [ __ ] strategy. Let me get rid of bet 105 for a sec because I didn't figure out how to [sighs and gasps] And let's go here.

[14:29] We need a third pick. the same way you guys need to have a threesome. guys need to have a threesome. Where am I looking, bro? Sorry, I'm trying to do this discount real quick.

[14:54] assists. Do we [ __ ] with that? I was on his under yesterday and that did not work out. So maybe we try to take his over. But this is also solid value. I over. But this is also solid value. I mean to be clear, three pick entry

[15:11] on DraftKings pick six. Can someone put a link in the chat? Here's the play. Lock it in. Lock it in. Lock it in. And is there any nuke?

[15:36] Uh, are you [ __ ] kidding me?

[15:50] that means I need to lock in Roland's under 23 and a half PRs. Oh, you're beautiful. 2400 bucks. Please take it in the butt.

[16:04] 740 max. Gee, link. I'll share it. I'm a good friend. link. I'll share it. I'm a good friend. Link's going to be in the chat, boys.

[16:16] Um, Fanatics. Dude, I'M NOT IN A STATE WHERE FANATICS IS LEGAL, BRO. I already WHERE FANATICS IS LEGAL, BRO. I already said this.

[16:29] [sighs] Pissing me off, man. Me [ __ ] repeat myself. what were we talking about? Guy pissed me off, man. [ __ ] fanatics. [snorts]

[16:59] [ __ ] man. I forgot what we were talking about. want to do better. So, we can take a look at better. Um, I believe damn, you

[17:12] can get this better on Bet MGM. It's minus 115 minus 115. I've said this before. I truly believe Bet MGM is the easiest I truly believe Bet MGM is the easiest sports book in the world to beat. So try

[17:26] >> I'm gonna get your info. You're on to something. something. >> Um their market. Minus 115 minus 115 arbitrage to FanDuel. Every other book

[17:42] has the overheavily favored, but what did I promise I would do? I don't even did I promise I would do? I don't even remember. Um, [ __ ] Better, better, guys.

[17:54] Um, damn, dude. Better does have a lot of value. better Jake Paul of value. better Jake Paul and his fiance who's posted and his fiance who's posted 45 billion pictures of a silver Olympic

[18:07] 45 billion pictures of a silver Olympic medal, I support female athletes, as many of you know. I'm a big supporter

[18:19] of the WNBA because there's nothing to bet in the summer, dude. bet in the summer, dude. Um,

[18:31] My friend's wedding is May 1st. Make a note of that. Okay. In Tucson, which is somewhere I've never been, so I

[18:43] guess I'm excited. I don't know much about Tucson. Sorry, I just got to log in real quick. Dude, this two-factor verification is annoying, but that's verification is annoying, but that's okay. Let's get it going.

[19:01] let's lock the [ __ ] in and let's do that. How come all of our neighbors are on Novig? Yeah, maybe.

[19:18] before limits? I mean, I'm not a very patient person. I typically just go hard on a sports book. Round your bet sizes. That's good advice. What else is good advice? I mean, if you really want to preserve

[19:35] I mean, if you really want to preserve accounts, try not to do obvious errors. That's a good way to ideally improve your probability of not getting limited. Jared McCain's on the Thunder now, as I learned on Tik Tok because he posted a

[19:51] lot of Tik Toks about getting traded and YouTube videos. about getting traded and YouTube videos. He's going to be a big YouTuber He's going to be a big YouTuber once he gets kicked out of the NBA

[20:05] and bust. Although, maybe he won't bust. I mean, hopefully he doesn't bust, but he probably won't bust. Um, anyways, I'm almost done with this. Jared McCain. Is Jared McCain good? Is Jared McCain gonna bust?

[20:27] want to be on his under. So, this is the better slip. better slip. Let me see their payouts quickly.

[20:43] reduced, bro. These [ __ ] [ __ ] bro. Underdog is improving payouts. Better took down. It used to be if you go three for five, you get.5x.

[20:55] They lowered it to 4x and they thought nobody would notice, but I noticed. Oh sh Yeah, that's fine. Okay,

[21:12] picks, just like minus19 implied odds. When you work out the math, basically everything you're betting, just assume you're getting minus19 and that hasn't changed. Daily limit of $100. I don't even know if that's legal to be honest.

[21:25] Can you limit Can you let stupid people and losing people bet more and losing people bet more per day?

[21:40] not sure [snorts] unfortunately. Thank you Cozy Trash Fire and forgod7 for putting the link in the chat.

[21:56] Williams. Why? They're on different teams. Why would there be negative correlation? Does the sharp money tool with Cal work with Kelshi and Poly Market? I don't think so.

[22:09] think so. But I also don't. Is it minus 114 for two mans on underdog? It's minus 115. Yeah, I actually think it's positive correlation. I agree with Dylan Corbett. I actually think this is positive

[22:22] correlation. Williams under Spencer. I mean, they're on different teams. mean, they're on different teams. Alex, can you join Bet Online?

[22:35] make me figure out crypto? Actually, I actually like started to Actually, I actually like started to sign up. I mean, you can see I got I got Bet 105 here. I got a bunch of sports books and options, but what I want to do

[22:49] books and options, but what I want to do is available. Who is Dean Wade?

[23:10] available. Dude, a onepoint discount is kind of a slap in the face, but we already took Johnson over 12 and a half and what's a very solid play to a half and what's a very solid play to pair with it and also the Wizards.

[23:25] going to be the And they already bumped Dean Wade. Damn, bro. Let's see. Annoying. So, let's go here to Ryan

[23:37] Annoying. So, let's go here to Ryan Rollins under and PRs. And then we'll do Rollins under and PRs. And then we'll do Chimera under and PRs as well. And this is just another play for like the

[23:53] for the discount or sorry, it's under 21 and a half Pas. O, but they're going to tell me I hate how they do this. They're going to say, "Oh, no, you got to do a two pick entry." So, it's like, okay, I'll guess

[24:05] I'll do a two pick entry. Also, that's that's pissing me off. $20 max and then it tells me $10 max.

[24:21] So, I just ran a two man. As you can see, I don't think there's any good things on sleeper. Use the MMA discount. When is you f to Use the MMA discount. When is you f to play UCLA? Bro, I go to I'm I'm on

[24:36] campus all the time. I love walking around UCLA. It truly is, in my opinion, the most beautiful school.

[24:51] What was your GPA? I don't remember my GPA. That is not a question I've been asked recently. asked recently. I think I had a solid GPA.

[25:05] I think I had a solid GPA. So, when I'm betting on cow sheet, I mean, I just recommend be a little careful with the liquidity Pakistan

[25:25] don't hate it or something like this. I mean, it's only $13. The reason I don't do a ton of betting on these peer-to-peer sites, I mean, especially on stream, is obviously it's [ __ ] peer-to-peer,

[25:39] bro. Like, once you bet it, the odds change.

[25:53] I kind of want to bet on Pakistan. I don't even know what it is. If anyone wants to take the remainder. Wait, what? What am I betting on? New Zealand. This is cricket, dude. It is crazy

[26:08] how much random [ __ ] you can bet on. Dollars earn interest. you can bet on. Dollars earn interest. When is this game? February 21st. When is this game? February 21st. So, this is tomorrow.

[26:22] I don't know, man. Why not? Why not? I support [snorts] Pakistan. I couldn't I couldn't point it out on I

[26:34] couldn't point it out on a map, but I'll bet on them. bet on them. I think it's next to India.

[26:51] It's a country I've never been to. No, it's Oh [ __ ] It's between Afghanist Afghanistan, Iran, and India.

[27:05] live. Um, anyways, what are we talking about?

[27:19] Okay. So again, I think like Cali like I kind of try to avoid the high liquidity markets and obviously it depends. It also depends like how much liquidity is available on other books. I mean I feel

[27:33] like there's a lot of [ __ ] you want to consider. bets and stuff like that on on Calian Poly Market. You just need to be

[27:45] selective. You just need to be selective. Um, my dad's texting me

[28:12] Anyways, I'll try to stream later. I promise. What do you mean by selective? and not betting? I will die to protect Pakistan. Bovvada,

[28:24] please go. I mean, again, I can show you the BA value, but I still, Dude, I tried to put money in Coinbase because I couldn't send it from Fidelity, and it's just been a pain, bro. St. Louis first half money line minus 230. Absolute

[28:40] nuke. I need to get money in here because I'm actually pretty excited about being able to do a bunch more sports books. Now, in my recommendation, what I've heard for Bovada is to prolong limits,

[28:53] avoid player props, bet them small, bet them in parlays, and kind of try to focus on mainline markets mainly. But I'll stream