The Only Parlay Betting Strategy That Makes Money (2-Steps)

[00:01] cash cow. They dangle those massive payouts in front of you. Pay $10 to win they make billions of dollars off of losing parlay bettors every single year. So, let's be real. How many of you guys

[00:14] your parlays actually end up cashing? How often do you miss it by just one leg? Well, it's not by bad luck. That's by design. The sports books trap you into losing your parlays one after another. And most sports bettors walk

[00:26] right into that trap. But today, I'm going to flip the script for you. If you consistently, there's only one strategy that actually works. And it's probably not what you think. Now, I'm going to show you guys in two simple steps here,

[00:40] okay, on how you could actually win betting parlays. The first thing we have to do is break down the most common parlay. So, most people you will see make a bet and it looks like this, okay? Let's say that's a four-leg parlay right

[00:55] there, okay? They get a nice payout on that for a four-leg. But what they don't that for a four-leg. But what they don't realize is what the house edge is on these types of parlays. That's where it's actually exploited, and that's

[01:08] where I'm going to show you guys how the sports books are literally just throwing a dagger in you just a little bit at a time the more legs you add to a parlay. So, for example, a two-leg parlay, which is some of the most common ones that

[01:20] okay? They think they can win consistently doing this. Two-leg parlay gives you a -9% house edge, okay? So, the house has a 9% edge on a two-leg parlay. Let's get to a three-leg now. Three-leg is 13%.

[01:37] Four-leg, just like how I'm throwing an example up here, is a 17% edge. Now, say six-leg and an eight-leg here, as you can see what's going on here, okay? The more legs you add to a parlay, the

[01:50] get to this level, I mean, we're at a 25% and a 30% edge for the sports book long term. So, what this means is if you were literally to do nothing but two-leg parlays, okay, at this at this number

[02:06] consistently, you're just doing that nonstop, what happens here is a -9% edge nonstop, what happens here is a -9% edge reoccurs throughout the whole long term

[02:18] of you actually doing this, okay? And you're stacking a 9% edge against you're stacking a 9% edge against yourself. Similar to sitting at any type of table game in a casino, okay? The house edge is going to be anywhere from

[02:31] 2% all the way up to 10% depending on what you do. The longer you sit there and the longer you play, the more hands you play, the more craps that you throw, you know, what happens is the edge catches up to you long term. That's why

[02:43] they try to keep you at the table. When you are winning, they try to keep you there because they know the longer you sit there, the longer the edge is going come back around and you are going to lose long term. That's why they like to

[02:57] somebody's winning a lot a lot of money. want you to stay there because they know that that edge will eventually catch up. they get you to bet parlays, the more the edge is stacked against yourself

[03:12] where the next thing you know, you are consistently losing. And I'm telling you right now, there is nobody that wins parlays like this, okay, that I'm living off sports betting betting parlays like this because the numbers

[03:27] parlays like this because the numbers make it absolutely impo- ssible for you about sports betting is the numbers don't lie. And this right here shows and proves it does not matter how good you think you are at parlays. The long term

[03:41] betting this way, you will lose. And the more legs you add, the more your bankroll is going to drain in the long term. And they win one time and they hit, you know, $500 off of a $10 bet, well, they're hooked now. They're going

[03:55] to go back to the well a thousand times trying to get that feeling again. And they're just donating. They're going in their pocket, depositing more, depositing, depositing. Why? Because the factor of the negative edge has caught

[04:10] won one time. Similar to slot machines, you sit down, you play a slot machine, you get lucky, you win a couple thousand dollars off of a $5 pull. Now, they got that machine throughout the years trying to get that feeling again, and you

[04:26] what you won that one time. Now that I explained exactly how people lose constantly with parlays, let me show you exactly how you can actually win and the actual strategy that's the only strategy that really works when it comes to

[04:40] parlays. So, the first step to this process is going to be finding true probability, okay? True probability plays of 90% or Now, true probability means the actual percentage of that event

[04:55] here, obviously, is going to be player props because we can't do that with teams or with money lines and spreads and totals. You're not going to find a true probability on whether a team's going to cover a spread, the total's

[05:08] to find a true probability on that, okay? You will with player props, though. And you need to stick to the ones that have a 90% or above true probability. I'm going to explain why that is the number that you have to

[05:23] plays that have, let's just say 90% for example, okay? Let's say a 90% true probability and a 90% true probability. And you put those together for a two-leg parlay. The chances of this actually

[05:37] hitting, percentage-wise, becomes 81%. is the odds the sports book's going to give you, translates to about -430 bet.

[05:51] Okay? What your job is is to find a number that would be lower than this right here. If you had two 90% plays put together on a two-leg parlay with an 81% true probability chance of that parlay actually hitting, you have to find a

[06:06] now, let's say you put those two together and you find odds of -300. Those two player props that you put together, they equaled out to -300 at the sports book that you're at. Now, that would equal out to a

[06:21] that would equal out to a implied probability of 75%, right? Now, you have a true probability of 81% here, giving you a plus 6% edge. Just like that, you have flip-flopped what parlays do. Where they create a negative edge

[06:36] long term, you have flipped it now to give yourself a positive edge long term. So, you have took that two-leg parlay, put those two together, and as long as you found odds that are below -430, you're going to give yourself an edge

[06:50] doing that. Now, one example that I like to do this with, and it includes with baseball because it's actually the most simplest one to do. And it's for a player to not hit a home run, okay? So, if we take two players here, let's just

[07:04] if we take two players here, let's just say player A and player B, okay? Let's parlay to not hit a home run. Let's say their odds are -700 apiece to not hit a home run. Now, usually, the percentages for this right here, for two players to

[07:19] not hit a home run, each leg is above 90% most of the time. Usually, they're like 95%, like they're above 90%. We're just going to use the 90% as an example here just so you guys can see. But when we put two -700s together, we're going

[07:34] to create a -327 parlay, okay? Because we put these two together. Now, -327 implied probability there is 76%. So, still with that, what happens here? We still have a true probability of 81%,

[07:49] then we have a 5% edge still. Just like that, as simple as what I just showed you right there, you flip betting regular parlays and losing constantly into actually winning consistently while creating an edge and a gap long term to

[08:05] get to the second step here of how far you could actually take this, okay? How many legs can you actually add to where you're still going to create that edge? So, I just showed you guys exactly how this works

[08:18] with a two-leg, right? So, we'll put a check there. Now, let's run the numbers on a three-leg, okay? Let's use the same example there. Let's say 90% true probability across the board there for all three. Now, the true probability of

[08:31] this occurring is going to drop, obviously, and that drops to 73%. So be -270. So, what we need here is we need to find a play that where we put three together

[08:46] and gives us better odds than -270. Now, if we use that same example as we did in step one, and let's say player A, player B, now player C, okay? Let's go ahead B, now player C, okay? Let's go ahead and say that again, we got what? 90%

[09:01] across the board here. Let's say the odds are -700 across the board, okay? If guess what? Guess what our odds are going to be here to correlate to see if we got an edge. It's going to be -203, which gives us an implied probability

[09:15] which gives us an implied probability now of 67%. So now, we do the math, what now of 67%. So now, we do the math, what do we got there? We got a plus 6% edge on a three-leg. But the only way this works is if you find, right here, these

[09:28] player props that have the true probability versus the implied probability of at least a 90% true probability and find a gap there. Because, for example, what we

[09:41] used here is the true probability is 90% and the implied probability is -700. So, the implied probability is 87%, okay? We found three plays here in this example found three plays here in this example that gave us a plus 3% edge each. And in

[09:55] the first example, we found two plays that gave us a 3% edge a piece. You have that gave us a 3% edge a piece. You have to have an edge on each one of the legs edge, you're not going to be able to

[10:09] them put them together. Now, if you want to fast forward through all this and you want the answers just delivered to you daily and for my best plays on any given you guys click the link in the description. And that's how you actually

[10:22] beat the sports book with parlays and create yourself an edge long term.